Zida Zanyukiliya Sizingatheke Kutulukira

Wolemba Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity, Antiwar.com, Meyi 4, 2022
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MEMORANDUM KWA: Purezidenti
KUCHOKERA: Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS)⁣
NKHANI: Zida Zanyukiliya Sizingatheke Kupangidwa, Chifukwa chake ...
PRECEDENCE: POYAMBA
REF: Memo yathu ya 12/20/20, "Musati Mutengere ku Russia"

Mwina 1, 2022

Purezidenti:

Makanema ambiri asokoneza malingaliro a anthu aku America ambiri pazambiri zosokeretsa za mfiti zaku Ukraine - komanso paziwopsezo zazikulu zankhondo. Ngati simukupeza ngati Purezidenti Truman wanzeru "osathandizidwa" akuyembekeza pakukonzanso nzeru, tikukupatsani pansipa mfundo 12. Ena a ife tinali akatswiri anzeru panthawi ya vuto la mizinga yaku Cuba ndikuwona kufanana kwachindunji ku Ukraine. Ponena za kukhulupirika kwa ma VIP, mbiri yathu kuyambira Januware 2003 - kaya ku Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, kapena Russia - ikudziwonetsera yokha.⁣⁣
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1. Kuthekera kokulirapo kwakuti zida za nyukiliya zitha kugwiritsidwa ntchito, pomwe ziwawa ku Ukraine zikuchulukirachulukira, m'pofunika chidwi chanu chonse.
2. Kwa zaka pafupifupi 77, kuzindikira kofala kwa kuwononga kodabwitsa kwa zida za atomiki/nyukiliya kudapanga (kukhazikika modabwitsa) koopsa kotchedwa deterrence. Mayiko okhala ndi zida za nyukiliya nthawi zambiri amapewa kuwopseza kuti agwiritsa ntchito zida za nyukiliya polimbana ndi mayiko ena okhala ndi zida za nyukiliya.
3. Zikumbutso zaposachedwa za Putin za kuthekera kwa zida za nyukiliya zaku Russia zitha kulowa mgulu lazoletsa. Akhozanso kuwerengedwa ngati chenjezo kuti ali wokonzeka kuzigwiritsa ntchito mu extremis.
4. Zowonjezera? Inde; Putin akuwona kulowererapo kwa azungu ku Ukraine, makamaka kuyambira pomwe kulanda boma mu Feb. chiopsezo chopezeka. M'malingaliro athu, atsimikiza mtima kuchotsa Russia pachiwopsezo ichi, ndipo Ukraine tsopano ndiyofunika kupambana kwa Putin. Sitingakane kuti, atayikidwa pakona, angalole kuti mfuti yanyukiliya iwonongeke pang'ono ndi zida zamakono zomwe zimawuluka kuwirikiza kambirimbiri liŵiro la phokoso.
5. Zowopsa zomwe zilipo? Moscow ikuwona kulowererapo kwa asitikali aku US ku Ukraine ngati njira yomweyo yomwe Purezidenti Kennedy adawona poyesa Khrushchev kuyika zida zanyukiliya ku Cuba motsutsana ndi Chiphunzitso cha Monroe. Putin akudandaula kuti malo oponya mabomba a US "ABM" ku Romania ndi Poland akhoza kusinthidwa, pongoyika compact disk ina, kuti ayambe kuponya mizinga yolimbana ndi asilikali a ku Russia a ICBM.
6. Ponena za kuyika malo oponya zida ku Ukraine, malinga ndi zomwe Kremlin idawerenga pa Disembala 30, 2021 kukambirana kwanu pafoni ndi Putin, mudamuuza kuti US "ilibe cholinga chotumiza zida zowononga ku Ukraine". Monga momwe tikudziwira, palibe kutsutsa kulondola kwa kuwerenga kwa Russia kumeneko. Komabe, chitsimikiziro chanu cha Putin chidasowa - zomwe zidapangitsa kuti Russia iyambe kukayikirana.
7. Russia sangathenso kukayikira kuti US ndi NATO akufuna kufooketsa Russia (ndi kumuchotsa, ngati n'kotheka) - komanso kuti a Kumadzulo amakhulupiriranso kuti akhoza kukwaniritsa izi mwa kutsanulira zida ku Ukraine ndi kulimbikitsa anthu a ku Ukraine kuti amenyane. Tikuganiza kuti zolinga izi ndi zachinyengo.
8. Ngati Mlembi Austin akukhulupirira kuti Ukraine ikhoza "kupambana" motsutsana ndi asilikali a Russia - akulakwitsa. Mukukumbukira kuti ambiri omwe adatsogolera Austin - McNamara, Rumsfeld, Gates, mwachitsanzo - adatsimikizira apurezidenti akale kuti maboma achinyengo "akhoza kupambana" - motsutsana ndi adani oopsa kwambiri kuposa Russia.
9. Lingaliro loti dziko la Russia ndi "lodzipatula" padziko lonse lapansi likuwonekanso ngati lachinyengo. China ikhoza kuwerengedwa kuti idzachita zomwe zingathe kulepheretsa Putin kuti "atayike" ku Ukraine - choyamba chifukwa Beijing adasankhidwa kukhala "motsatira mzere", kunena kwake. Zachidziwikire, Purezidenti Xi Jin-Ping adadziwitsidwa za Pentagon ya "2022 National Defense Strategy" yozindikiritsa China ngati "chiwopsezo" # 1. Entente ya Russia-China ikuwonetsa kusintha kwamphamvu kwapadziko lonse lapansi. Sizingatheke kukokomeza tanthauzo lake.
10. Otsatira a chipani cha Nazi ku Ukraine sadzathawa chidwi pa May 9, pamene Russia ikukondwerera chaka cha 77 chipambano cha Allies pa Nazi Germany. Aliyense wa ku Russia akudziwa kuti oposa 26 miliyoni a Soviets adamwalira pa nkhondoyi (kuphatikizapo mchimwene wake wa Putin Viktor panthawi ya kutsekedwa kwa masiku 872 ku Leningrad). Denazification ya Ukraine ndi chimodzi mwazinthu zazikulu zomwe zikupangitsa kuti Putin avomerezedwe ndi 80 peresenti.
11. Mkangano wa ku Ukraine ukhoza kutchedwa "Amayi a Mtengo Wonse wa Mwayi". M'chaka chatha "Kuyesa Kuopseza", Mtsogoleri wa National Intelligence Avril Haines adazindikira kusintha kwa nyengo ngati vuto lalikulu la chitetezo cha dziko ndi "chitetezo cha anthu" chomwe chitha kukumana ndi mayiko omwe akugwira ntchito limodzi. Nkhondo ku Ukraine yapatutsa kale chisamaliro chofunikira kwambiri kuchoka ku chiwopsezo chomwe chikubwerachi ku mibadwo ikubwera.
12. Tikuwona kuti tidatumiza Memorandum yathu yoyamba yamtunduwu kwa Purezidenti George W. Bush pa Feb. 5, 2003, kudzudzula zolankhula za Colin Powell zosatsimikizika-zanzeru ku UN kale tsiku lomwelo. Tinatumiza ma Memo awiri otsatila mu March 2003 kuchenjeza pulezidenti kuti nzeru "zophika" kuti zivomereze nkhondo, koma sizinanyalanyazidwe. Timamaliza Memo ndi pempho lomwe tidapanga, pachabe, kwa George W. Bush: "Mungapindule ngati mutafutukula zokambiranazo kupitirira gulu la alangizi awo omwe ali okonzeka kumenya nkhondo yomwe sitikuwona chifukwa chomveka komanso chomwe tikukhulupirira kuti zotsatira zake zosayembekezereka zingakhale zoopsa."

Pomaliza, tikubwereza zomwe takupatsani mu Disembala 2020 (mu Memorandum ya VIP yomwe yatchulidwa pamwambapa): 'Tili okonzeka kukuthandizani ndi zolinga, kunena-ngati-ndi-ndi kusanthula.' Tikukulimbikitsani kuti mupindule ndi "zakunja" zochokera kwa asitikali akale azamalamulo omwe ali ndi zaka zambiri "mkati".

KWA GULU WOONGOLA: Nkhondo Yachilendo Yachikhalidwe Yophunzitsika Yopatulika

• Fulton Armstrong, yemwe kale anali National Intelligence Officer ku Latin America & Mtsogoleri wakale wa National Security Council for Inter-American Affairs (ret.)
• William Binney, NSA Technical Director for World Geopolitical & Military Analysis; Woyambitsa nawo wa NSA's Signals Intelligence Automation Research Center (ret.)
• Richard H. Black, Senator wakale wa Virginia; Col. US Army (ret.); Chief wakale, Criminal Law Division, Ofesi ya Judge Advocate General, Pentagon (associate VIPS)
• Graham E. Fuller, Wachiwiri kwa Wachiwiri, National Intelligence Council (ret.)
• Philip Giraldine, CIA, Operations Officer (ret.)
• Mateyu Hoh, Capt., USMC, Iraq & Foreign Service Officer, Afghanistan (othandizira VIPS)
• Larry Johnson, wakale wa CIA Intelligence Officer & wakale State Department Counter-Terrorism Official (ret.)
• Michael S. Kearns, Captain, USAF Intelligence Agency (ret.), Mlangizi wakale wa SERE Master
• John Kiriakou, yemwe kale anali CIA Counterterrorism Officer komanso wofufuza wamkulu, Komiti ya Senate Foreign Relations Committee
• Edward Loomis, Cryptologic Computer Scientist, yemwe kale anali Technical Director ku NSA (ret.)
• Ray McGovern, yemwe kale anali mkulu wa asilikali a asilikali a US Army / intelligence & CIA analyst; Chidule cha Purezidenti wa CIA (ret.)
• Elizabeth Murray, yemwe kale anali Wachiwiri kwa National Intelligence Officer ku Near East, National Intelligence Council & CIA katswiri wa ndale (ret.)
• Pedro Israeli Orta, mkulu wakale wa CIA ndi Intelligence Community (Inspector General).
• Todd Pierce, MAJ, Woweruza Woweruza wa US Army (ret.)
• Theodore Postol, Pulofesa Emeritus, MIT (Physics). Mlangizi wakale wa Sayansi ndi Mfundo za Weapons Technology kwa Chief of Naval Operations (othandizira a VIPS)
• Scott Ritter, wakale MAJ., USMC, wakale wakale wa UN Weapon Inspector, Iraq
• Coleen Rowley, FBI Special Agent komanso wakale Uphungu wa Zamalamulo ku Minneapolis (ret.)
• Kirk Wiebe, Katswiri wakale wakale, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA (ret.)
• Sarah G. Wilton, CDR, USNR, (Wopuma pantchito)/DIA, (Wopuma pantchito)
• Robert Wing, wakale wa Utumiki Wachilendo Wachilendo (othandizira VIPS)
• Ann Wright, Col., US Army (ret.); Ofesi ya Utumiki Wachilendo (anasiya kutsutsana ndi nkhondo ya Iraq)

Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPs) amapangidwa ndi omwe kale anali anzeru, akazembe, asitikali ankhondo komanso ogwira ntchito ku congressional. Bungweli, lomwe lidakhazikitsidwa mchaka cha 2002, linali m'gulu la omwe adatsutsa zomwe Washington zidalimbikitsa kuyambitsa nkhondo yolimbana ndi Iraq. VIPS imalimbikitsa mfundo zakunja ndi chitetezo zaku US kutengera zofuna zenizeni zadziko m'malo moopseza zomwe zalimbikitsidwa pazifukwa zandale. Zosungidwa zakale za VIPS zikupezeka ku Consortiumnews.com.