Los ntawm Gareth Porter, May 5, 2020
Los ntawm Lub Neej Huab Cua
Thawj Pwm Tsav Donald Trump tshem tawm qhov kev cog lus nuclear nrog Iran thiab txuas ntxiv kev pheej hmoo ua tsov rog nrog Iran raws li Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu tau lees tias tau muaj pov thawj tseeb tias Iran tau txiav txim siab los tsim cov cuab yeej tsim nuclear. Netanyahu tsis yog tsuas yog tsa los ntawm Trump tab sis ntau ntawm cov tuam txhab xov xwm zoo li, duping lawv nrog cov pej xeem kev nthuav qhia dab tsi nws tau thov yog tag nrho cov ntawv zais Iran "nuclear archive."
Thaum pib lub Plaub Hlis 2018, Netanyahu piav qhia Trump txwv tsis pub leej twg tawm ntawm tsoomfwv Iranian nuclear cov chaw khaws cia thiab tau txais kev nyab xeeb ntawm nws cov lus cog tseg tias yuav tawm Qhov Kev Cog Lus Sib Koom Tes (JCPOA). Lub Plaub Hlis 30, Netanyahu tau muab cov lus sib tham rau zej tsoom hauv kev ua yeeb yam tshwj xeeb uas nws tau lees tias Ixayees cov kev pabcuam Mossad txawj ntse tau nyiag Iran lub chaw tsim nuclear tag nrho los ntawm Tehran. “Tej zaum koj yuav paub zoo tias Iran cov thawj coj hais ntau zaus tsis kam nrhiav riam phom nuclear…” Netanyahu tshaj tawm hais tiasCov. "Zoo, hmo no, Kuv nyob ntawm no qhia koj ib yam: Iran dag. Lub sijhawm loj. "
Txawm li cas los xij, qhov kev tshawb nrhiav ntawm qhov tsim nyog Iranian nuclear cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm The Grayzone qhia lawv yog cov khoom lag luam ntawm Israeli ua haujlwm tsis xws luag uas tau pab ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov loj tshaj plaws ntawm kev ua tsov ua rog txij li qhov teeb meem nrog Iran pib ze li plaub xyoo dhau los. Qhov kev tshawb nrhiav no tau pom ntau yam qhia tau tias zaj dab neeg ntawm Mossad tus sau txog 50,000 nplooj ntawv zais cia cov ntaub ntawv nuclear los ntawm Tehran yog qhov muaj tseeb zoo li cov ntawv tseeb thiab cov ntaub ntawv tau tsim los ntawm Mossad nws tus kheej.
Raws li kev tshaj tawm Israeli cov xwm txheej ntawm cov xwm txheej, cov Iranians tau khaws cov ntaub ntawv nuclear los ntawm ntau qhov chaw thiab tau hloov mus rau yam uas Netanyahu nws tus kheej tau piav qhia yog "lub chaw khaws cia" nyob sab qab teb Tehran. Txawm xav tias Iran muaj cov ntawv zais qhia txog kev tsim riam phom nuclear, qhov kev thov tias cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb tshaj plaws yuav muaj nyob rau hauv tsis muaj ntawv sau cia thiab cov chaw cia khoom nyob hauv Central Tehran yog li tsis zoo li nws yuav tsum tau tsa lub tswb nrov tam sim ntawd txog zaj dab neeg qhov raug cai.
Txawm tias muaj teeb meem ntau yog cov thov los ntawm Mossad official rau Israeli neeg sau xov xwm Ronen Bergman hais tias Mossad paub tsis tsuas yog nyob rau hauv dab tsi warehouse nws commandos yuav nrhiav tau cov ntaub ntawv tab sis precisely uas muaj kev ruaj ntseg mus ua txhaum rau nrog ib tug blowtorch. Tus neeg ua haujlwm tau hais rau Bergman Mossad pab pawg tau ua tus coj los ntawm cov khoom muaj tswv yim ntse mus rau ob peb muaj kev nyab xeeb hauv lub tsev khaws khoom uas muaj cov hlua khi nrog cov ntawv tseem ceeb tshaj plaws. Netanyahu bragged pej xeem tias "tsawg tsawg" Iranians paub qhov chaw ntawm lub archive; tus nom ntawm Mossad hais rau Bergman “tsuas yog ib leej neeg nkaus xwb” paub txog.
Tab sis ob tug yawg laus CIA yav dhau los, ob tus uas yog tus saib xyuas lub chaw hauj lwm sab hnub tuaj nruab nrab sab hnub tuaj, tau lawb tawm Netanyahu cov lus thov uas tsis lees paub kev ntseeg siab hauv cov lus teb rau cov lus nug los ntawm The Grayzone.
Raws li Paul Pillar, uas yog National Intelligence Officer rau cheeb tsam txij xyoo 2001 txog 2005, "Txhua qhov chaw ntawm sab hauv ntawm Iran lub tebchaws kev ruaj ntseg yuav muaj txiaj ntsig zoo hauv Israeli ob lub qhov muag, thiab Israeli kev sib cav txog kev saib xyuas cov ntaub ntawv ntawd yuav xav tau. ua kev ncaj ncees nyob rau hauv kev pom zoo tiv thaiv lub sij hawm ntev ntawm qhov. " Pillar tau hais tias, keeb kwm Israeli ntawm yuav ua li cas nws cov neeg soj xyuas nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv "zoo li muaj ntses," Pillar tau hais, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog xav txog cov neeg Ixayees txoj kev siv dag zog kom tau txais qhov siab tshaj plaws "kev nom tswv-kev ncua kev tawm".
Graham Fuller uas yog 27 xyoo tus qub tub rog ntawm CIA uas tau ua haujlwm ua haujlwm hauv National Intelligence Officer rau Near East thiab South Asia thiab ntxiv rau lwm Thawj Coj ntawm Pawg Neeg Saib Xyuas Kev Txawj Ntse (National Intelligence Council), tau muab cov kev ntsuas zoo sib xws ntawm cov neeg foob Israel. Fuller hais tias, "Yog tias cov neeg Israel muaj qhov chaw zoo nyob hauv Tehran," lawv yuav tsis xav ua rau nws. " Fuller xaus lus tias cov neeg Israel tau lees tias lawv muaj kev paub tseeb ntawm kev nyab xeeb kom tawg yog "txaus ntshai, thiab tag nrho cov khoom yuav raug tsim tawm me ntsis."
Tsis muaj ntawv pov thawj ntawm qhov tseeb
Netanyahu's Tim 30 swb yeeb yam nthuav tawm cov ntaub ntawv ntawm purported Iranian ntawv uas muaj cov lus qhia kev xav uas nws tau taw qhia ua cov pov thawj ntawm nws qhov kev lees paub tias Iran tau dag txog nws qhov kev txaus siab hauv kev tsim cov riam phom nuclear. Cov cuab yeej siv rau kev pom muaj nrog rau cov ntawv khaws cia kom rov qab los txog thaum ntxov xyoo 2000 lossis ua ntej ntawd cov ncauj lus kom ntxaws ntau txoj hauv kev kom tau a npaj tsim tsib riam phom nuclear los ntawm nrab xyoo 2003.
Lwm tsab ntawv uas tau nthuav tawm cov kev tshaj tawm xov xwm tawm yog qhov raug iab liam qhia ntawm kev sib sab laj ntawm cov kws tshawb fawb Iranian ntawm kev cog lus ib nrab-2003 kev txiav txim siab los ntawm Iran tus tiv thaiv Minister kom cais cov kev txwv qhia txog riam phom nuclear tam sim no mus rau hauv thaj chaw thiab npog.
Tshuav tawm ntawm cov xov xwm tshaj tawm ntawm cov "nuclear archive" cov ntaub ntawv yog qhov tseeb yooj yim uas tsis yooj yim rau Netanyahu: tsis muaj dab tsi txog lawv muaj qhov scintilla ntawm cov pov thawj tias lawv muaj tseeb. Piv txwv li, tsis muaj ib lub cim cov cim ntawm cov koom haum Iranian teeb meem.
Tariq Rauf, uas yog tus thawj coj ntawm Chav Saib Xyuas Xyuas Kev Tshawb Fawb thiab Ruaj Ntseg Kev Nyab Xeeb ntawm International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) txij xyoo 2001 txog 2011, tau hais rau The Grayzone tias cov cim no tau ua haujlwm thoob plaws tebchaws Iran cov ntaub ntawv.
Rauf qhia tias "Iran yog ib txoj kev tswjfwm zoo." "Li no, ib qho cia siab tias ib phau ntawv ceev cov txheej txheem uas yuav sau cov lus sau tuaj, nrog hnub tau txais, tus tub ceev xwm, lub chaw lis haujlwm, xa mus rau cov tub ceev xwm ntxiv, sau ntawv kom raug, thiab lwm yam."
Tab sis raws li Rauf sau tseg, "nuclear archive" cov ntaub ntawv uas tau muaj tshaj tawm los ntawm Washington Post ris tsis muaj pov thawj ntawm Iranian tsoomfwv lub hauv paus chiv keeb. Lawv kuj tsis muaj lwm cov cim los taw qhia lawv cov kev tsim kho hauv qab kev txhawb nqa ntawm tsoomfwv lub koom haum Iranian.
Cov ntaub ntawv no muaj dab tsi zoo sib xws yog lub cim ntaus cim roj hmab rau cov ntawv foob uas qhia cov naj npawb rau “cov ntaub ntawv”, “file” thiab “phau loj” - zoo li cov hlua dub uas Netanyahu tau tsoo rau lub koob yees duab thaum nws tso duab yeeb yaj kiab Cov. Tab sis cov no tuaj yeem tau yooj yim tsim los ntawm Mossad thiab ntaus rau cov ntawv nrog rau tus lej Persian tsim nyog.
Kev lees paub txog cov ntaub ntawv 'tiag tiag yuav tsum tau nkag mus rau cov ntaub ntawv tseem tseem. Tab sis raws li Netanyahu tau sau tseg hauv nws lub Plaub Hlis 30, 2018 cov yeeb yam swb, "thawj cov ntaub ntawv ntawm Iranian" tau khaws cia "hauv qhov chaw nyab xeeb" - qhia tias tsis muaj ib tus neeg muaj cai muaj kev nkag mus.
Kev txwv tsis pub nkag mus rau cov kws tshaj lij sab nraud
Qhov tseeb tiag, txawm tias cov neeg qhua tshaj plaws Israeli mus rau Tel Aviv tau raug tsis pom zoo nkag mus rau cov ntaub ntawv qub. David Albright ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm rau Kev Tshawb Fawb thiab Kev Ruaj Ntseg Thoob Ntiaj Teb thiab Olli Heinonen ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm Tiv Thaiv ntawm Democracies - ob qho tib si tiv thaiv cov neeg ua haujlwm ntawm tsoomfwv Israeli rau ntawm Iran nuclear txoj cai - qhia Thaum Lub Kaum Hlis 2018 uas lawv tau tsuas yog tau txais “daim swb swb” qhia txog kev luam tawm lossis hais ntawm cov ntawv.
Thaum ib pab neeg ntawm 2019 tus kws tshaj lij ntawm Harvard Kennedy Lub Tsev Kawm Ntawv Belfer Center for Science thiab International Affairs tau tuaj xyuas tebchaws Ixayees thaum Lub Ib Hlis XNUMX rau cov lus qhia txog qhov chaw khaws cia, lawv ib yam nkaus tau muab ib daim ntawv teev cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb. Harvard xibfwb Matthew Bunn tau rov hais hauv kev xam phaj nrog tus kws sau ntawv no tias pab pawg tau pom ib qho ntawm cov hlua khi uas muaj cov ntawv hais tias yog cov ntawv tseem ceeb hais txog Iran txoj kev sib raug zoo nrog IAEA thiab tau "paged los ntawm me ntsis."
Tab sis lawv tau pom tias tsis muaj ntawv sau txog Iran nuclear riam phom ua haujlwm. Raws li Bunn tau lees tias, "Peb tsis tau sim ua qhov kev txheeb xyuas ntawm cov ntaub ntawv no."
Feem ntau, nws yuav yog haujlwm ntawm Asmeskas tsoomfwv thiab IAEA los txheeb xyuas cov ntaub ntawv. Oddly, Belfer Center Tus Thawj Fwm tau tshaj tawm tias Tsoomfwv Meskas thiab IAEA txhua tus tau txais txhua daim ntawv theej nkaus xwb, tsis suav cov ntaub ntawv qub. Thiab cov neeg Israelis tsis muaj ntaub ntawv sai: IAEA tsis tau txais tag nrho cov ntaub ntawv kom txog rau thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2019, raws li Bunn.
Los ntawm tom qab ntawd, Netanyahu tau tsis tsuas yog ua tiav txoj kev rhuav tshem ntawm Iran lub teeb meem nuclear; nws thiab Trump lub laj lim tswv yim CIA-tus thawj coj Mike Pompeo tau ua tus thawj tswj hwm rau txoj cai tswjfwm kev tawm tsam nrog Tehran.
Qhov thib ob tuaj ntawm cov ntawv cuav ntawm cov cim txwv tsis pub muaj
Ntawm cov ntaub ntawv Netanyahu flashed ntawm qhov screen hauv nws Plaub Hlis 30, 2018 swb ntu yog ib tug schematic teeb duab ntawm lub missile reentry lub tsheb ntawm Iranian Shahab-3 lub mos txwv, uas qhia dab tsi pom tias yuav tsum sawv cev tam ntawm lub riam phom nuclear rau sab hauv.
Daim duab no tau yog ib feem ntawm kaum yim kev kos duab ntawm Shahab-3 rov ua tsheb. Cov no tau pom nyob rau hauv kev sau ntawm cov ntawv pov thawj kev nyab xeeb nyob rau ntau lub xyoo ntawm Bush II thiab Obama cov thawj coj los ntawm Iran tus neeg soj xyuas ua haujlwm rau Lub Tebchaws BND lub chaw pabcuam. Los sis yog li ntawd Israeli zaj dab neeg official mus.
Xyoo 2013, txawm li cas los xij, ib tus qub tub ceev xwm Lub Chaw Haujlwm Pabcuam Tebchaws German Txawv Tebchaws npe hu ua Karsten Voigt tau qhia rau tus kws sau ntawv no tias cov ntaub ntawv tau xub muab rau German kev txawj ntse los ntawm tus tswv cuab ntawm Mujaheddin E-Khalq (MEK).
Lub MEK yog exile Iranian tub rog tiv thaiv lub koom haum uas tau ua haujlwm nyob rau hauv Saddam Hussein tsoomfwv ua tus neeg sawv cev tawm tsam Iran thaum Tsov Rog Iran-Iraq. Nws tau mus koom tes nrog Israeli Mossad pib thaum xyoo 1990, thiab txaus siab rau kev sib raug zoo nrog Saudi Arabia thiab. Niaj hnub no, ntau tus neeg ua haujlwm yav dhau los Asmeskas nyob ntawm MEK cov nyiaj them, ua yeeb yam raws li de facto lobbyists rau kev hloov pauv ntawm Iran.
Voigt rov qab txog li cas cov thawj coj hauv BND ceeb toom nws tias lawv tsis xav txog MEK qhov chaw lossis cov ntaub ntawv nws muab ua kom muaj kev ntseeg siab. Lawv txhawj xeeb tias Bush cov thawj coj npaj los siv cov ntaub ntawv hais txog kev ua phem rau Iran, ib yam li nws tau sau cov dab neeg siab ntev los ntawm Iraqi tiv thaiv codenamed "Curveball" los nrhiav kev tawm tsam 2003 kev txeeb chaw ntawm Iraq.
Raws li tus kws sau ntawv no thawj qhia nyob rau xyoo 2010, cov kev tshwm sim ntawm "dunce-cap" cov duab ntawm Shahab-3 rov ua lub tsheb hauv cov duab kos yog cov cim qhia hais tias cov ntaub ntawv tau tsim. Leej twg kos cov duab schematic nyob rau xyoo 2003 tau hais meej nyob hauv qab kev dag pom tias Iran tau cia siab rau Shahab-3 uas yog nws lub zog tseem ceeb. Tom qab tag nrho, Iran tau tshaj tawm cov lus tshaj tawm hauv xyoo 2001 tias Shahab-3 tau mus rau "ua ntu zus" thiab xyoo 2003 tias nws tau ua haujlwm "."
Tab sis cov nom tswv uas tsis txaus siab los ntawm Iran yog ib qhov kev ntxias kom feem ntau los ntxias kom cov neeg Ixayees dag zog, uas tau hem huab cua kom tawm tsam rau Iran txoj kev tawm tsam nuclear thiab missile. Qhov tseeb, Iran Lub Tsev Haujlwm Tiv Thaiv Tiv Thaiv tau paub tias Shahab-3 tsis muaj qhov ntau txaus kom mus txog rau cov neeg Ixayees.
Raws li Michael Elleman, tus sau feem ntau cov account tseem ceeb ntawm Iranian qhov kev pab cuam missileThaum ntxov li xyoo 2000, Iran tus tiv thaiv Ministry tau pib txhim kho qhov kev txhim kho ntawm Shahab-3 nrog lub tsheb rov ua haujlwm khav theeb dhau mus ua "lub zog me me ntawm lub raj mis" lub cev - tsis yog "dunce-cap" ntawm qhov qub.
Raws li Elleman tau hais txog tus kws sau ntawv no, txawm li cas los xij, lub koom haum txawj ntse txawv teb chaws tseem tsis paub txog qhov tshiab thiab txhim kho Shahab cov mos txwv uas muaj lub ntsej muag sib txawv kom txog thaum nws tau sim thawj lub davhlau thaum Lub Yim Hli 2004. Ntawm cov koom haum khaws cia hauv qhov tsaus ntuj txog tus qauv tshiab yog Israel's Mossad. Cov. Qhov ntawd tau piav qhia tias vim li cas cov ntaub ntawv tsis raug ntawm kev rov tsim Shahab-3 - cov hnub pib thaum ntxov uas tau nyob rau xyoo 2002, raws li daim ntawv tsis tso tawm sab hauv IAEA - pom ib lub tsheb reentry tsim uas Iran tau muab pov tseg lawm.
Lub luag haujlwm ntawm MEK hauv kev hle cov kev tawm tsam loj ntawm cov kev txwv tsis pub leej twg Iranian nuclear cov ntaub ntawv mus rau BND thiab nws cov kev sib raug zoo nrog Mossad tawm hauv chav me me rau kev ua xyem xyav tias cov ntaub ntawv qhia rau Western txawj ntse 2004 yog, qhov tseeb, tsim los ntawm tus Mossad.
Txog Mossad, MEK yog chav haujlwm yooj yim rau outsourcing tsis zoo xovxwm txog Iran uas nws tsis xav tau ntaus nqi ncaj qha rau Israeli txawj ntse. Txhawm rau txhim kho MEK li kev ntseeg siab nyob rau hauv lub qhov muag xov xwm txawv teb chaws thiab cov koom haum txawj ntse, Mossad dhau qhov kev sib koom tes ntawm Iran lub chaw tsim khoom Natanz nuclear rau MEK xyoo 2002. Tom qab ntawd, nws tau muab rau MEK cov ntaub ntawv ntiag tug xws li daim npav hla tebchaws thiab tus lej xov tooj hauv tsev ntawm Iranian physics. xib fwb Mohsen Fakhrizadh, nws lub npe tshwm nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv nuclear, raws li cov pa roj carbon monoxide sau ntawm a zoo tshaj plaws-muag Israeli phau ntawv nyob rau Mossad cov haujlwm npog.
Los ntawm trotting tawm tib lub discredited technical teeb duab piav qhia tsis ncaj ncees lawm Iran missile reentry lub tsheb - ib tug dag nws tau yav tas los deployed los tsim cov ntaub ntawv qub rau liam Iran ntawm covert nuclear riam phom kev loj hlob - Israeli Prime Minister qhia li cas ntseeg nws yog nyob rau hauv nws lub peev xwm hoodwink Washington thiab Western tuam txhab xov xwm.
Netanyahu's ntau qib kev dag ntxias tau ua tiav zoo, txawm tias muaj kev cia siab rau cov khoom siv dag nyom uas txhua lub koom haum tshaj tawm xov xwm yuav tsum tau pom. Los ntawm nws cov kev tswj fwm tsoomfwv txawv tebchaws thiab cov tshaj tawm xov xwm, nws muaj peev xwm tswj hwm Donald Trump thiab Tebchaws Meskas mus rau hauv cov txheej txheem kev phom sij ntawm kev sib cav uas tau ua rau Asmeskas mus rau qhov kev kub ntxhov ntawm kev ua tub rog nrog Iran.
Gareth Porter yog tus kws sau ntawv tshawb nrhiav kev ywj pheej uas tau hais txog kev tswj hwm kev ruaj ntseg hauv tebchaws txij xyoo 2005 thiab yog tus tau txais Gellhorn nqi zog rau Kev sau xov xwm xyoo 2012. Nws phau ntawv nyuam qhuav dhau los yog CIA Insider phau ntawv qhia rau Iran Crisis co-yawg ntawm John Kiriakou, nyuam qhuav luam tawm hauv Lub ob hlis ntuj.
