Ndi Winslow Myers
Kusamvana komwe kukukulirakulira ku Ukraine kumabweretsa nkhawa kuti "kuphulika kwa moto" pakati pa zida zanyukiliya wamba komanso zanzeru zomwe zitha kupezeka kwa onse omwe ali pankhondoyi zitha kuphwanyidwa, ndi zotsatira zosayembekezereka.
Loren Thompson analemba mu Forbes Magazine (http://www.forbes.com/sites/lorenthompson/2014/04/24/four-ways-the-ukraine-crisis-could-escalate-to-use-of-nuclear- zida/) momwe vuto la Ukraine lingapitirire nyukiliya: kudzera munzeru zolakwika; kupyolera mwa magulu otsutsana kutumiza zizindikiro zosakanikirana; kupyolera mu chigonjetso choyandikira mbali zonse; kapena kudzera mu kuphwanya lamulo pabwalo lankhondo.
Mu mawonekedwe ake osavuta, zovuta za ku Ukraine zimachokera ku matanthauzo otsutsana ndi machitidwe amtengo wapatali: kwa Putin, NATO-izing ya Ukraine inali yonyansa kwa dziko la Russia lomwe silingathe kuvomerezedwa, makamaka chifukwa cha mbiri ya kuukira mobwerezabwereza kwa Russia. ndi asilikali akunja. Malinga ndi malingaliro akumadzulo, dziko la Ukraine linali ndi ufulu ngati dziko lodziyimira pawokha kuti lilowe nawo ku NATO ndikusangalala ndi chitetezo chake, ngakhale vutoli limabweretsa funso loti chifukwa chiyani NATO ikadalipo chifukwa chochotsa kunkhondo yozizira - nkhondo yozizira yakale. Kodi NATO ndichitetezo chotsutsana ndi ulamuliro wa Putin wotsitsimutsa waku Russia, kapena kuukira kwa NATO mpaka kumalire a Russia ndiko kudayambitsa kuyankha kwake modabwitsa?
Ngakhale kuti ulamuliro ndi demokalase ndizofunika kwambiri pazandale, munthu ayenera kungosintha zomwe zikuchitika ku Ukraine kuti ayambe kumvetsetsa, ngati samvera chisoni, malingaliro a Putin. Chitsanzo choyenera kwambiri chotsatira chinachitika kale mu 1962. Ndizowona kuti Cuban Missile Crisis, kumene United States inamva kuti "gawo lake lachikoka" limalowa mosavomerezeka. Zaka 53 pambuyo pake chitaganya cha padziko lonse chikuwoneka kuti chinaphunzira pang'ono kuchokera ku chiwonongeko cha tsitsi.
Mavuto aku Ukraine ndi chitsanzo chophunzitsa chifukwa chake kuchedwa kwa maulamuliro akulu kuti akwaniritse udindo wawo pansi pa Pangano la Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty kumatha kutha movuta kwambiri. Akatswiri athu sanayambe kumvetsetsa kuti kukhalapo kwa zida zapadziko lapansi kumakonzanso bwanji ntchito yankhondo pothetsa mikangano yapadziko lapansi.
Zimathandiza ndi kukonzanso uku kuvomereza kusinthika kwa biology ya amuna (akazinso, koma makamaka amuna) mkangano-kulimbana kwathu kapena kuthawa. Akuluakulu aboma ndi olemba ndemanga amalemekeza udindowu kapena uwo mwa kufotokozera momveka bwino, koma m'mawu onsewa tikadali m'bwalo la sukulu, tikumenya zifuwa ndi kubangula ngati anyani.
Ndizosamveka kwambiri kunena kuti paradigm yatsopano yaumuna ikufunika. M'mbuyomu, ndine mwamuna chifukwa ndimateteza malo anga, malo anga. Mwatsopano, ndimateteza zamoyo zomwe zikuchitika padziko lonse lapansi. M'mbuyomu, ndine wodalirika chifukwa ndimachirikiza ziwopsezo zanga ndi ma megatons amphamvu zowononga (ngakhale zodziwononga ndekha). M'mawu atsopano, ndikuvomereza kuti kukhwima kwa malingaliro anga kumatha kutha dziko. Popeza kuti njira ina ndi imfa ya anthu ambiri, ndimayang'ana chiyanjanitso.
Kodi kusintha kwakukulu koteroko kuli kotheka m’nyengo yamasiku ano ya chiwawa cha amuna chimene chikulamulira dziko lonse, maseŵera ndi maseŵero a pavidiyo, ndi chikapitolizimu champikisano chopambanitsa, kaŵirikaŵiri? Koma chowonadi chomwe chikubwera cha zovuta zambiri za Mizinga yaku Cuba, poganiza kuti dziko lapansi lipulumuka, zidzakakamiza amuna kuti afutukuke mpaka pamlingo wapadziko lapansi zomwe zikutanthauza kukhala wopambana, kukhala woteteza osati wa banja kapena fuko lokha, koma wa dziko lapansi, nyumba ya zonse zomwe timagawana ndikuziyamikira.
Sizili ngati kuti palibe fanizo lachimuna chomwe chikubwerachi. Ganizilani Gandhi ndi King. Kodi anali akhungu kapena ofooka? Ayi ndithu. Kukhoza kukulitsa chizindikiritso kuphatikiza chisamaliro cha dziko lonse lapansi ndi anthu onse ali mwa ife tonse, kudikirira mwayi wopanga mawonekedwe.
Chitsanzo chimodzi chosadziwika bwino cha malingaliro atsopano omwe akubwera muzovuta zakale ndi Rotary. Rotary idayambitsidwa ndi amalonda. Bizinesi mwachilengedwe imakhala yopikisana-ndipo nthawi zambiri imakhala yosamala pazandale chifukwa misika imafuna kukhazikika pazandale-koma mayendedwe a Rotary amapitilira mpikisano wapasukulu, mokomera chilungamo, ubwenzi, ndi miyezo yapamwamba yamakhalidwe yomwe imaphatikizapo kufunsa funso limodzi losonyeza kuzindikirika kwa mapulaneti: zomwe zaperekedwa kukhala zopindulitsa kwa onse okhudzidwa? Rotary ili ndi mamembala opitilira 1.2 miliyoni m'makalabu opitilira 32,000 pakati pa mayiko 200 ndi madera. Anagwira ntchito yaikulu modabwitsa, yooneka ngati yosatheka yothetsa poliyo padziko lapansi, ndipo afika pafupi kwambiri kuti apambane. Mwina mabungwe ngati Rotary adzakhala malo ochitirako masewera olimbitsa thupi momwe mawonekedwe atsopano achimuna adzalimbana ndi akale kuti asathenso. Kodi Rotary angachite chiyani ngati angayesetse kuthetsa nkhondo?
Winslow Myers ndi mlembi wa "Living Beyond War: A Citizen's Guide," ndipo amagwira ntchito ku Advisory Board of the War Prevention Initiative.
