ndi Susan Glasser, November 13, 2017
kuchokera Politico
Suzanne DiMaggio anati: "Amafuna kudziwa ngati ali wopenga, kapena ngati ndizochita chabe."
"Iwo" ndi akuluakulu a kumpoto kwa Korea. Ndipo "iye" ndi Donald Trump. Nthaŵi zinayi chaka chatha, ku Geneva, Pyongyang, Oslo ndi Moscow, DiMaggio anakumana mwachinsinsi ndi North Korea kuti akambirane za nyukiliya ya dzikoli. Koma zomwe iwo akufunadi kuzikamba, DiMaggio adati mu bungwe lina la Global Politico, ndi mtsogoleri wotsutsa wa America.
Anthu a ku North Korea amamufunsa osati ngati Trump ndi mtedza, DiMaggio adanena, koma bwanji ndi momwe angaganizire za chirichonse kuchokera kwa anthu ake poyamikira za Mlembi wake wa boma Rex Tillerson kwa kafukufuku wapadera wa Robert Mueller kuti apite kukafufuza ku Russia.
"Iwo akufunadi kudziwa zomwe amasewera masewera ake," adatero DiMaggio, katswiri wa ku New America yemwe amadziwika kwambiri ndi kukambirana ndi maboma ndipo wakhala zaka ziwiri zapitazo pokambirana ndichinsinsi ndi North Korea. Amakhulupirira kuti adakonzekera chisankho chodabwitsa cha Trump kuti akambirane nkhani zatsopano ndi US kuti awononge zida zawo za nyukiliya. Koma nkhani ya Trump ndi Twitter ikuwoneka ngati kumapeto kwake kwa sabata kumatonza "chakufupi ndi mafuta" Kim Jong Un ayenera kuti anatchulapo chisankho chimenecho. "Iwo amatsatira nkhani kwambiri kwambiri; Amayang'ana CNN 24 / 7; iwo amawerenga ma tweets ake ndi zinthu zina. "
Pakati pa miyambo yomwe North Korea idakwera nayo miyezi yapitayi, DiMaggio adanena kuti zonsezi zinachokera ku Trump's tweet kukakamiza Tillerson kuti apereke chiyanjano ndi North Korea ("Kodi uyu ndi wapolisi wabwino / woipa yemwe akuchita ndi Tillerson?") Kuti Chigamulo cha Trump chimachititsa kuti dziko la Iran lizitsatira malamulo a nyukiliya omwe Barack Obama adagonjetsa. Izi, DiMaggio adati, "watumiza chizindikiro chowonekera kwa anthu a ku North Korea: Chifukwa chiyani ayenera kulowa nawo, ngati sitigwirizana nawo?"
"Iwo amakayikira khalidwe lake losavuta, komanso mavuto ake akunyumba muno, ndi kufufuza kochitika ndi Robert Mueller, ndipo akufunsa kuti, 'Chifukwa chiyani tiyambe kukambirana ndi a Trump oyang'anira, pamene Donald Trump asakhale pulezidenti ? '"
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Kwa zaka zambiri, DiMaggio ndi Joel Wit, mtsogoleri wa ku America kwa nthawi yaitali adasintha katswiri wa maphunziro ku yunivesite ya Johns Hopkins yemwe adayambitsa chiwonetsero cha ku Korea chaku North North, 38North, akukumana ndi a North Korea kuti akambirane za dongosolo la nyukiliya. M'mbuyomu, iwo sanavomereze zokambiranazo, mbali ya "Track 2" kukambirana komwe kwaika mzere wotseguka kuulamuliro wodalirika ngakhale pamene maboma awiriwo sanali ovomerezeka.
Koma izo zinali pamaso pa Trump.
Pamsonkhano wawo ndi a North Korea kuyambira Trump anasankhidwa, DiMaggio ndi Wit akuyang'ana kuti akudandaula ndi kusokonezeka poyambira pamsonkhanowu pambuyo poyesera kusankhidwa kwa US ku zokambirana zatsopano za nyukiliya zomwe zinagonjetsedwa ndi chiwombankhanga cha chiwombankhanga, kuthamangirana komanso kupitiliza nkhondo . Tsopano iye ndi Wit akuyankhula ngakhale kuti anali atakayikira kale ngakhale kuvomereza misonkhano ya North Korea, powafotokozera iwo posachedwapa New York Times op-ed ndi kuwonjezera tsatanetsatane chatsopano mu sabata lino la Global Politico podcast. "Sindimakonda kunena za ntchito yanga 'Track 2' m'njira yotere," DiMaggio tweeted. Koma izi sizinali zachilendo. "
Nkhani yawo ikufika panthawi yovuta kwambiri ku North Korea, ndi Trump ikukulitsa ulendo wa 12-day Asia pambuyo potumiza zizindikiro zosokoneza ndi zotsutsana. Purezidenti poyamba adayankha njira yopanda chidziwitso paulendowu, kuwonetseratu kuti pali njira yatsopano yolankhulana ngati njira yothetsera chida cha nyukiliya, kutumiza maadiresi amphamvu ku Seoul za nkhanza za ku North Korea za ufulu waumunthu, ndikukakamiza anthu a ku China ku Beijing kuti azidziwika chifukwa ndi US ku zowonongeka motsatira kumpoto kwa North Korea boma.
Koma ngakhale asanayambe kumaliza ku Manila, Trump adabwerera ku nkhondo ya mawu ndi Kim yomwe inkawoneka kuti ikuyendetsa maulendowa. Ngakhale kuti DiMaggio ndi Wit alibe yankho lomveka kwa a North Korea pamene adafunsa ngati Trump anali wopenga, anthu a kumpoto kwa Korea anadzipereka okha. Poyankha ndemanga ya Trump's Seoul, nyuzipepala ya kumpoto kwa Korea inamuyitana "munthu wokalamba" akuyang'ana kuyambitsa nkhondo ya nyukiliya. Icho chinachenjeza kuti United States ikuyang'aniridwa ndi "phompho la chiwonongeko" pokhapokha zitachotsa Trump ndi kusiya "ndondomeko yake yonyansa."
Trump, 71, ankawoneka ngati akudandaula kwambiri pa kuukira kwa msinkhu wake kusiyana ndi kusayera kwake. Potsata malangizidwe a aphungu ake, adalemba tanthauzo lake poti adatchedwa wachikulire, poumirira, mwina chinenero, ndipo anayesera kukhala "bwenzi" kwa Kim ndikudandaula kunena kuti mwina sanafikepo wotchedwa rotund wamng'ono wolamulira "wamfupi komanso wolemera."
Ngakhale kusanachitike, DiMaggio ndi Wit anandiuza kuti Trump ali ndi mbiri yonyansa kwa anthu a kumpoto kwa Korea ndi mtsogoleri wawo mwachindunji. Mlandu wa 1 wa zomwe boma la United States laphunzira pazaka zokhuzana ndi a North Korea: "Chilichonse chimene mungachite , musanyoze munthu uyu, "adatero DiMaggio.
Ndipotu, kuyitana kukubwereza ndondomeko ya America yomwe yasokonekera ndi atsogoleri a North Korea omwe adayambe. "Lingaliro lakuti bungwe liri-ndipo makamaka Pulezidenti Trump-lomwe likuwopseza kuopseza kudzachititsa kuti North Korea akhale osasintha, ndi zolakwika. Kuonjezera kuopseza kumapangitsa anthu a ku North Korea kukhala osasinthasintha, "adatero Wit. Iye adati, "Chifukwa chokhala wolimba mtima, ndilo kulakwitsa kwakukulu, chifukwa anthu a ku North Korea akhoza kukhala olimba ngati misomali, ndipo chifukwa chofooka ndikumadzipha."
Koma Trump adayambanso kukamba nkhani yovuta. Zidzakhala zovuta? Pambuyo pake, a Presidents a US akhala akuyesera ndikulephera kuletsa Kim, bambo ake ndi agogo aamuna kwa zaka zoposa makumi awiri kuchokera ku nuclearizing Korea Peninsula.
Komabe, pofunsidwa mafunso, DiMaggio ndi Wit analongosola zomwe amakhulupirira kuti anthu a kumpoto kwa Korea amakakamizika kukambirana nawo ndi kayendetsedwe ka Trump kayendetsedwe ka ntchito, njira yomwe iwo akuopera tsopano sangakhaleponso. "Ndikudandaula kuti chifukwa cha mawu onsewa otsutsana ndi zoopseza, kuti zenera zochepa zomwe zimatsegulidwa, ndikukhulupilira, kuti ndikukamba nkhani ndikutseka pang'onopang'ono," adatero DiMaggio.
M'masiku masabata apitawo, Wit wakhala akunena za nkhondo ya 40 peresenti, pamene mkulu wa CIA, John Brennan, adawawerengera pa 25 peresenti ngakhale kuti zizindikiro zowonjezera nkhondo za US zomwe akatswiri ambiri akudandaula zikhoza kupangitsa kuti anthu asamvetsetse nkhondo ndi North Korea. Abraham Denmark, yemwe anali wothandizira wotsogoleli wa East Asia pansi pa Obama, akuimira Pentagon. "Ndi pamene akuyikidwa pamodzi ndi mauthenga awa. Ndi pamene ndikuyamba kudandaula za kuwonjezeka kwa kusamvetsetsana-ndikumenyana kwenikweni. "
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Izo sizinkayenera kutembenukira mwanjira iyi, malinga ndi DiMaggio ndi Wit.
Ndipotu, a North Korea adagwirizana ndi Trump kuti lamulo la Obama la "kuleza mtima" -momwemo, kudikira kuti lizitha-linatha. "Kumayambiriro kwa dziko la North Korea, adanena kuti ntchito yatsopano ikuyambira," adatero DiMaggio. "Ubale ndi Obama udawonongeka, makamaka dziko la US litavomereza Kim Jong Un mwiniwake. Zimenezi zinasokoneza ubwenziwo ndi madzi. "
Woweruza adavomereza kuti, ngakhale kuti sichidziwikanso panthawiyi, Obama adasokoneza Kim pamene adapambana ndi bambo ake ku 2010, ndipo adalephera kukambirana nkhani zatsopano za nyukiliya isanayambe kuchititsa kuti anthu a kumpoto kwa Korea asapitirize kupeza nyukiliya missile yophatikizapo intercontinental ballistic yomwe ingathe kufika ku US continental, zomwe zikuchitika pakali pano. Njira ya Obama, Wit anati, tsopano ikuwoneka ngati "kulakwitsa kwakukulu."
Popeza kuti dziko la North Korea likuyandikira kwambiri, oyang'anitsitsa kumpoto kwa Korea akugawikana momwe akuyendetsera kumpoto kwa North Korea kumayambiriro kwa kayendetsedwe ka Trump ndipo ambiri akudandaula kuti gulu la Trump, lomwe lili ndi Tillerson lofooka komanso laphwanyidwa, (palibe oposa awiri akuluakulu a tsopano a US, Wit anati, amene adakumanapo ndi North Koreans), sangathe kuchita nawo zokambirana za nyukiliya zabwino.
Koma DiMaggio analimbikitsanso kuyankhulana kuti anali njira yeniyeni.
"Pogwiritsa ntchito zokambirana zanga nawo atangotsala pang'ono kutsegulira, pamene ndinapita ku Pyongyang kukakumana nawo, iwo anali omveka bwino kuti izi zikhoza kukhala chiyambi chatsopano," adatero. "Ndithudi iwo analibe chinyengo chirichonse kuti zinthu zikanakhala zophweka, koma ndikuganiza kuti iwo anali okonzeka kulingalira lingaliro la zokambirana ndi United States popanda zifukwa panthawiyo."
Msonkhano womwewo, adati, waperekedwa kwa nthumwi ya Dipatimenti ya Utumiki ku North Korea, Joseph Yun, pamisonkhano adaswa, ndipo akukhulupirira kuti akadakali masabata angapo apitawo, pamene anakumana ndi mkulu wa diplomate ku North Korea ku Moscow. "Anasiya pakhomo kuti akambirane ndi United States," adatero DiMaggio. "Iye anali ndi malingaliro ena pa zomwe zikanayenera kuchitika kuti izi zitheke, koma anali kutseguka kochepa, ndipo ine ndikuganiza ndimo momwe ife tiyenera kufotokozera izo."
Pomwepo, kukumana kwawo ku Moscow kunatsimikiziranso kuti Pyongyang yapafupi ndiyo kukwaniritsa mphamvu ya nyukiliya yomwe yakhala ikulakalaka nthawi zonse: kudzimangira ndi zida za nyukiliya zomwe zingathe kulunjika mwachindunji ku United States. "Iwo ali panjira yawo kuti akwaniritse izo," adatero DiMaggio. "Ndiye, funso lenileni ndilo, kodi iwo adzadikira mpaka atatha kulengeza kuti achitadi zimenezo, kapena kuwonetsa izo mpaka pamene akumva kukhutira kuti afika pamapeto okwanitsa? Ndipo kodi adzabwerera ku gome pa nthawi imeneyo? "
Nthawi zina, yankho lingadalire pa mafunso onse omwe akhala akumuuza za Trump. Kodi ndi wodalirika wokambirana? Kodi ndi nthawi yayitali? Ndi wamisala kapena mnyamata chabe amene amakonda kusewera pa TV?
Pambuyo masiku a 11 ku Asia, North Korea yafika pa zonse zomwe Trump anaima, koma mafunsowa sali pafupi kuti ayankhidwe.
