Los ntawm David Wright, Kev txhawj xeeb ntawm cov kws tshawb fawb, Peb Hlis 15, 2017.
Nyob rau hauv lub Lub Peb Hlis 2017 qhov teeb meem ntawm Kev American, pawg thawj coj saib xyuas hu rau Tebchaws Meskas kom tshem nws cov foob pob hluav taws xob tawm ntawm cov plaub hau-tsim ceeb toom raws li txoj hauv kev los txo qhov kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev ua yuam kev lossis yuam kev ntawm kev tsim riam phom nuclear.
Minuteman tso cov tub ceev xwm hauv qhov chaw hais kom ua hauv av (Source: US Air Force)
Nws koom nrog editorial boards ntawm lub New York Times thiab Washington Post, ntawm lwm tus, hauv kev txhawb nqa cov kauj ruam no.
Ob lub tebchaws United States thiab Russia khaws txog 900 riam phom nuclear ntawm kev ceeb toom plaub hau, npaj yuav pib hauv feeb. Yog tias satellites thiab radars xa cov lus ceeb toom ntawm kev tawm tsam tuaj, lub hom phiaj yog kom muaj peev xwm tua lawv cov cuaj luaj sai sai - ua ntej lub taub hau tawm tsam tuaj yeem tsaws.
Tab sis cov txheej txheem ceeb toom tsis yog dag. Cov Kev American editors taw tes rau qee qhov cov xwm txheej tiag tiag ntawm kev ceeb toom cuav ntawm kev tawm tsam nuclear - nyob rau hauv ob qho tib si Soviet Union / Russia thiab Tebchaws Meskas - uas ua rau cov teb chaws pib tsim kev npaj thiab ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo uas yuav siv riam phom nuclear.
Qhov kev pheej hmoo no yog exacerbated los ntawm lub sij hawm luv luv rau kev teb rau cov lus ceeb toom no. Tub rog tub ceev xwm tsuas muaj feeb xwb los txiav txim seb cov lus ceeb toom uas tshwm sim ntawm lawv lub khoos phis tawj yog qhov tseeb. Cov tub ceev xwm tiv thaiv yuav muaj tej zaum ib feeb los piav qhia tus thawj tswj hwm txog qhov xwm txheej. Thawj Tswj Hwm tsuas muaj feeb xwb los txiav txim seb puas yuav tso tawm.
Yav tas los Secretary of Defense William Perry tau ceeb toom tsis ntev los no hais tias cov missiles hauv av tsuas yog yooj yim dhau los tso rau ntawm cov ntaub ntawv tsis zoo.
Kev siv cov cuaj luaj tawm ntawm cov plaub hau-tsim ceeb toom thiab tshem tawm cov kev xaiv los tso rau kev ceeb toom yuav xaus qhov kev pheej hmoo no.
Cyber hem thawj
Cov kws kho mob kuj tseem nco txog cov kev txhawj xeeb ntxiv uas hu rau kev siv cov foob pob hluav taws tawm ntawm cov plaub hau ceeb toom:
Qhov kev xav tau rau kev tiv thaiv zoo dua kuj tseem ua rau mob hnyav dua vim tias cov cybertechnologies sophisticated uas tuaj yeem, hauv txoj kev xav, hack rau hauv cov lus txib-thiab-tswj system kom tua cov foob pob hluav taws uas npaj txhij mus tua.
Qhov kev pheej hmoo no tau hais txog hauv ib qho op-ed hauv nag hmo New York Times los ntawm Bruce Blair, tus qub tub ceev xwm tua hluav taws xob uas tau siv nws txoj haujlwm kawm txog kev hais kom ua thiab kev tswj hwm ntawm US thiab Lavxias teb sab nuclear rog.
Nws taw qhia rau ob qhov xwm txheej hauv ob lub xyoo dhau los uas muaj qhov tsis zoo rau cyberattacks tau pom nyob rau hauv Asmeskas av- thiab foob pob hluav taws hauv hiav txwv. Thiab nws ceeb toom txog ob qhov peev xwm ntawm cyber-vulnerability uas tseem nyob niaj hnub no. Ib qho yog qhov muaj peev xwm uas ib tus neeg tuaj yeem nkag mus rau hauv "ntau txhiab mais ntawm cov kab hauv av thiab cov kav hlau txais xov xov tooj cua thaub qab siv rau kev tua Minuteman missiles."
Ntawm lwm yam, nws hais tias:
Peb tsis muaj kev tswj hwm txaus ntawm cov khoom siv rau cov khoom siv nuclear - los ntawm kev tsim khoom mus rau kev saib xyuas. Peb tau txais ntau yam ntawm peb cov khoom kho vajtse thiab software tawm ntawm lub txee los ntawm cov chaw lag luam uas tuaj yeem kis tau los ntawm malware. Txawm li cas los xij, peb niaj hnub siv lawv hauv cov tes hauj lwm tseem ceeb. Qhov kev ruaj ntseg xoob no caw ib qho kev sim ntawm kev tawm tsam nrog kev puas tsuaj loj.
A 2015 tsab ntawv ceeb toom Thawj coj los ntawm General James Cartwright, yav dhau los tus thawj coj ntawm US Strategic Command, muab nws li no:
Hauv qee qhov xwm txheej tau zoo dua thaum Tsov Rog Txias dua li niaj hnub no. Qhov tsis zoo rau cyber attack, piv txwv li, yog daim npav tshiab hauv lub lawj. … Qhov kev txhawj xeeb no yog qhov laj thawj txaus los tshem tawm cov foob pob hluav taws nuclear los ntawm kev ceeb toom npaj txhij.
Nws yog lub sijhawm los ua
Txawm tias tam sim no Secretary of Defense James Mattis, hauv kev ua tim khawv rau Senate Armed Services Committee ob xyoos dhau los, tau tsa qhov teeb meem ntawm kev tshem tawm US av-raws li missiles kom txo tau qhov kev pheej hmoo ntawm yuam kev, hais tias:
Puas yog lub sijhawm los txo Triad mus rau Diad, tshem tawm cov cuaj luaj hauv av? Qhov no yuav txo tau qhov ceeb toom tsis tseeb.
Thawj Tswj Hwm Trump tseem tsis tau npaj txhij los tshem tawm cov foob pob hluav taws hauv av. Tab sis nws tuaj yeem - niaj hnub no - tshem cov foob pob hluav taws tawm ntawm lawv cov plaub hau tam sim no-ua rau ceeb toom xwm txheej.
Ua ib kauj ruam no yuav txo qhov kev pheej hmoo nuclear rau Asmeskas pej xeem, thiab ntiaj teb.
