France ndi Fraying ya NATO

Biden wakwiyitsa dziko la France pokonza mgwirizano kuti apereke sitima zankhondo zoyendera nyukiliya ku Australia. Izi zikulowa m'malo mwa mgwirizano wogula zombo zoyendetsedwa ndi dizilo kuchokera ku France. Australia iyenera kulipira zilango chifukwa chophwanya mgwirizano koma capitalists aku France ataya pafupifupi 70 biliyoni. Kuwoneka koyenera kwa Canberra ndi Washington kwapangitsa Paris kuyerekezera Biden ndi Trump. UK ndi mnzake wachitatu pamgwirizanowu kotero yembekezerani kuti ubale wa pambuyo pa Brexit Franco ndi Britain usokonekere. Izi zonse ndi zabwino, mwa lingaliro langa!

Ndichinthu chabwino kuti kuchoka kwa Biden kwa asitikali aku US ku Afghanistan sikunakonzedwe bwino ndi "mabungwe ogwirizana" monga Britain, French ndi Germany, zomwe zidawadzudzula mwaukali. Ndizosangalatsa kuti Prime Minister waku Britain adapempha France "Mgwirizano Wofunitsitsa" wopitiliza kumenya nkhondo ku Afghanistan kutsatira kuchotsedwa kwa US - ndikwabwino kuti idafa m'madzi. (Mwinanso achifalansa kuposa Brits amakumbukira Suez Crisis ya 1956, mgwirizano wowopsa wa mgwirizano wa Anglo-France ndi Israeli kuti akhazikitsenso ulamuliro wa ma imperialist pamtsinjewo. Sikuti kunangowalepheretsa kutenga nawo mbali ku United States; 'Aphungu a Soviet.) Ndibwino kuti mayiko atatuwa amvera lamulo la US kuti asunge lonjezo lawo la NATO loti adzaimirira ndi US akaukiridwa; kuti adataya magulu ankhondo opitilira 600 mosaphula kanthu; ndikuti pamapeto pake a US sanawone koyenera kuwatenga nawo gawo pamapulani. Ndibwino kuti tidziwe kuti olamulira ankhondo aku US sangasamale za zomwe amalemba kapena miyoyo yawo, koma amangowamvera ndikudzipereka.

Ndizosangalatsa kuti Germany, ngakhale idanyansidwa ndi US, idapitilizabe kugwira nawo ntchito yapayipi yachilengedwe ya Nordstream II ndi Russia. Maboma atatu omaliza aku US atsutsa payipi iyi, ponena kuti ichepetsa mgwirizano wa NATO ndikuthandizira Russia (ndikulimbikitsanso kugula magetsi okwera mtengo kwambiri aku US m'malo mwake - kuti mulimbikitse chitetezo, simukuwona). Zokangana pa Cold War sizimveka. Mapaipi adamalizidwa mwezi watha. Zabwino pa malonda aulere padziko lonse lapansi komanso pakuyang'anira mayiko, komanso kuwukira kwakukulu ku Europe ku hegemony yaku US.

Ndizosangalatsa kuti a Trump mu Ogasiti 2019 adadzutsa chiyembekezo chopanda pake chodzagula Greenland kuchokera ku Denmark, osasamala zakuti Greenland ndi bungwe lodziyimira lokha, mu Kingdom of Denmark. (Ndi 90% Inuit, ndipo motsogozedwa ndi zipani zandale zomwe zikufuna ufulu wambiri.) Ndizodabwitsa kuti Prime Minister waku Danish pomwe modekha, mwamanyazi, adakana malingaliro ake osazindikira, achipongwe komanso atsankho, adakwiya ndikuletsa kuyendera kwawo kuphatikiza chakudya chamadzulo ndi mfumukazi. Sanakhumudwitse dziko la Danish lokha komanso malingaliro odziwika ku Europe konse chifukwa chodzikuza komanso kunyada. Zabwino kwambiri.

Trump iyemwini, adanyoza Prime Minister waku Canada komanso chancellor waku Germany ndi chilankhulo chofananira chomwe adagwiritsa ntchito polimbana ndi otsutsa andale. Adadzutsa mafunso m'maganizo a azungu komanso aku Canada zakufunika kwamgwirizano ndi zoyipa zotere. Ichi chinali chopereka chachikulu m'mbiri.

Zabwino komanso kuti, ku Libya mu 2011, a Hillary Clinton akugwira ntchito ndi atsogoleri aku France ndi Britain adapeza chilolezo ku UN pantchito ya NATO yoteteza anthu ku Libya. Ndipo kuti, pomwe wotsogozedwa ndi US adapitilira chigamulo cha UN ndikupanga nkhondo yothana ndi mtsogoleri waku Libyan, zomwe zidakwiyitsa China ndi Russia omwe adanama, mayiko ena a NATO adakana kutenga nawo mbali kapena kubwerera monyansidwa. Nkhondo ina yachifumu yaku US yozikidwa pamabodza obweretsa chisokonezo ndi kusefukira kwa Europe ndi othawa kwawo. Zinali zabwino pokhapokha kuti zidawululiranso kuwonongeka kwamakhalidwe abwino ku USA komwe tsopano kukugwirizana ndi zithunzi za Abu Ghraib, Bagram, ndi Guantanamo. Zonse m'dzina la NATO.

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Kwa zaka makumi awiri zapitazi, pomwe Soviet Union ndi "chiwopsezo cha chikominisi" zikubwerera m'mbuyo, US yakulitsa mgwirizanowu wotsutsana ndi Soviet, anti-chikominisi womwe udatchedwa NATO kuti uzinge Russia. Munthu aliyense wopanda tsankho akuyang'ana mapu amatha kumvetsetsa nkhawa zaku Russia. Russia imagwiritsa ntchito pafupifupi chachisanu cha zomwe US ​​ndi NATO amawononga pazankhondo. Russia siopseza asitikali ku Europe kapena North America. Chifukwa chake - anthu aku Russia akhala akufunsa kuyambira 1999, pomwe a Bill Clinton adaswa lonjezo la omwe adalowererapo ku Gorbachev ndikuyambiranso kukula kwa NATO powonjezera Poland, Hungary ndi Czechoslovakia - bwanji mukuyesetsabe kutizinga?

Pakadali pano azungu ambiri akukayikira utsogoleri wa United States. Izi zikutanthauza kukayikira cholinga komanso kufunika kwa NATO. Wopangidwa kuti athane ndi kulanda kwakungoganiza kwa Soviet ku Europe "yakumadzulo", sikunayambitsidwe pankhondo nthawi ya Cold War. Nkhondo yake yoyamba inali nkhondo ya Clintons pa Serbia mu 1999. Mkangano uwu, womwe udasokoneza mbiri yakale yaku Serbia kuchokera ku Serbia kuti apange boma la Kosovo (losagwira ntchito), wakhala akukanidwa ndi omwe akutenga nawo mbali Spain ndi Greece omwe akuwona kuti UN Chisankho chololeza ntchito yothandiza anthu ku Serbia kunanena mosapita m'mbali kuti dziko la Serbia silikhala logawanika. Pakadali pano (pambuyo posaina pangano lachinyengo la "Rambouillet") nduna yakunja yaku France idadandaula kuti US ikuchita zinthu ngati munthu wonyenga ("hyperpower" motsutsana ndi wamphamvu chabe).

Tsogolo la NATO lili ndi US, Germany, France ndi UK. Otsiriza atatu anali mamembala ataliatali a EU, omwe pomwe gulu lotsutsana limagwirizana kwambiri ndi NATO. NATO yalowa mu EU kotero kuti pafupifupi mayiko onse omwe avomerezedwa mgulu lankhondo kuyambira 1989 ayamba kulowa nawo NATO, kenako EU. Ndipo mkati mwa EU - zomwe zili choncho, malo ogulitsa omwe amapikisana ndi North America - UK idakhala ngati mtundu wina waku US wolimbikitsa mgwirizano ndi kunyanyala kwamalonda aku Russia, ndi zina zambiri. Tsopano UK idagawika kuchokera ku EU, sichikupezeka, kunena, kukakamiza Germany kuti ipewe kuchita nawo ma Russia aku Washington akutsutsa. Zabwino!

Germany ili ndi zifukwa zingapo zofuna kuwonjezera malonda ndi Russia ndipo tsopano yawonetsa kufuna kuyimirira ku US Germany ndi France onse adatsutsa nkhondo yaku Iraq ya George W. Bush potengera mabodza. Sitiyenera kuiwala momwe Bush (adalimbikitsidwira posachedwa ngati wolamulira ndi a Democrat!) Ndipo ngati a Obama akuwoneka ngwazi mosiyana, maginito ake adatha pomwe azungu adazindikira kuti onse akuyang'aniridwa ndi National Security Agency, ndikuti kuyimba kwa Angela Merkel ndi Papa kudasokonekera. Ili linali dziko la ufulu ndi demokalase, nthawi zonse amadzitamandira pakumasula Europe ku chipani cha Nazi ndikuyembekeza kuti adzalandilidwa kwamuyaya mwa mabwalo andale.

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Patha zaka 76 kuyambira kugwa kwa Berlin (kwa Soviet, monga mukudziwa, osati ku US);

72 kuyambira kukhazikitsidwa kwa North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO);

Kuyambira kugwa kwa Khoma la Berlin ndi lonjezo la George WH Bush kwa Gorbachev OSAKWERETSA NATO kupitilira;

22 kuyambira pomwe kuyambiranso kwa kukula kwa NATO;

Kuyambira pomwe nkhondo ya US-NATO idagonjetsedwa ku Serbia kuphatikiza kuphulitsa bomba kwamlengalenga ku Belgrade;

20 popeza NATO idapita kunkhondo pomenyera US ku Afghanistan, zomwe zidapangitsa kuwonongeka ndi kulephera;

Zaka 13 kuchokera pomwe US ​​idazindikira Kosovo ngati dziko lodziyimira pawokha, ndipo NATO yalengeza zakulandila kwakanthawi kwa Ukraine ndi Georgia, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti nkhondo ya Russia ndi Georgia ivomerezeke ndi mayiko aku South Ossetia ndi Abkhazia;

Zaka 10 kuchokera pomwe ntchito yoopsa ya NATO yowononga ndi kusoka chisokonezo ku Libya, ndikupangitsa mantha ambiri ku Sahel komanso ziwawa zamtundu ndi mafuko m'dziko lomwe likugwedezeka, ndikupanga mafunde ambiri othawa kwawo;

Kuyambira pomwe putch wolimba mtima wamagazi waku US ku Ukraine yemwe adaika chipani cha pro-NATO muulamuliro, ndikupangitsa kupanduka komwe kukuchitika pakati pa anthu aku Russia kum'mawa ndikukakamiza Moscow kuti ilandenso Peninsula ya Crimea, ndikuyitanitsa zilango za US zomwe sizinachitikepo ndi US kukakamiza ogwirizana kuti azitsatira;

5 kuyambira pomwe mutu wankhanza wankhanza udapambana utsogoleri wa US ndipo posakhalitsa udasiyanitsa ogwirizana nawo m'mawu ake, mwano, kusazindikira, njira yolimbana, kufunsa mafunso m'maganizo mabiliyoni ambiri zakukhazikika kwamaganizidwe ndi kuweruza kwa ovota mdziko lino;

Chaka chimodzi kuyambira pantchito yotentha yomwe idalonjeza kukweza ndi kulimbikitsa NATO, yemwe adakhala mtsogoleri wa Obama ku Ukraine pambuyo pa kulanda boma ku 1, cholinga chake ndikukonza ziphuphu kuti akonzekere Ukraine kukhala membala wa NATO (ndipo bambo wa ndani Hunter Biden yemwe adakhala pagulu la kampani yotsogola ku Ukraine ya 2014-2014 ndikupanga mamiliyoni popanda chifukwa kapena ntchito) adakhala Purezidenti.

Chaka chimodzi kuchokera pomwe dziko lapansi lidawona mobwerezabwereza pa kanema kanema wa mphindi 1 wa apolisi otseguka, akuwonekera m'misewu ya Minneapolis, ndithudi ambiri mwa malingaliro akudabwa kuti dziko lino lokondera lili ndi ufulu wotani wophunzitsa China kapena aliyense ufulu wachibadwidwe.

Miyezi 9 kuchokera pomwe capitol yaku US idavutitsidwa ndi malaya abulauni aku US akuwonetsa mbendera za Confederate ndi zizindikilo za fascist ndikuyitanitsa kuti wotsatila prezidenti wa Trump apandukire boma.

Ndi mbiri yayitali yaku Europe yowopsa yomwe ili ndi atsogoleri omwe akuwoneka osakhazikika (Bush osachepera Trump); Kuzunza Europe ndi zofuna zake kumachepetsa malonda ndi Russia ndi China ndikumvera malamulo aku US ku Iran, ndikufunanso kuti atenge nawo mbali pankhondo zawo zankhondo zankhondo zakutali kuchokera ku North Atlantic kupita ku Central Asia ndi Northern Africa.

Imeneyi ndi mbiri yakukwiyitsa Russia pomwe ikukulitsa juggernaut yotsutsana ndi Russia. Izi zatanthawuza kugwiritsa ntchito gulu lankhondo la NATO (monga ku Serbia, Afghanistan, ndi Libya) kulimbitsa mgwirizano wankhondo motsogozedwa ndi US, kuyika asitikali a 4000 US ku Poland, ndikuwopseza ndege ku Baltic. Pakadali pano, mabungwe angapo aku US akugwira ntchito nthawi yochulukirapo kuti akonze "zosintha mitundu" m'maboma omwe ali m'malire ndi Russia: Belarus, Georgia, Ukraine.

NATO ndi yoopsa komanso yoyipa. Iyenera kuthetsedwa. Kafukufuku aku Europe akuwonetsa kuti kukwera kwa kukayikira kwa NATO (kwabwino mwa iwo okha) ndikutsutsa (kwabwino). Idagawanika kale kamodzi: mu 2002-2003 chifukwa cha nkhondo yaku Iraq. Zowonadi za umbanda wankhondo waku Iraq, kufunitsitsa kwa anthu aku America kugwiritsa ntchito zododometsa, komanso umunthu wa buffoonic wa purezidenti waku US mwina zidadabwitsa Europe mofanana ndi a Trump wamwano.

Choseketsa ndichakuti Biden ndi Blinken, Sullivan ndi Austin, onse akuwoneka kuti akuganiza kuti palibe izi zidachitika. Iwo akuwoneka kuti akuganiza kuti dziko lapansi limalemekeza United States ngati mtsogoleri (wachilengedwe?) Wachinthu chomwe chimatchedwa Free World —mayiko omwe adadzipereka ku "demokalase." Blinken akutiuza komanso azungu omwe tikukumana nawo, "autocracy" mwa China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, Venezuela zomwe zimawopseza ife komanso malingaliro athu. Iwo akuwoneka kuti akuganiza kuti akhoza kubwerera ku ma 1950, afotokozere mayendedwe awo monga ziwonetsero za "American Exceptionalism," kukhala olimbikitsa "ufulu wachibadwidwe," kutseka ntchito zawo ngati "ntchito zothandiza," ndikukakamiza mayiko awo kuti agwirizane . Pakadali pano NATO ikukakamizidwa ndi Biden kuti izindikire (monga zidalankhulirana komaliza) PRC ngati "chiwopsezo" ku Europe.

Koma ponena za China zinali zotsutsana. Ndipo NATO imagawika pankhani ya China. Maboma ena sawona zoopsa zambiri ndipo ali ndi zifukwa zonse zokulitsira ubale ndi China, makamaka pakubwera kwa ntchito za Belt and Road. Akudziwa kuti GDP yaku China posachedwa ipitilira ya US ndikuti US sinali yopambana pachuma pambuyo pa nkhondo pomwe idakhazikitsa ulamuliro wake ku Europe. Latha mphamvu zambiri koma, monga Ufumu waku Spain m'zaka za zana lachisanu ndi chitatu, kulibe kudzikuza komanso nkhanza.

Ngakhale atawonekera. Ngakhale zitachitika manyazi zonse. Biden akuwonetsa kumwetulira kwake kophunzitsidwa alengeza "America yabwerera!" kuyembekezera kuti dziko lapansi - makamaka "ogwirizana nawo" - lisangalale ndi kuyambiranso kwachikhalidwe. Koma Biden akuyenera kukumbukira bata lamtendere lomwe lidakumana ndi zomwe Pence adalengeza ku Msonkhano wa Munich Security mu February 2019 popereka moni wa a Trump. Kodi atsogoleri aku US awa sakudziwa kuti m'zaka za zana lino GDP yaku Europe yakhala ikufanana ndi ya US? Ndipo ndi anthu ochepa omwe amakhulupirira kuti US "idapulumutsa" Europe kuchokera ku chipani cha Nazi, kenako ndikuchoka ku Communist Soviet, ndikutsitsimutsa Europe ndi Marshall Plan, ndipo akupitilizabe mpaka pano kuteteza Europe ku Russia yomwe ikuwopseza kupita kumadzulo kulikonse mphindi?

Blinken akufuna kunyamula ndikusunthira patsogolo ndikutsogolera dziko lapansi. Kubwerera mwakale! Kumveka, USleaderhip yodalirika yabwerera!

Oo zoona? Achifalansa angafunse. Kulanda mnzake waku NATO kumbuyo, kuwononga mgwirizano womwe wasainidwa $ 66 biliyoni ndi Australia akutali? "Kuchita," monga nduna yakunja yaku France idanenera, "zomwe a Mr. Trump angachite"? Osati France yokha komanso EU yadzudzula mgwirizano wa US-Australia. Mamembala ena a NATO amakayikira momwe Alliance ya Alliance imagwiritsidwira ntchito ndi mkangano wabizinesi pakati pa mamembala omwe akukhudzana ndi zomwe Pentagon imadzitcha dera la "Indo-Pacific". Ndipo ndichifukwa chiyani-pomwe US ​​ikuyesera kuti NATO itenge nawo gawo panjira yokhala ndi kukhumudwitsa Beijing-sizikuvutitsa kuyanjana ndi France?

Kodi Blinken sakudziwa kuti France ndi dziko lachifumu lokhala ndi ma Pacific ambiri? Kodi amadziwa zamayendedwe apamadzi aku France ku Papeete, Tahiti, kapena gulu lankhondo, la asitikali ankhondo ndi ndege zankhondo ku New Caledonia? Achifalansa adaphulitsa ku Mururora, chifukwa cha mulungu. Monga dziko lachifumu, kodi France ilibe ufulu wofanana ndi US kuti ipite ku China ndi Australia, pakona ya Pacific ya France? Ndipo ngati mnzake wapamtima ku US aganiza zopeputsa mgwirizanowu, kodi ulemu sukadayenera kunena kuti angadziwitse "mnzake wakale kwambiri" za zolinga zake?

Chiweruzo chaku France chazomwe zidayendetsedwa ndi sitima zapamadzi sichinachitikepo, mwina, ndikuganiza, chifukwa chodzudzula kwathunthu France ngati mphamvu yayikulu. Ngati US ikulimbikitsa anzawo kuti agwirizane nawo polimbana ndi China, bwanji osafunsa France za mgwirizano wamikono womwe udapangidwa kuti uchite izi, makamaka ikalanda yemwe akukambirana kale poyera ndi mnzake wa NATO? Kodi sizachidziwikire kuti pempholi la Biden loti "mgwirizano wamgwirizano" limatanthauza kuyanjana, kumbuyo kwa utsogoleri waku US pokonzekera nkhondo ku China?

Pang'onopang'ono NATO ikuwonongeka. Apanso, ichi ndi chinthu chabwino kwambiri. Ndinali ndi nkhawa kuti Biden agwira ntchito mwachangu kuti apange mgwirizanowu ku Ukraine, koma Merkel akuwoneka kuti sanamuwuze ayi. Anthu aku Europe sakufuna kukokedwa kunkhondo ina yaku US, makamaka motsutsana ndi oyandikana nawo omwe amawadziwa bwino kuposa aku America ndipo ali ndi zifukwa zomveka zokondera. France ndi Germany, omwe (amakumbukira) omwe adatsutsana ndi mabodza aku US ku Iraq ku 2003, akumatha kuleza mtima ndi mgwirizanowu ndikudabwa kuti mamembala amatanthauza chiyani kupatula kulowa nawo US pamikangano yawo ndi Russia ndi China.