Los ntawm Jackie Cabasso, Tus Thawj Coj ntawm Western States Legal Foundation, Lub Ib Hlis 29, 2024
Lus tawm ntawm World BEYOND War billboard unveiling kev tshwm sim nyob rau hauv Oakland, California thaum Lub Ib Hlis 28, 2024.
Ntau tshaj li ib puas xyoo dhau los, Austrian sociologist thiab nom tswv activist hu ua Rudolph Goldscheid tau sau hais tias, "Cov peev nyiaj yog lub cev pob txha ntawm lub xeev tau tshem tawm tag nrho cov kev xav tsis thoob."[1]
Asmeskas kev siv nyiaj ua tsov rog rau FY 2024 yog ze li $ 1 Trillion. Kev siv riam phom nuclear, thaum tsuas yog ib feem me me ntawm tag nrho cov no, yog nyob rau theem siab tshaj plaws ntawm cov ntaub ntawv.[2]
Teb Chaws Asmeskas tab tom npaj siv nyiaj tsawg kawg yog $ 1.5 Trillion tshaj 30 xyoo los tsim kho txhua ceg ntawm nuclear triad thiab nws cov txheej txheem nrog, suav nrog cov chav kawm tshiab ntawm ballistic missile submarines, cov txheej txheem tshiab ntawm silo-based intercontinental ballistic missiles, lub nkoj tshiab nuclear. foob pob hluav taws, lub foob pob hluav taws hloov pauv, lub foob pob hluav taws xob tshiab uas muaj qhov ntev-ntev-thiab nrog rau cov tub rog, nrog rau kev hloov kho lossis lub taub hau tshiab, rau txhua qhov kev xa khoom.[3]
FY 2024 Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Siv Hluav Taws Xob suav nrog $ 32.4 Billion los tswj thiab txhim kho cov riam phom nuclear. FY 2024 Department of Defense pob nyiaj suav nrog ntxiv $ 37 billion los kho kom zoo dua qub thiab hloov cov khoom siv riam phom nuclear, suav nrog B21 Raider ntev-ntev, stealth intercontinental lub tswv yim foob pob (tus neeg cog lus: Northrup Grumman), lub nkoj ntawm Colombia tshiab hauv chav dej hiav txwv-launched ballistic missile submarines (tus neeg cog lus: General Dynamics), thiab qhov tshiab "Sentinel" system, los hloov lub Minuteman III Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (kuj Northrup Grumman).[4]
$ 69 Billion yog ntau dua ob zaug ntau npaum li qhov xav tau los xaus kev tshaib plab hauv ntiaj teb.[5] Tab sis nws tsis yog hais txog cov nyiaj thiab yuav ua li cas nws yuav zoo dua siv.
Xyoo 2021, Admiral Charles Richard, tus thawj coj ntawm US Strategic Command, tau sau tias: "Peb yuav tsum lees paub lub hauv paus ntawm peb lub teb chaws txoj kev tawm tsam nuclear rog, vim lawv tsim 'qhov chaw ua haujlwm' rau peb los tsim cov kev ua tub rog zoo sib xws.[6]
Nrog rau cov thawj coj Lavxias 'thiab qee cov neeg ua haujlwm Israeli tau npog thiab tsis-pob ntseg nuclear kev hem thawj hauv lawv txoj kev tsov rog tawm tsam Ukraine thiab Hamas, Russia thiab Israel ob leeg tau siv lawv cov nuclear deterrents li no - txog tam sim no. Tab sis nws yog qhov tsis lees paub tias qhov ntev dua cov kev tsov kev rog no mus, qhov kev hem thawj ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv cheeb tsam ntau dua thiab muaj peev xwm ua rau muaj kev nce ntxiv hauv nuclear.
Lwm qhov festering nuclear flashpoints muaj xws li Taiwan, Kauslim Peninsula, thiab South Asia. Qhov ntsuas thiab lub sijhawm ntawm kev ua tsov ua rog los ntawm cov xeev muaj riam phom nuclear thiab lawv cov phooj ywg tau nce ntxiv. Kev sim foob pob hluav taws tsis tu ncua, thiab nquag ntsib kev sib ntsib ntawm cov tub rog ntawm cov tub rog nuclear ua rau muaj kev phom sij ntau dua.
Cov thawj coj Lavxias tsis ntev los no nuclear kev hem thawj tau ua rau muaj kev ntxhov siab rau pej xeem txog qhov muaj peev xwm ntawm kev ua tsov rog nuclear, tab sis qhov tseeb, peb tau nyob hauv qab tus duab ntxoov ntxoo ntawm cov huab nceb tsis tu ncua txij li xyoo 1945.
Xyoo 1946, Lewis Mumford tau sau tias, "Koj tsis tuaj yeem hais lus zoo li cov txiv neej nyob ib puag ncig lub rooj sib haum xeeb thaum lub foob pob atomic nws tus kheej tab tom zuam hauv qab nws. Tsis txhob kho lub foob pob atomic li riam phom ntawm kev ua txhaum; tsis txhob kho nws ua ib qho cuab yeej ntawm tub ceev xwm. Kho lub foob pob rau qhov nws yog: qhov pom kev vwm ntawm kev vam meej uas tau tso tseg tsis pe hawm lub neej thiab ua raws li txoj cai ntawm lub neej. "[7]
[1] Economics thiab Sociology ntawm Capitalism - Joseph A. Schumpeter - Google Phau Ntawv
[2] Lindsey Koshgarian, Txo Qhov Kev hem thawj ntawm Nuclear War 2024 (youtube.com), Lub Ib Hlis. 13, 2024
[3] US-Nuclear-Weapons-Modernization-Costs-Constraints-Fact-Sheet-v-May-2023.pdf (armscontrolcenter.org)
[4] Lindsey Koshgarian, ib
[5] Statistics ntawm Billboard piav qhia - World BEYOND War
[6] Forging 21st-Century Strategic Deterrence | Cov Txheej Txheem - Lub Ob Hlis 2021 Vol. 147/2/1,416 (usni.org)
[7] Lewis Mumford, "Gentlemen: Koj vwm!" Hnub Saturday Review of Literature, 2 Lub Peb Hlis 1946, sau hauv Bird thiab Lifschultz Citation 1998, 284, 286
