NATO ichiri Yakakosha here?

NaSharon Tennison, David Speedie naKrishen Mehta

April 18, 2020

From Kufarira Kwenyika

Denda reCoronavirus iro riri kuparadza nyika rinounza hutano hwevanhu paruzhinji kwenguva refu-Pamwe chete netariro isiripo yenhamo yenguva refu yehupfumi inogona kuparadza hukama munharaunda.

Vatungamiriri vepasi rose vanofanirwa kuongorora zvakare kushandiswa kwezvinhu zvakavakirwa panjodzi chaiyoiyo parizvino panjodzi dzekuchengetedzwa kwenyika - kuti vafungezve kuti vangaitwa sei. Kuzvipira kuri kuenderera mberi kuNATO, izvo zvinangwa zvepasirese zvinotungamirwa uye zvichitsigirwa neUnited States, zvinofanirwa kubvunzwa.

Muna 1949, Secretary-General wekutanga weNATO, akarondedzera basa reNATO se "kudzora Russia kunze, maAmerican mukati, uye maGerman pasi." Makumi manomwe emakore, iyo yekuchengetedza mamiriro yakachinja zvachose. Soviet Union neWarsaw Pact hazvisisipo. Iro Berlin Wall yadonha, uye Germany haina zvido zvemberi kune vavakidzani vayo. Asi, America ichiri muEurope nemubatanidzwa weNATO yenyika makumi maviri nepfumbamwe.

Muna1993, mumwe wevanyori, David Speedie, akabvunzurudza Mikhail Gorbachev ndokumubvunza nezvevimbiso dzaanoti akagamuchira pane yekusawedzera kweNATO kumabvazuva. Mhinduro yake yakati: “Va. Speedie, takanganiswa. " Aive akajeka mukutonga kwake kuti kuvimba kwaive kwaiswa neSoviet Union kuMadokero, nekubatanidzwazve kweGerman uye nekuparadzwa kweWarsaw Pact, hakuna kuzodzoserwa.

Izvi zvinomutsa mubvunzo unokosha: ingave NATO nhasi inosimudzira kuchengetedzeka kwepasirose kana ichitapudza.

Isu tinotenda kuti kune gumi chikonzero chikuru chekuti NATO haisisiri kudikanwa:

One: NATO yakagadzirwa muna 1949 nekuda kwezvikonzero zvikuru zvitatu zvinotsanangurwa pamusoro apa. Zvikonzero izvi hazvichashandi. Mamiriro ekuchengetedza muEurope akasiyana zvachose nhasi pane makore makumi manomwe apfuura. Mutungamiri weRussia, Vladimir Putin, akataura zano rekuchengetedza nyika kubva kuDublin kuenda kuVladivostok, iyo yakarambwa nemaWest. Dai yaigamuchirwa, saka ingadai yakabatanidza Russia mukushandira pamwe kwekuchengetedza zvivakwa izvo zvingadai zvakachengeteka kunharaunda yepasirese.

Piri: Zvinopikiswa nevamwe kuti kutyisidzira kweRussia yemazuva ano ndosaka America ichida kugara muEurope. Asi funga izvi: Hupfumi hweEU hwaive $ 18.8 trillion pamberi peBrexit, uye iri $ 16.6 Trillion mushure meBrexit. Mukuenzanisa, hupfumi hweRussia hunongori $ 1.6 zviuru zvemadhora nhasi. Nehupfumi hweEU kanopfuura kagumi hupfumi hweRussia, tinotenda here kuti Europe haikwanisi kuzvidzivirira pachayo neRussia? Zvakakosha kuziva kuti UK ichanyatsogara mumubatanidzwa wekudzivirira weEuro uye ichapfuurira kupfuurira mukuzvidzivirira.

Tatu: Hondo Yakatonhora I yakanga iri imwe yengozi dzakanyanya pasi rose - nevapikisi vaviri vakanyanya mumwe neumwe aine zvombo makumi matatu-pamwe chete nemauto enyukireya. Nzvimbo dzazvino dzinopa njodzi yakatokura, yekusagadzikana kwakanyanya kunobva kune vasiri vehurumende, senge mapoka emagandanga, kuwana zvombo zvekuparadza vakawanda. Russia uye NATO vakuru vanokwanisa kusarudzika kugadzirisa izvi kutyisidzira-kana vakaita kongati.

China: Inguva chete iyo nhengo yeNATO yakashandisa Chinyorwa 5 ugandanga. Russia yakaenderera mberi ichi chikonzero chekushandira pamwe - zvirokwazvo Russia yakapa hungwaru hwakakosha hwehungwaru uye hwaro hwerutsigiro rwemberi- 11/2001 Afghan kuita. Coronavirus yakateedzera kumwe kunetsekana kwakakomba: iyo yemagandanga ane uye anoshandisa zvombo zvehupenyu. Izvi hazvigone kutarisirwa pasi mumamiriro ekunze matiri kurarama iye zvino.

Shanu: Russia painenge iine muvengi ingangove pamuganho wayo, sekunge ne2020 NATO mauto emauto, Russia ichanyanya kumanikidzwa kune vever yekusununguka uye kushaya simba kweruzhinji. Kana vagari vachinzwa kutyisidzirwa, vanoda hutungamiriri hwakasimba uye hunovadzivirira.

Nhanhatu: Zviito zvemauto zveNATO muSerbia pasi peMutungamiri Clinton uye muLibya pasi peMutungamiriri Barack Obama, pamwe neanoda kusvika makumi maviri ehondo muAfghanistan - iyo yakareba pane imwe yenhoroondo yedu - yakafambiswa zvakanyanya neUS. Iko hakuna "Russia chinhu" pano, asi idzi mhirizhonga dzinoshandiswa kupikisa raison d'etre kunyanya kutarisana neRussia.

Nomwe: Pamwe nekushanduka kwemamiriro ekunze, kutyisidzira kukuru kuripo ndeyekuparadzwa kwenyukireya - iri pfumo reDamocles richiri pamusoro pedu tese. NeNATO tine mabheseni munyika makumi maviri nepfumbamwe, mazhinji mumiganhu yeRussia, mamwe ari mukati me artillery nharaunda yeSt. Petersburg, isu tinomhanya nenjodzi yehondo yenyukireya inogona kuparadza vanhu. Ngozi yetsaona kana "nhema alarm" yakanyorwa kakawanda panguva yeCold War uye inotonyanya kutyisa iye zvino, ichipiwa iyo Mach 5 yekumhanyisa kwezuva ranhasi.

Sere: Chero bedzi iyo United States ichiri kuramba ichishandisa kusvika makumi manomwe muzana yebhajeti rayo rekutarisira muchiuto, pachagara paine kudiwa kwevavengi, kungave chaiko kana kufunga. Vanhu vekuAmerica vane kodzero yekubvunza kuti nei kushandisa mari yakawanda kudaro uye kuchinyatsobatsira? Zvinoshandiswa neNATO zvinouya nekubhadharisa zvimwe zvinhu zvepasi rose zvinokosha. Isu tiri kuwana izvi mukati meiyo coronavirus apo hutano-hutano masisitimu kumadokero akaomeswa zvakashata uye asina kurongeka. Kubvisa mutengo uye zvisina muripo kubhadharwa kweNATO kuchaita nzvimbo kune zvimwe zvinokoshesa nyika kune zvakanaka zveveruzhinji veAmerica.

Pfumbamwe: Isu takashandisa NATO kuita unilaterally, pasina congressional kana yepamutemo mvumo pamutemo. Makakatanwa eAmerica neRussia ndeyematongerwo enyika, kwete ehondo. Iyo inochemera kubvumirana kwekugadzira. Chokwadi ndechekuti America inoda humhare yakasimba mukudyidzana nedzimwe nyika, kwete gamba remauto reNATO.

Gumi: Pakupedzisira, mitambo yehondo yakajairika munharaunda yeRussia, pamwe chete nekubvarura zvibvumirano zvekudzora zvombo-inopa kutyisidzira kuri kukura kunogona kuparadza munhu wese, kunyanya kana kutarisana nedzimwe nyika kuchinanga kune "muvengi" asinganzwisisike. Iyo coronavirus yakabatana nerondedzero yekutyisidzira kwepasirese iyo inoda kushandira pamwe kwete kutarisana nekukurumidza zvakanyanya kupfuura nakare.

Pachave nemamwe matambudziko epasi rose ayo nyika dzichatarisana pamwechete mukufamba kwenguva. Nekudaro, NATO pamakumi manomwe haisi chinhu chekugadzirisa kwavari. Iyi inguva yekufamba kubva pane ino tambo yekusangana uye kupenga nzira yekuchengetedza nyika, iyo inogadzirisa kutyisidzira kwanhasi uye mangwana.

Sharon Tennison ndiye Mutungamiriri weCentre for Citizen Initiatives. David Speedie ndiye muvambi uye aimbove Director wechirongwa ichi pamusoro pekupinda muUS pasi rose kuCarnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs. Krishen Mehta ndiye Senior Global Justice mumwe muYale University.

Mufananidzo: Reuters.