Los ntawm Joseph Gerson, Ntau Npau Suav
Peb qhov kev txaus siab thiab kev muaj sia nyob yog nyob ntawm Common Security diplomacy es tsis yog qhov rov ua dua thiab tuag taus ntawm kev ua tub rog.
Hauv nws thawj qhov kev teb rau pej xeem rau kev pov npav Brexit uas tau ua rau Europe thiab ntau lub ntiaj teb, Thawj Tswj Hwm Obama tau nrhiav kev txhawb nqa rau Asmeskas thiab lwm tus. Nws hais kom peb tsis txhob muab rau hauv hysteria thiab hais tias NATO tsis ploj nrog Brexit. Lub Trans-Atlantic alliance, nws nco ntsoov lub ntiaj teb no, endures.1 Nyob rau hauv lub ntsej muag ntawm dab tsi yuav yog qhov qeeb qeeb ntawm European Union nyob rau hauv kev ntxhov siab los ntawm Euro tsis ntseeg, nrhiav US thiab cov koom haum European cov neeg tseem ceeb kom nce lawv cov lus cog tseg rau rau caum-tsib xyoo NATO alliance. Lub hysteria uas tau tsim nyob rau hauv lub wake ntawm Russia lub txeeb ntawm Crimea thiab kev cuam tshuam nyob rau hauv sab hnub tuaj Ukraine thiab kev ntshai ntawm lub fallout los ntawm kev ua tsov ua rog txuas ntxiv thiab kev puas tsuaj nyob rau hauv Middle East yuav ua raws li NATO cov ntsiab lus muag.
Tab sis, raws li peb ntsib yav tom ntej, tog twg los / lossis kev xav thiab NATO yuav tsum tau tso tseg. Raws li txawm tias Thawj Tswj Hwm Carter Tus Kws Pab Tswv Yim Txog Kev Ruaj Ntseg Hauv Tebchaws Zbigniew Brzezinski tau qhia, txij li thaum nws pib NATO tau ua ib txoj haujlwm tseem ceeb.2 Tsis yog tsim kom muaj kev ua tsov rog tshiab, puv puv thiab txaus ntshai heev, peb qhov kev txaus siab thiab kev muaj sia nyob yog nyob ntawm Common Security diplomacy3 es tsis yog qhov rov ua dua thiab tuag tsis ua tiav ntawm militarism.
Qhov no tsis txhais hais tias tig qhov muag tsis pom kev rau Putin qhov kev tawm tsam ntawm kev hais lus dawb thiab kev ywj pheej, lossis rau Moscow lub nuclear saber rattling thiab cyberattacks.4 Tab sis nws txhais tau hais tias peb yuav tsum nco ntsoov tias Common Security diplomacy xaus Tsov Rog Txias, uas tsim txom thiab lim hiam txawm tias Putin yuav yog, nws tau ntes Russia qhov kev puas tsuaj rau Yeltsin-era freefall, thiab nws tau ua lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb hauv kev tshem tawm Syria cov tshuaj riam phom thiab cov P-5 + 1 nuclear deal nrog Iran. Peb kuj yuav tsum lees paub tias nrog ob lab tus tib neeg hauv Asmeskas tsev loj cuj, suav nrog Guantanamo, kev puag ntawm Poland tsoomfwv tus thawj tswj hwm thiab Saudi huab tais huab tais, thiab kev ua tub rog "Pivot rau Asia" Asmeskas ua rau lub ntiaj teb tsis muaj kev ywj pheej.
Zero-sum xav tsis yog nyob rau hauv leej twg lub paj. Muaj Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb rau niaj hnub no qhov kev ua tub rog nce thiab txaus ntshai.
Peb tawm tsam NATO vim tias nws cov neo-colonial domination ntawm feem ntau ntawm cov teb chaws Europe, nws lub luag hauj lwm nyob rau hauv imperial tsov rog thiab domination, lub existential nuclear hem nws ua rau tib neeg ciaj sia, thiab vim hais tias nws disverts nyiaj los ntawm cov kev pab cuam tseem ceeb, truncating lub neej nyob rau hauv lub US thiab lwm yam. haiv neeg.
William Faulkner tau sau tias "yav dhau los tsis tau tuag, nws tseem tsis tau dhau los," qhov tseeb uas rov qab los nrog kev pov npav Brexit. Peb txoj hauv kev mus rau tam sim no thiab mus rau yav tom ntej yuav tsum tau ceeb toom los ntawm qhov xwm txheej ntawm keeb kwm. Central thiab Eastern European haiv neeg suav nrog Poland tau kov yeej, txiav txim siab thiab tsim txom los ntawm Lithuanians, Swedes, Germans, Tatars, Ottoman thiab Russians - nrog rau cov neeg cog qoob loo hauv tsev. Thiab Poland yog ib zaug imperial hwj chim nyob rau hauv Ukraine.
Muab cov keeb kwm no thiab lwm yam kev xav, nws yog kev npau taws rau kev pheej hmoo nuclear kev puas tsuaj los tswj ciam teb rau txhua lub sijhawm. Thiab raws li peb tau kawm los ntawm Common Security daws teeb meem ntawm Kev Tsov Rog Txias, peb txoj kev ciaj sia nyob ntawm kev nyuaj rau kev xav txog kev nyab xeeb ib txwm muaj. Spiraling tensions uas tuaj nrog kev sib koom ua tub rog, kev sib tw caj npab, kev ua tub rog-kev lag luam complex thiab chauvinistic haiv neeg tuaj yeem kov yeej nrog kev cog lus rau kev sib hwm.
1913?
Qhov no yog ib lub sijhawm uas zoo sib xws rau xyoo ua ntej Tsov Rog Thoob Ntiaj Teb thib ib. Lub ntiaj teb yog cim los ntawm kev nce thiab txo hwj chim ntxhov siab los tuav lossis nthuav lawv txoj cai thiab lub hwj chim. Peb muaj riam phom sib tw nrog cov thev naus laus zis tshiab; Kev rov tshwm sim hauv tebchaws, kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm thaj chaw, kev sib tw ntawm cov peev txheej, kev sib koom ua ke nyuaj, kev sib koom ua lag luam thiab kev sib tw, thiab cov neeg ua yeeb yam qus suav nrog US Secretary of Defense uas npaj rau lub rooj sib tham NATO los ntawm kev xyaum ua yeeb yaj kiab los ntawm kev hais tias "Koj sim txhua yam, koj yuav mus. thov txim",5 nrog rau txoj cai-tis rog thoob plaws hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas thiab Europe, thiab tua cov neeg nyiam kev ntseeg.
Kev sib tw NATO thiab Lavxias kev ua tub rog tau ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov ntawm tub rog mus rau qhov uas yav dhau los US Secretary of Defense Perry ceeb toom tias kev tsov rog nuclear tam sim no muaj feem ntau dua li thaum tsov rog txias.6 Carl Conetta tau hais yog lawm thaum nws sau "NATO cov lus teb militaristic" rau Russia nyob rau hauv Ukraine "yog ib qho piv txwv zoo meej ntawm kev cuam tshuam txog kev cuam tshuam-kev tshwm sim." Moscow, nws piav qhia, tsis muaj "lub siab xav tua tus kheej ... nws tsis muaj lub hom phiaj los tawm tsam NATO."7 Lub hli tas los Anaconda-2016, suav nrog 31,000 NATO cov tub rog - 14,000 ntawm lawv nyob ntawm no hauv tebchaws Poland - thiab cov tub rog los ntawm 24 lub tebchaws yog qhov kev ua tsov rog loj tshaj plaws nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Europe txij li Tsov Rog Txias.8 Xav txog Washington cov lus teb yog tias Russia lossis Tuam Tshoj ua kev ua tsov rog zoo sib xws ntawm Mev ciam teb.
Muab NATO nthuav dav rau nws cov ciam teb; nws lub hauv paus tshiab tactical hauv Poland thiab Romania; Nws tau nce kev ua tub rog thiab kev ua tub rog tawm tsam thoob plaws Tebchaws Europe sab hnub tuaj, Baltic xeev, Scandinavia thiab Hiav Txwv Dub, nrog rau US quadrupling nws cov tub rog siv nyiaj rau Tebchaws Europe, peb yuav tsum tsis txhob xav tsis thoob tias Russia tab tom sim "sib npaug" NATO's. txhim kho. Thiab, nrog rau Washington thawj-tsim kev tiv thaiv missile tiv thaiv nyob rau hauv Romania thiab Poland thiab nws superiority nyob rau hauv cov pa, high-tech thiab chaw riam phom, peb yuav tsum tau ceeb toom tab sis tsis xav tsis thoob los ntawm Moscow qhov kev cia siab ntawm riam phom nuclear.
Nco txog qhov tshwm sim ntawm cov mos txwv raug rho tawm los ntawm tus neeg tua phom phom nyob rau hauv Sarajevo ib puas xyoo dhau los, peb muaj laj thawj txhawj xeeb txog qhov yuav tshwm sim yog tias ib tug neeg ntshai heev los yog ua phem heev US, Lavxias teb sab los yog Polish tub rog, thawb tshaj lawv cov kev txwv, npau taws lossis los ntawm kev sib tsoo, foob pob hluav taws tiv thaiv dav hlau uas ua rau US, NATO lossis lwm lub dav hlau Lavxias. Raws li lub trilateral European-Lavxias teb sab-US Deep Cuts Commission tau xaus lus "Nyob rau hauv cov huab cua ntawm kev sib sib zog nqus tsis ntseeg, qhov kev siv zog ntawm kev ua tub rog muaj peev xwm nyob ze - thiab tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov tub rog thiab tub rog kev ua ub no nyob rau hauv lub Baltic thiab Dub hiav txwv dej - tej zaum yuav. ua rau muaj kev phom sij ntxiv tub rog uas…. tej zaum yuav ua rau miscalculation thiab / los yog kev huam yuaj thiab tig tawm nyob rau hauv txoj kev tsis npaj txhij. "9 Tib neeg yog tib neeg. Kev xwm txheej tshwm sim. Cov txheej txheem tsim los teb - qee zaum tau txais.
Ib Imperial Alliance
NATO yog ib tug imperial alliance. Tshaj li lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb ntawm kev muaj USSR, NATO tau ua kom nws muaj peev xwm los koom ua ke European tsoomfwv, kev lag luam, tub rog, thev naus laus zis thiab cov zej zog rau hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov txheej txheem. NATO tau ua kom US nkag mus rau hauv cov tub rog hauv paus rau kev cuam tshuam thoob plaws hauv Greater Middle East thiab Africa. Thiab, raws li Michael T. Glennon tau sau, nrog rau xyoo 1999 ua tsov ua rog tawm tsam Serbia, Asmeskas thiab NATO "nrog kev sib tham me me thiab tsis tshua muaj kiv cua ... tau tso tseg txoj cai qub UN Charter uas nruj me ntsis txwv kev cuam tshuam thoob ntiaj teb hauv kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv zos ... kab ke uas muaj kev zam ntau dua ntawm kev cuam tshuam tub rog tab sis muaj ob peb txoj cai nyuaj thiab nrawm. " Nws yog li nkag siab tias Putin tau txais cov lus hais tias "Txoj cai tshiab lossis tsis muaj cai, nrog rau nws txoj kev cog lus rau yav dhau los.10
Txij li thaum tsov rog ntawm Serbia, tawm tsam UN Charter, Asmeskas thiab NATO tau txeeb Afghanistan thiab Iraq, rhuav tshem Libya, thiab yim lub tebchaws NATO tam sim no ua tsov rog hauv Syria. Tab sis peb muaj qhov tsis txaus ntseeg ntawm NATO Tus Tuav Ntaub Ntawv General Stoltenberg hais tias yuav tsis muaj kev lag luam li niaj zaus kom txog rau thaum Russia hwm txoj cai thoob ntiaj teb.11
Nco qab tias NATO thawj tus tuav ntaub ntawv, Tswv Ismay tau piav qhia tias kev sib koom ua ke tau tsim "kom cov neeg German poob qis, cov neeg Lavxias tawm thiab cov neeg Asmeskas nyob hauv", uas tsis yog txoj hauv kev los tsim ib lub tsev nyob sab Europe. Nws tau tsim ua ntej Warsaw Pact, thaum Russia tseem rov qab los ntawm Nazi kev puas tsuaj. Tsis ncaj ncees txawm hais tias nws yog, Yalta daim ntawv cog lus uas tau faib cov teb chaws Europe rau hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas thiab Soviet spheres, tau pom los ntawm Asmeskas cov neeg tsim cai lij choj raws li tus nqi them rau Moscow tau tsav Hitler cov tub rog thoob plaws sab hnub tuaj thiab nruab nrab Europe. Nrog rau keeb kwm ntawm Napoleon, Kaiser thiab Hitler, lub tuam txhab Asmeskas tau nkag siab tias Stalin muaj laj thawj kom ntshai tsam yav tom ntej ntawm sab hnub poob. Teb Chaws Asmeskas yog li kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv Moscow qhov kev tawm tsam ntawm Eastern European thiab Baltic haiv neeg.
Qee lub sij hawm Asmeskas "kev ruaj ntseg hauv tebchaws" cov neeg tseem ceeb qhia qhov tseeb. Zbigniew Brzezinski, yav tas los Thawj Tswj Hwm Carter Tus Kws Pab Tswv Yim Saib Xyuas Kev Ruaj Ntseg Hauv Tebchaws, tau tshaj tawm cov lus piav qhia txog qhov nws hu ua US "Imperial project"12 ua haujlwm. Geostrategically, nws piav qhia, dominance hla lub Eurasian heartland yog qhov tseem ceeb rau ua lub ntiaj teb no lub hwj chim. Txhawm rau tsim lub zog quab yuam mus rau hauv Eurasian heartland, raws li "kos lub zog" tsis nyob hauv Eurasia, Tebchaws Asmeskas xav tau cov ntiv taw ntawm Eurasia sab hnub poob, sab qab teb thiab sab hnub tuaj peripheries. Dab tsi Brzezinski hu ua "vassal state" NATO cov phooj ywg, ua kom muaj peev xwm 'kev cuam tshuam ntawm Asmeskas kev nom kev tswv thiab lub zog tub rog ntawm Eurasian av loj." Tom qab kev pov npav Brexit, Asmeskas thiab European cov neeg tseem ceeb yuav vam khom ntau dua rau NATO hauv lawv txoj kev mob siab los tuav Europe ua ke thiab txhawb nqa Asmeskas lub zog.
Muaj ntau tshaj li kev koom ua ke European thaj chaw, cov peev txheej thiab thev naus laus zis rau hauv Asmeskas cov txheej txheem tswj hwm. Raws li yav dhau los Secretary of War Rumsfeld tau muab tso rau hauv kev lig kev cai ntawm kev sib faib thiab kev kov yeej, los ntawm kev ua si New (Eastern thiab Central) Europe tawm tsam Cov Tebchaws Europe qub nyob rau sab hnub poob, Washington yeej Fabkis, German thiab Dutch kev txhawb nqa rau kev ua tsov rog kom tshem Saddam Hussein.
Thiab nrog dab tsi txawm tias New York Times piav qhia tias yog "txoj cai sab xis, kev ua phem rau haiv neeg ntawm lub teb chaws xov xwm thiab kev txiav txim plaub ntug" thiab "kev thim rov qab los ntawm cov txiaj ntsig tseem ceeb ntawm kev ywj pheej ywj pheej" los ntawm tsoomfwv Kacynski, Tebchaws Asmeskas tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam los ua Poland. lub Eastern hub ntawm NATO.13 Washington cov lus hais txog nws cov lus cog tseg rau kev ywj pheej yog ntseeg los ntawm nws keeb kwm ntev ntawm kev txhawb nqa cov neeg tswj hwm thiab kev tswj hwm kev tswj hwm hauv Tebchaws Europe, cov huab tais zoo li Saudis, nrog rau nws kev tsov rog ntawm kev kov yeej los ntawm Philippines thiab Nyab Laj mus rau Iraq thiab Libya.
Washington lub European ntiv taw kuj tau txhawb nqa nws txoj kev tuav ntawm Southern Eurasia cov peev txheej nplua nuj nyob ib puag ncig. NATO kev tsov rog hauv Afghanistan thiab Middle East ua raws li kev coj noj coj ua ntawm European colonialism. Ua ntej qhov kev kub ntxhov ntawm Ukraine, Pentagon txoj kev taw qhia zoo14 tau ua haujlwm rau NATO nrog xyuas kom muaj kev tswj hwm cov peev txheej ntxhia thiab kev lag luam thaum txhawb nqa kev ncig ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab Russia.15 Yog li NATO tau txais nws cov lus qhuab qhia "tawm ntawm thaj chaw ua haujlwm", ua qhov uas Secretary Kerry hu ua "kev ntoj ncig ua haujlwm" hauv Africa, Middle East, thiab dhau ntawm lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb ntawm kev koom tes.16
Qhov tseem ceeb rau "tawm ntawm thaj chaw" kev ua haujlwm tau yog US drone kev ua tsov ua rog suav nrog Obama tua cov npe thiab US thiab NATO kev txiav txim plaub ntug kev txiav txim siab, ntau qhov uas tau thov rau pej xeem txoj sia. Qhov no, nyob rau hauv lem, tau metastasized es tshem tawm extremist tiv thaiv thiab kev ua phem. Kaum tsib lub tebchaws NATO koom nrog Alliance Ground Surveillance (AGS) drone system ua haujlwm los ntawm NATO lub hauv paus hauv tebchaws Ltalis, nrog NATO Lub Ntiaj Teb Hawk killer drones ua haujlwm los ntawm Ramstein Air Base hauv Tebchaws Yelemees.17
Ukraine thiab NATO's Expansion
Ib qho kev nce ntxiv ntawm Asmeskas cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas cov tswv yim, suav nrog yav dhau los Tus Thawj Tub Ceev Xwm ntawm US Strategic Command General Lee Butler tau hais tias Asmeskas tom qab Tsov Rog Txias "kev vam meej," ua rau Russia zoo li "tshem tawm serf," thiab NATO nthuav dav rau Russia cov thawj coj txawm tias Bush I-Gorbachev daim ntawv cog lus tau ua rau hnub no qhov kev sib tw ua tub rog nrog Russia.18 Russia tsis precipitate lub teeb meem Ukraine. NATO txoj kev nthuav dav rau Russia tus ciam teb, Ukraine lub npe hu ua NATO "kev xav" lub tebchaws, thiab Kosovo thiab Iraq Tsov Rog ua ntej txhua tus ua lawv lub luag haujlwm.
Qhov no tsis yog hais tias Putin yog neeg dawb huv thaum nws rov kho nws lub xeev neo-Tsarist tsis ncaj ncees thiab kev tawm tsam kom rov lees paub Lavxias kev nom tswv hauv nws "ze rau txawv teb chaws" thiab Europe nws tus kheej, thiab thaum nws hitches Russia kev lag luam thiab tub rog rau Tuam Tshoj. Tab sis, ntawm peb sab, peb muaj Secretary Kerry's Orwellian doublespeak. Nws tau thuam Moscow qhov "kev ua phem tsis txaus ntseeg" hauv Ukraine, hais tias "koj tsuas yog tsis nyob hauv lub xyoo pua 21st coj tus cwj pwm hauv xyoo pua 19th los ntawm kev ua phem rau lwm lub tebchaws ntawm [a] tag nrho trumped li pretext."19 Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, thiab Libya ploj mus hauv nws lub cim xeeb!
Cov hwj chim loj tau cuam tshuam ntev hauv Ukraine, thiab qhov no yog qhov teeb meem nrog Maidan coup. Ua ntej kev tawm tsam, Washington thiab EU tau nqis peev ntau txhiab daus las los tsim thiab txhawb nqa Ukrainian cov phoojywg kom tig lub qub Soviet koom pheej tawm ntawm Moscow thiab mus rau sab hnub poob. Ntau tus tsis nco qab EU tsab ntawv kawg rau tsoomfwv Yanukovych tsis ncaj ncees: Ukraine tuaj yeem ua cov kauj ruam tom ntej mus rau EU kev koom tes tsuas yog los ntawm kev hlawv nws cov txuas hniav mus rau Moscow, uas sab hnub tuaj Ukraine tau nyiaj txiag khi rau ntau xyoo lawm. Raws li kev ntxhov siab tsim nyob rau hauv Kiev, CIA Tus Thawj Coj Brennan, Tus Pabcuam Secretary of State Victoria Nuland - nto moo rau nws "fuck EU" tsis hwm Washington cov vassals - thiab Senator McCain taug kev mus rau Maidan los txhawb kev tawm tsam. Thiab, thaum kev tua pib, Asmeskas thiab EU ua tsis tiav los tuav lawv cov phooj ywg Ukrainian rau lub Plaub Hlis Geneva daim ntawv cog lus sib faib fais fab.
Qhov tseeb yog tias ob qho tib si Western kev cuam tshuam kev nom kev tswv thiab Russia lub annexation ntawm Crimea ua txhaum lub Budapest Memorandum ntawm 1994, uas tau cog lus lub hwj chim rau "hwm txoj kev ywj pheej, sovereignty thiab uas twb muaj lawm ciam teb ntawm Ukraine,"20 thiab kom "tsis txhob muaj kev hem thawj ntawm kev siv dag zog tiv thaiv thaj chaw kev ncaj ncees lossis kev ywj pheej ntawm kev nom kev tswv ntawm Ukraine." Dab tsi yog qhov uas Hitler tau hais txog kev cog lus tsuas yog cov ntaub ntawv?
Puas muaj kev tawm tsam thiab kev tsov rog hauv zej zog coj peb? Ib txheej ntawm corrupt oligarchs hloov lwm tus.21 Kev tuag thiab kev txom nyem. Cov tub rog Fascist ib zaug koom nrog Hitler tam sim no ib feem ntawm Ukraine cov neeg tseem ceeb tswj hwm, thiab cov neeg tawm tsam hauv Washington, Moscow, thiab thoob plaws Tebchaws Europe tau txhawb nqa.
Txij thaum ntxov, qhov tseeb lwm txoj hauv kev yog tsim ib qho nruab nrab Ukraine, khi kev lag luam rau ob qho tib si EU thiab Russia.
NATO: Alliance Nuclear Alliance
Ntxiv rau qhov kev kub ntxhov hauv Ukraine, tam sim no peb muaj Washington thiab NATO txoj kev sib tw los rhuav tshem Assad dictatorship thiab Russia cov tub rog cuam tshuam hauv Syria los txhawb nws cov tub rog Middle East thiab kev nom kev tswv. Russia yuav tsis tso tseg Assad, thiab tswj hwm thaj tsam "tsis ya" uas Hillary Clinton cov neeg tawm suab yuav xav tau kev puas tsuaj ntawm Lavxias teb sab cuaj luaj foob pob hluav taws, pheej hmoo ua tub rog.
Ukraine thiab Syria ceeb toom peb tias NATO yog ib lub koom haum nuclear, thiab tias kev phom sij ntawm kev puas tsuaj nuclear tsis ploj mus nrog qhov kawg ntawm Tsov Rog Txias. Ib zaug ntxiv peb tau hnov qhov kev npau taws uas "NATO yuav tsis tuaj yeem tso cov khoom ntawm cov khoom siv sib xyaw ua ke" thiab tias "Kev cuam tshuam tsis txaus ntseeg yuav cuam tshuam txog riam phom nuclear ..."22
Kev phom sij nuclear loj npaum li cas? Putin hais rau peb tias nws tau txiav txim siab siv riam phom nuclear los txhawb Lavxias kev tswj hwm ntawm Crimea. Thiab, Daniel Ellsberg tau tshaj tawm tias US thiab Lavxias teb sab nuclear rog tau ceeb toom siab nyob rau theem pib ntawm kev kub ntxhov hauv Ukraine.23
Cov phooj ywg, peb tau hais tias US riam phom nuclear tsuas yog siv los tiv thaiv kev tawm tsam nuclear. Tab sis, raws li Bush tus Lesser lub Pentagon tau ceeb toom rau lub ntiaj teb, lawv lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb yog tiv thaiv lwm lub teb chaws los ntawm kev ua yeeb yam uas tsis zoo rau Asmeskas kev txaus siab.24 Txij li thaum lawv tau pib siv thawj zaug, cov riam phom no tau siv ntau dua li kev tiv thaiv classical.
Yav dhau los Tus Tuav Ntaub Ntawv ntawm Tsov Rog Harold Brown tau ua tim khawv tias lawv ua haujlwm rau lwm lub hom phiaj. Nrog rau riam phom nuclear, nws tau ua tim khawv, Asmeskas cov tub rog qub tau dhau los ua "cov cuab yeej tseem ceeb ntawm kev ua tub rog thiab lub zog nom tswv." Noam Chomsky piav qhia tias qhov no txhais tau tias "peb tau ua tiav hauv kev hem txaus ntshai leej twg tuaj yeem pab tiv thaiv cov neeg uas peb txiav txim siab tawm tsam."25
Pib nrog Iran ntsoog xyoo 1946 - ua ntej Soviet Union yog lub zog nuclear - dhau los ntawm Bush-Obama "tag nrho cov kev xaiv nyob rau ntawm lub rooj" hem tawm tsam Iran, riam phom nuclear hauv Tebchaws Europe tau ua tus tswj hwm qhov kawg ntawm Asmeskas Middle East hegemony. Asmeskas riam phom nuclear hauv Tebchaws Europe tau raug ceeb toom thaum Nixon "madman" nuclear mobilization los hem Nyab Laj, Russia thiab Tuam Tshoj, thiab lawv yuav raug ceeb toom thaum lwm qhov kev tsov rog Asian thiab teeb meem.26
NATO cov riam phom nuclear tseem ua rau lwm lub hom phiaj: tiv thaiv "kev sib cais" los ntawm Tebchaws Meskas. Thaum lub sijhawm xyoo 2010 Lisbon Summit, txhawm rau txwv NATO cov tswvcuab cov kev xaiv, "tshaj tawm lub luag haujlwm rau kev xa mus thiab kev txhawb nqa kev ua haujlwm" rau kev npaj ua tsov rog nuclear tau lees paub dua. Ntxiv mus, nws tau tshaj tawm tias "Txhua yam kev hloov pauv hauv txoj cai no, suav nrog thaj chaw faib khoom ntawm NATO nuclear kev xa tawm hauv Tebchaws Europe, yuav tsum tau ua ... los ntawm Alliance tag nrho ... Kev koom tes dav ntawm cov phoojywg tsis yog nuclear yog ib qho tseem ceeb ntawm kev sib koom ua ke ntawm kev sib koom ua ke ntawm transatlantic. thiab kev pheej hmoo sib koom. "27 Thiab tam sim no, nyob rau hmo ua ntej ntawm NATO lub rooj sib tham thiab kev xa tawm B-61-12 nuclear warheads tshiab hauv Tebchaws Europe, General Breedlove, txog rau tam sim no NATO Tus Thawj Tub Ceev Xwm Loj, tau hais tias Asmeskas yuav tsum txhim kho nws cov kev tawm dag zog nuclear nrog nws cov phooj ywg NATO los ua pov thawj. lawv "kev daws teeb meem thiab muaj peev xwm."28
Common Security Alternative rau NATO
Cov phooj ywg, keeb kwm raug txav mus los thiab tsoomfwv txoj cai raug hloov los ntawm cov neeg nyiam los ntawm hauv qab no. Qhov ntawd yog li cas peb yeej muaj txoj cai pej xeem ntau dua hauv Asmeskas, coj Congress txiav nyiaj rau kev ua tsov rog Nyab Laj, thiab ua ke peb yuam Reagan pib kev sib tham txog kev tshem riam phom nrog Gorbachev. Nws yog li cas lub phab ntsa Berlin tau ua txhaum cai thiab Soviet colonialism raug tshem tawm mus rau keeb kwm lub plua plav.
Qhov kev sib tw uas peb ntsib yog los teb rau NATO lub imperialism thiab muaj kev phom sij ntau ntxiv ntawm kev ua tsov rog loj zog nrog kev xav thiab kev kub ntxhov uas xav tau los ntawm peb lub sijhawm. Tsis yog Poland thiab Russia lossis Washington thiab Moscow yuav nyob sib haum xeeb txhua lub sijhawm sai sai, tab sis Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb muab txoj hauv kev rau yav tom ntej.
Common Security embraces qhov tseeb thaum ub hais tias ib tug neeg los yog ib lub teb chaws yuav tsis muaj kev ruaj ntseg yog hais tias lawv cov yeeb yam coj lawv cov neeg zej zog los yog cov neeg sib tw ua kom ntshai thiab tsis ruaj ntseg. Thaum qhov siab ntawm Kev Tsov Rog Txias, thaum 30,000 riam phom nuclear hem apocalypse, Swedish Prime Minister Palme coj ua ke ua tus thawj coj Asmeskas, European thiab Soviet cov duab los tshawb nrhiav txoj hauv kev kom rov qab los ntawm brink.29 Common Security yog lawv cov lus teb. Nws tau coj mus rau kev sib tham ntawm Intermediate Nuclear Forces Treaty, uas tau ua tiav Tsov Rog Txias xyoo 1987.
Nyob rau hauv qhov tseeb, txhua sab npe dab tsi lwm tus ua uas ua rau nws ntshai thiab tsis ruaj ntseg. Ob tog ua tib yam. Tom qab ntawd, hauv kev sib tham nyuaj cov kws tshaj lij pom kev ua haujlwm txhua sab tuaj yeem ua cov kauj ruam los txo qhov kev ntshai ntawm lwm tus yam tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam rau lawv lub teb chaws kev ruaj ntseg. Raws li Reiner Braun tau piav qhia, nws xav kom "kev nyiam ntawm lwm tus tau pom tias yog raug cai thiab yuav tsum tau coj mus rau hauv tus account [ib tus] txoj kev txiav txim siab…Common kev ruaj ntseg txhais tau hais tias kev sib tham, kev sib tham thiab kev koom tes; nws txhais tau hais tias kev sib haum xeeb ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb. Kev ruaj ntseg tuaj yeem ua tiav tsuas yog los ntawm kev sib koom ua ke lossis tsis yog tag nrho. "30
Yuav ua li cas thiaj li muaj kev ruaj ntseg zoo li cas? Kev sib tham los tsim ib qho nruab nrab ntawm Ukraine nrog rau cheeb tsam kev ywj pheej rau nws cov xeev thiab kev lag luam kev sib raug zoo rau Russia thiab sab hnub poob yuav xaus kev tsov rog thiab tsim kom muaj kev ruaj ntseg ntau dua rau kev txhim kho kev sib raug zoo ntawm Tebchaws Europe thiab Russia thiab ntawm lub zog loj. Lub Rooj Sib Tham Sib Tham Sib Tham tau pom zoo tias kev txhim kho lub luag haujlwm ntawm OSCE yog "ib qho kev sib koom ua ke uas muaj kev sib tham txog kev txhawj xeeb txog kev nyab xeeb muaj peev xwm thiab yuav tsum rov pib dua yam tsis muaj kev ncua."31 Lub sijhawm nws yuav tsum hloov NATO. Lwm cov lus pom zoo ntawm Deep Cuts Commission muaj xws li:
- Muab qhov tseem ceeb rau US-Lavxias kev sib tham los txwv thiab hais txog kev tsim tub rog hnyav thiab kev ua tub rog tsis sib haum xeeb hauv cheeb tsam Baltic.
- "[P]revent [ing] qhov teeb meem kev ua tub rog txaus ntshai los ntawm kev tsim cov cai tshwj xeeb ntawm kev coj ua ... thiab rov ua kom muaj kev sib tham txog kev ntsuas kev pheej hmoo nuclear."
- Teb Chaws Asmeskas thiab Russia tau cog lus los daws lawv qhov sib txawv ntawm kev ua raws li INF Treaty thiab tshem tawm cov kev pheej hmoo loj zuj zus ntawm nuclear-armed cruise missile tsim thiab xa mus.
- Hais txog qhov txaus ntshai zuj zus ntawm hyper-sonic cov tswv yim riam phom.
Thiab, thaum Lub Chaw Haujlwm hu rau kev txwv tsis pub muaj riam phom nuclear kev hloov kho tshiab, kom meej meej tias peb lub hom phiaj yuav tsum yog qhov kawg rau kev txhim kho thiab xa tawm cov riam phom omnicidal no.
Nrog txo kev siv tub rog, Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb tseem txhais tau tias muaj kev ruaj ntseg nyiaj txiag ntau dua, nrog nyiaj ntau dua rau cov kev pabcuam tseem ceeb hauv zej zog, kom muaj thiab thim rov qab kev puas tsuaj ntawm kev hloov pauv huab cua, thiab kev nqis peev hauv 21st century infrastructures.
Lwm lub ntiaj teb no, muaj tseeb ua tau. Tsis yog rau NATO. Tsis yog Tsov Rog! Peb txoj kev taug kev txhiab mais pib nrog peb ib kauj ruam.
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1. http://www.npr.org/2016/06/28/483768326/obama-cautions-against-hysteria-over-brexit-vote
2. Zbigniew Brzezinski. The Grand Chessboard, Basic Books, New York: 1997.
3. Pawg Neeg Saib Xyuas Kev ywj pheej ntawm kev tshem riam phom thiab teeb meem kev nyab xeeb. Common Security: Daim Ntawv Qhia Txog Kev Ciaj sia nyob. New York: Simon & Schuster, 1982. Lub Commission, pib los ntawm Thawj Pwm Tsav Tebchaws Palme ntawm Sweden, tau coj cov thawj coj los ntawm Soviet Union, Tebchaws Europe thiab Tebchaws Meskas ntawm qhov siab ntawm Tsov Rog Txias. Lawv Cov Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb tau muab lub ntsiab lus uas ua rau muaj kev sib tham ntawm Daim Ntawv Pom Zoo Nruab Nrab Nuclear Forces uas ua haujlwm tau xaus Tsov Rog Txias xyoo 1987, ua ntej kev tawg ntawm Berlin Phab Ntsa thiab kev puas tsuaj ntawm Soviet Union.
4. David Sanger. "Raws li Lavxias teb sab Hackers Attack, NATO tsis muaj qhov tseeb Cyberwar Strategy", New York Times, Lub Rau Hli 17, 2016
6. William J. Perry. Kuv Txoj Kev Ntawm Nuclear Brink, Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2015.
7. Carl Connetta. Blog, "RAMPING UP"
8. Alex Dubal Smith. "Nato lub tebchaws pib ua tsov rog loj tshaj plaws nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Europe txij li tsov rog txias." Tus Saib Xyuas, Lub Rau Hli 7, 2016
9. "Rov qab los ntawm Brink: Mus Rau Kev Tiv Thaiv thiab Kev Sib Tham ntawm Russia thiab Sab Hnub Poob", Brookings Institution: Washington, DC, Lub Rau Hli, 2016, http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports/2016/06/russia-west-nato-restraint-dialogue
10. Michael J. Glennon. "Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Txoj Cai Lij Choj Thoob Ntiaj Teb" Txawv Teb Chaws, Tsib Hlis / Lub Rau Hli, 1999,https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/1999-05-01/new-interventionism-search-just-international-law ;https://marknesop.wordpress.com/2014/12/07/new-rules-or-no-rules-putin-defies-the-newworld-order/
11. Carter ntawm NATO vs. Russia: 'Koj Sim Anything, Koj Yuav Mus Thov txim', PJ Media, Lub Rau Hli 1, 2016,https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/2016/06/01/carter-on-nato-vs-russia-you-try-anything-youre-going-to-be-sorry/
12. Zbigniew Brzezinski. Op Cit.
13. “Poland Deviates los ntawm Kev Ncaj Ncees” Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Haujlwm, New York Times, Lub Ib Hlis 13, 2016 /
14. John Pilger. Lub Ntiaj Teb Tsov Rog yog Beckoning", Counterpunch, http://www.counterpunch.org/2014/05/14/a-world-war-is-beckoning
15. Txhawb nqa US Ntiaj Teb Kev Ua Thawj Coj: Qhov tseem ceeb rau 21st Century Defense, Lub Ib Hlis, 2012.http://www.defense.gov/news/Defense_Strategic_Guidance.pdf
16. John Kerry. "Cov lus hais ntawm Atlantic council's 'Toward a Europe Whole and Free' Conference", Lub Plaub Hlis 29, 2014,http://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2014/04/225380.htm
17. Nigel Chamberlain, “NATO Drones: the 'game changers” NATO Watch, Cuaj Hlis 26, 2013.
18. https://www.publicintegrity.org/2016/05/27/19731/former-senior-us-general-again-calls-abolishing-nuclear-forces-he-once-commanded' Neil MacFarquhar. “Reviled, Revered, and Tseem Challenging Russia to Evolve”, International New York times, Lub Rau Hli 2. 18 http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense/policy-budget/policy/2016/04/11/business-usual-russia-unlikely-nato-leader-says/82902184/
19. John Kerry. Kerry ntawm Russia: "Koj tsuas yog tsis" cuam tshuam lwm lub tebchaws "ntawm kev ua txhaum cai tag nrho", Salon.com,http://www.salon.com/2014/03/02/kerry_on_russia_you_just_dont_invade_another_country_on_a_completely_trumped_up_pretext/
20. Jeffrey. "Ukraine thiab 1994 Budapest Memorandum", http://armscontrolwonk.com, 29 Plaub Hlis Ntuj, 2014.
21. Andrew E. Karmer. "Kev xaiv los ua cov neeg hloov kho, Ukraine cov thawj coj tawm tsam nrog txoj cai ntawm kev ua tsis ncaj." New York Times, Lub Rau Hli 7, 2016
22. Bern Riegert. Op Cit.
23. Daniel Ellsberg, tham hauv Cambridge, Massachusetts, Tsib Hlis 13, 2014. Ellsberg yog tus thawj coj loj hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas kev ua tsov rog nuclear hauv Kennedy, Johnson thiab Nixon cov thawj coj ua ntej ua Pentagon zais cia keeb kwm ntawm Nyab Laj Tsov Rog tau txiav txim siab rau pej xeem.
24. Department of Defense. Cov Lus Qhuab Qhia rau Kev Sib Koom Tes Nuclear, Kev Tshaj Tawm Sib Koom 3-12, 15 Lub Peb Hlis, 2015
25. Joseph Gerson, Op Cit. p. 31
26. Ib. ib., 37-38
27. “NATO 2020: kev ruaj ntseg ruaj ntseg; dynamic kev koom tes", May 17, 2010, http://www.nato.int/strategic-concept/strategic-concept-report.html
28. Philip M. Breedlove. "NATO Txoj Cai Ntxiv Tom ntej: Yuav Ua Li Cas Los Ntawm Russia thiab Lwm Yam Kev hem", Kev Ua Haujlwm Txawv Tebchaws, Lub Xya Hli / Lub Yim Hli, 2016
30. Reiner Braun. Lub Rooj Sib Tham Thoob Ntiaj Teb, 2014 Lub Rooj Sab Laj Ntiaj Teb tawm tsam Atomic & Hydrogen Bombs, Hiroshima, Lub Yim Hli 2, 2014.
31. “Rov qab los ntawm Brink” op. cit.
