NaMedea Benjamin naNicolas JS Davies, CODEPINK, February 28, 2022
Vadziviriri veUkraine vari kuramba neushingi kurwisa kweRussia, vachinyadzisa nyika yese uye UN Security Council nekutadza kwayo kuvadzivirira. Icho chiratidzo chinokurudzira kuti maRussia uye maUkraine ari kubata hurukuro muBelarus izvo zvinogona kutungamira mukumisa kurwa. Kuedza kwese kunofanira kuitwa kugumisa hondo iyi muchina wehondo weRussia usati wauraya zviuru zvevadziviriri veUkraine nevanhuwo zvavo, uye kumanikidza mazana ezviuru kutiza.
Asi pane humwe hunyengeri hunoshanda pasi peiyo mutambo wetsika, uye ndiro basa reUnited States neNATO mukugadzirisa dambudziko iri.
Mutungamiri Biden vakadana kurwisa kweRussia "kusagadziriswa,” asi izvozvo hazvisi chokwadi. Mumazuva mana pamberi pekupinda nechisimba, vatariri vekumisa moto kubva kuSangano reSecurity uye Cooperation muEurope (OSCE) zvakanyorwa kuwedzera kune ngozi mukutyorwa kwekumisa pfuti muEastern Ukraine, nekutyorwa kwe5,667 uye kuputika kwe4,093.
Mazhinji aive mukati memiganhu yeDonetsk (DPR) neLuhansk (LPR) People's Republics, zvinoenderana nehondo yaiuya nemauto ehurumende yeUkraine. With inenge 700 OSCE yekumisa moto monitors pasi, hazvivimbike kuti izvi zvese zvaive "mureza wenhema" zviitiko zvakarongwa nemauto ekuparadzanisa, sezvakataurwa nevakuru veUS neBritish.
Kungave kuputika kwegomba kwaingova kumwe kuwedzera muhondo yevagari vemo yakatora nguva refu kana kuti kutanga kwekurwisa kutsva kwehurumende, zvirokwazvo kwaiva kudenha. Asi kurwisa kweRussia kwakapfuura nere nhanho ipi neipi yekudzivirira DPR neLPR kubva mukurwiswa ikoko, zvichiita kuti ive isina kuenzana uye isiri pamutemo.
Mumamiriro ezvinhu akakura zvakadaro, Ukraine yave munhu asingazivi uye mumiriri muhondo yakamuka yeUS Cold War kurwisa Russia neChina, umo United States yakakomberedza nyika mbiri nemauto uye zvombo zvinogumbura, zvakabviswa kubva munhevedzano yezvibvumirano zvekudzora zvombo. , uye vakaramba kutaurirana zvisungo kune zvine musoro zvekuchengetedza zvakasimudzwa neRussia.
Muna Zvita 2021, mushure memusangano pakati pePresident Biden naPutin, Russia yakatumira a draft proposal kune chibvumirano chitsva chekuchengetedza pakati peRussia neNATO, ine zvinyorwa zve9 zvichataurirana. Vaimiririra chikonzero chine musoro chekuchinjana kwakakomba. Iyo inonyanya kukosha kumatambudziko muUkraine yaingove kubvumirana kuti NATO yaisazobvuma Ukraine senhengo itsva, iyo isiri patafura mune ramangwana rinoonekwa mune chero mamiriro ezvinhu. Asi hutongi hweBiden hwakarasa chikumbiro cheRussia chose sechisina kutanga, kwete kana hwaro hwenhaurirano.
Saka nei kutaurirana chibvumirano chekuchengetedza chibvumirano chisingagamuchirwe zvekuti Biden akange akagadzirira kuisa zviuru zvehupenyu hweUkraine panjodzi, kunyangwe isiri hupenyu humwe hweAmerica, pane kuedza kutsvaga zvinowirirana? Izvo zvinoti kudii nezve kukosha kwehukama uko Biden nevamwe vake vanoisa pahupenyu hweAmerica kurwisa Ukraine? Uye ndechipi chinzvimbo ichi chinoshamisa icho United States inogara munyika yanhasi inobvumidza mutungamiri weAmerica kuisa hupenyu hweUkraine panjodzi pasina kubvunza vanhu vekuAmerica kuti vagovane kurwadziwa kwavo nekuzvipira?
Kuparara kwehukama hweUS neRussia uye kutadza kweBiden's inflexible brinkmanship kwakawedzera hondo iyi, uye zvakadaro mutemo waBiden "unobvisa" marwadzo ese uye kutambura kuitira kuti vanhu vekuAmerica vagone, semumwe. Mutungamiriri wenguva yehondo akamboti, "enda nezvebasa ravo" uye ramba uchitenga. Vadyidzani veAmerica vekuEurope, avo vanofanirwa kugara mazana ezviuru zvevapoteri uye vakatarisana nemitengo yesimba iri kukwira, vanofanirwa kungwarira kuwira mumutsara kuseri kwerudzi urwu rwe "hutungamiriri" ivo, ivo, vasati vagumawo kumberi.
Pakupera kweCold War, chibvumirano cheWarsaw, mubatanidzwa weNATO wekuEastern Europe, chakaparadzwa, uye NATO. ndinofanira kuva nayo yakanga yave saizvozvo, sezvo yakanga yawana chinangwa chayakavakwa kuti ishandire. Pane kudaro, NATO yakaramba ichirarama semubatanidzwa wemauto une ngozi, usiri wekutonga wakazvipira kunyanya kuwedzera nzvimbo yayo yekushanda uye kupembedza kuvepo kwayo. Yakakura kubva munyika 16 muna 1991 kusvika kuhwerengedzo yenyika 30 nhasi, kubatanidza zhinjisa dzeEastern Europe, panguva imwe cheteyo sezvayakaita chisimba, kubhomba kwevanhuwo zvavo nedzimwe mhosva dzehondo.
Muna 1999, NATO yakatanga hondo isiri pamutemo yekuveza nemauto Kosovo yakazvimiririra kubva kune zvakasara zveYugoslavia. NATO airstrikes panguva yeHondo yeKosovo yakauraya mazana evagari vemo, uye mubatsiri wayo anotungamira muhondo, Mutungamiriri weKosovo Hashim Thaci, ari kutongwa kuThe Hague nekuda kwezvinotyisa. mhosva dzehondo akaita pasi pechifukidziro chekubhomba kweNATO, kusanganisira kuponda kwemazana evasungwa kuti vatengese nhengo dzavo dzemukati pamusika wepasi rose wekutama.
Kure neNorth Atlantic, NATO yakabatana neUnited States muhondo yayo yemakore makumi maviri muAfghanistan, ichibva yarwisa nekuparadza Libya muna 20, ichisiya mushure. nyika yakundikana, dambudziko rinopfuurira revapoteri uye mhirizhonga uye mhirizhonga munharaunda yose.
Muna 1991, sorutivi rwechibvumirano cheSoviet chokubvuma kubatanidzwazve kweEast and West Germany, vatungamiriri vokuMadokero vakavimbisa vamwe vavo veSoviet kuti vaisazowedzera NATO pedyo neRussia kupfuura muganhu weGermany yakabatana. Munyori weUnited States of State James Baker akavimbisa kuti NATO yaisazoenderera mberi ne "inji imwe" kupfuura muganhu weGermany. Zvipikirwa zvekuMadokero zvakaputswa zvinopereterwa kuti vese vaone mumakumi matatu akadzikiswa zvinyorwa yakaburitswa paNational Security Archive webhusaiti.
Mushure mekuwedzera kuEastern Europe uye kurwa hondo muAfghanistan neLibya, NATO yakafanofungidzira yauya denderedzwa rakazara kuti ione zvakare Russia semuvengi wayo mukuru. Zvombo zvenyukireya zveUS zvave kugara munyika shanu dzeNATO muEurope: Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium neTurkey, uku France neUK vatove neayo zvombo zvenyukireya. US "missile defense" masisitimu, anogona kushandurwa kuita zvombo zvenyukireya zvinokatyamadza, ari muPoland neRomania, kusanganisira base muPoland 100 mamaira chete kubva kumuganhu weRussia.
Mumwe weRussia chikumbiro muchikumbiro chayo chaZvita chaive chekuti United States ingobatana zvakare ne1988 INF Chibvumirano (Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty), pasi payo mativi ese akabvumirana kusaendesa zvombo zvenyukireya zvenguva pfupi kana zvepakati-kati muEurope. VaTrump vakasiya chibvumirano muna 2019 nezano reNational Security Adviser, John Bolton, uyo zvakare ane scalps muna 1972. ABM Chibvumirano, The 2015 JCPOA neIran uye 1994 Yakabvumirana Framework neNorth Korea yakarembera kubva pabhandi repfuti.
Hapana chimwe cheizvi chingapembedze kupinda kweRussia kuUkraine, asi pasi rose rinofanirwa kukoshesa Russia painoti mamiriro ayo ekupedza hondo uye kudzokera kumadhipatimendi ndeekusarerekera kuUkraine uye kusabvisa zvombo. Kunyange pasina nyika inogona kutarisirwa kubvisa zvachose zvombo munyika yanhasi ine zvombo, kusarerekera kunogona kuve yakakomba yenguva refu sarudzo yeUkraine.
Kune akawanda akabudirira ekutanga, seSwitzerland, Austria, Ireland, Finland neCosta Rica. Kana kuti tora nyaya yeVietnam. Iyo ine muganho wakajairwa uye kukakavara kwakanyanya kwemugungwa neChina, asi Vietnam yakaramba kuedza kweUS kuipinza muCold War neChina, uye inoramba yakazvipira kune yayo refu yakamira. "Nhamba ina" mutemo: hapana mibatanidzwa yemauto; kusadyidzana nenyika kurwisa imwe; hapana zvigaro zvemauto ekunze; uye hapana kutyisidzira kana kushandiswa kwechisimba.
Nyika inofanirwa kuita chero zvingatora kuti iwane kumisa pfuti muUkraine uye kuita kuti inamire. Zvimwe Munyori Mukuru weUN Guterres kana mumiriri akasarudzika weUN anogona kuita semuyananisi, pamwe aine basa rekuchengetedza runyararo kuUN. Izvi hazvizove nyore - chimwe chezvidzidzo zvisati zvadzidzwa zvedzimwe hondo ndezvekuti zviri nyore kudzivirira hondo kuburikidza nekukurukurirana kwakakomba uye kuzvipira kwechokwadi kune rugare pane kupedza hondo kana yatanga.
Kana uye pakaita kumiswa kwehondo, mapato ese anofanira kunge akagadzirira kutanga patsva kutaurirana zvigadzikiso zvechigarire zvinozobvumira vanhu vese veDonbas, Ukraine, Russia, United States nedzimwe nhengo dzeNATO kugara murunyararo. Chengetedzo haisi yero-sum game, uye hapana nyika kana boka renyika rinogona kuwana chengetedzo yekusingaperi nekukanganisa kuchengetedzeka kwevamwe.
United States neRussia dzinofanirwawo pakupedzisira kutora mutoro unouya nekuunganidza pamusoro pe90% yezvombo zvenyukireya zvenyika, uye kubvumirana pachirongwa chekutanga kuzvibvisa, maererano neNon-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) uye Chibvumirano chitsva cheUN pamusoro peKurambidzwa kweNuclear Weapons (TPNW).
Chekupedzisira, sevanhu vekuAmerica vachishora hutsinye hweRussia, chingave chiratidzo chehunyengeri kukanganwa kana kufuratira hondo zhinji dzichangoburwa umo United States nevabatsiri vayo vanga vari vapanduki: Kosovo, Afuganisitani, Iraki, Haiti, Somaria, Paresitina, Pakisitani, Ribhiya, Siriya uye Yemeni.
Tinovimba nemoyo wese kuti Russia ichapedza kupinda kwayo zvisiri pamutemo, kwehutsinye kweUkraine nguva refu isati yaita chidimbu chekuuraya nekuparadza kukuru kwakaitwa neUnited States muhondo dzayo dzisiri pamutemo.
Medhiya Bhenjamini ndiye anodzidzisa CODEPINK Rugare, uye munyori wemabhuku akati wandei, kusanganisira Mukati Iran: The Real History and Politics of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Nicolas JS Davies mutori wenhau akazvimirira, muongorori neCODEPINK uye munyori we Ropa pamaoko edu: IAmerican Invasion uye Kuparadza kweIraq.
