Chithunzi chojambula: Economic Club of New York
Wolemba Medea Benjamin ndi Nicolas JS Davies, World BEYOND War, January 3, 2023
Mlembi wamkulu wa NATO Jens Stoltenberg, wodziwika chifukwa chothandizira kwambiri Ukraine, posachedwa adawulula mantha ake akulu m'nyengo yozizirayi kwa wofunsa mafunso pa TV kwawo ku Norway: kuti kumenya nkhondo ku Ukraine kumatha kutha mphamvu ndikukhala nkhondo yayikulu pakati pa NATO ndi Russia. “Zinthu zikavuta,” iye anachenjeza motero mwamphamvu, “zikhoza kusokonekera kwambiri.”
Kunali kuvomereza kosowa kuchokera kwa munthu yemwe anali nawo pankhondoyi, ndipo zikuwonetsa kusamvana m'mawu aposachedwa pakati pa atsogoleri andale aku US ndi NATO mbali imodzi ndi akuluakulu ankhondo mbali inayo. Atsogoleri a anthu wamba akuwoneka kuti akudzipereka kumenya nkhondo yayitali, yotseguka ku Ukraine, pomwe atsogoleri ankhondo, monga Mpando wa United States of Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley, alankhula ndikulimbikitsa Ukraine kuti "gwira mphindi” pa zokambirana za mtendere.
Admiral wopuma pantchito Michael Mullen, yemwe kale anali Wapampando wa Joint Chiefs of Staff, adalankhula poyamba, mwina kuyesa madzi a Milley, kuwuza ABC News kuti United States iyenera "kuchita chilichonse chomwe tingathe kuti tiyesetse kufika patebulo kuti tithetse vutoli."
Asia Times inanena kuti atsogoleri ena ankhondo a NATO ali ndi malingaliro a Milley akuti Russia kapena Ukraine sizingapambane nkhondo yeniyeni, pomwe kuwunika kwa asitikali aku France ndi Germany kumatsimikizira kuti zokambirana zamphamvu zomwe Ukraine yapeza chifukwa cha kupambana kwake kwaposachedwa pankhondo kudzakhala kwakanthawi ngati ilephera kumvera. Malangizo a Milley.
Nanga ndichifukwa chiyani atsogoleri ankhondo aku US ndi NATO akulankhula mwachangu kuti akane kupitiriza ntchito yawo yayikulu pankhondo ku Ukraine? Ndipo n’cifukwa ciani akuona ngozi yotelo m’tsogolo ngati mabwana awo andale akuphonya kapena kunyalanyaza zimene amawadziŵa ponena za kusintha kwa ukazembe?
Pentagon-commissioned Rand Corporation phunziro lofalitsidwa mu December, lotchedwa Responding to a Russia Attack on NATO Panthawi ya Nkhondo ya ku Ukraine, limapereka chidziwitso cha zomwe Milley ndi anzake ankhondo amapeza kuti ndizowopsa. Kafukufukuyu akuwunika zomwe US angasankhe poyankha zochitika zinayi zomwe dziko la Russia likuukira magulu angapo a NATO, kuchokera ku satellite yanzeru yaku US kapena malo osungira zida za NATO ku Poland kupita ku zida zazikulu zoponya zida zankhondo ndi madoko a NATO, kuphatikiza Ramstein US Air Base. ndi doko la Rotterdam.
Zochitika zinayi zonsezi ndizongopeka ndipo zimatengera kukwera kwa Russia kupitirira malire a Ukraine. Koma kuwunika kwa olembawo kukuwonetsa momwe mzerewu ulili wabwino komanso wowopsa pakati pa mayankho ochepa komanso olingana ndi momwe asitikali aku Russia akuchulukira komanso kukwera kwamphamvu komwe kungathe kusokonekera ndikuyambitsa nkhondo yanyukiliya.
Chiganizo chomaliza cha kafukufukuyu chinati: “Kuthekera kwa kugwiritsa ntchito zida za nyukiliya kumawonjezera mphamvu ku cholinga cha US chopewa kuchulukirachulukira, cholinga chomwe chingawonekere kukhala chovuta kwambiri pambuyo pa kuukira kwanthawi zonse ku Russia.” Komabe magawo ena a kafukufukuyu amatsutsana ndi kutsika kapena kutsika pang'onopang'ono kwa kukwera kwa Russia, kutengera nkhawa zomwezi ndi "kukhulupilika" kwa US komwe kudapangitsa kuti kukwera kwakukulu koma kopanda phindu ku Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan ndi zina zotayika. nkhondo.
Atsogoleri andale aku US nthawi zonse amakhala ndi mantha kuti ngati sayankha mwamphamvu pazomwe adani achita, adani awo (omwe tsopano akuphatikiza China) atha kunena kuti mayendedwe awo ankhondo atha kukhudza kwambiri mfundo za US ndikukakamiza United States ndi ogwirizana nawo kuti abwerere. Koma kuchulukirachulukira komwe kumayendetsedwa ndi mantha otere kwapangitsa kuti US igonjetse motsimikizika komanso mochititsa manyazi.
Ku Ukraine, nkhawa za US za "kukhulupilika" zikuphatikizidwa ndi kufunikira kowonetsa kwa ogwirizana nawo kuti Article 5 ya NATO - yomwe imati kuwukira kwa membala m'modzi wa NATO kudzawonedwa ngati kuwukira onse - ndikudzipereka kopanda madzi kuwateteza.
Chifukwa chake ndondomeko ya US ku Ukraine imagwidwa pakati pa kufunikira kwa mbiri yowopseza adani ake ndikuthandizira ogwirizana nawo mbali imodzi, ndi zoopsa zomwe sizingaganizidwe zenizeni zakuchulukira kwina. Ngati atsogoleri aku US apitilizabe kuchita zomwe adachita m'mbuyomu, ndikukomera kukwera kwa kutayika kwa "kukhulupilika," adzakhala akukopana ndi nkhondo yanyukiliya, ndipo chiwopsezo chidzangowonjezereka ndikusintha kulikonse komwe kukukulirakulira.
Pomwe kusowa kwa "njira yankhondo" kumayamba pang'onopang'ono kwa ankhondo ampando ku Washington ndi NATO, ali mwakachetechete akutsika malo achiyanjano m'mawu awo agulu. Chochititsa chidwi kwambiri, akusinthanso zokakamira zawo zakale kuti Ukraine iyenera kubwezeretsedwanso kumalire ake asanafike 2014, kutanthauza kubwereranso kwa Donbas ndi Crimea, ndikuyitanitsa kuti Russia ichoke mpaka pa February 24, 2022, zomwe zisanachitike. Russia anali kale anavomera pa zokambirana ku Turkey mu March.
Secretary of State of US Antony Blinken adanena The Wall Street Journal pa Disembala 5th kuti cholinga chankhondo tsopano “ndikutenganso gawo lomwe lalandidwa ku [Ukraine] kuyambira pa February 24. Mtengo WSJ inanena kuti "Awiri akazembe European ... anati [US National Security Adviser Jake] Sullivan analimbikitsa kuti gulu Mr. Zelenskyy kuyamba kuganizira zofuna zenizeni ndi zofunika pa zokambirana, kuphatikizapo kuwunikanso cholinga chake ananena kuti Ukraine kubwezeretsa Crimea, amene anatengedwa mu 2014. .”
In china The Wall Street Journal inagwira mawu akuluakulu a ku Germany akunena kuti, “akukhulupirira kuti n’zosatheka kuyembekezera kuti asilikali a Russia athamangitsidwe m’madera onse amene alanda dzikolo,” pamene akuluakulu a boma la Britain ananena kuti mfundo yocheperako yokambitsirana ndiyo kufunitsitsa kwa Russia “kusiya maudindo. idagwira ntchito pa February 23. "
Chimodzi mwazinthu zoyamba zomwe a Rishi Sunak adachita ngati Prime Minister waku UK kumapeto kwa Okutobala chinali kuti Minister of Defense Ben Wallace atchule nduna ya chitetezo yaku Russia Sergei Shoigu kwa nthawi yoyamba kuyambira kuukira kwa Russia mu February. Wallace adauza Shoigu kuti UK akufuna kuchepetsa Mkanganowu, kusintha kwakukulu kuchokera ku mfundo za Prime Minister wakale Boris Johnson ndi Liz Truss. Chopunthwitsa chachikulu chomwe chimalepheretsa akazembe aku Western kuchoka pagome lamtendere ndi zolankhula komanso zokambirana za Purezidenti Zelenskyy ndi boma la Ukraine, lomwe lalimbikira kuyambira pamenepo. April kuti sipadzakhalanso ulamuliro wonse pa inchi iliyonse yomwe Ukraine inali nayo 2014 isanafike.
Koma udindo waukuluwo udasinthanso modabwitsa pa zomwe Ukraine idachita pazokambirana zothetsa nkhondo ku Turkey mu Marichi, pomwe idavomera kusiya chikhumbo chake cholowa nawo NATO komanso kuti asatenge magulu ankhondo akunja kuti achoke ku Russia. malo asanawonongedwe. Pazokambiranazo, Ukraine idavomereza kukambirana tsogolo la Donbas ndi ku thandizani chigamulo chomaliza pa tsogolo la Crimea kwa zaka 15.
The Financial Times inathyola nthawi nkhani za dongosolo lamtendere la 15 pa Marichi 16, ndi Zelenskyy anafotokoza “mgwirizano wosaloŵerera m’ndale” kwa anthu ake m’nkhani ya pa TV ya dziko lonse pa March 27, akumalonjeza kuti adzaupereka ku referendum ya dziko lonse isanayambe kugwira ntchito.
Koma Prime Minister waku UK a Boris Johnson adalowererapo pa Epulo 9 kuti athetse mgwirizanowu. Adauza Zelenskyy kuti UK ndi "Kumadzulo kwapagulu" anali "momwemo kwa nthawi yayitali" ndipo abwerera ku Ukraine kuti amenyane ndi nkhondo yayitali, koma sangasainire mapangano aliwonse omwe Ukraine adapanga ndi Russia.
Izi zimathandiza kufotokoza chifukwa chake Zelenskyy tsopano akukhumudwa ndi malingaliro akumadzulo kuti abwerere ku tebulo lokambirana. Johnson adasiya ntchito mwamanyazi, koma adasiya Zelenskyy ndi anthu a ku Ukraine akukangamira pa malonjezo ake.
M'mwezi wa Epulo, Johnson adati amalankhulira "Kumadzulo kwapagulu," koma United States yokha idachitanso chimodzimodzi malo, pamene France, Germany ndi Italy onse adayitana zokambirana zatsopano zosiya kumenyana mu May. Tsopano Johnson mwiniwake wachita za-nkhope, akulemba mu Wotsatsa kwa The Wall Street Journal pa Disembala 9 kokha kuti "Asitikali aku Russia ayenera kukankhidwira kumbuyo kumalire a February 24th."
Johnson ndi Biden apanga zosokoneza za mfundo zaku Western pa Ukraine, akudziphatika pazandale ku mfundo zankhondo zopanda malire, zosatha zomwe alangizi ankhondo a NATO amakana pazifukwa zomveka: kupewa nkhondo yachitatu yapadziko lonse yomwe Biden mwiniwakeyo watha. analonjezedwa kupewa.
Atsogoleri aku US ndi NATO pamapeto pake akutenga njira zokambilana, koma funso lovuta lomwe dziko lapansi likukumana nalo mu 2023 ndiloti ngati magulu omenyanawo afika pagome lokambirana kusanayambike kukwera koopsa.
Medea Benjamin ndi Nicolas JS Davies ndi omwe adalemba Nkhondo ku Ukraine: Kumvetsetsa Mkangano Wopanda Nzeru, lofalitsidwa ndi OR Books mu Novembala 2022.
Medea Benjamin ndiye woyambitsa wa CODEPINK kwa Mtendere, ndi wolemba mabuku angapo, kuphatikizapo M'kati mwa Iran: The Real History and Politics of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Nicolas JS Davies ndi mtolankhani wodziyimira payekha, wofufuza ndi CODEPINK komanso wolemba wa Mwazi M'manja Mwathu: Kubowola Kwa America ndi Kuwonongeka kwa Iraq.
