NeWinslow Myers
Kuwedzera kukakavadzana muUkraine kunokonzera kunetseka kuti "firebreak" pakati pezvakaitika uye zvombo zvezvombo zvenyukireya zvinogona kuwanika kune vose vari muhondo yacho zvinogona kuputswa, nemigumisiro isingatarisirwi.
Loren Thompson akadaro muForbes Magazine (http://www.forbes.com/sites/lorenthompson/2014/04/24/four-ways-the-ukraine-crisis-could-escalate-to-use-of-nuclear- zvombo /) kuti dambudziko reUkraine rinogona kuenda sei nyukireya: kuburikidza nenjere dzakanganisa; kuburikidza nemapikisano anopikisana achitumira zviratidzo zvakavhengana kune mumwe; kuburikidza nekukundwa kwakakosha kune rumwe rutivi; kana kuburikidza kuburikidza nekuraira kwemauto pahondo.
Nenzira yaro yakajeka, yakaoma muAkraine mamiriro ezvinhu anokonzera kududzira kusanzwisisana nekugadzirisa zvirongwa: nokuda kwePutin, maNATO-mazamu eUkraine ainge aine mhirizhonga kunyika yeRussia yakanga isingagoni kuendeswa kune imwe nyika, kunyanya inopa nhoroondo yekudzokazve kuRussia nemamwe masimba. Kubvira kumadokero, Ukraine yakange iine kodzero yekuve nyika yekutonga pamwe neNATO uye inonakidzwa nekudzivirirwa kwayo, kunyange zvazvo dambudziko iri rinobvunza mubvunzo wekuti nei kuchine NATO chero nguva yatakabviswa kubva muhondo yechando-iyo yaimbova hondo inotonhora. Iko NATO inopesana nePutin yakasimudzirwa nehurumende yeRussia, kana kuti NATO yakanyengera kusvika kumiganhu yeRussia chikonzero chekutanga chekuita kwake kwepanoidhi?
Kunyange zvazvo uchangamire uye hurumende yakakosha mune zvematongerwo enyika, mumwe chete anongodzokorora mamiriro ezvinhu muUkraine kuti atange kunzwisisa, kana asinganzwisisiki, Putin's eyes posting. Chinyorwa chakakosha zvikuru chakatoitika zvakaitika kare kumashure mu1962. Izvo chaizvoizvo iCuban Missile Crisis, umo United States yakanzwa iyo "simba rekukanganisa" isingagamuchiri kupindira. Makore 53 gare gare boka renyika dzakawanda rinoratidzika kuti rakadzidza zvishoma nekuuya mukati mehudzi hukuru hwekuparadzwa.
Chinetso cheUkraine chinorayiridza muenzaniso wekuti nei kuchesera kwekunonoka kwemasimba makuru ekusangana nezvisungo zvavo pasi peNuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty zvinogona kuguma mumamiriro ezvinhu akaipisisa. Nzira dzedu dzisati dzave dzisina kutanga kunzwisisa kuti kuvapo kwezvombo zvepasi-kuguma kunobatanidza sei basa reuto rehondo mukugadzirisa kukakavadzana kwenyika.
Inobatsira nekugadzirisa zvakare kubvuma kushanduka kwehupenyu hwemurume (mukadzi zvakare, asi kunyanya murume) kuwirirana mukupesana-kurwisana kwedu kana kuti kufamba kwemhepo. Hurumende yevakuru vehurumende uye vanyori vehurukuro vatungamiri vanoremekedza chigaro ichi kana kuti kuburikidza nekupupurirwa kwemashoko akanyorwa, asi pasi pemashoko ose atinenge tichiri muchivako chechikoro, tichirova zvifukidzo zvedu nekurira semakorila.
Icho chinhu chakanyanya kuderera kutaura kuti chimiro chitsva chemasimba chinoda. Mune imwe yekare, ini ndiri murume nokuti ndinochengetedza nzvimbo yangu, yangu. Mutsva, ndinochengetedza hupenyu hunoramba huri panyika yose. Munguva yekare, ndinotenda nokuti ndinosimudzira kutyisidzira kwangu nemargatoni ekuparadza (kunyange pakupedzisira kuzviparadza) simba. Mutsva, ndinobvuma kuti kusagadzikana kwekutenda kwangu kunogona kuguma kupedza nyika. Zvichipa kuti imwe nzira yakafa rufu, ndinotarisa kuyananiswa.
Kuchinja kwakanyanya kwakadaro kunogona kuitika munharaunda yezvino yechisimba chisimba iyo inotongesa masaisai enyika, mitambo yemavhidhiyo nemavhidhiyo, uye hyper-kukwikwidzana, kazhinji huori hutsika huzhinji? Asi chokwadi chiri kuitika chekuwedzera kweCuban Missile matambudziko, achifunga kuti nyika inopona, inoita kuti varume vauye kuhutano hweplanyika zvazvino zvinoreva kuva mukundi, kuti ave mudziviriri kwete chete wemhuri kana rudzi, asi nyika, imba yezvose zvatinogovana uye zvinokosha.
Hazvina kufanana kana pasina chiitiko chechimiro chechimiro chinobuda. Funga Gandhi naMambo. Vaive vimpy kana vasina simba here? Kwete. Iko kukwanisa kuwedzera chiziviso kunosanganisira kutarisira pasi rose uye vanhu vose vari mukati medu tose, kumirira mikana yekuita fomu yekusika.
Chimwe chimiro chisingatauriki chemufananidzo mutsva unobuda mumusangano wekusika neyekare ndeye Rotary. Rotary yakatanga nevarume vebhizimisi. Bhizinesi rezvakasikwa kuri kukwikwidzana-uye kazhinji mune zvematongerwe enyika nekuda kwemisika kunoda kugadzikana kwezvematongerwe enyika-asi hutsika hwe Rotary hunoendesa chikoro chechikoro chezvinhu zvekukwikwidza, mukuda kururamisira, ushamwari, uye mitemo yepamusoro yehutsika inosanganisira kubvunza mubvunzo umwe unoreva kusarudzwa kwenyika: kupa chinangwa kunobatsira kune vose vanofunga? Rotary ine anopfuura mamiriyoni e1.2 mumakwikwi anopfuura 32,000 pakati penyika dze200 uye nzvimbo dzenharaunda. Vakatora basa guru, risingaratidziki risingakwanisi kupedza poriyo panyika, uye vasvika pedyo nekubudirira. Zvichida masangano akadai seLotary anova masimba ekurovedza apo padhigiramu itsva yevarume ichapikisa yakare kupinda mune zvinyorwa. Chii chinogona kuchinja Rotary kana ichida kutora kupedza hondo?
Winslow Myers ndiye munyori we "Living Beyond War: A Citizen's Guide," uye anoshumira paAdvisory Board yeWar Prevention Initiative.
