Trump's South Korea ambassador anosarudza kupikisana neNorth. Saka Trump akamudzingira.

Mukutanga kwake State of the Union mutauriri, Mutungamiri Donald Trump vakazvipira nguva yakawanda yekukurukura nezvechiitiko neNorth Korea. Akatsanangura nyika zvakawanda nenzira yakafanana neyo George W. Bush yakanga yatsanangura Iraq mu2002: sehurumende ine utsinye, isinganzwisisiki iyo zvombo zvayo zvinogona kutyisidzira nyika yeAmerica.

Asi kunyange zvazvo zvakashungurudza kunzwa Hurump ichiita mhemberero yakavharidzirwa yeimwe hondo yekudzivirira, iyo yakanga isiri nyaya inotambudza yeNorth Korea inofanirwa kubuda usiku hwekupedzisira.

Nenguva isati yatanga kutaura kwaTrump, Washington Post yakashuma kuti hurumende yaTrump yakagadzirira vamiririri kuSouth Korea - Victor Cha, mumwe wevana vaAmerica vanoremekedzwa zvikuru kuNorth Korea - akanga atorerwa. Chikonzero chakataurwa nePost chakanga chakaoma: Cha akanga apikisana nehurongwa hwehutungamiri hwemauto mashoma emusangano mumusangano wega. Cha zvose asi akazvisimbisa uyu pachake maawa mashomanana mushure mokunge nyaya dzaparuka paakabudisa an op-ed mune pepa rimwechete rinotsoropodza pfungwa yekurwisa North Korea.

Cha's withdrawal zvakanyanya kunetseka Hurumende yeSouth Korea, iyo yakagamuchirwa zvakasarudzwa. Yakatyawo North Korea nyanzvi, iyo yakaiona sechiratidzo chakajeka kuti hurukuro yehondo yakanga isingori kutaura chete.

"Uku [kubvisa Cha semunhu akasarudzwa] kunoratidza kuti hutungamiri huri kunyatsofunga nezve ... ratidziro," anodaro Kingston Reif, director wezvekudzivirira zvombo uye yekutyisidzira mutemo kuArms Control Association.

Steve Saideman, nyanzvi yeUnited States purogiramu kuCarleton University, akaiisa zvakajeka musi Twitter: "Hondo itsva yeKorea ikozvino zvichida yakawanda kupfuura ye2018."

Chikonzero nei Victor Cha chiitiko ichiita kuti zviite sehondo iri kuuya

Cha iri kutungamirira North Korea nyanzvi. Akange ari kwenguva yakareba-nyanzvi-nyanzvi, akashanda muGeorge W. Bush hutungamiri kubva ku2004 kusvika ku2007 seNational Security Council mutevedzeri weAsia uye iye zvino ari purofesa kuGeorgetown University.

Iyewo ari pamagumo ekunyanyisa eNorth Korea expert spectrum. Akabvuma kutora matanho ane utsinye okudzivirira purogiramu yenyukireya yeNorth, sekugadzira cordon yemvura yakakomba nechekuNorth Korea yekudzivirira chero zvombo zvenyukireya iyo inoedza kutengesa kumagandanga kana dzimwe hurumende dzine utsinye.

A North Korea vatengesi avo vose vane ruzivo rwakanyanya uye vanoremekedzwa zvikuru vanoratidzika sekusarudzwa kwakakwana kweTrump administration, saka iri kureva kuti Cha's sarudzo yaive yakashungurudzwa nokuti yaiva uyewo unotyisa neboka reTump.

Imwe tsanangudzo yezvakaitika, yakataurwa nezvayo The Financial Times, inonyanyisa nyaya iyi kumba:

Maererano nevanhu vaviri vanoziva nezvekukurukurirana pakati paCha Cha neVhite White, vakabvunzwa nevatungamiri kana akange akagadzirira kubatsira kubvisa kubuda kwevagari veAmerica kubva kuSouth Korea - kushanda kunozivikanwa sevasingaiti mauto ekudzivirira - zvinenge zvichinyatsogadziriswa vasati vapihwa hondo. Vanhu vaviri vakataura kuti Mr Cha, uyo anoonekwa semuhedheni weHackish weNorth Korea, akanga ataura zvaanofunga nezvemhando ipi neipi yehondo.

Iyi nhoroondo chokwadi inoita kuti iite seTrump administration iri pedyo nekugadzirira kurwiswa kweNorth Korea - kusvika pakuti ivo vanofungisisa zvakanyanya kugadzirwa kwekudzivirira nhamba huru yevanhu vemuAmerica kuSouth. Cha inopesana nepfungwa yekurwiswa kweNorth Korea, iyo inoratidzika kunge isina kumubvumidza pakufunga.

Ichokwadi kuti Cha yakabudiswa ne-op-ed mushure mekunyora hondo inokosha zvakare. Akanyatsotsoropodza manzwiro ari shure kwe "muromo wemvura" chirwere-kurwisa kwakanyanya kuNorth Korea nemauto ekugadzirisa zvombo zvenyukireya izvo zvinopindira kuti zvisapedze mamiriro acho ezvinhu kuhondo yose, asi kuratidza Pyongyang iyo inoedzazve kuenderera mberi purogiramu yenyukireya ichasangana nesimba. Zvinoita sokuti, ndiwo mararamiro ehondo iyo team yeTump inotamira kune-uye Cha inofunga kuti yakaipisisa zvikuru.

"Kana tikatenda kuti Kim [Jong Un] haagoni kudzivirirwa pasina chiito chakadaro, tingatenda sei kuti chikwata chichimuita kuti asapindura mutsa?" Cha akanyora. "Uye kana Kim asingazivikanwi, asingafungi uye achikanganiswa nekusafunga, tingaita sei kuti tidzidzise kuwedzera kwemaseri, iyo inotarirwa pamusana wekunzwisisa kwevadzidzisi kunzwisisa kwezviratidzo uye kudzivisa?"

Ichokwadi kuti Cha yakadzingwa mushure mekudanidzira kwechikonzero ichi chokutsoropodza mukati, nyanzvi dzinoti, chiratidzo chakajeka chokuti hutungamiri huri kutora pfungwa yehondo zvakanyanya.

"Kuti Victor Cha akanzwa achimanikidzwa kuenda kune rekodhi chiratidzo chekutyisidzira kwekutyisa mungozi yekurova," anonyora Mira Rapp-Hooper, North Korea expert ku Yale.

Kunyangwe kana hondo isisati yava pedyo, Cha chaimo chiri kunetseka

Adam Berry / Getty Images

Zvinokwanisika kuti dambudziko iri rekumanikidzwa ibluff, uye kuti Cha yekudzinga chikamu chekutonga kwaTrump.

"Murezidhendi ari kuedza chaizvo kupa pfungwa yokuti hondo inogona kuitika kuitira kuti North Korea iite zvakanyanya kuchenjerera," anodaro Jenny Town, mutungamiri mukuru we US-Korea Institute paJohn Hopkins. "Nenzira yakadai, haugoni kuva neaayayers, kunyanya muhutungamiri hwako, kana iwe uchida kuti mungozi ave akatendeka."

Asi kana iri ichokwadi, uye vazhinji vanoziva vanocherechedza vanofunga kuti hazvisi, zvino kutora Cha kunze kwekufungisisa kuchiri nengozi. Izvo zvinoratidza zviratidzo zveTrump inotumira kuti inonyanya kurwisana nehondo, inowanzove yakatanga kutanga isingafungi.

"Dambudziko rerongwa rakadaro, hongu, nderokuti mukuedza kuedza kuisa dambudziko rinotyisa, North Korea inogona kutanga kutenda iye - uye panzvimbo yekutyisidzirwa, ichasimudzira ante zvakare," Town inowedzera. "Mubvunzo uripo, panguva ipi yatinenge takanganisa kugumburwa muhondo isingakoshi uye inogona kudziviswa zvachose?"

Kushaiwa kwemahofisi kuSeoul kunoita kuti chiitiko ichi chiwedzere. Ambassadors vanoita basa rinokosha mukusimbisa hukama hunosimbisa uye mukuendesa maonero ekubatana zvakare kuWashington. Hazvisi nyore kuti urege kuva nhume kune imwe yenyika iyo inobatanidzwa yakakosha panguva ino mune hutungamiri hutsva - nekuda kwechikonzero chakanaka.

"Kutaura nezvekushungurudzwa kwepakati penyika uye kukosha kwehurumende yeUnited States-Korea, zvakanyanya kukunda kudyidzana kwevanhu vanoita zvematongerwe enyika kuti hakuna musarudzo weUnited States muSeoul," Reif, nyanzvi yeArms Control Association, anoti.

Pakaitika dambudziko pakati peAmerica neNorth Korea, Cha kungangodaro kwaive izwi rinokosha kuti rive neuchenjeri mukati mehutungamiri. Iye aizodai aikwanisa kunyatsobudisa ruzivo rwakakosha pamusoro peNorth kubva kuhurumende yeSouth Korea kusvika kune hukuru hwehurumende yehurumende yeUnited States, uyewo kuudza sangano reSouth Korea hurumende pamusoro pemhando ipi neipi yehondo yekuwedzera.

Cha kusarudzwa, muchidimbu, ingadai yakave yakaratidza kuongorora kwakakosha pamusoro penhamo inenge isati yavapo. Hapana mukana weizvi ikozvino.

"Kudonhedzera nhume kunyoreswa kwechibvumirano chikuru chepakati mukati mematambudziko makuru isati yavapo," anonyora Abraham Denmark, uyo akashanda se vamiririri munyori wenyanzvi weEast Asia mu Obama hurumende. "Chokwadi chokuti mumwe munhu anoziva uye akafanirwa saVictor Cha anofanira kupa munhu wose kumbomira."