ndi Tom Jacobs, Seputembara 26 2018, Pacific Standard.
Pazaka ziwiri zapitazi pakhala ziwonetsero zambiri kuchokera kwa chimphonachi March wa Akazi tsiku lotsatira Donald Lipenga's kutsegulira kwa sabata ino Anti-Brett Kavanaugh ziwonetsero. Koma kuwonjezera pa kuwomba nthunzi, kodi maguba ndi misonkhano yambiri zimakwaniritsa chilichonse?
Kafukufuku watsopano lipoti yankho ndi: mwamtheradi. Lipoti kuti zionetsero zomwe zakhudzidwa kwambiri zimakhudza kwambiri momwe anthu amavotera m'mipikisano yamakontrakitala - mokwanira kuti adziwe yemwe wapambana ndi yemwe waluza.
“Kulimbikitsa anthu… Daniel Gillion wa University of Pennsylvania ndi katswiri wa zachikhalidwe cha anthu Sarah Soule ku yunivesite ya Stanford. "Sikuti ovota amangodziwitsidwa ndi kuthandizidwa ndi ziwonetsero, koma omwe angakhale nawo amawonanso ziwonetsero ngati chizindikiro chakuti nthawi yake ndiyoyenera kulowa mu mpikisano."
Mu Science Science Quarterly, ofufuzawo akusanthula mavoti a zisankho za Congress kuchokera ku 1960 mpaka 1990, akuyang'ana pa chiwerengero cha mavoti omwe analandira ndi oimira Democratic ndi Republican, motsatira. Kenako adawona kuchuluka ndi kuchuluka kwa ziwonetsero zandale m'chigawo chilichonse (kuposa 23,000 onse), pogwiritsa ntchito chidziwitso chankhani zanyuzi.
Kuwoneka kwa zochitika zoterozo kunayesedwa pa sikelo imodzi kufika pa asanu ndi anayi, pogwiritsa ntchito njira zonga ngati zinali ndi anthu oposa 100; kaya chinatha kuposa tsiku limodzi; kaya adakopa apolisi; komanso ngati panali anthu ovulala kapena omangidwa.
Pomaliza, adawerengera kuti ndi ziwonetsero ziti zomwe zidakopa chidwi kwambiri m'boma linalake: zomwe zimathandizira kutsamira kumanzere monga. ufulu wa anthu or zachilengedwe, kapena amene amalimbikitsa mikhalidwe yosunga mwambo, monga zionetsero zotsutsa olowa m’dziko kapena zionetsero zoletsa kuchotsa mimba.
Pambuyo poganizira za ubwino wa incumbency, ochita kafukufuku anapeza chitsanzo chomveka bwino.
"Zionetsero zomwe zimasonyeza makhalidwe abwino zimachititsa kuti chiwerengero chachikulu cha mavoti a magulu awiri a anthu omwe ali ndi demokalase," akutero. Zionetsero zomwe zimalimbikitsa nkhani zosasintha zimapatsanso mphamvu zomwezo kwa aku Republican.
“Ukulu wa zochitika zimenezi ndi waukulu ndithu,” iwo akuwonjezera motero. Pa avareji, adapeza kuti ziwonetsero zaufulu zatsika zidachepetsa gawo la mavoti a Republican ndi 6 peresenti, ndikuwonjezera mavoti a Democratic ndi 2 peresenti. Njira yofananirayi idapezeka paziwonetsero zodziwika bwino zowonetsa nkhawa zosautsa.
Kuphatikiza apo, maphwando anali ndi mwayi wosankha "munthu wabwino" (ndiko kuti, wodziwa zambiri) kuti atsutse membala yemwe ali mgulu la Congress pambuyo pa ziwonetsero zapagulu zomwe zimayang'ana kwambiri pazomwe chipanichi chimathandizira. Ofufuzawo alemba kuti: "Sikuti ovota amangodziwitsidwa komanso kukhudzidwa ndi zochitika za ziwonetsero," ofufuzawo alemba, "komanso omwe angakhale nawo amawona ziwonetsero ngati chizindikiro chakuti nthawi yake ndi yoyenera kulowa mu mpikisano."
Kafukufuku wakale apeza kuti zionetsero zazikulu zandale zamtendere zingathe kusonkhezera oimira malamulo kuti asinthe maganizo awo pankhani zofunika kwambiri. Mosakayikira, a zionetsero zambiri ku "maholo a matauni" a oyimilira a Congress chaka chatha adasokoneza ena kuti avomereze Obamacare.
Kupitilira kupambana kotereku, kafukufukuyu akuwonetsa kuti zionetsero zogwira mtima sizingakhudze momwe oyimilira athu amavotera, komanso yemwe akutiyimira. Kuvota ndikofunikira, koma pakati pa zisankho, musapeputse mphamvu zolowera m'misewu.
