NaAlice Slater, Kurusununguko, January 15, 2025
The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, nezano raAlbert Einstein nemamwe masayendisiti kubva kuManhattan Project vakagadzira bhomba reatomu, vakagadzira Doomsday Clock, muna 1947, kuratidza njodzi inoparadza yakatarisana nenyika kubva pakusikwa kwebhomba renyukireya radhiabhori. . Panguva iyoyo, wachi yaiiswa pamaminitsi 7 kusvika pakati pousiku, fungidziro yavo yenguva yatakanga tasara nayo hondo yenyukireya isati yatanga yaizoparadza kuparadza kwakaipisisa panyika yedu nezvinhu zvose zvipenyu zviripo.
Kwemakore, maoko ewachi akagadziridzwa, mberi neshure, sezvo masayendisiti nevagadziri vemitemo vakafungidzira kuti njodzi yenyukireya yakakurumidza sei, zvichibva panjodzi dzakatarisana nedzimwe nyika kuwana zvombo zvenyukireya pamwe nematanho matsva ekudzora zvombo, zvombo. zvipimo, uye zvibvumirano, kunyanya pakati peUS neRussia pamatanho ekubvisa zvombo. Pakutarisira kwayo kukuru, maoko eDoomsday akatamiswa kuenda kumaminetsi gumi nemanomwe kusvika pakati pehusiku muna 17 apo US neUSSR zvakazivisa kumisa kuzere kwekuyedzwa kwenyukireya.
Zvinokatyamadza, kunyangwe makore ematanho ekudzora zvombo zvenyukireya, zvichikonzera arsenal pasi kubva kumusoro kwemabhomba e70,000 pamusoro pehupengo hwenyukireya hwepasirese, kusvika kune gumi nemaviri nhasi, gumi nemaviri ari muUS neRussia ane angangoita 12,000 akagadzirira uye akagadzirira. enda, neimwe 11,000 yakabatwa nedzimwe nhanhatu dzezvombo zvenyukireya—UK, France, China, India, Pakistan, Israel, neNorth Korea- wachi haisati yambotarwa pedyo neDoomsday sezvairi nhasi-Pamasekonzi makumi mapfumbamwe kusvika pakati pehusiku!1
Yasvika nguva yekushandura wachi uye kushandura hurukuro! Yambiro dzinotyisa pamusoro peDoomsday hadzina zvadzakaita kuwedzera kuchengeteka kwenyika yedu mumakore 77 aya. Yave nguva yekutaura pamusoro pemikana yakawanda uye yakarasika mikana yekugadzira mambakwedza eZuva reRunyararo, kushandura wachi yerasha kuita wachi inogona kumisa mhinduro zhinji dzakafuratirwa nekuregeredzwa Tinofanira kurega kupa chikomborero chedu nemvumo kunhanho dzisingaperi dzoku“dzora” maoko ayo anotungamirira kungozi inoramba ichiwedzera sezvinoratidzwa newachi inochembera yeDoomsday.
Pane kudaro, tinofanira kuda kubviswa kwavo, sezvatinoenda kunyika isina nyukireya ine runyararo isingatyisidzirwe nekuparadzwa kunotyisa. Chokwadi, nyanzvi dzichinyora nezvenyaya inosiririsa yenhaurirano dzisingaperi dzekudzora zvombo asi kusambodzibvisa dzakatogadzira izwi idzva renhanho dzisina zvadzinoreva kuenda kupi-anti-preneurism-uko panzvimbo yekuti US irikukurudzira kubviswa, kana kubviswa zvachose uye zvachose, kana kubviswa kwezvombo, inogara ichikurudzira nhanho nyowani dzisina zvadzinoreva kuenda kufambiro mberi yenhema!2
Kuti titange nhaurirano itsva yekubvisa, tinofanira kubvuma mikana yakarasika uye zvipikirwa zvakaputswa kubva pakutanga kwenguva yenyukireya. Pakutanga, muna 1945, Stalin akakumbira Truman kuti aise bhomba renyukireya pasi pehutongi hwepasi rose kuUnited Nations yakanga ichangotangwa. IUS yakaramba chirevo cheRussia uye Russia yakawana bhomba!3
Pakadonha madziro muGermany uye Gorbachev akaparadza Warsaw Pact uye akasunungura vese vaive Eastern Europe, akakurudzira Reagan kuti US neRussia vabvise zvombo zvedu zvenyukireya zvese, chero US ingapedza chirongwa chayo che "Star Wars" kutonga uye. kudzora kushandiswa kwemauto kwenzvimbo. Reagan akamuramba uye Gorbachev akabvisa chipo cheRussia.4
Gorbachev, achityira nezvekupedzisira kweEast Germany, akakurudzira Reagan kuti asatore Germany yakabatana muNATO. MaRussia akarasikirwa nevanhu vane mamirioni makumi maviri nenomwe pakurwiswa kweNazi kweWWII! IUS yakamuvimbisa kuti NATO yaisazowedzera "inch imwe kumabvazuva."5
Zvisinei nekukumbira kwakapetwa kuUS kubva kuMutungamiriri weRussia Putin kuti aremekedze zvivimbiso zveUS zvakaitwa kuGorbachev uye zvakare kuYeltsin, iyo US, ichitungamirwa nezviratidzo zveHumambo zvakawedzera kuwedzera Nato kumabvazuva. Yakatanga nekuwedzera kwaClinton kweNATO kuenda kuPoland, Hungary, neCzech Republic muna 1999, ichiteverwa neBulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia neSlovenia muna 2004, neAlbania, Croatia, Montenegro neNorth Macedonia pakati pa2009 na2017.6. Uye munguva yehondo muUkraine, Sweden neFinland vakabatana neNATO.
IUS inomisa zvombo zvenyukireya mu5 inoti: Germany, Netherlands, Italy, Belgium neTurkey. Russia, munguva yehondo yeUkraine, yakaisa zvombo zvenyukireya muBelarus.
Clinton akatungamira NATO mukubhomba kweKosovo muna 1999, vachipfuura vhoti yeRussia muSecurity Council, vachityora chibvumirano cheUN chatakasaina kuti tisamboita hondo yechisimba kune imwe nyika kunze kwekunge tave pangozi yekurwiswa;
Clinton akaramba zvakataurwa naPutin kuti mumwe nemumwe adimbure mabhomba e1000 ega ega uye achidana vamwe vese patafura kuti vataurirane kuti vabviswe, kunze kwekunge tarega kugadzira nzvimbo dzekupotsera muRomania;
Bush akabuda muna 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty muna 2002 uye Obama akaisa nheyo itsva yezvombo muRomania apo Trump akavaka imwe muPoland;
VaObama vakavimbisa mari inopfuura bhiriyoni imwe chete yemadhora kwemakore makumi matatu anotevera kumafekitori maviri matsva emabhomba enyukireya, zvombo zvinokandwa, ngarava dzepasi pemvura, ndege uye misoro yehondo izvo zvakatowedzerwa zvakanyanya naTrump naBiden.7
Pasinei nezvikumbiro zvakadzokororwa kubva kuRussia neChina kuti vataurirane zvibvumirano zvekurambidza zvombo munzvimbo uye cyberwar muzvisarudzo zveUN uye maforamu ekutaurirana, US inoramba kushanda.8
Tiri panguva yechinjo munhoroondo. Yave nguva yekuchinja nhaurirano nemazano matsva akashinga. Mazano anovimbiswa kutiunzira zororo kubva mukutyisa kuri kukura. Zvikumbiro zvinounza shanduko mukuziva kwepasi zvichititendera kuti tipindure takabatana kunjodzi yemamiriro ekunze iri kuuya munzira! Zvikumbiro zvinounza mambakwedza uye kuchinja Doomsday Clock kuita wachi itsva yeZuva reRunyararo. Mai Nyika vanokura vasingashiviriri nehupenzi hwevanhu.
Heano nhevedzano yematanho anonyanya kutungamira murunyararo pasi pano kana US yakagadzirira kuungana kupokana nezvakatsanangurwa seMICIMATT (Mauto, Industrial, Congressional, Intelligence, Media, Academic Think Tank complex) uye kushandira rugare.
- Tora zvakadzokororwa zvekuRussia neChinese zvibvumirano zvekurambidza zvombo munzvimbo uye cyberwar
- Dzorera 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty neRussia uye bvisa mabhomba eUS kubva kuRomania nePoland.
- Bvisa zvombo zvenyukireya zveUS kubva kumatunhu mashanu eNATO muchibvumirano cheRussia ichibvisa zvombo zvayo zvenyukireya zvichangobva kuiswa muBelarus
- Bvisa zvombo zvenyukireya zvese zvakangwarira uye patsanura misoro yehondo kubva kune yavo yekuburitsa masisitimu sezvinoita China- huchenjeri hwekuMabvazuva.
- Bvisa NATO uye kuremekedza uye kukudza United Nations
Hapana kupokana kudiki kuti Russia neChina vangave vanodyidzana vanoda muzvirongwa izvi. Vanga vachivakurudzira kuUnited States uye kuvavhotera muUN kwemakore anopfuura gumi.
1 https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/
2 https://www.academia.edu/77004279/Resistance_to_the_emergent_norm_to_advance_progress_towards_the_complete_elimination_of_nuclear_weapons?email_work_card=thumbnail
3 https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/soviet-union-and-baruch-plan/
4 https://ahf.nuclearmuseum.org/ahf/history/reagan-and-gorbachev-reykjavik-summit/
5 https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/russia-programs/2017-12-12/nato-expansion-what-gorbachev-heard-western-leaders-early/
6 https://ndisc.nd.edu/news-media/news/the-addition-of-nato-members-over-time-1949-2023/
7 https://fpif.org/president-obamas-twisted-nuclear-weapons-legacy/#!
8 https://www.reachingcriticalwill.org/disarmament-fora/cd/2014/cd-reports/8908-russia-and-china-table-new-draft-treaty-to-prevent-weapons-in-space
