North Korea's New Weapons: Yakazara Yekumhanyisa Mberi

NaMel Gurtov

North Korea yabvaruka nemauto. Mukupindura zvirango zveUN, yakaita bvunzo yayo yechina yenyukireya muna Ndira uye kuvhurwa kwesetiraiti yaive nezvainoreva missile muna Kukadzi. Zvino, pakazotemerwa zvirango zvitsva zveUN uye kudzidzira kwemauto kwepagore kweUS-ROK kwepagore kwakatanga, DPRK yakatsauka kubva mumuitiro wayo wenguva dzose nekukwevera pachena kune zvinoverengeka zvombo zvitsva zvainoti inazvo. Yakatenderedza mugwagwa-mobile intercontinental-range missile (zvichida haisati yagadzirwa), yakakanda zvombo zvishanu zvenguva pfupi kuEast kana Japan Sea, ichinzi ine injini yakagadzirwa munharaunda yaizogonesa ICBM kusvika kuUS nechombo chenyukireya. , aiti akaedza chombo chiduku chenyukireya, akaedza chombo chepakati-kati (chakakundikana kaviri), uye akaedza chombo chakakandwa kubva mungarava yepasi pegungwa. Kuedza kwenyukireya kwechishanu kunogona kuitika pamberi pemusangano mukuru webato mazuva kubva zvino.

Sei uye riinhi chero chezvombo zvinonzi neNorth zvinogona kunge zviri kushanda zvakavhurika kufungidzira. Vamwe vakuru vemauto eUS, pamwe nenyanzvi dzekuSouth Korea, parizvino vanobvuma kuti Maodzanyemba atove nekwanisi yekusvika kuUS aine chombo chenyukireya, uku. nyanzvi dzinopikisa maonero iwayo zvisinei dzinotenda Maodzanyemba achakurumidza kuva nesimba iroro.

Zvinoita sezviri pachena ndezvekuti Kim Jong-un ari kudzvanya nyanzvi dzake dzezvombo kuti dziburitse chidziviso chakavimbika chinomanikidza nyaya yehurukuro dzakananga neUS. Kusangana nenyanzvi dzenyukireya mukutanga kwaKurume, akarumbidza basa ravo uye, sekureva kwebepanhau rekuNorth Korea, akataura zvakananga "tsvakurudzo yakaitwa yekupa mapfumo akasiyana siyana ane hunyanzvi hwekugadzira zvombo zvenyukireya," zvichireva kuti chombo chenyukireya chakashomeka.  Kim anotorwa mashoko sekutaura kuti "zvinofadza zvikuru kuona zvombo zvenyukireya zvine chimiro chemusanganiswa wechaji inokwana kukurumidza kuita kwe thermo-nuclear. Misoro yenyukireya yakagadziridzwa kuti ienderane nezvinokandwa zvinokandwa nokuita kuti zvidiki . . . ichi chinogona kunzi [chidziviriro chenyukireya chechokwadi . . . MaKorea anogona kuita chero chinhu kana aine chido. "

Maodzanyemba ekuKorea masosi ane chokwadi chekuti Maodzanyemba anogona ikozvino kuisa nyukireya warhead pane yepakati-renji (800 mamaira) Rodong missile inokwanisa kusvika yese yeROK neJapan. The Maodzanyemba akatanga aya mumuedzo muna March. Kuti Maodzanyemba akatoisa chombo chakadaro hachizivikanwi; uye hazvizivikanwe kuti Maodzanyemba achakwanisa here kuita zvimwechete kana yave neICBM.

North Korea ine nhoroondo refu yekurwira nyika mukupindura kutyisidzira kwekunze, inoratidzwa mune yakataurwa naKim Jong-un pamusoro uye zvine humbowo mukumhanya kwairi kugadzira nyukireya uye missile kugona. Kufanana neNorth Vietnamese munguva yeHondo yeVietnam, iyo DPRK haisi kuzotora mirairo kubva kune dzimwe nyika, shamwari uye vadzivisi zvakafanana, zvishoma pane zvese kana vatungamiriri vayo vachitenda mauto eUS uye zvombo zvenyukireya zvinotyisidzira. Sezvingatarisirwa, saka, Pyongyang inobata zvirango zvepasi rose, zvakagadzirirwa kuiranga, se kukurudzira kuenderera mberi nekuvandudza nekugadzirwa kwezvombo zvitsva zvekudzivisa. Zvingangove nyaya yenguva kuti chombo cheNorth Korea chikwanise kusvika kuUS mainland, asi Kim Jong-un, sababa vake nasekuru, anogara achifunga nezvekuti North Korea yakakomberedzwa nesimba guru rehurongwa. yeUS nevadyidzani vayo vekuSouth Korea neJapan. Iyo DPRK yakatarisanawo nemutungamiri weUS uyo akambodaidza kuti zvombo zvenyukireya zvibviswe asi iye zvino ari kutungamirira pamusoro pekusimudzira kwakakosha, mumakwikwi neRussia neChina. Kukwidziridzwa uku kunosanganisira miniaturization, iyo kubva kune imwe kona - iyo inonyanya kuve nehanya nemauto eNorth Korea - inowedzera kushandiswa kwechombo chenyukireya muhondo. Basa reNorth Korea riri pachena paminiaturization rinogona kunge risingaite masanga.

Mukana wakanakisa uye wega wekurambidza Kim Jong-un kuti aenderere mberi munzira yekuvandudza zvombo, izvo zvine ngozi uye zvinoparadza maererano nebudiriro yevanhu, kuisa pamberi pake pasuru yezvimwe zvinokurudzira- chibvumirano cherunyararo chekupedza Korea. Hondo, vimbiso dzekuchengetedza, sarudzo dzesimba dzakasimba, uye rubatsiro rune hupfumi. Chirongwa chakabatana cheUS-China chekuti, mukati memutsidziro weNhaurirano dzeMapato matanhatu, inobatanidza pasuru yakadai ingave budiriro inogamuchirwa, zvakanyanya mukuvandudza hukama hwavo hwenyika mbiri sekunetsa kuri kuwedzera neDPRK. Nhanho yenguva pfupi ingadai yakave kugamuchirwa kweWashington kwechikumbiro chakapihwa negurukota rezvekunze reDPRK, Ri Su-yong, akaudza Associated Press muna Kubvumbi 23 kuti kana US "ikamisa mauto enyukireya muKorea peninsula, isu tinofanirawo kumira. bvunzo dzedu dzenyukireya." (Mutungamiri Obama vakaramba pfungwa iyi.) Ndadarowo buritsa pfungwa yekugadzira Northeast Asia Security Dialogue Mechanism. Hurongwa hwayo hunozopedzisira hwave nekudyidzana kwemarudzi akawanda, asi hwaizotanga nenhaurirano dzezvimwe zvinechekuita nekuchengetedza izvo zvingave nyore kuwana zvinowirirana, chinangwa chiri kuvaka kuvimbana.

Nekudaro, izvo zvinowanzonzi "nyaya yenyukireya yeNorth Korea" zvakanyanya kupfuura izvozvo. Mwoyo wenyaya runyararo nekuchengetedzeka muNortheast Asia, izvo zvinosanganisira nyaya dzakawanda dzakabatana: kusavimbana pakati peUS neChina, kukakavadzana kwenzvimbo, kuwedzera kwemari yemauto uye zvibvumirano zvekusimbisa, matambudziko ekuyambuka nharaunda, uye zvombo zvenyukireya. nyika ina nhasi uye pamwe dzimwe mbiri (Japan neSouth Korea) mangwana. Vagadziri vezvisarudzo muWashington, kunyangwe vakaremerwa nematambudziko muMiddle East, vanofanirwa kutarisisa kuKorea peninsula uye kufunga kunze kwebhokisi.

Mel Gurtov, akabatanidzwa na PeaceVoice, ndiProfessor Emeritus wePolitical Science paPortland State University uye mablogi pa Mukufarira Kwevanhu.