NaPatrick T. Hiller
Zuva iro nhoroondo yezvekireya yakaitika pakati peIran neUnited States, United Kingdom, Russia, China, France neGermany (P5 + 1) yakazosvika, Mutungamiri Obama akataura kuti "nyika inogona kuita zvinhu zvinoshamisa patinogoverana zvinyararire zvorugare kutarisana nekukakavadzana. "Panguva imwecheteyo, Mutungamiri weIndonesia wezvekune dzimwe nyika Javad Zarif akaratidza kuonga kwake kwe" chirongwa kuitira kuti awane chinokunda-kugadzirisa sarudzo ... uye kuzarura mitsva itsva yekutarisana nezvinetso zvakakomba zvinokanganisa nharaunda yedu yenyika yose. "
Ndiri Scientist Runyararo. Ndinodzidza zvinokonzera hondo uye mamiriro ehukama. Mumunda mangu tinopa humwe uchapupu hunotsvaga kurwisana nemutauro wakadai se "kurongedza nekugadzirisa kukakavadzana" uye "kukunda-kugadzirisa matanho." Nhasi izuva rakanaka, sezvo chibvumirano ichi chichiita mamiriro ehutano uye ndiyo nzira yakanakisisa yevose zvakabatanidzwa kuenda mberi.
Nyukliya nhauriro iri kubudirira mune zvenyika yose kusina kupedza simba. Iran yakaramba ichisimbisa kuti yakanga isiri kutsvaga zvombo zvenyukireya. Izvi zvinotsigirwa neimbova CIA muongorori uye Middle East nyanzvi yeUnited States Department, Flynt Leverett, uyo ari mumwe wevadzidzisi avo musatendi Iran inotsvaka kuvaka zvombo zvenyukireya. Kunyange zvakadaro, hurumende yekutengeserana inofanira kutarisa kunetseka kwevaya vanotya nuclear yenyu yakashonga Iran. Kutaura zvazviri, chibvumirano ichi chinogona kudzivirira kukwikwidza kwehondo yenyukireya muMiddle East yose.
Kununurwa kwezvimhosva kunobvumira kugadzirisa kwematongerwe enyika, zvehupfumi nehupfumi. Ukama hwezvematongerwo enyika, somuenzaniso, huchaita kuti hutsinye hune hutsinye huwedzere. Ingotarisa kuEuropean Union, iyo yakabva kune imwe nzvimbo yebhizimisi. Nhamo iripo neGreece inoratidza kuti kune chokwadi kupesana pakati pemitezo yayo, asi hazvifungidziri kuti vachaenda kuhondo pamwe chete.
Kungofanana nehurukuro dzakawanda dzakabvumirana, chibvumirano ichi chichazarura nzira dzisingasviki nuclear yenyu uye kusagadziriswa. Tinogona kutarisira kubatana, kuwedzera hukama uye hukama huripo pakati peP5 + 1 neIran, pamwe chete nedzimwe nharaunda dzenyika uye dzepasi pose. Izvi zvinonyanya kukosha pakutarisana nenhau dzakakomba dzakapoteredza Siriya, Iraq, ISIS, Yemen, mafuta, kana hondo yeIsrael-Palestine.
Vatsoropodzi vesangano iri vatove vachishanda mukuedza kuideredza. Iyi haisi iyo inotarisirwa "kugadzirisa nekukurumidza" kwokuti kushandiswa kwemauto kusinganzwisisiki kwehondo kunenge kuripo. Izvo zvakanaka, sezvo pasina kugadzirisa kwakakurumidza kune nyika dzakange dzisinganzwisisiki kwemakore anopfuura makumi matatu. Iyi inzira inovaka mberi iyo inogona kugadzirisa hukama. As Obama anonyatsoziva, zvinogona kutora makore kubhadhara uye hakuna munhu anotarisira kuti chirongwa chacho chisina matambudziko. Heino apo simba rekukurukurirana rinouya zvakare zvakare. Apo mapato anosvika zvibvumirano kune dzimwe nzvimbo, ivo vanowanzokwanisa kukunda zvipingamupinyi mune dzimwe nzvimbo. Zvibvumirano zvinowanzoendesa kune dzimwe zvibvumirano.
Chimwe chinhu chinowanzozivikanwa ndeyekuti migumisiro yezvikwata zvekutaurirana haisi pachena. Ichokwadi. Mukutaurirana, zvisinei, nzira idzi dzakajeka uye dzakasiyana nehondo dzisingauyi nevanhu vasina kugamuchirwa, zvemagariro evanhu, uye nezvehupfumi. Hapana chivimbo chokuti mapato achabatsigira zvipikirwa zvavo, izvo zvinogona kudiwa kuti zviitirwe zvakare, kana kuti nzira dzekutaurirana dzichachinja. Uku kusava nechokwadi hakusi kwechokwadi kune hondo, apo kuurawa kwevanhu uye kutambura kunonzwisisika uye hazvikwanise kuregererwa.
Izvi zvinogona kuchinja munhoroondo umo vatungamiri venyika yose vakaziva kuti kubatana kwenyika yose, kugadzirisa kukakavadzana kushanduka, uye kuchinja kwehupfumi kunopfuura hondo nechisimba. Chimwe chinogutsa chekuAmerica chekune dzimwe nyika ichabatana neIran pasina mungozi yehondo. Zvisinei, kutsigirwa kwevanhu vose kunokosha, sezvo kuchine huwandu hunokwana hwemagariro ehurumende akabatanidzwa mune zvisingabatsiri zvehondo remhinduro paradigm. Iye zvino zviri kune vanhu veAmerica kuti vanyengetedze vamiririri vavo kuti izvi zvinotarisirwa kuitwa. Hatigone kuwana hondo dzakawanda uye kukanganisa kwavo kwakatsigirwa.
Patrick. T. Hiller, Ph.D., akabatanidzwa ne PeaceVoice,inonzi Conflict Transformation scholar, purofesa, paDare Rinodzora re International Peace Research Association, nhengo yeRugare uye Security Funders Group, uye Director of the War Prevention Initiative yeJubitz Family Foundation.
