Emanuel Pastreich (Mukuru weAsia Institute) Nov 8th, 2017, Runyararo Report.
Kutarisa kutaura kweMutungamiri Donald Trump uye Mutungamiri Moon Jae-muSeoul pamusoro pemazuva mashomanana apfuura kwakaita kuti ndinzwisise kuti yakaora sei zvematongerwo enyika enyika idzi mbiri. Trump akataura nezvesimba rake rakanakisa gorofu uye kudya kwakanaka kwaakange afara, achigara pakunakidzwa kwepanyama uye achiita sokuti mamiriyoni evanhu vasina kubhadhara uye vasingashandi muKorea neUnited States vakanga vasina. Akataura achizvikudza pamusoro pezvigadzirwa zvehondo zvepamusoro-soro izvo South Korea yakamanikidzwa kutenga uye yakagadziriswa mukurumbidza hondo yeKorea saka iri kure nematambudziko anotarisana nevanhuwo zvavo. Hurukuro yake yakanga isiri "America First." Yakanga isingaregi "Trump kutanga."
Uye Mwedzi haana kumupikisa kana kumukomberedza pane imwe chete. Hapana chinyorwa chakagadzirwa nehurumende yeTrump ine chisarudzo chechisarura uye ine simba rayo kune veAsia, kana kusarura kwake kushambadzira mitemo. Uyewo hapana chakataurwa pamusoro pekutsvaira kweTrump kwakashata uye kutyisidzira kwayo kwekurwa neNorth Korea, uye kunyange kutyisidzirwa kwakafukidzirwa kweJapan mumashoko ake achangobva kuTokyo. Aiwa, kubvuma kushanda shure kwemisangano kwaiva kuti iyo hurukuro yaifanira kuva inyanzvi uye yakagadzirwa gogo mukuru nokuda kwevanhu vazhinji, pamwe chete nemashure-e-zvikwata bhizinesi guru rinotarisana nevanopfuma.
Mhepfenyuro yeKorea yakaita kuti iite sevose veAmerica, uye vazhinji veKorea, vakatsigira mazano asina musoro uye ane ngozi aDonald Trump, uye vakagadza mitemo yake yekuita nekusiya. Mumwe akauya nemafungiro ekuti zvakanyatsokodzera mutungamiri weAmerica kuti atyisidzire hondo yekugadzirira hondo yenyukireya kuNorth Korea kuongorora misoro (chiito chisingapesani mutemo wenyika dzakawanda) uye zvombo zvenyukireya (iyo India yakaita nekukurudzira kweAmerica).
Ndakaita hurukuro shoma kuti ndipe imwe chiratidzo pane izvo United States inoshanda muEast Asia inogona kuva. Ndakaita izvi nokuti ndainetseka kuti vazhinji veKorea vaizobva kuTrump vachifunga kuti vose veAmerica vakanga vakangoita semhirizhonga uye nekunyengera-vachikurudzirwa.
Kunyangwe zvazvo Trump inogona kunge ichirova zvikwata zvehondo kuti inotyisa Japan neKorea vachikumbira mabhiriyoni emadhora kwezvombo zvavasingadi kana zvavanoda, iye nehurumende yake zviri pachena kutamba mitambo ine ngozi zvikuru. Iko kune simba rakadzika muuto iro rakanyatsoda kuunza hondo yakaipisisa kana ichiwedzera simba ravo, uye ndiani anofunga kuti dambudziko rakadaro rinogona kuvhiringidza vanhu kubva kune zvakaipa zvehurumende yeUnited States, uye kutora pfungwa kubva kune iri kuuya njodzi yekuchinja kwemamiriro ekunze.
Emanuel Pastreich
"Imwe nzira yakasiyana yeUnited States muEast Asia"
Vhidhiyo Mavara:
Emanuel Pastreich (Mukuru weAsia Institute)
November 8, 2017
"Imwe nzira yakasiyana yeUnited States muEast Asia.
Hurukuro inopindura hurukuro yaDonald Trump paNational Assembly yeKorea
Ini ndiri muAmerica uyo akashanda kwemakore anopfuura makumi maviri nehurumende yeKorea, masangano ekutsvakurudza, masayunivhesiti, emabhizimusi ega ega uye nevasati vagari venyika.
Isu takangonzwa kunzwa kwaDonald Trump mutungamiriri weUnited States, kuKorea National Assembly. Mutungamiri Trump akaisa chiratidzo chine ngozi uye chisingaverengeki kuUnited States, uye kuKorea neJapan, nzira inoenda kuhondo uye kune hutano hwemagariro ehupfumi nehupfumi, zvose munyika uye munyika yose. Chiratidzo chaanopa ndicho kutyisa kunotyisa kwekuzviparadzanisa uye hutongi, uye huchakurudzira kune dzimwe nyika simba risina utsinye mune zvematongerwo enyika pasina chero hanya nezera remangwana.
Pamberi peUnited States-Korea Security Treaty, pane United Nations Charter, yakasayirwa neUnited States, Russia neChina. Sangano reUnited Nations rakatsanangura basa reUnited States, China, Russia nemamwe marudzi sekudzivirira kwehondo, uye kuedza kushanda kwekutarisana nekutyisa kwehupfumi kunotungamirira kuhondo. Kuchengetedza kunotanga ipapo, pamwe ne chiratidzo ichocho chekuita rugare uye kubatanidzwa. Tinoda nhasi maonero eUnited Nations Charter, chiratidzo ichocho chekugarisana kwepasi rose shure kwezvinotyisa zveHondo Yenyika Yechipiri.
Donald Trump haimiririri United States, asi pane boka shoma re superrich uye nhengo dzekurudyi. Asi zvikamu izvi zvakawedzera kutonga kwavo kwehurumende yehurumende yangu kune imwe yenjodzi, muchidimbu nekuda kwekusagutsikana kwevanhu vazhinji.
Asi ini ndinotenda kuti isu, vanhu, tinogona kutora zvakare kutonga kwehurukuro pamusoro pekuchengeteka, panyaya yezvoupfumi uye pane zvevanhu. Kana tine unyanzvi, uye ushingi, tinogona kuisa maonero akasiyana ehupenyu hunokurudzira hunogona.
Ngatitangei nenyaya yekuchengeteka. MaKorea ave akafukidzwa nemashoko pamusoro pekurwisa kwenyukireya kubva kuNorth Korea. Izvo zvinotyisa zvave zviri kururamisira kweTHAAD, kune zvombo zvenyukireya zvine simba rekushandisa nyukireya uye nhamba ipi zvimwe yezvombo zvinodhura zvombo zvinowedzera pfuma yevanhu vashomanana. Asi zvombo izvi zvinounza kuchengeteka here? Chengetedzo inobva pane zvakaratidzwa, kubatanidzwa, uye kubva pakushinga. Kuchengetedza hakugoni kutengwa. Hapana zvombo zvehondo zvingasimbisa kuchengeteka.
Zvinosuruvarisa kuti United States yakaramba kuita North Korea zvakapindirana kwemakore kwemakore uye kudarika kweAmerica uye kuzvikudza kwakatitungamirira kune mamiriro ezvinhu akaipisisa. Mamiriro ezvinhu ari kunyanya kuwedzera iye zvino nokuti Trump inoshandiswa haisati yamboita zvematongerwo enyika. Dhipatimendi reHurumende rakabviswa simba rese uye nyika zhinji hazvizivi kuti dzinotendeuka kana dzichida kupinda muUnited States. Kuvakwa kwemasvingo, kuonekwa uye kusingaoneki, pakati peUnited States nenyika kunotinetsa zvikuru.
Mwari haana kupa United States mvumo yekugara muAsia nokusingaperi. Haisi kungoita chete, asi zvinodiwa, kuti United States inoparadza mauto ayo ari munzvimbo yacho uye kuderedza zvombo zvenyukireya, uye simba rinowanzogadzirwa, sechitsika chekutanga pakugadzira hutano hwakanaka huchavandudza hukama neNorth Korea, China neRussia.
North Korea kuedzwa kwemisungo hakusi kuputsa mutemo wenyika dzakawanda. Asi, United Nations Security Council yakashandiswa nemauto ane simba muUnited States kutsigira nzvimbo pamusoro peNorth Korea dzisinganzwisisi zvachose.
Nhanho yekutanga kune rugare inotanga neUnited States. IUnited States, nyika yangu, inofanirwa kutevera zvido zvayo pasi peNyika isingareri kupesana, uye inotangazve kuparadza zvombo zvenyukireya uye kugadzirisa zuva munguva yemberi iri pedyo nekuparadza zvachose kwezvose zvakasara zvombo zvenyukliya. Ngozi dzehondo yenyukireya, uye zvezvirongwa zvedu zvekudzivirira zvombo, zvakachengetedzwa kubva kuAmerica. Kana akaudzwa chokwadi ndine chokwadi kuti veAmerica vachakurumidza kutsigira kusayina kwechibvumirano cheUUN kurambidza zvombo zvenyukireya.
Pakave nekukurukurirana kukuru pamusoro peKorea neJapan vachigadzira zvombo zvenyukireya. Kunyange zvazvo zviito zvakadaro zvinogona kupa chiitiko chechinguva chiduku kune vamwe, havangauyi chero rudzi rwekuchengeteka. China yakachengetedza zvombo zvenyukireya pasi peC300 uye inenge ichida kuidzikisa zvakare kana United States ichizvipira kuparadza. Asi China inogona kuwedzera nyore nyore nhamba yenyukireya ku10,000 kana inotyisidzirwa neJapane, kana neSouth Korea. Kukurudzira kwekuparadzaniswa kwezvirwere ndicho chete chiito chinogona kuwedzera kuchengeteka kweKorea.
China inofanira kunge yakaenzana naye muhutano chero hupi hwehutano hweEast Asia. Kana China, ichikurumidza kubuda semasimba makuru enyika yose, yakasara kunze kwekuchengetedzwa kwekuchengeteka, iyo hurongwa inopihwa kuva isina hanya. Uyezve, Japanwo inofanira kunge yakabatanidzwa mune chero chekuchengeteka. Tinofanira kuburitsa zvakanakisisa zvechimiro cheJapan, unyanzvi hwayo pakushandurwa kwemamiriro ekunze uye tsika yerugare kushandiswa kuburikidza nekushanda kwakadaro. Bhaniro rekuchengetedzwa pamwe chete harifaniri kushandiswa sekumhanya kwekutsvaga kwawtrranationalist kurota kwe "murwi wokuJapan" asi panzvimbo senzira yekubudisa kunze kweJapan, "ngirozi dzakanaka." Hatigoni kusiya Japan kune iyo pachayo.
Iko kune basa rechokwadi reUnited States muEast Asia, asi harina hanya nemapurisa kana matangi.
Inhengo yeUnited States inofanira kuchinjwa zvakadzama. IUnited States inofanira kuisa pfungwa pakurongeka kuti iite zvekutya kwekuchinja kwemugumo. Tinofanira kudzorerazve mauto uye kudzosera "kuchengeteka" nekuda kwechinangwa ichi. Mhinduro yakadaro ichada kubatanidzwa, kwete kukwikwidzana.
Kushanduka kwakadaro mune tsanangudzo yekuchengetedza kunoda ushingi. Kudzokororazve basa revatasvi vemauto, mauto, masimba emhepo uye nharaunda yekuziva kuti kuisa pfungwa pakubatsira vagari vemo kupindura kuchinja kwemamiriro ekunze uye kuvakazve sangano redu richava chiito chinoda kushinga kushamisa, zvichida kuwedzera kushinga pane kurwisana pahondo. Handina mubvunzo kuti kune avo vari muchiuto vane rudzi rwakadaro rweushingi. Ndinokushevedza kuti umire uye unoda kuti titarisana nekutyisidzira kwekuchinja kwemamiriro ekunze mukati mekunyanya kukanganiswa kwemazhinji.
Tinofanira kushandura zvakanyanya tsika dzedu, hupfumi hwedu, uye tsika dzedu.
Mumwe wekare wekuAmerica wePacific Command Admiral Sam Locklear akazivisa kuti kuchinja kwemamiriro ekunze ndiyo ngozi yakaipisisa yekuchengeteka uye aive pasi pekurwiswa nguva dzose.
Asi vatungamiri vedu havafanire kuona sevanozivikanwa semabasa avo. Ndinogona kutarisira zvishoma kudarika kuti unotora sei nevanodzidza. Vatungamiri vanofanira kuziva zvipingamupinyi zvezera redu uye vaite zvose zviri musimba ravo kugadzirisa dambudziko iri, kunyange izvo zvinoreva kuzvipira kukuru. Sezvo mutongi wehurumende weRoma Marcus Tullius Cicero akambonyora,
"Kusafarirwa kunoitwa nekuita zvakanaka ndiko kubwinya"
Zvinogona kurwadza kune dzimwe hurumende kuti dzisire zvibvumirano zvemadhora emadhora mabhiriyoni emadhora, zvombo zvepasi uye zvombo, asi kune nhengo dzemauto edu, zvisinei, kuti tishande zvakajeka kuchengetedza nyika dzedu kubva kune ngozi huru munhoroondo ichavapa pfungwa itsva yekushandira uye kuzvipira.
Isuwo tinoda zvibvumirano zvekugadzirisa zvombo, saiyo isu takagadzika muEurope mune 1970s uye 1980s. Ndiyo nzira chete yekupindura kumisasa yechizvarwa chinotevera nezvimwe zvombo. Mitsva itsva nemitemo inofanira kutaurirana pamusoro pekudzivirira maitiro ezvidziviriro kuti apindure kune ngozi ye drones, ye-cyber warfare uye yezvombo zvinobuda.
Isu tinodawo ushingi hwokutora pamumvuri asiri-state vateereri vari kutyisidzira hurumende dzedu kubva mukati. Iyi hondo ichava yakaoma, asi inokosha, hondo.
Vagari vedu vanofanira kuziva chokwadi. Vagari vedu vakazara nemanyepo muzera iri rekutsvaga, kukanganisa kwekushanduka kwemamiriro ekunze, kutyisidzira kwehugandanga hwemagandanga. Dambudziko iri rinoda kuzvipira kwevanhu vose kuti vatsvake chokwadi uye kwete kugamuchira nhema dzakanaka. Hatigoni kutarisira hurumende, kana masangano kuti aite basa iri kwatiri. Tinofanirawo kuva nechokwadi chokuti vhidhiyo inoona mabasa ayo ekutanga sekutumira mashoko akajeka uye anobatsira kune vagari venyika, panzvimbo pekugadzira purofiti.
Nheyo dzeUnited States-Korea kubatana kunofanira kuve nekugadziriswa kwekugoverana pakati pevagari vemo, kwete zvombo zvombo kana masangano makuru emakambani enyika. Tinoda kugoverana pakati pezvikoro zvepuraimari, pakati peNGOs dzenharaunda, pakati pevashandi, vanyori uye vashandi vezvemagariro evanhu, kushanana kunowedzera kwemakore, uye kwemakumi emakore.
Hatigoni kuvimba nezvibvumirano zvekutengeserana zvisingabhadhari zvinobatsira zvikuru zvikwata, uye izvo zvinokanganisa nzvimbo yedu inokosha, kuti tive pamwe chete.
Pane kudaro tinoda kuisa chokwadi che "kutengeserana pasina" pakati peUnited States neKorea. Izvozvo zvinoreva kutengeserana kwakanaka uye kujeka iwe iwe, ini nevavakidzani vedu tinogona kubatsirwa kubva pachedu kuburikidza nehutano hwedu uye nekugadzira kwedu. Tinoda kutengeserana kwakanaka kune vagari vomunharaunda. Sangano rinofanira kunge rinonyanya kuenderana nekushandira pamwe nekushandira pamwe pakati pevanhu uye kushushikana hakufaniri kuva nehukuru hwekutsvaga mari, kana nehupfumi hwehuwandu, asi panzvimbo yehutano hwevanhu.
Pakupedzisira, tinofanira kudzorera hurumende panzvimbo yayo yakakodzera sechinangwa chinotarisa icho chinokonzera utano hwenguva refu hwechizvarwa uye iyo inopa simba rokumira, uye kutonga, makambani. Hurumende inofanira kunge inokwanisa kusimudzira mapurogiramu mune sayenzi uye mune zvigadziriswa zvinotarisirwa kudikanwa kwechokwadi kwevagari vedu munyika mbiri idzi, uye haifaniri kutarisa purogiramu yenguva pfupi yehamba shomanana emabhangi ega. Sangano rekutsinhanisa rine basa ravo, asi ivo vari pamucheto pakuitwa kwehurumende yenyika.
Nguva yekusarudzwa kwemabasa ehurumende inofanira kusvika pakuguma. Tinofanira kuremekedza vashumiri vehurumende vanoona basa ravo sekubatsira vanhu uye kuvapa izvo zvavanoda. Tose tinofanira kuuya pamwe chete nokuda kwechikonzero chinowanzoita pakuumba sangano rakakosha uye tinofanira kuzviita nokukurumidza.
Sezvo Confucius akambonyora, "Kana rudzi rwacho rwarasikirwa nemararamiro aro, upfumi uye simba zvichava zvinhu zvinonyadzisa kuva nazvo." Ngatishande pamwe chete kuti tive neruzhinji muKorea uye muUnited States kuti tinogona kuzvikudza.
