NaMedea Benjamin naNicolas JS Davies, World BEYOND War, January 25, 2023
Iyo Bulletin yeAtomic Scientists ichangoburitsa yayo 2023 Doomsday Clock. statement, vachidana iyi “nguva yengozi isina kumboitika.” Yakasimudzira maoko ewachi kusvika kumasekonzi makumi mapfumbamwe kusvika pakati pehusiku, zvichireva kuti nyika yave pedyo nenjodzi yepasirese kupfuura nakare kose, zvakanyanya nekuti kurwisana muUkraine kwakawedzera zvakanyanya njodzi yehondo yenyukireya. Kuongorora kwesainzi uku kunofanirwa kumutsa vatungamiriri vepasirese kudiwa kwekukurumidzira kuunza mapato ari muhondo yeUkraine patafura yerunyararo.
Kusvika pari zvino, gakava pamusoro pehurukuro dzerunyararo dzekugadzirisa gakava rakanyanya kutenderera kune izvo Ukraine neRussia dzinofanirwa kugadzirira kuunza patafura kuitira kuti hondo ipere uye kudzoreredza runyararo. Nekudaro, zvakapihwa kuti hondo iyi haisi pakati peRussia neUkraine chete asi chikamu che "New Cold War" pakati peRussia neUnited States, haisi Russia neUkraine chete izvo zvinofanirwa kufunga zvavanogona kuunza patafura kuti zvipere. . United States inofanirwawo kufunga nezve matanho ainogona kutora kugadzirisa kusawirirana kwayo neRussia kwakakonzera hondo iyi pakutanga.
Dambudziko rezvematongerwo enyika rakagadzira danho rehondo muUkraine rakatanga neNATO yakaputsika anovimbisa kwete kuwedzera kuEastern Europe, uye yakawedzera nekuzivisa kwayo muna 2008 kuti Ukraine yaizoita. pakupedzisira joinha iyi mubatanidzwa wemauto anopesana neRussia.
Zvadaro, muna 2014, US-yakatsigirwa kubvuta masimba kupokana nehurumende yakasarudzwa yeUkraine yakakonzera kuparara kweUkraine. 51% chete yevaUkraine vakaongororwa vakaudza vhoti yeGallup kuti vaiziva chokwadi vehurumende yapashure pechisimba, uye veruzhinji muCrimea uye mumatunhu eDonetsk neLuhansk vakavhotera kuzvipatsanura kubva kuUkraine. Crimea yakabatana zvakare neRussia, uye hurumende itsva yeUkraine yakatanga hondo yevagari vemo kurwisa vanozviti "People's Republics" yeDonetsk neLuhansk.
Hondo yevagari vemo yakauraya vanhu vangangosvika zviuru gumi nezvina, asi chibvumirano cheMinsk II muna 14,000 chakamisa kumisa pfuti uye nzvimbo yebuffer munzira yekutonga, paine 2015 pasi rose. OSCE vanomisa moto monitors nevashandi. Mutsara wekumisa pfuti wakanyanya kubata kwemakore manomwe, uye vakakuvara rakaramba zvikuru gore negore. Asi hurumende yeUkraine haina kumbogadzirisa dambudziko rezvematongerwo enyika nekupa Donetsk neLuhansk chigaro chekuzvidzivirira chavakavavimbisa muchibvumirano cheMinsk II.
Iye zvino aimbova Chancellor weGermany Angela Merkel uye Mutungamiri weFrance Francois Hollande vakabvuma kuti vatungamiriri vekuMadokero vakangobvumirana nechibvumirano cheMinsk II chekutenga nguva, kuitira kuti vakwanise kuvaka mauto eUkraine kuti adzore Donetsk neLuhansk nechisimba.
Muna Kurume 2022, mwedzi wakatevera kurwisa kweRussia, nhaurirano dzekumisa mhirizhonga dzakaitwa muTurkey. Russia neUkraine akadhirowa chibvumirano chegumi neshanu "chibvumirano chekusarerekera," icho Mutungamiri Zelenskyy akapa pachena uye akatsanangura kuvanhu vake munhepfenyuro yenyika yeTV musi waKurume 27. Russia yakabvuma kubuda munzvimbo dzayakange yatora kubva payakapinda muna Kukadzi ichichinjana nekuzvipira kweUkraine kusabatana neNATO kana kutora zvigaro zvemauto ekunze. Chimiro ichocho chaisanganisirawo zvikumbiro zvekugadzirisa ramangwana reCrimea neDonbas.
Asi muna Kubvumbi, vadyidzani veUkraine vekuMadokero, United States neUnited Kingdom kunyanya, vakaramba kutsigira chibvumirano chekusarerekera uye vakanyengetedza Ukraine kuti isiye nhaurirano dzayo neRussia. Vakuru veUS neBritish vakati panguva iyoyo vakaona mukana “press” uye “kupera simba” Russia, uye kuti vaida kushandisa zvakanyanya mukana iwoyo.
Sarudzo inosiririsa yehurumende dzeUS neBritain dzekubvisa chibvumirano chekusarerekera cheUkraine mumwedzi wechipiri wehondo yakonzera kunetsana kwenguva refu uye inoparadza nemazana ezviuru vanouraya. Hapana divi rinogona kukunda rimwe divi, uye kukwira kwega kwega kunowedzera njodzi ye "hondo huru pakati peNATO neRussia," seMunyori Mukuru weNATO Jens Stoltenberg nguva pfupi yadarika. akanyeverwa.
US uye NATO vatungamiriri ikozvino murandu kutsigira kudzokera kutafura yenhaurirano yavakasimudzira muna Kubvumbi, vaine chinangwa chimwe chete chekuwana kubviswa kweRussia kubva munharaunda yayakagara kubva muna Kukadzi. Vanoziva zvizere kuti mimwe mwedzi mipfumbamwe yehondo isingakoshi uye ine ropa yakatadza kuvandudza zvakanyanya nzvimbo yeUkraine yekutaurirana.
Panzvimbo pekungotumira zvimwe zvombo kuti zvikuchidzire hondo isingakundwe munhandare yehondo, vatungamiriri vekuMadokero vane basa rakakura rekubatsira kutangazve nhaurirano uye kuona kuti vabudirira panguva ino. Imwe fiasco yezvematongerwo enyika seyavakagadzira muna Kubvumbi ingave njodzi kuUkraine nenyika.
Saka chii chingaunze neUnited States patafura kuti ibatsire kuenda kurunyararo muUkraine uye kudzikisira Hondo yeCold ine njodzi neRussia?
Kufanana neCuban Missile Crisis panguva yeCold War yekutanga, dambudziko iri rinogona kushanda sechikonzero chedipureti yakakomba kugadzirisa kuparara kwehukama hweUS-Russia. Panzvimbo pekuisa panjodzi yekutsakatiswa kwenyukireya mukuda "kunetesa" Russia, United States inogona kushandisa dambudziko iri kuvhura nguva nyowani yekutonga kwezvombo zvenyukireya, zvibvumirano zvekubvisa zvombo uye kubatanidzwa.
Kwemakore, Mutungamiri Putin akanyunyuta nezvehukuru hwemauto eUS muEastern neCentral Europe. Asi mushure mekupinda kweRussia kuUkraine, iyo US yakatoita beef up kuvapo kwayo kwemauto eEurope. Zvakawedzera zvachose deployments yemauto eAmerica muEurope kubva pa80,000 pamberi paFebruary 2022 kusvika vangangoita 100,000. Yakatumira zvikepe zvehondo kuSpain, mauto ejet kuUnited Kingdom, mauto kuRomania neBaltics, uye masisitimu ekudzivirira mhepo kuGermany neItari.
Kunyange kusati kwave nechisimba cheRussia, US yakatanga kuwedzera kuvapo kwayo panzvimbo yemissile muRomania iyo Russia yakaramba kubva payakatanga kushanda muna 2016. Mauto eUnited States akavakawo izvo The New York Times. akadana "kugadzwa kwemauto eUS ane hanya zvakanyanya” muPoland, makiromita 100 chete kubva kunharaunda yeRussia. Mabhesi muPoland neRomania ane radar dzakasimba dzekutevera makomba ane hutsinye uye zvinokandwa zvinokandwa kuti zvipfure pasi.
MaRussia anonetsekana kuti zvimisikidzo izvi zvinogona kudzoserwa kupfuta zvinogumbura kana kunyange zvombo zvenyukireya, uye ndizvo chaizvo izvo 1972 ABM (Anti-Ballistic Missile) Chibvumirano pakati peUS neSoviet Union zvakarambidzwa, kudzamara Mutungamiri Bush abva mairi muna 2002.
Nepo Pentagon ichitsanangura nzvimbo mbiri idzi sedziviriro uye dzinonyepedzera kuti hadzina kunangana kuRussia, Putin ane akasimbisa kuti zvigadziko humbowo hwekutyisidzira kunokonzerwa nekuwedzera kweNATO kumabvazuva.
Heano mamwe matanho eUS angafunga kuisa patafura kuti atange kudzikamisa kusawirirana kuri kuramba kuchikwira uye kugadzirisa mikana yechibvumirano chekusingaperi chekumisa kurwa uye runyararo muUkraine:
- United States nedzimwe nyika dzekuMadokero dzinogona kutsigira kusarerekera kweUkraine nekubvuma kutora chikamu murudzi rwezvivimbiso zvekuchengetedza Ukraine neRussia zvakabvumirana munaKurume, asi izvo zvakarambwa neUS neUK.
- IUS nevadyidzani vayo veNATO vanogona kuita kuti maRussia vazive pakutanga munhaurirano kuti vakagadzirira kubvisa zvirango kuRussia sechikamu chechibvumirano chakazara cherunyararo.
- IUS inogona kubvuma kudzikiswa kwakakura kwemauto e100,000 aainawo muEurope, uye kubvisa zvombo zvayo kubva kuRomania nePoland nekupa zvigadziko izvi kumarudzi avo.
- United States inogona kuzvipira kushanda neRussia pachibvumirano chekutangisa kudzikisira zvombo zvavo zvenyukireya, uye kumisa hurongwa hwenyika dzese dziri mbiri dzekugadzira zvombo zvine njodzi zvakanyanya. Vanogona zvakare kudzoreredza Chibvumirano cheKuvhurika Skies, iyo United States yakabuda muna 2020, kuitira kuti mativi ese ari maviri aone kuti imwe iri kubvisa uye kuputsa zvombo zvavanobvuma kubvisa.
- United States inogona kuvhura nhaurirano pamusoro pekubviswa kwezvombo zvayo zvenyukireya kubva kunyika shanu dzemuEurope mavari pari zvino yakashandiswa: Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium neTurkey.
Kana United States ichida kuisa shanduko idzi patafura munhaurirano neRussia, zvichaita kuti Russia neUkraine zvive nyore kusvika pachibvumirano chinogamuchirika chekumisa pfuti, uye kubatsira kuona kuti runyararo rwavanotaurirana rwuve rwakadzikama uye rwusingaperi. .
Kubvisa Hondo Yemashoko neRussia kwaizopa Russia pfuma inobatika yekuratidza vagari vayo sezvainodzokera kubva kuUkraine. Zvichabvumirawo United States kudzikisa mari yayo muchiuto uye kugonesa nyika dzeEurope kuti dzitore kuchengetedzwa kwadzo, sezvo vazhinji vavo. vanhu want.
Nhaurirano dzeUS-Russia hadzizove nyore, asi kuzvipira kwechokwadi kugadzirisa kusawirirana kuchagadzira mamiriro matsva umo danho rega rega rinogona kutorwa neruvimbo rwakanyanya sezvo nzira yerunyararo inovaka kukurumidza kwayo.
Vazhinji vevanhu vepasirese vaizotura befu kuti vaone kufambira mberi kwekupedza hondo muUkraine, uye kuona United States neRussia vachishanda pamwe chete kuderedza njodzi dziripo dzehondo neruvengo. Izvi zvinofanirwa kutungamira mukudyidzana kwepasirese pane mamwe matambudziko akakomba akatarisana nenyika muzana rino ramakore- uye zvinogona kutotanga kudzosera kumashure mawoko eDoomsday Clock nekuita kuti nyika ive nzvimbo yakachengeteka kwatiri tese.
Medea Benjamin naNicolas JS Davies ndivo vanyori ve Hondo muUkraine: Kuita Sense yeKusawirirana Kusina Mufungo, inowanikwa kubva kuOR Books muna Mbudzi 2022.
Medea Benjamin ndiye muvambi we CODEPINK Rugare, uye munyori wemabhuku akawanda, kusanganisira Mukati Iran: The Real History and Politics of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Nicolas JS Davies mutori wenhau akazvimirira, muongorori neCODEPINK uye munyori we Ropa pamaoko edu: IAmerican Invasion uye Kuparadza kweIraq.
