NeVeterans Intelligence Professionals for Sanity, AntiWar.com, September 7, 2022
Mr. President:
Munyori weDziviriro Austin asati abhururuka achienda kuRamstein kumusangano weUkraine Defense Contact Group neChina tine chikwereti kwauri mazwi mashoma ekunyevera anoitwa nemakumi emakumi emakore eruzivo nezvinoitika kune hungwaru munguva yehondo. Kana akakuudza kuti Kyiv arikurova maRussia, kava matai - uye funga kuwedzera denderedzwa rako revanopa mazano.
Chokwadi ndiyo mari yenzvimbo mukuongorora kwehungwaru. Zvinoshamisawo kuti chokwadi ndicho chekutanga kuurayiwa kwehondo, uye izvi zvinoshanda kuhondo yeUkraine pamwe nehondo dzekare dzatakambobatanidzwa. kutaura chokwadi - kune vezvenhau, kana kunyange kuna Mutungamiriri wenyika. Takadzidza izvozvo kare - yakaoma uye inovava nzira. Vazhinji vedu vakapfeka maoko havana kudzoka kubva kuVietnam.
Vhetinamu: Mutungamiri Lyndon Johnson vakasarudza kutenda Gen. William Westmoreland avo vakamuudza uye Munyori weDziviriro McNamara muna 1967 kuti South Vietnam inogona kukunda - kana LBJ yaizopa mamwe mauto e206,000. Vaongorori veCIA vaiziva kuti manyepo uye kuti - zvakatoipisisa - Westmoreland yainyepera nemaune huwandu hwemauto aakatarisana nawo, ichiti kwaingova ne "299,000" maCommunist eVietnamese pasi pemaoko kuSouth. Isu takashuma nhamba yacho yaive 500,000 kusvika 600,000. (Zvinosuruvarisa, takabvumikiswa kuti takarurama panguva yekurwisa kwemakominisiti munyika yose mukutanga kwa1968. Johnson akakurumidza kusarudza kusakwikwidza imwe temu.)
Vose vachiva vakanaka murudo nehondo, vakuru vemauto muSaigon vakanga vakatsunga kupa mufananidzo wakaisvonaka. Mune tambo yaNyamavhuvhu 20, 1967 kubva kuSaigon, mutevedzeri weWestmoreland, Gen. Creighton Abrams, vakatsanangura chikonzero chekunyengera kwavo. Akanyora kuti nhamba dzevavengi vepamusoro (idzo dzaitsigirwa neanenge masangano ese ehungwaru) "dzakasiyana zvakanyanya nehuwandu hwesimba hwazvino hwe299,000 hwakapihwa kumapepanhau." Abrams akaenderera mberi achiti: "Tanga tichiratidza mufananidzo wekubudirira mumwedzi ichangopfuura." Akanyevera kuti kana nhamba dzakakwirira dzikava pachena, “zviziviso zvose zviripo uye tsananguro hazvizotadzisi vezvenhau kuti vape mhedziso isina kururama uye inosuruvarisa.”
The Demise of Imagery Analysis: Kusvikira 1996, CIA yakanga ine simba rakasununguka rekuita ongororo yemauto isingaverengeki ichiigonesa kutaura chokwadi - kunyange panguva yehondo. Imwe museve wakakosha mugoba rekuongorora raive basa rayo rakagadzwa rekuongorora mifananidzo yeNzvimbo Yese yeUngwaru. Kubudirira kwayo kwekutanga mukunongedza zvombo zveSoviet muCuba muna 1962 zvakange zvaita kuti National Photographic Interpretation Center (NPIC) ive nemukurumbira wakasimba wehunyanzvi uye chinangwa. Zvakabatsira zvakanyanya mukuongorora kwedu hondo yeVietnam. Uye gare gare, yakaita basa rakakosha mukuongorora kugona kweSoviet uye mukuona zvibvumirano zvekudzora zvombo.
Muna 1996, apo NPIC nevaongorori vayo mazana masere vane hunyanzvi hwemifananidzo vakapihwa, kit uye kaboodle, kuPentagon, kwaive kuoneka kune hungwaru husina rusarura.
Iraki: Retired Air Force General James Clapper akazogadzwa kuti atarisire mutsivi weNPIC, National Imagery and Mapping Agency (NIMA) uye nokudaro akange akamisikidzwa kuzora mafuta e "hondo yesarudzo" muIraq.
Zvechokwadi, Clapper ndomumwe wevashoma vevakuru vakuru vanobvuma kuti, pasi pekumanikidzwa kubva kuMutevedzeri weMutungamiri Cheney, akanga "akasendamira mberi" kuti awane zvombo zvekuparadza kukuru muIraq; hapana chaakawana; asi akaenda zvakadaro. Mune memoir yake Clapper anogashira chikamu chemhosva yehutsotsi hwakakosha uhu - anoidana kuti "kukundikana" - mukutsvaga kutsvaga (isipo) WMD. Anonyora, isu “Taida chaizvo kubatsira zvekuti takawana zvakanga zvisipo chaizvo.”
Afghanistan: Mucharangarira kudzvanyirirwa kwakanyanya kwaPresident Obama vachiuya kubva kuMunyori weDziviriro Gates, Secretary of State Clinton, nevakuru vemauto vakaita saPetraeus naMcCrystal kuti vadzike zvakapetwa mukutumira mamwe mauto kuAfghanistan. Vakakwanisa kusundira parutivi Intelligence Community analysts, vachivaisa kune tambo-hangers pamisangano yekuita sarudzo. Tinoyeuka Mumiriri weUS muKabul Karl Eikenberry, aimbova Lieutenant General Wemauto akange araira mauto muAfghanistan, achikwidza nyaya nekuda kwechinangwa cheNational Intelligence Estimate pane zvakanakira nezvazvakaipira kupeta pasi. Isu tinoziva zvakare nezvemishumo yawakashora, uchiona kuti kudzamisa kubatikana kweUS kungave basa rebenzi. Rangarira apo Gen. McChrystal akavimbisa, muna Kukadzi 2010, "hurumende iri mubhokisi, yakagadzirira kutenderera" kupinda mukiyi Afghan guta reMarja?
Mutungamiriri, sezvamunoziva, vakasiya Gates nevakuru vemauto. Uye, zhizha rapfuura, zvakasara kwauri kuti utore zvidimbu, sekutaura. Kana iri fiasco muIraq, "kuvhiyiwa" kwakasarudzwa naGates naPetraeus naCheney naBush kuti vagadzirise kwakaunza chimwe chekuwedzera "nyaya dzekutamisa" kumochari muDover, uku ichibvumidza Bush naCheney kuenda kuMadokero vasina kurasikirwa. hondo.
Kana ari aimbova Munyori weDziviriro Gates bhachi reTeflon risina kugerwa, mushure mezano rake rekupeta kaviri pamusoro peIraq neAfghanistan, aive nechutzpah yekuisa zvinotevera mukutaura kuWest Point musi waKukadzi 25, 2011 nguva pfupi asati asiya basa:
“Asi semaonero angu, chero munyori wezvekudzivirirwa kwenyika anorayira mutungamiri wenyika kuti atumire zvakare uto guru renyika reAmerica kuAsia kana kuMiddle East kana Africa anofanira ‘kuongororwa musoro wake,’ sekutaura kwakaita General [Douglas] MacArthur. ”
Syria - Mukurumbira waAustin Kwete Pasina Mhosho: Pedyo nekumba, Secretary Austin haazivikanwi pakupomerwa kuita zvematongerwo enyika hungwaru. Aive mutungamiriri weCENTCOM (2013 kusvika 2016) apo vanopfuura makumi mashanu vaongorori vemauto veCENTCOM, muna Nyamavhuvhu 50, vakasaina chichemo kuPentagon Inspector General kuti mishumo yavo yehungwaru pamusoro peIslamic State muIraq neSyria yakanga ichishandiswa zvisina kufanira nevakuru. ndarira. Vanoongorora vanoti marepoti avo ari kuchinjwa nevakuru-vakuru kuti vaenderane neruzhinji rwehurumende kuti US iri kukunda muhondo yekurwisa ISIS neAl-Nusra Front, bazi reAl Qaeda muSyria.
Muna Kukadzi 2017, Pentagon Inspector General vakawana kuti kupomerwa kwehungwaru kuchinjwa nemaune, kunonoka kana kudzvinyirirwa nevakuru veCENTCOM kubva pakati pa2014 kusvika pakati pa2015 "hazvina kusimbiswa." (sic)
Muchidimbu: Tinovimba iwe unotora nguva yekuongorora nhoroondo iyi - uye kuitora mundangariro usati watumira Secretary Austin kuenda kuRamstein. Pamusoro pezvo, chiziviso chanhasi chekuti Russia irikuda kucheka gasi kuburikidza neNord Stream 1 kudzamara zvirango zvekuMadokero zvabviswa zvingangokanganisa zvikuru vanopindirana naAustin. Zvinogona kutoita kuti vatungamiriri vehurumende yeEurope vawedzere kuda kugadzira imwe nzira yekubvumirana mauto eRussia asati aenda mberi uye chando chasvika. (Tinovimba wakanyatso kupfupikisa pamusoro pezvingangoitika zveUkraine "zvinogumbura" ichangoburwa.)
Iwe unogona zvakare kuda kutsvaga zano kubva kuCIA Director William Burns nevamwe vane ruzivo munhoroondo yeEurope - uye kunyanya yeGermany. Mishumo yeMedia yakambokurudzira kuti muRamstein Secretary Austin achazvipira kupa Ukraine zvimwe zvombo uye achakurudzira vamwe vake kuita zvimwe chetezvo. Kana akatevera chinyorwa ichocho, anogona kuwana vashoma vanotora - kunyanya pakati peavo vari panjodzi yekutonhora kwechando.
YEBAKO REKUDYARA: Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
- William Binney, NSA Technical Director weWorld Geopolitical & Military Analysis; Co-muvambi weNSA's Signals Intelligence Automation Research Center (ret.)
- Marshall Carter-Tripp, Foreign Service Officer (ret.) uye Division Director, State Department Bureau of Intelligence and Research
- Bogdan Dzakovic, aimbova Mutungamiriri weChikwata cheFederal Air Marshals neRed Team, FAA Security (dzoka).
- Graham E. Fuller, Mutevedzeri waSachigaro, National Intelligence Council (ret.)
- Philip Giraldini, CIA, Operations Officer (ret.)
- Mateu Hoh, aimbova Capt., USMC, Iraq & Foreign Service Officer, Afghanistan (shamwari yeVIPS)
- Larry Johnson, aimbova CIA Intelligence Officer & aimbova State Department Counter-Terrorism Official (ret.)
- John Kiriakou, aimbova CIA Counterterrorism Officer uye aimbova muongorori mukuru, Senate Foreign Relations Committee
- Karen Kwiatkowski, aimbove Lt. Col., US Air Force (dzokorora), kuOffice yaMunyori weDziviriro vachiona kugadzirwa kwemanyepo paIraq, 2001-2003.
- Linda Lewis, WMD yekugadzirira mutemo muongorori, USDA (ret.)
- Edward Loomis, Cryptologic Computer Scientist, aimbova Technical Director kuNSA (ret.)
- Ray McGovern, aimbova US Army infantry/intelligence officer & CIA muongorori; CIA Presidential briefer (ret.)
- Elizabeth Murray, aimbova Mutevedzeri weNational Intelligence Officer weNear East, National Intelligence Council & CIA muongorori wezvematongerwo enyika (ret.)
- Pedro Israel Orta, aimbova CIA uye Intelligence Community (Inspector General) mukuru
- Todd Pierce, MAJ, Mutongi wemauto eU.S.Mutongi (dzokorora)
- Scott Ritter, aimbova MAJ., USMC, aimbova UN Weapon Inspector, Iraq
- Coleen Rowley, FBI Anokosha Mumiriri uye aimbove Minneapolis Division Legal Counselling (dzoka zvakare)
- Sarah G. Wilton, CDR, USNR, (Retired)/DIA, (Akarega basa)
- Ann Wright, Col., Mauto eUS (ret.); Foreign Service Officer (akasiya basa achipokana nehondo yeIraq)
Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPs) inoumbwa nevaimbove vakuru vehungwaru, vamiriri, vakuru vemauto uye vashandi vekongiresi. Sangano, rakavambwa muna 2002, raive pakati pevatsoropodzi vekutanga veWashington zvikonzero zvekutanga hondo yekurwisa Iraq. VIPS inotsigira mutemo wekune dzimwe nyika uye wekuchengetedza nyika weUS wakavakirwa pazvido zvepachokwadi zvenyika kwete kutyisidzira kwakagadzirwa kunosimudzirwa nekuda kwezvikonzero zvezvematongerwo enyika.
