los ntawm Susan Glasser, Kaum Ib Hlis 13, 2017
Los ntawm Politico
"Lawv xav paub tias nws yog vwm," said Suzanne DiMaggio, "los sis yog tias qhov no tsuas yog ib txoj cai xwb."
"Lawv" yog cov neeg Kaus Lim North. Thiab "nws" yog Donald Trump. Plaub zaug dhau xyoo dhau los, hauv Geneva, Pyongyang, Oslo thiab Moscow, DiMaggio tau tsis pub leejtwg pom nrog North Koreans los tham txog lub tebchaws txoj kev pabcuam nuclear. Tab sis qhov lawv xav tau los tham txog, DiMaggio tau hais tias nyob rau hauv ib qho kev sib tham txog xov xwm tshiab rau lub ntiaj teb no Politico, yog Amelikas tus thawj tswj hwm.
Lub North Koreans tau thov nws tsis yog tias Trump yog ceev, DiMaggio tau hais tias, tab sis zoo li cas thiab yuav ua li cas los xav txog txhua yam ntawm nws cov pej xeem ua tsis ncaj ntawm nws tus Secretary of State Rex Tillerson rau cov kws lij choj tshwj xeeb Robert Mueller txoj kev tshawb nrhiav ua kom muaj kev tawm tsam nrog Russia.
DiMaggio, tus kws tshawb fawb hauv New America uas tau paub zoo txog kev siab tsis ncaj regimes thiab tau siv ob lub xyoos dhau los hauv cov kev sib tham zais cia nrog North Koreans hais tias lawv yeej xav paub tias dab tsi yog qhov kawg. Nws ntseeg hais tias lawv npaj txhij tom qab Trump lub surprise xaiv los sib tham txog tus tshiab puag ncig ntawm kev sib tham nrog lub tebchaws United States kom defuse lub standoff dua lawv cov riam phom-tab sis qhov Trump 's escalating rhetoric thiab Twitter rants xws li nws lis xaus tom qab ntawm North Kauslim lub "luv thiab rog" Kim Jong Un muaj peev xwm tau ua kev xaiv ntawd. "Lawv ua raws li cov xov xwm zoo li; lawv saib CNN 24 / 7; lawv nyeem nws tweets thiab lwm yam. "
Cov teeb meem ntawm North Koreans tau tsa nrog nws nyob rau lub hlis tsis ntev los no, DiMaggio tau hais tias, yog txhua yam ntawm Trump tweet urging Tillerson muab rau diplomacy nrog North Kauslim ("Qhov no yog ib tug zoo cop / phem cop tias nws ua nrog Tillerson?") Trump qhov kev txiav txim siab lub caij nplooj zeeg no mus rau decertify Iran tus ua raws li lub nuclear deal forged los ntawm nws predecessor, Barack Obama. Tias, DiMaggio tau hais tias, "tau xa ib lub teeb liab meej rau North Korea: Vim li cas lawv yuav tsum nkag mus rau peb, yog peb tsis mus nrog nws?"
"Lawv nug nws tus cwjpwm tsis zoo, thiab nws qhov teebmeem ntawm qhov teebmeem nyob hauv tsev, nrog rau kev tshawb nrhiav Robert Mueller, thiab lawv nug tias," Vim li cas peb yuav tsum pib cov kev sib dhos nrog Trump cov thawj coj, thaum Donald Trump yuav tsis yog tus thawj tswj hwm ntev dua ? '"
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Rau xyoo, DiMaggio thiab Joel Wit, ib tus neeg ua haujlwm ntev hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau muab cov neeg kawm ntawv hauv Johns Hopkins University ua lub hauv paus hauv North Korea saib xyuas lub website 38North, tau sib ntsib ntsiag to nrog North Korea los tham txog lub teb chaws txoj kev pabcuam nuclear. Yav tag los, lawv tsis lees paub qhov sib tham, ib feem ntawm qhov "Track 2" kev sib tham uas tau tuav ib txoj kab qhib rau lub tswv yim cais tawm txawm tias thaum ob lub tseem fwv tsis kam hais lus.
Tab sis qhov ntawd yog ua ntej Trump.
Nyob rau hauv lawv cov rooj sib tham nrog North Koreans txij thaum Cheeb Nroog tau xaiv, DiMaggio thiab Wit saib lawv loj hlob lub tswb thiab tsis meej pem raws li qhov pib nthuav thaum tom qab kev xaiv tsa kev sib tw US txoj kev tawm tsam tshiab nuclear kev sib tham nqis mus rau hauv Trumpian kev npau taws ntawm lub npe, kev sib nrauj thiab kev tub rog nce . Tam sim no nws thiab Wit yog hais tawm txawm lawv yav dhau los tsis kam los lees paub txog rooj sab laj North Korean, piav txog lawv nyob rau hauv ib lub sijhawm New York Times op-ed thiab ntxiv tshiab qhia nyob rau hauv lub lim tiam no rov ntawm peb Txoj Cai Politikas thoob ntiajteb. "Kuv tsis nquag tham txog kuv lub 'khiav 2' ua haujlwm li ntawd rau pejxeem," DiMaggio tweeted. "Tab sis cov no yog deb ntawm lub sijhawm."
Lawv cov nyiaj tau los ntawm lub sij hawm muaj kev txhawj xeeb hauv cov kev ntxhov siab nrog North Kauslim, nrog Trump npuaj ib ncig ntawm 12-Asia Asia tom qab xa cov teeb meem tawm tsam thiab cov ncauj lus tsis sib haum. Tus Thawj Coj tau pib npaj ib qho kev coj tsis sib haum xeeb mus rau kev sib tham, tawm tswv yim tshiab qhib rau kev sib haum xeeb raws li txoj kev tawm ntawm lub foob pob hluav taws, xa qhov chaw nyob hauv Seoul txog North Kauslim cov neeg ua txhaum cai, thiab nias lub suav hauv Beijing ua ua nrog rau Teb Chaws Asmeskas ntawm kev tuaj yeem tiv thaiv kev tiv thaiv tawm tsam North Kauslim regime.
Tab sis txawm ua ntej txoj kev nres tsheb nyob hauv Manila, Trump rov qab mus ua rog ntawm lo lus nrog Kim uas ua rau hauv qhov ntswg cov ntawv sau statesmanship. Thaum DiMaggio thiab Wit yeej tsis muaj lus teb rau North Koreans thaum lawv nug tias Trump yog vwm, cov North Koreans kom meej meej tuaj rau lawv tus kheej xaus. Teb mus rau Trump lub Seoul hais, North Kauslim lub xeev xov xwm hu ua nws ib tug "laus laus laus txiv neej" saib mus pib ib lub nuclear tsov rog. Nws ceeb toom hais tias Tebchaws Meskas tau ntsib "kev mob kev nkeeg" tshwj tsis yog tias nws tau muab tshem tawm ntawm Trump thiab tso nws txoj cai "hostile policy".
Trump, 71, zoo li miffed nyob rau hauv lub nres rau nws lub hnub nyoog tshaj nws tus cwj pwm. Tshaj tawm cov nqe lus zoo ntawm nws cov advisers, tweeted rov qab nws chim siab txog kev hu ua qub, thaum hais, kab tias hauv-plhws, uas nws tau sim ua tus "phooj ywg" rau Kim thiab sarcastically thov tias tsawg kawg nws yeej tsis hu ua rotund cov tub ntxhais hluas ntawm tus neeg tua neeg "luv thiab rog."
Txawm tias ua ntej kev sib pauv, DiMaggio thiab Wit qhia rau kuv tias Trump tus nyiam kev ntxub ntxaug rau North Koreans thiab lawv cov thawj coj nyob rau hauv cov ntsiab lus tsis raug cai ua txhaum Txoj Cai 1 ntawm Tsoomfwv Meskas tau kawm ntau lub xyoo txog kev sib raug zoo nrog North Koreans: "Txhua yam uas koj ua , tsis txhob ua phem rau tus txiv neej no, "raws li DiMaggio sau nws.
Qhov tseeb, lub npe-hu rov qab ua dua American cov tswv yim uas tau rov qab ua nrog cov nom tswv North Korean yav dhau los. "Lub tswv yim hais tias cov thawj coj muaj-thiab tshwj xeeb yog Thawj Tswj Hwm Trump-uas nce kev hem yuav ua rau cov North Koreans tau yoog raws, tsis yog lawm. Escalating kev hem tsuas ua tau rau North Koreans tsis yoojyim, "Wit hais. Nws hais ntxiv tias, "yog ib qhov yuam kev loj heev, vim hais tias cov North Koreans yuav nyuaj li nails lawv tus kheej, thiab rau lawv, tsis muaj zog yog zoo li ua tua tus kheej."
Tab sis Trump tau dua ib zaug ntxiv rau kev sib tham nyuaj. Nws puas tseem ceeb? Tom qab tag nrho, Cov thawj tswj hwm ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau sim thiab tsis kam Kim, nws txiv thiab nws yawg txog ob tshaj li ntawm plaub lub xyoos los ntawm kev ntaus phiaj hauv Korean ceg av qab teb.
Tseem, nyob rau hauv kev sib tham, DiMaggio thiab Wit qhia lawv tias lawv ntseeg tias yog ib qho kev tsis pom zoo nyob rau hauv North Korea mus koom nrog cov kev sib khom lus tshiab nrog Trump cov thawj coj, kev xaiv tam sim no ntshai tsam tsis muaj. "Kuv txhawj xeeb yog vim tias txhua yam kev tsis sib haum xeeb thiab qhov kev ntshai, tias qhov qhib qhov rooj nqaim, kuv ntseeg tias, kev sib tham yog maj mam kaw," DiMaggio said.
Nyob rau hauv lub lis piam tas los no, Wit tau qhib qhov kev sib tawm tsam ntawm kev sib haum xeeb tub rog ntawm 40 feem pua, thaum qub CIA Director John Brennan tau soj ntsuam lawv ntawm 25 feem pua ntawm cov kev tshwm sim ntawm kev ua tub rog Asmeskas ntau dua uas ntau tus kws tshawb fawb txhawj xeeb ua rau kev quab yuam los sis txawm tawm tsam sab qaum teb Kauslim teb. "Nws tsis yog qhov tseeb tub rog," said Abraham Denmark, uas tau ua tus Pentagon tus pabcuam tus kws pabcuam txog kev tiv thaiv rau East Asia hauv Obama. "Nws yog thaum lawv raug muab tso ua ke nrog cov ntawv rhuav tshem no. Qhov ntawd yog thaum kuv pib txhawj xeeb txog kev muaj zog rau kev tsis to taub - thiab qhov teeb meem tiag tiag. "
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Nws tsis tas yuav tsum ua li no, raws li DiMaggio thiab Wit.
Qhov tseeb, North Korea pom zoo nrog Trump tias Obama txoj cai ntawm "kev siab ntev siab ntev" -peem tiag, tos kom lawv mus tua-tau ua tsis tau. "Heev ntxov rau, North Koreans tau hais tias lawv tau pom ib qho kev tswj hwm tshiab ua ntej pib tshiab," DiMaggio said. "Qhov kev sib raug zoo nrog Obama cov thawj coj tau ua kom qaub, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog tom qab Asmeskas tau tso cai rau Kim Jong Un tus kheej. Qhov tiag tiag thim qhov kev sib raug zoo ntawm cov dej. "
Wit tau pom zoo hais tias, thaum nws tau hnov me ntsis thaum lub sij hawm, Obama cov thawj coj tau misread Kim thaum nws tau ua nws tus txiv hauv 2010, thiab tsis muaj peev xwm taug kev tshiab nuclear cov lus sib tham ua ntej ces qhov ntawd yuav ua kom North Koreans mus kom deb ntawm lub zog tau -armed intercontinental ballistic missile uas tuaj yeem mus txog rau Tebchaws Meskas, yog qhov lawv ua tam sim no rau ntawm qhov muag. Obama tus mus kom ze, Wit hais, tam sim no zoo li ib tug "loj yuam kev."
Cov neeg ua haujlwm hauv North Kauslim ua rau cov neeg ua haujlwm tsis txaus ntseeg qaum teb, Pawg Kauslim Watchers tau muab faib rau kev sib tw ntawm North Kauslim thaum pib ntawm Trump cov thawj coj thiab muaj ntau txhawj tias Trump pab pawg, nrog Tillerson tsis muaj zog thiab muaj kev ntxhov siab, diploralized diplomatic corps (tsis muaj ntau tshaj ob tug neeg ua haujlwm tam sim no, Wit tau hais tias, leej twg txawm tau ntsib North Koreans), tej zaum yuav tsis muaj peev xwm los hais cov lus tseem ceeb ntawm kev sib tham nuclear.
Tab sis DiMaggio hais txog kev sib tham hais tias nws yog ib txoj kev ncaj ncees.
"Raws li kuv tham nrog lawv tam sim ntawd tom qab lub tuam rooj qhib, thaum kuv mus rau Pyongyang kom tau raws li lawv, lawv tau meej meej tias qhov no yuav yog ib qho pib tshiab," nws said. "Lawv yeej tsis muaj kev txhawj xeeb tias yam yuav yooj yim, tab sis kuv xav tias lawv txaus siab xav txog lub tswv yim ntawm kev sib tham nrog Tebchaws Meskas yam tsis muaj sijhawm ua ntej."
Nws tau hais tias, nws tau hais rau tus tub ceev xwm hauv North Korea, Joseph Yun, nyob rau cov rooj sib tham nws tau ntsib, thiab nws ntseeg hais tias nws tseem ua tau ob peb lub lis piam dhau los, thaum nws tau ntsib ib tus thawj coj hauv North Kauslim nyob hauv Moscow. "Nws tawm lub qhov rooj qhib rau kev sib tham nrog Tebchaws Meskas," DiMaggio said. "Nws muaj qee yam xav txog yam uas yuav tsum tau tshwm sim rau qhov kev txiav txim rau qhov ntawd, tab sis nws yog qhov qhib nqaim, thiab kuv xav tias qhov no yog qhov peb yuav tsum tau txhais lus rau nws."
Tom qab ntawd, kev sib ntsib nyob rau hauv Moscow kuj underscored li cas ze Pyongyang yog mus cuag lub zog-fais fab nws tau ntev coveted: arming nws tus kheej nrog nuclear riam phom uas tuaj yeem ncaj qha rau Teb Chaws Asmeskas. "Lawv nyob ntawm lawv txoj kev ua kom tiav," DiMaggio said. "Yog li, lo lus nug tiag tiag, lawv puas yuav tos kom txog thaum tom qab lawv muaj peev xwm tshaj tawm tias lawv tau ua tiav lawm, lossis ua kom pom tau tias nws mus rau qhov chaw uas lawv muaj kev txaus siab tias lawv tau mus txog qhov ua tau zoo txaus? Thiab lawv yuav rov qab mus rau lub rooj thaum ntawd? "
Yam tsawg kawg hauv ib qho, cov lus teb yuav vam khom tag nrho cov lus nug uas lawv tau txi nws txog Trump. Nws puas yog ib tus neeg tso siab ruaj khov? Ib lub sijhawm luv luv hauv chaw ua haujlwm? Ib tus neeg madman lossis ib tug txiv leej tub uas nyiam ua si hauv TV?
Tom qab 11 nyob rau hauv teb chaws Asia, North Kauslim tau tuaj nyob rau ntawm txhua tus Trump ntau nres, tab sis cov lus nug yog tsis ze rau teb.
