Zachidziwikire kuti gulu la anthu ku America komanso Congress, mosasamala za chipani, angavomereze kuti ndalamazi sizingachitike ndipo sizingachitike. Popeza kukhalapo kwa akatswiri ambiri oganiza bwino komanso opanga mfundo m'boma, zikuwoneka zomveka kunena kuti kunyoza kunkhondo ndikunamizira. Ngati ndi choncho, ndizosokoneza kuchokera ku zenizeni, funso lofunsa: Kodi ayenera kudikirira nthawi yayitali bwanji kukakamizidwa ndi chuma cha China, m'malo motengera zokambirana zomwe zingayambitsidwe pokambirana mwachindunji?
Akuluakulu a Obama ati zinali zomasuka kukambirana, koma zimayika ndalama zake pazachuma ndi zopanikiza pomwe North Korea idapanga mphamvu kuchoka pa Kim Jong Il kupita kwa Kim Jong Un. North Korea, mwatsoka, sili pachiwopsezo cha kutaya kachikwama ngati mayiko ochita malonda wamba monga Iran. Anthu aku North Korea adadulidwa kale kwachuma chonse ndipo sanalumikizidwe ndi anthu apadziko lonse lapansi kotero kuti kudzipatula kwakutali sikungasinthe kuchuluka kwawo.
Chomwe chikulonjeza za Kim Jong Un ndikuti ali ndi malingaliro ofuna kutukula chuma cha North Korea, ndipo mfundo zake zapakhomo zakhala zikukula kale. Koma cholinga chake choyamba ndi kupulumuka kwa maboma ndi chitetezo cha mayiko, ndipo chifukwa chake, akuwona kuti kuthana ndi zida za nyukiliya ndikofunikira (lingaliro labwino, zachisoni). Zaka eyiti ndi kukakamizidwa - koma chifukwa cha zokambirana zambiri atangomwalira Kim Jong Il - sanachite chilichonse chobisa Pyongyang poganiza kuti amafunika zida za nyukiliya, kapena kuletsa North Korea kusintha luso lake ndi kukulitsa zida zake.
The Oyang'anira a Trump alengeza kuti njira yaku Obama yofuna "kuleza mtima" idatha. Koma ngati ikufunadi kuyambitsa nyengo yatsopano, njira yochitira izi sikuti ndikusokoneza anthu ndikuwopseza nkhondo, ndikudikirira Purezidenti wa China Xi Jinping kuti agwetse Kim. M'malo mwake, kusuntha kwanzeru kukakhala kuti atsegule zokambirana zachindunji ndi Pyongyang zomwe zimayambira pakukambirana kuzimiririka pazinthu zopanga zanyumba, kubwerera kwa oyendera a International Atomic Energy Agency, komanso kusunthika poyesa zida za nyukiliya ndi zida zazitali zaukadaulo (kuphatikiza satellite amayambitsa). Kubwereza, United States iyenera kusangalatsa pempho la Pyongyang loyimitsidwa kuti ayimitse machitidwe olowa usilikali ndi South Korea. Kim akhoza kukhala wololera kuvomereza zochepa, monga kusintha pamlingo. Kapenanso atha kukhala otseguka ku mtundu wina wamalonda - kuyambitsa zokambirana kuti asinthe 1953 Armistice Agwirizano mu mgwirizano wamtendere kuti athetse Nkhondo yaku Korea, mwachitsanzo. Njira yokhayo yotsimikizira zosankha izi ndikufika patebulo. Ndi miyezi iwiri yochita masewera olimbitsa thupi Tsopano, ino ndiye nthawi yabwino kutero.
Kuuma ndi kusuntha koyamba chabe komwe kukufunika kukhala njira yayitali yomwe imasinthira zinthu zomwe zimayang'ana mbali iliyonse ndikuwona zomwe mbali iliyonse ikuwona ngati maziko a vutoli. Sitingadziwe kwenikweni zomwe Kim akufuna, ndi zomwe angapereke kuti atenge, mpaka titayambitsa kukambirana. Koma kuyambira atatenga mphamvu, pakhala pali umboni wamphamvu kuti zikhumbo zake zimapitilira zopititsa muyeso, kuti cholinga chake chenicheni ndikutukuka kwachuma. M'malo moopseza nkhondo kapena kukulitsa kulipira, njira yopindulitsa kwambiri ndikuwononga Kim mumsewu womwewo maiko akuluakulu ku East Asia onse atenga: kuchoka pamphamvu kupita ku chuma. Ngati Kim akufuna kukhala wolamulira mwankhanza waku North Korea, njira yabwino kwambiri yothetsera United States ndiyo kumuthandiza. Sitingayembekezere kuti angaperekenso zida zake zanyukiliya poyambira ntchitoyi, koma ndi njira yokhayo yomwe ingamuthandizire pamapeto pake.
Ino ndi nthawi yoti mulumphe ndikuyambitsa ntchito yolumikizira njira yomwe imatsegulanso njira, kutsitsa kuzunzika ndikubweza kuthekera kwa North Korea komwe kuli. Kenako, pogwira ntchito limodzi ndi boma latsopano ku Seoul ndi ena, United States iyenera kuthandizira lingaliro lalitali lomwe limagwirizanitsa North Korea kukhazikika kwachitukuko komanso chitukuko. Chifukwa pulogalamu ya nyukiliya ndiyo bajeti yomaliza yomwe Kim adzadula, kulipira kumangowonjezera mavuto a anthu aku North Korea, ndipo kukakamizidwa kumalepheretsa kuphwanya ufulu wa anthu pansi. Njira zabwino zochepetsera kuvutika kwa anthu aku North Korea ndikuwapatsa mwayi wochita bwino pazachuma ndikuwathandiza kuti adzitsegule mayiko awo pang'onopang'ono.
Mwakuyambitsa mavuto azachuma, kuwopseza asitikali ankhondo ndikukhazikitsa bata, United States ikuchita nawo zoyipa zoyipitsitsa za North Korea. Zolinga za nyukiliya za Kim zidzauma ndipo kuthekera kwa North Korea kungokulitsa. Yakwana nthawi yoti musinthe.
A John Delury ndi pulofesa wothandizira maphunziro a Chitchaina ku Yonsei University Graduate School of International Study ku Seoul.
Mawu a Chithunzi: Zilolezo zimanyongedwa kudutsa Kim Il Sung Square pa masewera achitetezo ku Pyongyang, North Korea, pa Epulo 15. (Wong Maye-E / Associated Press)
