E rua tekau ma rua nga rangatira o mua o te US i akiaki i te Perehitini Trump kia whakaaro ano i ana kereme e whakapae ana i te kawanatanga a Hiria mo te mate o nga matū i Idlib me te whakahoki mai i tana piki kino ki a Russia.
MEMORANDUM MO: Te Perehitini
MAI: Ngaio Tohungatanga Tohunga mo te Hinengaro (VIPS) *, consortiumnews.com.
KAUPAPA: Hiria: He "Pakanga Pakanga Tika"?
1 - Ka tuhi atu maatau ki a koe he whakatupato koretake mo te riri o te riri riri me Russia - me te raru o te pakanga karihi. Kua tupu te riri i muri o te whakaekenga o te pere tere poti ki a Hiria hei utu mo taau i kii ai he "patu patu patu" i te Paenga-whāwhā 4 mo nga taangata Hiriani i te tonga o Idlib Porowini.
Ko te Peresideniraa o te Peresideniraa i te huihuinga rongo me te Kingi a Abdullah Abdullah II mo Aperira 5, 2017, i korero ai te Peresideni mo te raruraru i Hiria. (Matapihi i whitehouse.gov)
2 - Ko a maatau Hoia US i to rohe kua kii mai ehara tenei i te mea i tupu. Kaore he Syrian "whakaeke i nga patu matū." Engari, ko te wakarererangi a Hiria i poma tetahi pereti al-Qaeda-i-Syria i puta ke ki tonu i te matū kino, ka pupuhi te hau kaha ki te kapua kikii-matū ki runga i tetahi kainga tata ka mate te nuinga.
3 - Koinei nga korero a nga Rusia me nga Hiriani - me te mea nui ake - he aha i whakaponohia ra.
4 - E ki ana matou ko te Whare Paremata kei te tuku korero mo o matou kaitohutohu; kei te whakapuaki ratou i nga korero i korerotia ki a ratou?
5 - I muri i te whakapae a Putin i a Assad i te 2013 ki te whakarere i ana patu matū, i whakangaro te Ope Taua o Amerika i te 600 metrini tana o te putunga CW o Syria i nga wiki e ono. Ko te mana whakahaere o te UN's Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapon (OPCW-UN) he whakarite kia whakangaromia katoatia - peera i te whakahau mo nga kaitirotiro UN mo Iraq mo WMD. Ko nga kitenga a nga kaitirotiro UN mo te WMD te pono. Kua teka a Rumsfeld me ana tianara a kei te penei tonu te mahi. Kua teitei ake ano nga keehi inaianei; ko te hiranga o te hononga pono ki nga kaiarahi o Russia kaore e taea te kii.
6 - I te marama o Mahuru 2013, i muri i te whakatenatena a Putin ki a Assad ki te whakarere i ana patu matatini (ka tukuna atu a Obama ki tetahi raruraru kaha), ka tuhituhi te Peresideni Rusia mo te New York Times i mea ai ia: "Ko taku mahi me taku whaiaro ko te hononga ki te peresideni Obama ka tohuhia ma te tipu haere i te whakawhirinaki. E mihi ana ahau ki tenei. "
Tuhinga o mua i roto i te Bud
7 - E toru-taapiri nga tau i muri mai, i te Paenga-whāwhā 4, 2017, i korero te Pirimia o Ruhia a Medvedev mo te "kore tino whakawhirinaki," i kii ai ia "pouri mo o taatau whanaungatanga kua ngaro rawa [engari] he korero pai mo nga kaiwhakatuma." Ehara ko te pouri anake, ki ta maatau titiro, engari kaore rawa he take - he kino tonu, he morearea.
8 - Na te whakakorenga o Moscow i te kirimana ki te whakahee i nga mahi rererangi mo Hiria, kua huri te karaka kia ono marama ki tenei ahuatanga i te marama o Hepetema / Oketopa i te 11 marama o te korerorero uaua i puta ai te kirimana whakamutu. Ko nga whakaekenga a te US Air Force ki runga i nga tuunga o nga hoia Syrian i te Hepetema 17, 2016, 70 nga patunga me te whara i te 100, i whakakahoretia te kirimana whakamutu kua whakamanatia e Obama me Putin kotahi wiki i mua. Ka ngaro te tarahiti.
Ka whakahaerehia e te kaihakiraki araihi a USS Porter nga mahi patu i te moana Mediterranean, Aperira 7, 2017. (Navy photo na Petty Officer 3rd Class Ford Williams)
9 - I te mutunga o te X 26, 2016, ko Minita Minita a Lavrov i tangi: "Ko taku hoa pai a John Kerry ... kei te whakahē nui i te mīhini hōia US, [kāore] e tino whakarongo ki te Kaitohutohu." Ko Dunford mo te korero ki te Kaunihera i tana hoariri ki te whakapuaki i te mohio ki a Rusia ki a Hiria, "i muri i te whakaaetanga [ceasefire], i oti i runga i nga whakahau a te Perehitini o Riana, a Vladimir Putin me US Peresideni Barack Obama, i whakatakoto i nga korero e rua. ... He uaua ki te mahi me nga hoa penei. ... "
10 - I te marama o Oketopa 1, 2016, ko te kaikorero o te Kawanatanga a Russia o Maria Zakharova i whakatupato, "Ki te whakatupato te US i te riri tika ki Ramahiku me te Ope Taua Hiriani, ka raruraru, ka neke atu i te motu anake, engari i roto i te katoa rohe. "
11 - I te Oketopa 6, 2016, ko te kaikorero korero a Riana, ko Maj. Gen. Igor Konashenkov i whakatupato i te rite o Russia ki te kopere i nga waka rererangi - tae atu ki nga waka rererangi - mo Hiria. Ko Konashenkov te tohu o te whakanui i nga awangawanga o te hau a Rūhia "kaore he wa ki te tautuhi i te takenga mai" o te rererangi.
12 - I te marama o Oketopa 27, 2016, ka tangi a Putin, "Ko taku whakaaetanga whaiaro me te Peresideni o te United States kaore i puta he hua," ka amuamu "mo te iwi i Washington kia rite ki te mahi i nga mea katoa hei aukati i enei whakaaetanga kia whakatinanahia . "I te korero mo Hiria, ka whakahe a Putin i te kore o" te aroaro o mua mo te pakanga i muri i nga whiriwhiringa roa, i te kaha nui, i nga raruraru uaua. "
13 - Na, ko te ahuatanga ohorere kua totohu nei te hononga o US-Russia - mai i te "tipu haere o te whakawhirinaki" ki te "kore tino whakawhirinaki." Ae ra, he maha te hunga e manako ana ki te awangawanga nui, ara - he pono - he nui mo te umanga a-ringa.
14 - E whakapono ana matou he mea nui rawa atu te aukati i te whanaungatanga me Russia mai i te taka o te tino ngoikore. Ko te haerenga a Hekeretari Tillerson ki Moscow i tenei wiki he whai waahi ki te aukati i nga kino, engari he raru ano pea ka piki ake te haangai - ina koa kaore te Hekeretari Tillerson i te mohio ki nga korero o mua i tuhia i runga ake nei.
15 - Ae ra kua tae ki te wa ki te mahi ki a Ruhia i runga i nga korero pono, kaua ko nga whakapae i runga i nga taunakitanga ruarua - mai i nga "papaaho pāpori," hei tauira. Ahakoa te nuinga e whakaaro ana ki tenei wa o te tino taumaha kei te whakakore i te tihi, ka kii taatau he pono ke ke. Ka whakaaro pea koe ki te whakahau ki te Hekeretari o Tillerson kia tiimata nga whakaritenga mo te hui tuatahi me te Perehitini Putin.
* He whakamāramatanga mo nga Kairangahau Whakaaro mo te Whakamaharatanga mo te Whakanui (VIPS), he rarangi o nga waahanga o nga waahanga ka kitea i https://consortiumnews.com/vips-memos/.
He ruarua o nga hoia CIA i whakatuu i te VIPS i te marama o Hanuere 2003 i muri i te whakatau ko Dick Cheney me Donald Rumsfeld i whakahau i o taatau hoa mahi o mua ki te mahi maatauranga kia "whakamana" he pakanga kaore e hiahiatia ana me Iraq. I taua wa i kowhiria e maatau kaore te Perehitini George W. Bush i tino mohio ki tenei.
I tukuna e matou ta maatau Memorandum tuatahi mo te Perehitini i te ahiahi o te Pepuere 5, 2003, whai muri i te korero kino a Colin Powell i te United Nations. Ma te korero ki a Perehitini Bush, ka kati taatau kupu:
Kaore tetahi i te kokonga mo te pono; kaore ano hoki i taatou whakaaro e kore e taea te whakapae "he mea whakaorea" ranei "he kore whakautu" [ko adjectives Powell i tono ki ana whakapae mo Saddam Hussein]. Engari i muri i te tirotiro i te Kaituhituhi Powell i tenei ra, e whakapono ana matou ka pai te mahi ki a koe mehemea ka whakawhitia e koe te korerorero ... i tua atu o te porohita o nga kaitohutohu i tino kaha ki te pakanga kaore e kitea he take tino nui, kaore hoki matou e whakaaro he raruraru kore kia pakaru.
Ma te whakaute, e tuku ana matou i nga tohutohu ano ki a koe, e te Peresideni Trump.
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Mo te Kaihauturu, Nga Kaihauturu Kaitoro mo te Whakanui
Ko Eugene D. Betit, Kaitari Kaitirotiro, DIA, Soviet FAO, (Army US, ret.)
William Binney, Kaiwhakahaere Hangarau, NSA; co-kaiwhakarewa, SIGINT Automation Research Center (ret.)
Marshall Carter-Tripp, Kaiwhakahaere Ratonga Pouaka, me te Kaiwhakahaere o mua o te Tari Tari o te Tari Tari o te Kaauao me te Rangahau, (ret.)
Thomas Drake, Kaiwhakahaere Matua Whakahaere, NSA (o mua)
Robert Furukawa, Capt, CEC, USN-R, (ret.)
Philip Giraldi, CIA, Kaiwhakahaere Whakahaere (re.)
Mike Gravel, Adjutant tawhito, te kaiwhakahaere mana ngaro ngaro, Ratonga Whakawhitiwhiti Whakawhitiwhiti; kaihoko motuhake o te Counter Intelligence Corps me te Kaitohutohu o mua o te United States
Matthew Hoh, ko Capt., USMC, Iraq, me te Tari Pirihimana Pakeha, Afghanistan (mema VIPS)
Larry C. Johnson, CIA & Tari Tari (ret.)
Michael S. Kearns, Kapene, USAF (Ret.); ex-Master SERE Kaiwhakahaere mo te Mahi Whakaaetanga Rautaki (NSA / DIA) me nga Motu Motuhake Motuhake (JSOC)
John Brady Kiesling, Kaiwhakahaere Ratonga Poihana (ret.)
John Kiriakou, te kaitohutohu a CIA o mua, me te kaitohutohu counterterrorism, me te kaitohutohu matua o mua, te komiti whanaungatanga o te Kotahitanga
Linda Lewis, WMD kaitohu kaupapahere kaupapahere, USDA (ret.) (VIPS whakauru)
David MacMichael, Council National Intelligence Council (ret.)
Ko Ray McGovern, he hoia hoia hoia / umanga o te US Army me te kaitohutohu CIA (ret.)
Elizabeth Murray, Kaiwhakahaere Tuarua mo te Tari Whakawhitiwhiti mo te Tai Tokerau, CIA, me te Kaunihera Motuhake (National Trust Intelligence Council) (ret.)
Ko Torin Nelson, te Kaiwhakahaere Inangarangi o mua, te Kai-uiui, te Tari o te Ope Taua
Todd E. Pierce, MAJ, US Army Judge Advocate (Ret.)
Ko Coleen Rowley, ko te Agent Motuhake o te FBI me te Minneapolis Division Law Counsel (ret.)
Scott Ritter, MAJ mua,, USMC, me te Kaitirotiro Weapon UN, Iraq
Peter Van Buren, US Department of State, Tari Pirihimana Mahi (ret.) (VIPS whakauru)
Kirk Wiebe, Kaiwhakahaere Kaitohutohu o mua, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA
Robert Wing, Apiha Ratonga Tauiwi o mua (associate VIPS)
Ko Ann Wright, ko te US Colonel Reserve (ret) me te US Diplomat o mua
