Declaration by the German Initiative Isa Pasi Zvombo Zvako, pazuva rekurangarira kurwisa kweRussia kuUkraine, Kukadzi 16, 2023
Nekupindirwa kweUkraine nemauto eRussia musi wa24 Kukadzi 2022, hondo yemakore manomwe yekudzika-simba muDonbass iyo maererano neOSCE yakakonzera kufa zviuru gumi nezvina, kusanganisira zviuru zvina zvevanhu, zvikamu zviviri muzvitatu zveizvi munzvimbo dzakatsauka - yakakwira kusvika hutsva hwechisimba chemauto. Kupinda kweRussia kwaive kutyora kwakanyanya kwemutemo wepasirese uye kwakakonzera kufa kwakawanda, kuparadza, nhamo, uye mhosva dzehondo. Panzvimbo pekutora mukana wekugadzirisa kwenhaurirano (nhaurirano dzakatanga, chokwadi, dzakatora nzvimbo kusvika Kubvumbi 14,000), hondo yakawedzera kuita "proxy war pakati peRussia neNATO", sekubvuma kwevakuru vehurumende muUSA. .
Panguva imwecheteyo, sarudzo yeUN General Assembly ye2 Kurume, umo nyika dze141 dzakashora kupindira, dzakanga dzatodaidzira kugadzirisa nekukurumidza kwegakava "kuburikidza nenhaurirano dzezvematongerwo enyika, nhaurirano, kuyanana uye dzimwe nzira dzerunyararo" uye yaida "kutevedzera zvibvumirano zveMinsk" uye zvakajeka zvakare kuburikidza neNormandy fomati "kushanda zvinovaka mukuita kwavo kuzere."
Zvisinei neizvi zvese, kushevedzwa kwenharaunda yepasirese hakuna kuteererwa nemapato ese ane chekuita nazvo, kunyangwe ivo vachida kutaura nezvezvisungo zveUN zvakanyanya sezvavanobvumirana nezvinzvimbo zvavo.
Kupera kwekunyepa
Mauto, Kiev iri pakudzivirira uye kugona kwayo kwehondo kuri kudzikira. Kubva munaNovember 2022, mukuru weUS Joint Chiefs of Staff akakurudzira kuti nhaurirano dzitange sezvo aifunga kukunda kweKiev kusaite. Munguva ichangopfuura muRamstein akadzokorora nzvimbo iyi.
Asi kunyangwe vezvematongerwo enyika nevezvenhau vanobatirira pakunyepedzera kwekukunda, mamiriro eKiev akashata. Aya ndiwo mabviro ekukwira kwazvino, kureva kuendeswa kwematangi ehondo. Zvisinei, izvi zvinongorebesa kukonana. Hondo haikundwi. Pane kudaro, iyi inongova imwe nhanho imwe chete painotsvedza. Nenguva isipi, hurumende yeKiev yakada kupihwa kwejeti dzehondo kunotevera, uyezve, kubatanidzwa kwakananga kwemauto eNATO - zvichizotungamira mukukwira kwenyukireya?
Muchiitiko chenyukireya Ukraine ingave yekutanga kuparara. Zvinoenderana nenhamba dzeUN, huwandu hwevanhu vakafa mugore rapfuura hwaipfuura zviuru zvinomwe, uye kurasikirwa pakati pemasoja kwaive muhuwandu hwematanhatu. Avo vanobvumira kupfuuridzirwa kwepfuti panzvimbo pokutaurirana vanofanira kuzvibvunza vamene kana vachidisa kupira vamwezve 7,000, 100,000, 200,000 kana kuti kunyange kupfuura vanhu nokuda kwevavariro dzehondo dzinonyengera.
Kubatana kwechokwadi neUkraine kunoreva kushanda kumisa kuuraya nekukurumidza sezvinobvira.
Zviri geopolitics - benzi!
Chinhu chakakosha nei Madokero ari kutamba kadhi remauto ndechekuti Washington inonzwa mukana wekunyatso netesa Moscow kuburikidza nehondo yekurwisa. Sezvo hutongi hwepasirese hweUSA hwadzikira nekuda kweshanduko yehurongwa hwepasi rose, US iri kuedza kudzorera chirevo chayo chehutungamiriri hwepasirese - zvakare mukukwikwidzana kwayo neChina.
Izvi zvinofambirana nezvakaitwa neUS kare kare mushure meCold War kuyedza nekutadzisa kubuda kwemukwikwidzi wechimiro chakafanana neSoviet Union. Nokudaro, chimbo chakakosha zvikuru chaive kuwedzera kweNATO kumabvazuva neUkraine se "mutakuri wendege asinganyure" pamusuwo weMoscow sekubudirira kwayo. Saizvozvowo, kubatanidzwa kwehupfumi hweUkraine kuMadokero kwakakwidziridzwa nenzira yeEU Association Treaty yakange yataurirana kubva muna 2007 zvichienda mberi - uye iyo yaitsanangura kubviswa kweUkraine kubva kuRussia.
Urudzi hunopesana neRussia muEastern Europe hwakamutswa sehwaro hwepfungwa. MuUkraine, izvi zvakawedzera mukurwisana kwechisimba paMaidan muna 2014, uye mukupindura kune iyo zvakare muDonbass, izvo zvakazoita kuti kuparadzaniswa kweCrimea neDonetsk neLuhansk nzvimbo. Zvichakadaro, hondo yave musanganiswa wemakakatanwa maviri: - Kune rimwe divi, kunetsana pakati peUkraine neRussia mhedzisiro yekuparara kwemhirizhonga yeSoviet Union iyo pachayo yakaremerwa zvakanyanya nenhoroondo inopokana yekuumbwa kweUkraine. nyika, uye kune rumwe rutivi, - kunetsana kwenguva refu pakati pemasimba maviri makuru enyukireya.
Izvi zvinounza matambudziko ane njodzi uye akaomarara echiyero chesimba renyukireya (yekutyisa). Kubva pakuona kweMoscow, kubatanidzwa kwemauto eUkraine kuenda kuMadokero kunoisa njodzi yekurohwa kwedecapitation kurwisa Moscow. Kunyanya kubva zvibvumirano zvekudzora zvombo, kubva ku ABM Treaty pasi paBush muna 2002 kusvika kuINF neOpen Sky Treaty pasi paTrump izvo zvakabvumiranwa munguva yeCold War zvakapera. Pasinei nekuvimbika kwayo, maonero eMoscow anofanira kuteererwa. Kutya kwakadaro hakugoni kuderedzwa nemashoko chete, asi kunoda matanho akavimbika chaiwo. Nekudaro, muna Zvita 2021, Washington yakaramba matanho anowirirana akakurudzirwa neMoscow.
Mukuwedzera, kushungurudzwa kwezvibvumirano zvakarongwa pasi pemutemo wepasi rose zvakare ndeimwe yemaitiro eWest, sezvakaratidzwa, pakati pezvimwe zvinhu, nekubvuma kwaMerkel naFrançois Hollande kuti vakangopedzisa Minsk II kutenga nguva yekugonesa kubatwa kweKiev. Tichipesana nemamiriro ezvinhu aya, basa rehondo - uye izvi ndezvechokwadi zvakanyanya sezvo tiri kubata nehondo yeproxy - haigone kudzikiswa kuRussia chete.
Ngazvive izvo, basa reKremlin hariperi. Maonero eNationalist ari kupararirawo muRussia uye nyika yehudzvanyiriri iri kuramba ichisimbiswa. Asi avo vanotarisa nhoroondo refu yekukwira chete kuburikidza nelenzi yemifananidzo yakapfava-ne-chena yebogeyman vanogona kufuratira yeWashington - uye mukumuka kwayo EU - mugove webasa.
MuBellicose Fever
Boka rezvematongerwo enyika uye vezvenhau vanotsvaira zvese izvi zvakabatanidzwa pasi pekapeti. Pane kudaro, vapinda muchirwere chebellicose chaicho.
Germany ibato rehondo uye hurumende yeGerman yave hurumende yehondo. Gurukota rezvekunze reGerman mukuzvitutumadza kwake akatenda kuti aigona "kuparadza" Russia. Zvichakadaro, bato rake (The Green Party) rave morphed kubva kubato rerunyararo kupinda murwi anotyisa kwazvo muBundestag. Pakave nekubudirira kwehunyanzvi munhandare yehondo muUkraine, iyo kukosha kwayo kwakawedzera kupfuura chiyero chose, fungidziro yakagadzirwa kuti kukunda kwemauto pamusoro peRussia kwaigona kuitika. Vaya vanoteterera kuti pave nerunyararo vanorwadziwa se "vanoteerera pacifists" kana "matsotsi ehondo yechipiri".
Mamiriro ezvematongerwo enyika akajairwa kumberi kwemba panguva yehondo akabuda achisimbisa kumanikidza kukuru kuti vaenderane izvo zvisingatyi kupikisa vazhinji. Mufananidzo wemuvengi kubva kunze wakabatanidzwa nekuwedzera kusashivirira kubva mukati memukomboni mukuru. Rusununguko rwekutaura uye rusununguko rwemashoko ari kupera sezvinoratidzwa nekurambidzwa, pakati pevamwe, "Russia Today" uye "Sputnik".
Hondo yehupfumi - squib yakanyorova
Hondo yehupfumi yakanangana neRussia iyo yakanga yatotanga muna 2014 yakatora nhoroondo isati yamboitika mushure mekurwisa kweRussia. Asi izvi hazvina mhedzisiro pakugona kurwa kweRussia. Muchokwadi, hupfumi hweRussia hwakadzikira nezvikamu zvitatu muzana muna 2022, zvisinei, Ukraine yakadzikira nezvikamu makumi matatu kubva muzana. Inobvunza mubvunzo, kuti Ukraine inogona kutsungirira kusvika rinhi hondo yekurwisa?
Zvichakadaro, zvirango izvi zviri kukonzera kukanganisa kwehupfumi hwenyika. Kumaodzanyemba kwepasirese kunyanya kwakaoma. Zvirango izvi zvinowedzera nzara nourombo, kuwedzera kukwira kwemitengo yezvinhu, uye zvinomutsa mhirizhonga inodhura mumisika yenyika. Saka hazvishamisi kuti Global South haidi kutora chikamu muhondo yehupfumi kana kuda kuparadzanisa Russia. Iyi haisi hondo yayo. Zvisinei, hondo yehupfumi ine migumisiro yakaipa patiriwo. Kubviswa kubva kuRussia gasi rechisikigo kunowedzera dambudziko remagetsi iro rinokanganisa mhuri dzisina simba uye zvinogona kukonzera kubuda kwemaindasitiri anoshandisa simba zvakanyanya kubva kuGermany. Zvombo zvehondo uye zvehondo zvinogara zvichikanganisa hutano hwevanhu. Panguva imwe chete ne fracking gasi kubva kuU.SA iyo inosvika 40% inokuvadza kumamiriro ekunze kupfuura gasi rechisikigo reRussia, uye nekutsvaga kumarasha, zvose zvinangwa zvekuderedza CO 2 zvakatosvika mumarara.
Mhedziso yekutanga kune diplomacy, nhaurirano uye runyararo runyararo
Hondo inotora zviwanikwa zvezvematongerwo enyika, zvepfungwa, zvenjere uye zvenyama izvo zvinodikanwa nekukurumidza kurwisa shanduko yemamiriro ekunze, kuparara kwemhoteredzo nehurombo. Kupinda kweGermany muhondo kunopatsanura nzanga uye kunyanya zvikamu izvo zvakazvipira kufambisira mberi magariro neshanduko yemagariro. Isu tinokurudzira kuti hurumende yeGerman ipedze nzira yayo yehondo ipapo. Germany inofanira kutanga chirongwa chezvematongerwo enyika. Izvi ndizvo zviri kushevedzwa neruzhinji rwevanhu. Tinoda kupera kwehondo uye kutanga kwenhaurirano dzakaiswa muhurongwa hwemarudzi akawanda hunosanganisira kutora chikamu kweUN.
Pakupedzisira, panofanira kuva nerunyararo rune rugare runogadzirira nzira yekuvaka runyararo rweEurope iyo inosangana nekuchengetedzwa kweUkraine, yeRussia uye yevose avo vari mukurwisana uye iyo inobvumira ramangwana rine rugare kune kondinendi yedu.
Rugwaro rwakanyorwa na: Reiner Braun (International Peace Bureau), Claudia Haydt (Information Center on Militarization), Ralf Krämer (Socialist Kuruboshwe muBato Die Linke), Willi van Ooyen (Rugare uye Ramangwana Workshop Frankfurt), Christof Osteimer (Federal Komiti Runyararo Council), Peter Wahl (Attac. Germany). Mashoko emunhu ndeeruzivo chete
