Mmeri siri ike nke Onye isi ala Rouhani, na-eme ka Iran nwee ike ịga n'ihu na mbọ ya na ndị obodo ụwa na ịgbasa ikike nwere n'ụlọ, ka Trita Parsi na-akọ.
Site na Trita Parsi, Nkọwapụta Consortium.
Populationzọ ndọrọ ndọrọ ọchịchị nke ndị Iran ka na-adọrọ mmasị. N'agbanyeghị usoro ndọrọ ndọrọ ọchịchị nwere ntụpọ ebe ntuli aka ezighi ezi ma ọ bụ na-enweghị nnwere onwe, ihe ka ọtụtụ n'ime ha họọrọ ụzọ na-enweghị ihe ike iji weta ọganiihu.
Hassan Rouhani, Onye isi ala nke Ala Republic of Iran, na-agwa ọgbakọ ndị isi nke United Nations, Sept. 22, 2016 (UN Photo)
Ha kere oke vootu na ntuli aka nke 75 - were nke ahụ tụnyere ntụgharị aka na ntuli aka ndị US na 2016, pasent 56 - ma nyefee Onye isi ala na-enweghị atụ, Hassan Rouhani mmeri gbadaro agbago na pasent 57 nke votu.
N'ọnọdụ mpaghara, ntuli aka a dị ịtụnanya karị. N'ọtụtụ n'ime Middle East, a naghị eme ntuli aka. Were Saudi Arabia dịka ọmụmaatụ, nhọrọ Onye isi ala Donald Trump maka njem njem mbụ ya.
O nwere ihe ole na ole anyị nwere ike ikwu gbasara ihe ndị Iran jikọrọ ọnụ.
Nke mbu, ndi Iran kporo vootu megide nwa akwukwo a kwere na onye isi ochichi nke ndi Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Nke a bụ usoro siri ike ugbu a.
Nke abuo, ndi Iran boro ndi mmekorita ndi achupuru achupu na ndi isi ndi Washington na ndi bekee kpọrọ oku ka ndi Iran ghara igbachi vootu ma ọ bụ tụọ vootu maka onye ọhụụ siri ike bụ Ebrahim Raisi iji mee ngwangwa. N'ụzọ doro anya, ihe ndị a adịghị eso na Iran.
Nke ato, agbanyeghi na Trump mebiri nkwekorita nuklia ya na Iran, na agbanyeghi nsogbu dị ukwuu na usoro enyemaka mgbagha nke mere ka ọtụtụ ndị Iran nwee mmechuihu na nkwekọrịta nuklia, ndị Iran ka họọrọ diplọma, njigide na imeru ihe n'ókè banyere usoro esemokwu nke ọchịchị ndị Iran gara aga. Iran bụ otu n'ime mba ole na ole n'ụwa ebe ozi imeru ihe n'ókè na mgbochi populism na-echekwa gị mmeri ntuli aka dị ukwuu.
Ikike oke ruru mmadụ
Nke anọ, n'agbanyeghị Rouhani dara ada na nkwa ya iji meziwanye ọnọdụ ndị ruuru mmadụ na Iran, ndị Iran na ndị isi Green Movement nyere ya ohere nke abụọ. Mana ugbu a, o nwere ikike siri ike - na ngọpụ ole na ole. Ugbu a bụ oge ọ ga-enyefe na nkwa nile nke kpaliri ọtụtụ iri nde ndị Iran ịhọpụta ya ka ọ bụrụ onye isi ugboro abụọ.
Nwatakịrị nwa Iran na-ejide foto Onye isi ala Iran Ali Ali Khamenei n'otu ngosi ọha n'ihu ọha. (Foto gọọmentị Iran)
Ọ ga-eme mkpebi siri ike iji kpuchido ikike ụmụ mmadụ na nnwere onwe obodo nke ndị Iran, gbasoo mmekọrịta na ụwa na ịkwalite uto akụ na ụba maka ndị Iran. Ndị agha ekweghị ekwe na-ejide ikike ịchụpụ Iran na njikwa igbu mmadụ nwere ike ọ gaghị aza Rouhani ozugbo, mana ndị Iran hoputara ya na-atụ anya na ọ ga-emekwu oge nke abụọ ya iji weta mgbanwe.
Enweghi ihe ojoo di otua ghara itufu ndi Iran ndi kwere na olu olu ha nwere ike ime ihe di iche, na eleputa odinihu nke ndi Iran n’abia n’iru olu ndi gha eme ka mba ahu laghachi na iche na nsogbu ya na ndi West.
Nke ise, mgbe Saudi Arabia na-akwado Trump ma na-akpali ya ịlaghachi na amụma nke kewapụrụ iche iche nke Iran, onye isi European Union Foreign Policy Federica Mogherini toro Rouhani mmeri ntuli aka ya ma weghachi EU na nkwekọrịta nuklia. Nsonaazụ ntuli aka a ga-ewusi nrara nke EU ike iji hụ na aka dị na nkwekọrịta ahụ yana ntinye aka ya na usoro nchebe zuru oke maka Middle East.
N'ihi nke a, EU ga-emegide mbọ Trump na Saudi Arabia na-eme iji gbochie Iran. Nke a na-eme ka nchịkwa Trump gharazie ịmekọrịta na Europe na ndị ọdịda anyanwụ nke US na isi nchebe.
Nnọchianya N’agha
Nke isii, ndị Iran akwadola iwu nkwurita okwu na ndị West, mana ajụjụ a bụ ma Trump ga-emeghe aka ya ma nabata windo a maka diplọma. Dịka esi dozie nsogbu nuklia ahụ site na mkparita uka, isi okwu ndị ọzọ dị n'etiti US na Iran ka enwere ike idozi ya site na diplọma, gụnyere Syria na Yemen. Nke a bụ ihe Middle East chọrọ ugbu a - diplọma ọzọ, ọ bụghị karịa ire ngwa agha.
Onye ode akwụkwọ nchekwa Jim Mattis na-anabata Saudi Vice Crown Prince na Minister Minister Mohammed bin Salman na Pentagon, March 16, 2017. (Foto DoD nke Sgt. Amber I. Smith)
Nke asaa, Congress kwesịrị izere imebi ozi nkwekọrịta doro anya nke ndị Iran zipụrụ na inye ndị isi ike ike site na ịkwalite iwu ịma mma na ntuli aka nke ntuli aka. A ga - edebanye aha ndị omeiwu ọhụrụ ga - edebanye aha na kọmitii n'izu a. Lee ihe nzaghachi jọgburu onwe ya na ndị Iran mgbe ha tozuru oke maka ngbasa ozi na imeru ihe n'ókè.
Na mmechi, ikike ịkpa ike na Iran ga-agbadata ihu na ajụjụ onye ga-eme Ayatollah Khamenei wee bụrụ onye isi ọchịchị ga-esote Iran. E kwenyere na Rouhani na-ele anya n'ọkwá a. Site na mmeri ala mbubere-ahia ya, o meela ka oganihu ya kakwuo mma. Ruo n’ ụfọdụ, nke a bụ ihe ntuli aka onye isi ala n’ezie.
Trita Parsi bụ onye guzobere na onye isi oche nke National Iranian American Council na ọkachamara na mmekọrịta US-Iranian, ndọrọ ndọrọ ọchịchị nke ndị mba ọzọ na Iran, na ndị geopolitics nke Middle East. Ọ bụ onye edemede nke nwetara akwụkwọ abụọ, Njikọ aghụghọ - Nzuzo nzuzo nke Israel, Iran na US (Yale University Press, 2007) na Otu ndọrọndọrọ eze - Diploji nke Obama na Iran (Yale University Press, 2012). Ọ tweet na @tparsi.
