Kupambana kolimba kwa Purezidenti wa Iran Rouhani kutsegulira njira kuti Iran ipitilize kuyesetsa kuyanjananso ndi anthu padziko lonse lapansi ndikukulitsa ufulu wapadziko lonse lapansi, atero a Trita Parsi.
Wolemba Trita Parsi, ConsortiumNews.
Kuchuluka kwa ndale za anthu aku Iran kukupitilizabe kuchita chidwi. Ngakhale kuti dongosolo la ndale linali lolakwika kwambiri kumene zisankho sizikhala zachilungamo kapena zaufulu, ochuluka kwambiri anasankha njira yopanda chiwawa kuti abweretse patsogolo.
Hassan Rouhani, Purezidenti wa Islamic Republic of Iran, akulankhula ku United Nations General Assembly, Sept. 22, 2016 (Chithunzi cha UN)
Iwo adachita nawo zisankho mochuluka ndi 75 peresenti - poyerekeza ndi chiwerengero cha anthu omwe adavotera mu zisankho za US mu 2016, 56 peresenti - ndipo adapatsa Purezidenti Hassan Rouhani yemwe anali wodziimira payekha kupambana kwakukulu ndi 57 peresenti ya mavoti.
M'madera, chisankhochi ndi chodabwitsa kwambiri. M’madera ambiri a ku Middle East, zisankho sizichitika n’komwe. Tengani Saudi Arabia mwachitsanzo, chisankho cha Purezidenti Donald Trump paulendo wake woyamba wakunja.
Pali zinthu zingapo zomwe tinganene ponena za tanthauzo la gulu la anthu aku Iran.
Choyamba, apanso, anthu aku Iran adavotera munthu yemwe akukhulupirira kuti amakondedwa ndi Mtsogoleri Wapamwamba wa Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Ichi tsopano ndi chitsanzo cholimba.
Kachiwiri, aku Iran adadzudzula magulu otsutsa omwe anali ku ukapolo komanso agulu la Washington hawks ndi neocons omwe adapempha anthu aku Iran kuti anyalanyaze zisankho kapena kuvotera wopikisana nawo wolimba Ebrahim Raisi kuti afulumire kukangana. Mwachiwonekere, zinthuzi zilibe zotsatira ku Iran.
Chachitatu, ngakhale Trump akusokoneza mgwirizano wa nyukiliya ndi Iran, ndipo ngakhale pali mavuto aakulu ndi ndondomeko yothandizira zilango zomwe zasiya anthu ambiri aku Irani akhumudwitsidwa ndi mgwirizano wa nyukiliya, anthu aku Irani adasankhabe zokambirana, kudziletsa komanso kudziletsa pamzere wotsutsana wamaboma am'mbuyomu aku Iran. Iran lero ndi limodzi mwa mayiko ochepa padziko lapansi kumene uthenga wodekha komanso wotsutsa-populism umakutetezani kuti mupambane chisankho.
Ufulu Wachibadwidwe
Chachinayi, ngakhale kuti Rouhani adalephera kukwaniritsa malonjezo ake oti apititse patsogolo ufulu wa anthu ku Iran, aku Iran ndi atsogoleri a atsogoleri a Green Movement anamupatsa mwayi wachiwiri. Koma tsopano ali ndi udindo wamphamvu - ndi zifukwa zochepa. Ino ndi nthawi yoti akwaniritse malonjezo omwe adalimbikitsa anthu mamiliyoni ambiri aku Iran kuti amusankhe kawiri ngati purezidenti.
Mwana waku Iran atanyamula chithunzi cha Mtsogoleri Wapamwamba waku Iran Ali Khamenei pa imodzi mwamawonekedwe ake pagulu. (chithunzi cha boma la Iran)
Ayenera kuchitapo kanthu kuti ateteze ufulu wachibadwidwe ndi ufulu wa anthu aku Iran, kutsata ubale wabwino ndi dziko lapansi, ndikulimbikitsa kukula kwachuma kwa anthu aku Iran. Mphamvu zolimba zomwe zidapangitsa kuti Iran amangidwe komanso kuphedwa mwankhanza mwina sangayankhe mwachindunji kwa Rouhani, koma anthu aku Iran omwe adamusankha akuyembekeza kuti achita zambiri mu nthawi yake yachiwiri kuti abweretse kusintha.
Kulephera kutero kungawononge m'badwo wa anthu aku Iran pachikhulupiriro chakuti mawu awo atha kusintha, zomwe zingathe kubweretsa tsogolo la Iran ku mawu ovuta omwe angabweretse dzikolo kudziko lodzipatula komanso kulimbana ndi mayiko a Kumadzulo.
Chachisanu, pamene Saudi Arabia ikulandira Trump ndikumukakamiza kuti abwerere ku ndondomeko yodzipatula kwathunthu ku Iran, mkulu wa European Union Foreign Policy Federica Mogherini adayamikira Rouhani chifukwa cha chigonjetso chake ndipo adaperekanso EU ku mgwirizano wa nyukiliya. Zotsatira za zisankho zilimbitsa kudzipereka kwa EU pakuwonetsetsa kuti mgwirizanowu ukupitilirabe komanso kudzipereka kwake pakukhazikitsa chitetezo ku Middle East.
Chifukwa chake, EU itsutsa kuyesa kwa Trump ndi Saudi Arabia kuti ayambe kulimbana ndi Iran. Izi zikupangitsa kuti olamulira a Trump asagwirizanenso ndi Europe ndi ogwirizana ndi US aku Western pankhani yofunika yachitetezo.
Diplomacy Pa Nkhondo
Chachisanu ndi chimodzi, anthu aku Irani adavomerezanso ndondomeko yokambirana ndi azungu, koma funso ndilakuti ngati a Trump achotsa nkhonya yake ndikukumbatira zenera ili kuti akambirane. Monga momwe vuto la nyukiliya lidathetsedwa pokambirana, mikangano yotsala pakati pa US ndi Iran imathanso kuthetsedwa mwaukadaulo, kuphatikiza Syria ndi Yemen. Izi ndi zomwe Middle East ikufunika tsopano - zokambirana zambiri, osati kugulitsa zida zambiri.
Mlembi wa Chitetezo Jim Mattis akulandira Wachiwiri kwa Prince Crown Prince ndi Mtumiki wa Chitetezo Mohammed bin Salman ku Pentagon, March 16, 2017. (DoD chithunzi ndi Sgt. Amber I. Smith)
Chachisanu ndi chiwiri, Congress ikuyenera kupeŵa kunyoza uthenga womveka bwino wokomera anthu wa ku Iran ndikupatsa mphamvu anthu okhwima maganizo pokankhira patsogolo malamulo okhudza zilango pambuyo pa zotsatira za zisankho. Zilango zatsopano za Senate zikuyembekezeka kulembedwa mu komiti sabata ikubwerayi. Ndi kuyankha koyipa bwanji kwa anthu aku Iran atavotera zokambirana komanso kuwongolera.
Pomaliza, kulimbirana mphamvu ku Iran kukukulirakulira ku funso la yemwe adzalowe m'malo mwa Ayatollah Khamenei ndikukhala Mtsogoleri Wapamwamba wa Iran. Anthu ambiri amakhulupirira kuti Rouhani akuyang'ana izi. Ndi chigonjetso chake chachikulu, wakulitsa ziyembekezo zake. Kumbali ina, izi ndi zomwe chisankho chapulezidentichi chidali.
Trita Parsi ndiye woyambitsa ndi Purezidenti wa National Iranian American Council komanso katswiri pa ubale wa US-Irani, ndale zakunja zaku Iran, komanso geopolitics ku Middle East. Iye ndi wolemba wopambana mphoto wa mabuku awiri, Mgwirizano Wachinyengo - Zochita Zachinsinsi za Israeli, Iran ndi US (Yale University Press, 2007) ndi Mpukutu Umodzi wa Dice - Diplomacy ya Obama ndi Iran (Yale University Press, 2012). Iye tweets pa @tparsi.
