Wolemba Ariel Gold ndi Medea Benjamin, Jacobin, Disembala 10, 2021
Pambuyo pakupuma kwa miyezi 5, zokambirana zosalunjika pakati pa US ndi Iran zidayambiranso sabata yatha ku Vienna poyesa kukonzanso mgwirizano wanyukiliya wa 2015 Iran (yomwe imadziwika kuti Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action kapena JCPOA). Maonekedwe ake si abwino.
Pasanathe sabata imodzi pazokambirana, Britain, France, ndi Germany amatsutsidwa Iran ya "kubwerera m'mbuyo pafupifupi zovuta zonse" zomwe zidachitika panthawi yoyamba ya zokambirana Purezidenti watsopano wa Iran, Ebrahim Raisi, asanalumbiritsidwe pa udindo. Ngakhale zomwe Iran ikuchita sizikuthandizira kuti zokambiranazo zitheke, pali dziko lina - lomwe silili nawo gawo pa mgwirizano womwe udasokonekera mu 2018 ndi Purezidenti wa nthawiyo a Donald Trump - omwe udindo wake wolimba umapangitsa zolepheretsa kukambirana bwino. :Israel.
Lamlungu, pakati pa malipoti oti zokambiranazo zitha kutha, Prime Minister wa Israeli Naftali Bennett adapempha mayiko ku Vienna kuti achitepo kanthu. "tenga mzere wolimba" motsutsana ndi Iran. Malinga ndi nkhani za Channel 12 ku Israel, akuluakulu a Israeli ali kulimbikitsa US kuti achitepo kanthu pankhondo motsutsana ndi Iran, mwina pomenya Iran mwachindunji kapena kumenya malo aku Iran ku Yemen. Mosasamala kanthu za zotsatira za zokambiranazo, Israeli akunena kuti ali ndi ufulu wotenga lankhondo zochita motsutsana ndi Iran.
Ziwopsezo za Israeli sizongopeka chabe. Pakati pa 2010 ndi 2012, asayansi anayi a nyukiliya aku Iran anali kuphedwa, mwina ndi Israeli. Mu Julayi 2020, moto, amati ku bomba la Israeli, zomwe zidawononga kwambiri malo a nyukiliya a Natanz ku Iran. Mu Novembala 2020, a Joe Biden atangopambana pachisankho chapurezidenti, ogwira ntchito ku Israeli adagwiritsa ntchito mfuti zowongolera kutali. kupha Wasayansi wamkulu wa zida zanyukiliya ku Iran. Iran ikadabweza molingana, US ikadathandizira Israeli, ndikulimbana ndi nkhondo yaku US-Middle East.
Mu Epulo 2021, pomwe zoyesayesa zaukazembe zinali mkati pakati pa olamulira a Biden ndi Iran, kuwonongeka komwe kunachitika ku Israeli kudadzetsa mtendere. wakuda ku Natanz. Iran idati izi ndi "uchigawenga wa nyukiliya."
Zodabwitsa akufotokozedwa Monga dongosolo la Iran la Build Back Better, pambuyo powononga zida zanyukiliya ku Israeli, anthu aku Iran adapeza malo awo mwachangu. kubwerera pa intaneti ndipo adayikanso makina atsopano kuti awonjezere uranium mwachangu. Zotsatira zake, akuluakulu aku America posachedwapa anachenjezedwa anzawo aku Israeli kuti kuwukira kwa zida za nyukiliya ku Iran sikuthandiza. Koma Israeli Anayankha kuti alibe cholinga chosiya.
Pamene wotchi ikutha kuti ikhazikitsenso JCPOA, Israeli ili kutumiza akuluakulu ake apamwamba kuti apange mlandu wake. Nduna Yachilendo ya Israeli Yair Lapid anali ku London ndi Paris sabata yatha kuwapempha kuti asagwirizane ndi zolinga za US zobwerera ku mgwirizanowu. Sabata ino, Minister of Defense Benny Gantz ndi wamkulu wa Israel Mossad David Barnea ali ku Washington kukakumana ndi Secretary of Defense wa US Lloyd Austin, Secretary of State of US Antony Blinken, ndi akuluakulu a CIA. Malinga ndi nyuzipepala ya Israeli Yedioth Ahronoth, Barnea wabweretsa "zatsopano zanzeru zoyeserera za Tehran" kuti akhale dziko la nyukiliya.
Pamodzi ndi zopempha zapakamwa, Israyeli akukonzekera zankhondo. Ali ndi adapereka $1.5 biliyoni kumenya nkhondo yolimbana ndi Iran. M’mwezi wa October ndi November, anachita masewera akuluakulu ankhondo pokonzekera kumenya nkhondo ndi Iran ndipo masika akukonzekera kuchita chimodzi mwazo zazikulu zoyeserera zoyeserera nthawi zonse, pogwiritsa ntchito ndege zambiri, kuphatikiza ndege yankhondo ya Lockheed Martin ya F-35.
US ikukonzekeranso za kuthekera kwa ziwawa. Patatsala sabata imodzi kuti zokambirana ziyambirenso ku Vienna, wamkulu wa US ku Middle East, General Kenneth McKenzie, analengeza kuti ankhondo ake anali kudikirira kuti achitepo kanthu ngati zokambilanazo zitatha. Dzulo, zinali inanena kuti msonkhano wa nduna ya chitetezo ku Israel Benny Gantz ndi Lloyd Austin ungaphatikizepo kukambirana zoyeserera zankhondo za US ndi Israeli zomwe zikufanana ndi kuwonongedwa kwa zida zanyukiliya ku Iran.
Zochita zachuluka kuti zokambiranazo zitheke. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) yatsimikizira mwezi uno kuti Iran tsopano kulimbikitsa uranium mpaka 20 peresenti yoyera pamalo ake apansi panthaka ku Fordo, malo omwe JCPOA imaletsa kulemeretsa. Malinga ndi IAEA, kuyambira pomwe Trump adatulutsa US mu JCPOA, Iran yapititsa patsogolo kuchulukitsa kwa uranium mpaka 60 peresenti yoyera (poyerekeza ndi 3.67% pansi pa mgwirizano), akusunthira pang'onopang'ono kufupi ndi 90 peresenti yofunikira pa chida cha nyukiliya. Mu Seputembala, Institute for Science and International Security adapereka lipoti kuti, pansi pa "chiwerengero choipitsitsa," mkati mwa mwezi umodzi dziko la Iran likhoza kupanga zida zokwanira zopangira zida za nyukiliya.
Kutuluka kwa US ku JCPOA sikunangopangitsa kuti dziko lina la Middle East likhale dziko la nyukiliya (Israel akuti ali pakati pa zida za nyukiliya za 80 ndi 400), koma zawononga kale anthu aku Iran. Kampeni yoletsa "kupanikizika kwakukulu" - koyambirira kwa Trump koma tsopano pansi pa umwini wa Joe Biden - yavutitsa anthu aku Iran. kukwera kwa inflation, kukwera mtengo kwa zakudya, lendi, ndi mankhwala, ndi olumala gawo chisamaliro chaumoyo. Ngakhale mliri wa COVID-19 usanachitike, zilango zaku US zinali popewa Iran potengera kunja mankhwala oyenera kuchiza matenda monga leukemia ndi khunyu. Mu Januware 2021, United Nations idatulutsa a lipoti kunena kuti zilango zaku US ku Iran zikuthandizira kuyankha "kosakwanira komanso kowoneka bwino" ku COVID-19. Ndi anthu opitilira 130,000 omwe adalembetsa mwalamulo mpaka pano, Iran ili ndi wapamwamba kwambiri Chiwerengero cha anthu omwe anamwalira ndi coronavirus ku Middle East. Ndipo akuluakulu a boma amanena kuti ziwerengero zenizeni n’zambiri.
Ngati US ndi Iran sangathe kukwaniritsa mgwirizano, vuto lalikulu kwambiri lidzakhala nkhondo yatsopano ya US-Middle East. Poganizira za kulephera kwakukulu ndi kuwonongedwa kwa nkhondo za Iraq ndi Afghanistan, nkhondo ndi Iran ingakhale yoopsa. Wina angaganize kuti Israeli, yomwe imalandira $ 3.8 biliyoni pachaka kuchokera ku US, ingamve kuti ili ndi udindo wosakokera US ndi anthu awo ku tsoka loterolo. Koma sizikuwoneka kuti ndi choncho.
Ngakhale zatsala pang'ono kugwa, zokambirana zidayambiranso sabata ino. Iran, yomwe tsopano ili pansi pa boma lovuta kwambiri lomwe zilango za US zidathandizira kubweretsa mphamvu, zawonetsa kuti sikhala wokambirana momasuka ndipo Israeli akufunitsitsa kusokoneza zokambiranazo. Izi zikutanthauza kuti zitenga zokambirana zolimba mtima komanso kufunitsitsa kulolerana ndi oyang'anira Biden kuti mgwirizanowu ukhazikitsidwenso. Tikukhulupirira kuti Biden ndi omwe akukambirana nawo ali ndi chidwi komanso kulimba mtima kuti achite izi.
Ariel Gold ndi mtsogoleri wadziko lonse komanso Senior Middle Analyst Analyst wa ku CODEPINK kwa Mtendere.
Medea Benjamin ndi amene amapanga CODEPINK kwa Mtendere, ndi wolemba mabuku angapo, kuphatikiza Mkati mwa Iran: Mbiri Yeniyeni ya Islamic Republic of Iran.
