Ndi Ray McGovern, Antiwar.com, December 6, 2021
Pa Meyi 25, 2021, pamene tsiku la June 16 linalengezedwa Pamsonkhano wapakati pa Purezidenti Biden ndi a Putin, zidawoneka ngati zabwino kuti tisataye nthawi kuchenjeza a Biden ndi alangizi ake a neophyte kuti kusintha kwakukulu mu "mgwirizano wapadziko lonse wa mphamvu" (kubwereka nthawi yakale ya Soviet) kukuyenera kukhudza kwambiri. zokambirana za June. China, zachidziwikire, sichitenga nawo gawo pazokambirana zamayiko awiriwa, koma zikadakhalapo kwambiri.
Mwanjira ina, theka lapitalo, tinali ndi nkhawa:
"Kaya Official Washington ikuyamikira kapena ayi kusintha kwapang'onopang'ono - koma kwakukulu - mu ubale wautatu wa America ndi Russia ndi China pazaka makumi angapo zapitazi, zomwe zikuwonekeratu ndikuti US yadzipanga kukhala wotayika kwambiri. Makona atatu angakhalebe ofanana, koma tsopano, kwenikweni, mbali ziwiri motsutsana ndi imodzi. …
"Pali chizindikiro chochepa kuti opanga mfundo masiku ano aku US ali ndi chidziwitso chokwanira komanso aluntha kuti azindikire zenizeni zatsopanozi ndikumvetsetsa zofunikira paufulu wochitapo kanthu ku US. Ngakhale zili choncho, sangamvetse mmene kugwirizana kwatsopano kumeneku kumachitikira pansi, panyanja kapena mumlengalenga.”
Zinali zoonekeratu kuti chodabwitsa chatsopano cha Russia-China entente chidzachepetsa kufunikira kwa zinthu zosafunikira kwenikweni; ndipo sitingakhale otsimikiza kuti Biden adziwitsidwa moyenera.
Chinsinsi cha "Finyani"
Zachidziwikire, Purezidenti Biden sanamve mawuwa - kapena mwina adayiwala. Nayi njira yodabwitsa yomwe Biden adafotokozera, pamsonkhano wake wapamsonkhano, njira yake yopita kwa Putin ku China:
"Popanda kumugwira mawu [Putin] - zomwe sindikuganiza kuti ndizoyenera - ndiroleni ndikufunseni funso lopanda tanthauzo: Muli ndi malire a mailosi zikwizikwi ndi China. China ikufuna kukhala chuma champhamvu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi komanso gulu lankhondo lalikulu kwambiri komanso lamphamvu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi. "
Pabwalo la ndege, apaulendo a Biden adayesetsa kuti amukweze mundege, koma adalephera kumuletsa kugawana nawo malingaliro ake pa China - nthawi ino pa "kufinya" kwa China ku Russia:
“Ndiloleni ndisankhe mawu anga. Russia ili m'malo ovuta kwambiri pakali pano. Iwo akufinyidwa ndi China. "
Kodi Purezidenti Biden akadali nkhomaliro pankhaniyi? Kodi alangizi ake achichepere afunafuna mabuku atsopano, osinthidwa kuchokera kwa omwe mwina adawerengapo m'ma 70s ndi 80s, ndipo adaphunzira kuti Russia ndi China sizinakhalepo pafupi - kuti, ali ndi zomwe zimafanana ndi mgwirizano wankhondo?
Izi zitha kuwoneka ngati chinthu chofunikira kuwonetsetsa kuti Biden amaphunzira - ndikukumbukira. Zingakhale zabwino makamaka ngati wina amuchenjeza posachedwa msonkhano wake weniweni ndi Putin mawa (Lachiwiri). Pano pali kuyesa kwanga kutero utangotha msonkhano wa June.
"Dzanja Lakale la China ndi Chirasha Chakale"
Popeza tidafika kale pa "alumni", ine ndi Ambassador Chas Freeman takhala ndi mwayi wowonera ubale wa Sino / Russia kwazaka zambiri. Inde, Amb. Freeman, monga momwe owerenga ambiri amadziwira, anali dokotala wamkulu, atatanthauzira Purezidenti Richard Nixon paulendo wake wodziwika bwino ku Beijing mu February 1972, ndipo adagwira nawo gawo lalikulu pakukhazikitsa mfundo za dziko la China lomwe lasunga mtendere - pa. osachepera mpaka pano. Ndinatsogolera nthambi ya CIA ya Soviet Foreign Policy kumayambiriro kwa zaka za m'ma 70; akatswiri athu adachita gawo lofunikira pomaliza mapangano a SALT mu Meyi 1972 (pamodzi ndi akatswiri aukadaulo omwe adapatsa Nixon chofunikira: Inde, titha kutsimikizira ngati mukukhulupirira).
Posachedwapa, mu Julayi 2020, pomwe Mlembi wakale wa State Pompeo adasewera khothi kulengeza mfundo zatsopano zaku US ku China ndikudzudzula zakale, Chas ndi ine tinagwirizana pa izi.
Posinthana ndi imelo kumapeto kwa sabata, ndidapempha malingaliro owonjezera Amb. Freeman atha kutero, pomwe Biden akukonzekera msonkhano wake ndi Putin Lachiwiri. Ndi chilolezo cha Chas ndimawapatsa pansipa:
"... Zikuwonekeratu kuti mgwirizano wa Sino-Russian ukukulirakulira chifukwa cha ziwopsezo za US kwa onse awiri. Palibe chomwe chidzachitike ku Taiwan kapena ku Ukraine popanda mgwirizano pakati pa Beijing ndi Moscow. Koma chiwembu chathu champhamvu cholimbana ndi malingaliro aku US pa demokalase chikupangidwa kukhala chenicheni ndi "msonkhano wa demokalase." Izi zakhala zikufuna zida zankhondo zaku Taiwan motsutsana ndi China ndikupangitsa zomwe sizinachitikepo. mawu ogwirizana a Sino-Russian zomwe zimayesa kusokoneza malingaliro athu ndikutsutsa umesiya wathu pa demokalase. "Ndikuganiza kuti tsopano pakhala gulu lankhondo lalikulu kwambiri la Russia pamalire a Ukraine koma kuti, kuletsa kuputa kwa mtedza ku Ukraine, sipadzakhala kuwukira. M'malo mwake, Russia idzakhazikika kuti yapeza maziko olimba odabwitsidwa, nthawi komanso ngati pakufunika. Momwemonso, China mwina sinapange chisankho chokhudza Taiwan koma ikukonzekera malo omenyera nkhondo nthawi yomwe ingafunikire kutero. Onse aku China ndi Russia akugwira ntchito limodzi kuti akhazikitse njira zankhondo zomwe sanafune m'mbuyomu. Zokhudza zida zaku Russia [Mach 9] Zircon: zikufanana ndi kuyesetsa kwa China kuti apange zida zodalirika kwambiri zomenyera zida zanyukiliya motsutsana ndi US"
Bwanji Osayesa Diplomacy Yapang'ono?
Nthawi zonse kazembe, Chas atha kukhala ndi chiyembekezo kuti lonjezo la Purezidenti Biden lothetsa "nkhondo yosalekeza" ndikuyamba "kukambilana kosalekeza" atha kutengera thupi komanso osalankhula mosalekeza. Freeman adaperekanso malingaliro ena pazomwe zachitika posachedwa ku China ndi Russia, atapatsidwa mnzake wofunitsitsa:
"Kusuntha uku ndi njira yakale yogwiritsira ntchito ziwopsezo zankhondo pofuna kukakamiza kuchepetsa mikangano. Nduna Yowona Zakunja yaku Russia Lavrov adafanana ndi waku China kwa kazembe Wang Yi ku Rome, pomwe Lavrov adakumana ndi Blinken ku Stockholm. Wang Yi adafuna kuti mbali ya US ipereke 'ndondomeko yeniyeni ya China, osati yabodza, kuti US ikwaniritse zomwe inalonjeza ku China, ndikuti US ikwaniritse ndondomeko ya China imodzi, m'malo monena chinthu chimodzi koma kuchita. wina.'
"Lavrov anafanana ndi Putin pakufuna" zitsimikizo zodalirika komanso zanthawi yayitali, "kuphatikiza" mapangano apadera omwe angasankhire NATO kupita kummawa ndikutumiza zida zankhondo zomwe zimatiwopseza pafupi ndi gawo la Russia," ndikuwonjezera kuti Moscow ingafunike. osati mawu otsimikizira chabe, koma ‘zitsimikizo zalamulo.’”
Ray McGovern amagwira ntchito ndi Tell the Word, gulu lofalitsa la Mpingo wa Mpulumutsi wa mumzinda wa Washington. Ntchito yake yazaka 27 monga wofufuza za CIA ikuphatikiza kukhala Chief of the Soviet Foreign Policy Branch komanso wokonzekera / kufotokoza za Purezidenti Daily Brief. Ndiwomwe adakhazikitsa nawo Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS).
