Ndi Winslow Myers
Kukhala chete kuli kosangalatsa. Palibe kamodzi katswiri wa zamalonda adafunsa funso lokhudza nkhaniyi muzokangana zonse za gulu. Ngati nzika iliyonse ikudandaula za izi poyang'anizana kwambiri ndi ofunsira pa nthawi yoyamba, ndi nkhani kwa ine.
Ndikulankhula, ndithudi, za ndondomeko za boma la United States kuti likhale mopitirira malire a quintillion madola masabata makumi angapo otsatira kuti atsitsire zida zathu zankhondo zamakono.
M'mbuyomu, mbiri yowawa ya nkhondo, chida chilichonse chogwiritsidwa ntchito potsiriza chimagwiritsidwa ntchito. Palibe zida zankhondo zaku nyukiliya zomwe zingakhale zosiyana-zomvetsa chisoni tinaziwona izi ku Hiroshima ndi Nagasaki.
Koma dikirani, mwinamwake pali chifukwa chomwe chingakhale chosiyana ndi nukes. Chifukwa chimenecho ndiwopseza chiyembekezo ndi chidziwitso: makompyuta amasonyeza kuti nkhondo yomwe idagwiritsa ntchito zochepa chabe .05% ya zida za nyukiliya mu zida za dziko lapansi zingayambitse kusintha kwa nyengo ndi njala. Nchiyani chimapangitsa ichi kukhala choyembekeza, osati vuto linalake?
Chifukwa chakuti dziko lonse lapansi limagwirizana ndi zomwe zimachitika pa nyengo yachisanu ya nyukiliya, zimakhala zosiyana kwambiri ndi zokambirana zambiri zatsopano kapena zatsopano. Asilikali athu amatsutsa kuti akukonzekera zida za nyukiliya zing'onozing'ono komanso zowonjezereka. Izi zimangowonjezera mwayi wolowa m'malo mwa nyukiliya pakati pa nkhondo. Chiyembekezo chakuti kukula kwake kumatha kuyendetsedwa ndi mirage.
Ambiri aife timakhala otetezeka kwambiri polola munthu ngati Mr. Trump paliponse pafupi ndi zida zoterozo. Chowonadi ndi chakuti iwo ali ndi mphamvu kwambiri kwa munthu aliyense, ziribe kanthu kaya ali wanzeru kapena wophunzitsidwa bwino, kuti azigwiritsa ntchito monga chida chothandizira.
Malingaliro osakhazikika osakhazikika amapita monga awa: njira yokhayo yotsimikizirira kuti zida zoopsya izi sizidzagwiritsidwa ntchito ndi kuti US kukhale ndi mphamvu yaikulu ya nyukiliya. Atsogoleri aza ndale amakhulupirira kuti izi sizichitika chifukwa chakuti zida zowononga zida zankhondo ndizitsulo zapolisi. Kuvomereza kupanda phindu kwa njira ya nyukiliya kumapangitsa kuti anthu osankhidwa kapena ochita mantha azisankhidwa, kusiya kuopseza kuti apange zida zankhondo. Dr. Ashton Carter, Mlembi wathu wa chitetezo, posachedwapa adapereka kalankhulidwe ku bungwe la Commonwealth Club molimba mtima kulengeza kuti sitingatheke kukonzanso ndalama zokwana madola trillion.
Sitiyenera kukhala akatswiri kuti tiwone kuti ichi ndichabechabe chomwe chimayesedwa ngati chofunika kwambiri. Kutsimikiza kwa Carter kumangokhala kotsitsimula kuti mphamvu zina za nyukiliya zisunge. Timamanga, kumanga, kumalo omega otetezeka a kusamvetsetsana, kusamvetsetsa, ndi kufa kwakukulu.
Pakali pano kuli madola tililiyoni omwe akufunikira kwenikweni, ngati tikufuna kukhala ndi mwayi weniweni wopewa zovuta? Zingakhale zochepetsera zotsatira za kusintha kwa nyengo padziko lonse, kusokonezeka kwa omwe akatswiri amatsutsa kuti ndi chifukwa chachikulu cha mikangano yamtsogolo? Kodi sikungakhale kufulumizitsa kayendetsedwe kadziko lonse ku mphamvu yeniyeni ndi ulimi? Ma trillion angakhale oposa.
Kaya ku Russia kapena ku China, ku Israeli kapena kumpoto kwa Korea, ku India kapena Pakistan, ku Britain kapena ku US, ufumuwu ukutsutsana alibe zovala. A US amayenera kutsogolera mwachitsanzo ndikuyamba kuchepetsa zida zamakono, m'malo mochita zosiyana ndi zomwe akuyendetsa mpikisano wopita ku cholinga chokhalitsa.
Tiyenera kuchita nawo mwakhama pamisonkhano yomwe ilipo pa zida za nyukiliya yomangidwa pothandizira mphamvu zisanu ndi ziwiri za nyukiliya kuti zitsatire zofunika zathu pansi pa pangano la Nuclear Nonproliferation. Tiyenera kulimbikitsa molimba mtima misonkhano yatsopano, zida zogulitsa malonda, ndi malo opanda ufulu. Mizinda makumi awiri mphambu anayi ya ku America kapena zigawo, malingaliro ozindikira mu nyanja ya mdima, adziwonetsera okha malo omwe alibe nyukiliya.
Midzi ya amitundu-ndi zida zopanda zida za nyukiliya ndithudi tidzakhala ndi malo osankhidwa pamodzi kuti tipewe imfa yambiri ndi moyo kwa onse zidzakhala zothandiza kwambiri kupeza njira zothetsera mavuto ena padziko lonse kuphatikizapo kusakhazikika kwa nyengo padziko lapansi.
Tiye tikambirane zosatsutsika, ndipo tilimbikitseni ofuna ofuna kutiuza kuti atiyime pa zida zankhondo zaku nyukliya ngati mayesero ovuta a masomphenya athu.
Winslow Myers, mlembi wa Kukhalabe Nkhondo: Buku Loyamba, akulemba nkhani zapadziko lonse ndipo akutumikira pa bungwe la uphungu wa War Prevention Initiative.
