Duab: Huab thiab foob pob los ntawm Juan Hein
Los ntawm Alison Broinowski, Arena Lub Plaub Hlis No. 8, Kaum Hlis 2, 2021
AUKUS tau ua kom ntseeg tau tias Australia lub neej yav tom ntej yuav raug khi rau US warmongering
AUKUS yog ib qho nyuaj rau nqos vim nws cov lus tsis txaus ntseeg yog qhov nyuaj rau kev hais tawm. Nws yog ib qho yooj yim los thuam. Nws yog tig cov phooj ywg qub los ua yeeb ncuab. Nws tau ua rau muaj qhov tsis txaus ntseeg ntawm Australia raws li lub tebchaws tsis muaj kev ntseeg siab, tawm tsam, tsis zoo. Txawm li cas los xij, Kev Tshawb Fawb Tseem Ceeb pom tias 81 feem pua ntawm cov neeg Australians xav tias nws yog qhov zoo rau peb txoj kev nyab xeeb.1 Pom tau tias, Scott Morrison tsis quav ntsej yog tias daim ntawv cog lus no ua rau muaj kev phom sij thiab ua rau peb poob qis thiab ua rau muaj kev puas tsuaj loj, tsuav nws tseem raug xaiv tsa dua.
Tsis tau sai dua yog tus tshiab Anglo-autarky tshaj tawm nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Cuaj Hli tshaj li qhov kev npau taws uas tau hais tawm thoob plaws ntiaj teb. Tsis yog los ntawm Fabkis, lub teb chaws xav tsis thoob thiab txaus siab los ntawm nws, tab sis los ntawm lub teb chaws Yelemees, uas yog los muab cov khoom raws li kev tso tseg Fabkis submarine daim ntawv cog lus. Kev ua pauj los ntawm EU tag nrho, uas muaj ntau yam tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm kev sib koom tes sib kis nrog Tuam Tshoj, ua rau muaj kev puas tsuaj rau kev lag luam dawb nrog Australia. Thawj Tswj Hwm Macron tau hais kom EU tsim nws tus kheej lub peev xwm ua tub rog ywj pheej.
Australia, raws li Tuam Tshoj tus Ntiaj teb lub sij hawm, tau 'tig nws tus kheej los ua tus yeeb ncuab ntawm Tuam Tshoj'. Beijing Tus Thawj Fwm Tsav Tebchaws Txawv Tebchaws tau ceebtoom txog peb qhov tshwm sim los ntawm AUKUS: Kev Tsov Rog Txias tshiab, kev sib tw riam phom hauv cheeb tsam thiab kev loj hlob ntawm nuclear.2 Is Nrias teb, uas xav tau nws tus kheej lub nkoj nkoj nuclear, kuaj pom Anglo kev ntxub ntxaug dawb, txawm tias nws koom nrog Quad; Nyiv tshaj tawm kom tau txais cov subs nuclear ib yam nkaus, ua txhaum nws txoj cai tiv thaiv nuclear; Kaus lim qab teb ntxhov siab; thiab New Zealand, raws li ib txwm muaj, muaj lub hauv paus zoo rau kev txiav txim siab.
Kiribati, uas tau siv rau British nuclear kev sim hauv xyoo 1950 thiab 60s, deplores AUKUS ib yam nkaus. Cov teb chaws ASEAN, koom siab xav kom tsis suav nrog kev sib tw loj-lub zog los ntawm cov teb chaws Es Xias Qab Teb Hnub Tuaj, tsawg dua qhov txaus siab los ntawm AUKUS rau lawv. Tsuas yog Philippines, uas nws tus thawj coj txawv tebchaws xav thawb rov qab tawm tsam Suav. Tsis muaj leej twg nyiam tsis tau sab laj ua ntej.
Tab sis muaj dab tsi los qhia? Ob peb nqe lus tshaj tawm xov xwm los ntawm cov thawj coj tau tshaj tawm txog kev sib koom ua ke ntawm kev ruaj ntseg trilateral, kev pom zoo ntawm 'kwv tij' haiv neeg.3 Cov lus tshaj tawm sib koom ua ke los ntawm AUSMIN cov lus sib tham tau ntev ntawm kev sib koom ua ke, cov kev cai thoob ntiaj teb raws li kev txiav txim4 thiab 'keeb kwm ntawm kev thaj yeeb nyab xeeb thiab kev vam meej uas peb txoj kev koom tes tau pab' rau thaj av, tab sis luv luv ntawm lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb ntawm AUKUS thiab Quad: suav nrog Tuam Tshoj.5
Tom ntej no tsis muaj dab tsi tshwm sim hauv cov lus tshaj tawm txog dab tsi txhua tog yuav tawm ntawm qhov kev npaj, lossis dab tsi txhua tus yuav pab txhawb rau nws. Hloov chaw, lawv glibly tau cog lus rau 'kev koom tes mus ib txhis', 'kev sib raug zoo ntawm cov cai hauv cheeb tsam thiab kev ua' thiab 'kev koom ua ke ntau dua ntawm kev ua tub rog thiab kev tiv thaiv kev lag luam'. Pawg sablaj hauv cheeb tsam yuav cia siab tias yuav muaj kev tswj xyuas tsawg-hais lus thiab ntau yam tshwj xeeb hauv daim ntawv thov kev txhim kho rau lub tsev tsim khoom noj tsiaj.
Muab faus rau hauv cov ncauj lus kom ntxaws, dab ntxwg nyoog suav nrog Daim Ntawv Qhia Txog Lub Hom Phiaj ntawm Kev Sib Koom Tes Muaj Peev Xwm Zoo thiab Kev Ua Haujlwm. Qhov ntawd tso cai rau 'txhim kho' huab cua thiab kev koom tes hauv hiav txwv, ominously hais txog 'kev sib hloov xa mus ntawm US aircraft ntawm txhua hom Hauv Australia thiab tsim nyog kev cob qhia dav hlau thiab kev tawm dag zog' [kuv qhov tseem ceeb], thiab nce 'kev xa khoom thiab kev muaj peev xwm txhawb nqa ntawm US nto thiab subsurface nkoj hauv Australia'. Txhais, qhov no txhais tau hais tias US cov foob pob hluav taws xob nuclear, missiles, warships thiab submarines siv Australian ports thiab av bases ntawm yuav. Ntau tus tub ceev xwm Asmeskas hauv Darwin txhais tau tias muaj kev coj cwj pwm tsis zoo ntawm cov neeg hauv zos hauv Okinawa thiab Philippines tau nyiaj dhau ntau xyoo. Cov roj Nuclear yuav raug xa los ntawm Tebchaws Meskas thiab United Kingdom, tshwj tsis yog lub hom phiaj ntsiag to yog txhawm rau txhawb Australian uranium rau qib riam phom thiab teeb tsa kev lag luam nuclear hauv Australia, ob qho tib si tam sim no tsis raug cai.
Dazzling cov xov xwm nrog ntau cov duab, Morrison ua rau Australia ntau tau txais yim US nuclear-powered submarines es tsis txhob kaum ob tus Fabkis txoj, txawm tias tus naj npawb, tus nqi siab dua thiab hnub xa khoom tom qab tsis meej. Kev kwv yees yog tshaj $ 100 billion, hauv peb caug xyoo.6 Tsis muaj ib yam dab tsi tau hais txog ntau lab nws yuav raug nqi kom tshem tawm Fabkis txoj haujlwm. Thiab tau muaj cov lus tshaj tawm tsis txaus ntseeg txog 'Kev Koom Tes ntawm Kev Tiv Thaiv Kev Tiv Thaiv Cov Ntaub Ntawv', uas txhais tau tias muaj kev soj ntsuam ntau dua thiab censorship ntawm peb cov kev sib txuas lus ntau dua li tau tso cai los ntawm cuaj caum-ib txoj cai tau dhau los hauv Australian parliament txij li xyoo 2001.
Raws li ib txwm muaj, lwm yam riam phom sib koom ua ke thoob plaws peb qhov kev pabcuam Australian, zoo li txhua tus tau xa daim ntawv xav tau rau kev sib tw riam phom. Tag nrho cov no yog uncosted, undated thiab undetailed. Thaum Australian Navy tos rau ntau xyoo rau cov neeg tsav nkoj uas tsis muaj neeg tsav nkoj, tsis tau tsim submarines, lawv yuav tsum tau txais Tomahawk cruise missiles. Lub Australian Air Force tau txais huab cua-rau-ntev thiab ntev-ntev missiles los tiv thaiv nkoj, thiab yav tom ntej hypersonic missiles. Rau cov tub rog yuav muaj 'ntim-tawm tsam' coj missiles. Adelaide yuav muaj tsoomfwv-nyiaj pab ntau dua riam phom-tsim kev lag luam, thiab cov nkoj nuclear hauv nws qhov chaw nres nkoj.
Rau txoj kev tshiab no tua peb cov neeg zej zog, tus neeg yuav khoom yog Australia, thiab ob tus neeg muag khoom yog Tebchaws Meskas thiab Tebchaws Askiv. Tsis xav tias Thawj Tswj Hwm Biden thiab Prime Minister Johnson nyiam qhov kev npaj no. Kev kwv yees sib txawv ntawm cov txiaj ntsig Tebchaws Askiv tuaj yeem xav tau, tab sis tam sim no peb nkag siab tias yog vim li cas Johnson lub rooj vag tsoo Morrison lub sijhawm teem nrog Biden thaum Lub Rau Hli ntawm Cornwall G7 lub rooj sib tham. Australia them nyiaj rau lawv tog, thiab lawv yuav tsum tau mus tsev luag, ntawm lub txhab nyiaj.
Yog tias cov neeg Australian tau ua si los ntawm 'USUKA', peb tsoom fwv puas tau ua si rau sucker thiab? Los yog qhov no puas yog lub pob zeb tseem ceeb ntawm lub koov lub Coalition tau tsim rau xyoo?
Cov thawj coj
Qhov luv luv ntawm cov ntsiab lus tsis txhais hais tias tsis muaj, lossis tias AUKUS tau muab tso ua ke hauv nrawm - qhov sib txawv heev. Tsis ntev los no declassified US Pacific lub tswv yim lus qhuab qhia qhia tau hais tias txij li thaum 2018 lub tebchaws United States lub tswv yim lub zeem muag yog los npaj nws lub hwj chim maritime tiv thaiv Tuam Tshoj nyob rau hauv ib tug kev sib tw rau kev tswj ntawm Suav dej thiab economic cheeb tsam. Kev sib tham nrog Australia pib thaum ntxov li 2019, thaum Biden tau hais meej nws qhov kev hloov ntawm kev ua yeeb ncuab los ntawm Middle East mus rau Tuam Tshoj. Lub koom haum Australian Security Policy Institute yog ib feem ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau txais nyiaj los ntawm qhov kev xav. Lub koom haum qhov khoom plig yog kom tau txais thaj chaw hauv Washington, ua kom haum rau ib ceg haujlwm hauv Tebchaws Meskas.
Zoo ua ntej lub Cuaj Hlis 2021 tshaj tawm ntawm AUKUS, cov hauv paus ntsiab lus tau teeb tsa. Hauv 2018, Australia tau yuam kom Tebchaws Meskas tau pom zoo txwv Huawei thiab tsis lees txais Tuam Tshoj Txoj Kev Siv Txoj Kev Siv Txoj Kev Siv (BRI), ob qho tib si rau Washington. Txawm li cas los xij, ob qho tib si muaj lub sijhawm yog Canberra xaiv hauv Australia tus kheej nyiam qhov nws xav tau los ntawm Tuam Tshoj: kev tsheb ciav hlau niaj hnub, internet ceev, thiab kev lag luam tshuaj hauv Australia, piv txwv. Hloov chaw, Murdoch xov xwm tsis tas yuav tas li cartoons Victorian thawj coj Daniel Andrews, uas tau kos npe rau BRI, raws li lub hnub qub liab-hnav Communist stooge. Tsoomfwv tau theej lub tebchaws United States' McCarthyist 'tus neeg sawv cev ntawm kev cuam tshuam txawv teb chaws' txoj cai thiab demonized Australians uas muaj ib yam dab tsi ua rau Tuam Tshoj, txawm tias billionaire Australian Suav uas muaj siab dawb pub dawb mus txog rau 2017 tau txais tos.7
Ntawm kev mus ntsib Sydney thaum Lub Yim Hli 2019, xibfwb John Mearsheimer tau sau tseg tias "Australia pom zoo rau txhua yam".8 Tus tub ceev xwm tau hloov kev kawm ceeb toom tias Tebchaws Meskas tsis muaj kev zam txim rau cov phooj ywg sib tw. Ib txhia ntawm nws cov neeg tuaj saib luag ntshai, zoo li nws tso dag thaum nws hais tias Australia tsis muaj kev xaiv tab sis mus rau sab nrog Tebchaws Meskas, thiab yuav raug nplua yog tias nws ua yuam kev ntawm kev xaiv rau Suav teb.
Raws li COVID-19 kis mus, Tus Thawj Fwm Tsav Tebchaws Txawv Tebchaws Marise Payne thaum Lub Plaub Hlis 2020 tau yuam nws cov neeg Asmeskas los ntawm kev tsim kev hu xovtooj rau 'kev nug thoob ntiaj teb ywj pheej' rau tus kabmob kis thoob qhov txhia chaw, uas Tuam Tshoj tau teb los ntawm kev txwv tsis pub nkag los ntawm Australia. Cov khoom lag luam Asmeskas tau hloov pauv Australia sai sai hauv kev lag luam hauv Suav teb. Yog tias Biden thawj coj xav ua phem rau Tuam Tshoj thaum Australia tau kub hnyiab thiab Tebchaws Meskas tau ua cua daj cua dub, nws yeej ua haujlwm.
Lub Anglo-autarky lined mus fim lub ntiaj teb no. Ua ntej, Thawj Tswj Hwm Biden hloov Trump's 'Ua kom America Zoo Dua' nrog nws tus kheej cov lus hais, 'America yog Rov Qab'. Qhov tseeb, sib nrug los ntawm kev nce qib ntawm kev hloov pauv huab cua, nws tau coj Tebchaws Meskas rov qab los, txhawb nqa Asmeskas txoj kev xav tom qab Tsov Rog Ntiaj Teb thib Ob kom muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm 'Communist Tuam Tshoj'. Biden lub tebchaws United States yuav tsis lees txais kev swb, tso nws txoj kev ua tsov rog mus los lossis koom nrog kev coj noj coj ua hauv ntiaj teb nrog Tuam Tshoj. Thib ob, Tebchaws Askiv, tau sib nrauj EU, thiab xav kom rov qab los ntawm nws qhov kev ua tau zoo yav dhau los, yuav pauv cov thev naus laus zis, kev txawj ntse thiab kev tshaj tawm cov tswv yim thoob plaws Atlantic thiab xa cov nkoj tub rog mus rau sab hnub tuaj Esxias dej thawj zaug txij li kev thim tawm sab hnub tuaj ntawm Suez. Thiab qhov thib peb nyob deb, Australia yuav yuam kom lawv ob leeg los ntawm kev mus nrog txhua yam no, ua yeeb ncuab ntawm nws tus khub lag luam loj, tsis nco qab txog ntau haiv neeg thiab kev koom tes nrog Asia, thiab npaj rau kev ua tsov rog tsis raug cai tawm tsam Suav. Yog tias tsov rog ntawd tshwm sim, Australia yuav yog Tuam Tshoj tus qauv lub hom phiaj, thiab txawm tias cov koom haum Atlantic cuam tshuam los yog tsis, qhov tshwm sim yuav swb lossis kev puas tsuaj.
Tsaus xwm txheej
AUKUS yog qhov kawg-cov khoom lag luam ntawm ntau qhov txuas ntxiv ntawm cov xwm txheej. Cov thawj coj hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau rov tsim cov yeeb ncuab tshiab, siv dag zog dag (xws li qhov xwm txheej ntawm Gulf of Tonkin thiab Iraq's ' Riam phom ntawm Kev Puas Tsuaj Loj ') los tsim kev tso cai rau kev ua tsov rog ntawm lawv tus kheej xaiv. Yog tias Asmeskas xyoo pua, raws li Henry Luce tau tshaj tawm, pib nrog Tsov Rog Ntiaj Teb Zaum Ob, nws txuas ntxiv kev ua tsov rog zoo li qub uas Tebchaws Meskas tau tsim. Teb Chaws Asmeskas hegemony thiab tshem tawm ntawm kev tawm tsam rau nws tau txhawb nqa los ntawm Tsov Rog thiab Kev Thaj Yeeb Kev Tshawb Fawb,9 German Marshall Plan, thiab cov koom haum zoo sib xws.
Ib txwm xav tau tus yeeb ncuab, cov neeg Amelikas tau dhau los ua neeg zoo dua ntawm kev ua phem thiab tsis tseeb, tsim kev pom zoo thiab nyiaj txiag rau kev ua tsov rog tsis tu ncua, kub lossis txias, thiab tsim kev sib txuas lus thev naus laus zis uas xa lawv cov ntawv tshaj tawm. Sab hauv, kev ua tsov ua rog tau raug tshaj tawm raws li kev sib cais, tshuaj, kev txom nyem thiab rho menyuam, tab sis yeej tsis muaj phom. Sab nraud, tom qab 1945 tus yeeb ncuab tshiab rau cov neeg Amelikas tawm tsam yog Communism; ces nuclear kev sib tw los ntawm Soviet Union; tom qab lub cev qhuav dej ntawm lub USSR tuaj ua phem; tiam Iran. Tom ntej no yog Tuam Tshoj.
'Tsuas yog kev kub ntxhov - qhov tseeb lossis pom tau - ua rau muaj kev hloov pauv tiag tiag', Milton Friedman tau sau rau hauv nws phau ntawv 1962 Capitalism thiab kev ywj pheej. Kawm nyob rau hauv cov lus qhuab qhia, thaum lub Cuaj Hlis 2000 neo-conservative cov tswv cuab ntawm Txoj Haujlwm rau New American Century (PNAC) tsim Rebuilding America's Defenses: Cov Tswv Yim, Cov Tub Rog, thiab Kev Pabcuam Rau Ib Xyoo Tshiab. Nyob rau hauv nws lawv tau thov qhov xav tau rau 'kev hloov pauv hloov', uas yuav xav tau 'kev puas tsuaj loj catalysing tshwm sim - zoo li lub Pearl Harbor tshiab'. Lub 9/11 kev tawm tsam ntawm World Trade Center thiab Pentagon tsuas yog ib qho xwm txheej, ua rau Congress kom dhau Txoj Cai Patriot thiab Kev Tso Cai rau Kev Siv Tub Rog Tawm Tsam Cov Neeg Ua Phem, ua rau muaj kev tsov rog uas tseem raug tawm tsam ob xyoo tom qab, ntev tshaj plaws. hauv Asmeskas keeb kwm. Kev ua tsov ua rog ntawm kev ntshai tsim blowback.10
Islamists nrhiav kev pauj thoob ntiaj teb rau kev tawm tsam rau lawv lub teb chaws thiab cov neeg Muslims. Cov neeg tawg rog los ntawm Middle East tau khiav tawm thoob plaws Tebchaws Europe, tig lub chaw nres nkoj ntawm Calais mus rau hauv ' zoov nuj txeeg'. Tebchaws Askiv tau xaiv rau xenophobic insularity thiab kev sib nrauj los ntawm Tebchaws Europe. Cov thawj coj saib xyuas uas tau cia siab tias yuav ua rau lub tebchaws United Kingdom zoo dua tau txuas lawv tus kheej rau Tebchaws Meskas, suav nrog nws cov neo-conservatives, thiab demonized Russia. Cov koom haum sib tw tau teeb tsa hauv tebchaws United Kingdom thiab United States los tsav cov txheej txheem. Lawv suav nrog lub koom haum Gatestone, coj los ntawm John Bolton, thiab cov pro-Israel Foreign Policy Initiative (FPI), uas tau nrhiav kev cuam tshuam rau US txoj cai txawv tebchaws nyob rau hauv Middle East. FPI tau tsim nyob rau hauv 2009, tib lub xyoo raws li lub koom haum rau Statecraft (IfS) pib nyob rau hauv teb chaws Aas Kiv raws li ib tug 'kev pab txhawb nqa kev kawm ntawv', ua raws li nws offshoot, Integrity Initiative (II), nyob rau hauv 2015. Kev Paub Tshiab, nrhiav tau zoo li IfS hauv 2015, lees paub tias nws tau ua haujlwm 'tus chij cuav' hauv 2018 Alabama Senate xaiv tsa.11 FPI tau ploj mus rau xyoo 2017, thiab IfS thiab II tau nyob ntsiag to tom qab lawv lub neej tau xau lig xyoo 2018.
Thaum Lub Kaum Hli 2016 II tus tsim, tus thawj coj txawj ntse Christopher Donnelly, tau ntsib tus thawj coj laus laus Sir Richard Barrons thiab pom zoo tias Tebchaws Askiv yuav tsum siv nyiaj £ 7 billion ntxiv rau ib xyoos rau cov tub rog 'koom nrog Russia thiab Tuam Tshoj'.12 Lawv tau hais txog qhov yuav tsum tau muaj 'kev puas tsuaj loj' uas yuav tsim kev pom zoo rau pej xeem, hais lus Robert Kagan hu rau PNAC thaum lub Cuaj Hlis 2000 rau kev tsim kev puas tsuaj los ua rau muaj kev hloov pauv hloov. Los ntawm kev tsom mus rau Russia thiab cov zej zog hais lus Lavxias nrog nws cov lus txhawb nqa Asmeskas, Asmeskas- thiab Askiv tau txais nyiaj IfS yuav 'ceev UK lub hwj chim hauv North America thiab Europe tom qab Brexit'. Yog li sau James Ball, a Tus Saib Xyuas neeg sau xov xwm txuam nrog II.13 Donnelly hu rau ib
hom kev ua tsov rog tshiab, hom tshiab ntawm kev tsis sib haum xeeb, kev sib tw tshiab, uas txhua yam dhau los ua riam phom: cov ntaub ntawv, khoom siv hluav taws xob, kev tawm tsam cyber uas txhua tus paub txog, kev noj nyiaj txiag nws tus kheej, kev nqis peev nyiaj txiag - tag nrho cov no yog tam sim no. riam phom nyob rau hauv niaj hnub kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm lub xeev, thiab nruab nrab ntawm lub xeev thiab sub-state actors zoo li Daesh [IS]. Thiab cov ntaub ntawv tsis tseeb yog qhov teeb meem uas sib sau ua ke tag nrho lwm yam riam phom ntawm qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb no thiab ua rau lawv muaj qhov thib peb.14
II tau luam tawm xyoo 2019 los ntawm Bellingcat's Open Information Partnership, uas tau thov ua 'cov ntaub ntawv pov thawj' cov ntaub ntawv, thaum txhawb US thiab UK psy-ops tawm tsam Russia, Iran thiab lwm tus.15 Founded los ntawm British amateur neeg soj ntsuam Eliot Higgins, Bellingcat muab ib tug pej xeem channel rau British kev ruaj ntseg cov koom haum uas xav tawm lawv cov versions ntawm cov xwm txheej tsis ntev los no, nyob rau hauv Ukraine, Syria thiab Salisbury, piv txwv li.
Ua haujlwm hauv 'grey cheeb tsam', cov no thiab lwm lub koom haum dubious koom nrog kev ntseeg: kev ua tsov ua rog yuav tsum tsis tu ncua. Kev pom zoo rau pej xeem rau qhov uas Donald Rumsfeld hu ua 'kev ua tsov rog tsis kawg rau kev thaj yeeb nyab xeeb' nyob ntawm kev tsim kev ntshai. Dab tsi yog qhov yuav tsum tau ntshai ntau dua li kev ua phem? Yog li lub ntiaj teb no 'kev ua tsov ua rog ntawm kev ntshai' yog ib qho kev tsim ntawm kev txawj ntse los ntawm cov neeg nyiam militarism. Nws yeej tsis tau hais tias tau yeej lossis poob. Txhua yam kev ua phem ua pov thawj nws tseem yuav tsum tau tawm tsam, thiab ntau tus tub rog tawm tsam cov neeg phem thiab cov neeg phem xav kom ua pauj, ntau cov neeg nrhiav neeg thiab cov peev txheej ntws mus rau ob sab. Nws yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws 'kev ua tsov rog mus ib txhis', uas yog vim li cas nws kis tau los ntawm Afghanistan mus rau Iraq, los ntawm Libya mus rau Syria, North Africa thiab Southeast Asia. Nws txuas ntxiv hauv Afghanistan ntev dua li lwm yam kev ua tsov rog hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas - ntev tom qab nws lub hom phiaj pib, nrhiav Osama bin Laden thiab rau txim rau al-Qaeda rau 9/11 kev tawm tsam rau Tebchaws Meskas, tsis nco qab lawm.
Kev ua tsov rog ntawm kev ntshai tau qhib qhov 'kev ntshai ntshai', uas lub tebchaws United States thiab nws cov phoojywg tau poob. Txawm hais tias cov neeg phem Islamist tsawg tsawg thiab tsis muaj peev txheej, txawm tias lawv tau tua thiab raug mob ntau txhiab leej, lawv cov yeeb ncuab sab hnub poob zoo siv ntau lab lab, xaus thiab puas tsuaj ntau lab lub neej, tsim kev ntxub ntxaug thiab kev ua phem ntau dua, thiab ua tiav tsis muaj dab tsi. Lawv suav nrog Australia, thiab lawv tseem ua li ntawd.
Rov qab los ntawm Afghanistan, tab sis tsis yog los ntawm kev ntshai
Kev xa tub rog loj tsis pib lossis xaus rau hmo ntuj, txawm tias lawv feem ntau tau tshaj tawm txoj kev ntawd. Thawj Tswj Hwm Trump tau ntsib cov thawj coj ntawm Taliban thaum Lub Ob Hlis 2020 thiab tau muab US 'tshem tawm' thaum lub Tsib Hlis 2021, ua rau cov Taliban sau cov ntsiab lus ntawm lawv yeej. Tsis ntev tom qab nws lub rooj sib tham, Thawj Tswj Hwm Biden tau cog lus tias yuav muaj tag nrho Asmeskas cov tub rog, nrog rau lub tsev teev ntuj, ploj mus thaum lub Yim Hli kawg. Nws muab sijhawm ntau rau cov Taliban los npaj.
Lub chaotic khiav tawm ntawm Afghanistan nco qab txog cov kev paub dhau los ntawm USSR xyoo 1989 thiab ntawm Tebchaws Askiv xyoo 1842 thiab 1919. Afghans yeej ib txwm tawm tsam lawv cov neeg invaders. Ib yam li ntawd, nws yog ib lub facsimile ntawm US kev paub nyob rau hauv Nyab Laj nyob rau hauv 1975, tshwj tsis yog hais tias cov South Nyab Laj tawm tsam ntev tshaj li lawv cov US-backed counterparts ua nyob rau hauv Kabul. Nyob rau Nyab Laj Qab Teb, Tebchaws Meskas tau tua cov thawj coj ua tsis tau zoo; Hauv Afghanistan, Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom tau khiav nrog lub hnab nyiaj ntsuab.
Lub foob pob tua tus kheej ntawm Kabul tshav dav hlau Abbott Gate thiab kev tawm tsam tom ntej los ntawm ISIS-K txuas ntxiv kev ua tsov rog ntawm kev ntshai. Biden txawm hais rau Bush cov lus ceev faj, ceeb toom cov neeg phem, 'Peb yuav tua koj, peb yuav ua rau koj them'. Yog li ntawd, General Frank McKenzie, tus thawj coj ntawm Central Command, uas tau hais kom lub Pentagon npaj kev tawm tsam ntawm ISIS-K cov cuab tam 'hauv lub sijhawm thiab qhov chaw ntawm peb xaiv'. Thaum lub ntiaj teb tau tos, Leon Panetta, uas tau ua tus Secretary of Defense nyob rau hauv Obama hauv xyoo thaum ISIS-K pib, tshaj tawm tias Tebchaws Meskas tuaj yeem tawm hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua tab sis peb tsis tuaj yeem tawm ntawm kev ua phem rau kev ua phem, uas tseem yog ib qho kev sib ntaus sib tua. hem rau peb lub teb chaws'. Thiab Pentagon tus kws tshaj lij xov xwm, John Kirby, tau taw qhia rau 'kev txaus ntshai ua phem hem' hauv Kabul, hais tias Tebchaws Meskas tau npaj rau kev tawm tsam ntau dua.16 Nws tsis tau hais tias lawv yuav ua li cas rau lawv.
Republicans tau sib npaug nrawm los kho cov lus qub. Hauv Congress lawv tau hais kom Thawj Tswj Hwm Biden mus sib ntaus sib tua 'kev ua tsov rog ntawm kev ntshai', pom meej tias tsis nco qab tias Obama tsis kam siv cov lus qhia, thiab Trump ntxub nws ua tsov rog poob. Tus thawj coj ntawm haiv neeg tsawg hauv tsev Mitch McConnell, raug kaw hauv qhov kev ntshai ntshai, tau thov kom Tebchaws Meskas rov ua dua nws cov kev siv zog tawm tsam kev ua phem. Nws tau lees tias tsuas yog vim Tebchaws Meskas tau tso tseg cov neeg phem, lawv 'yuav tsis tso tseg kev sib ntaus sib tua US'.17
Hauv tebchaws Australia, qhov kev tawm tsam los ntawm Kabul tau rov kho cov lus ceeb toom paub txog kev ua phem. Yav dhau los tus thawj tswj hwm Kevin Rudd tau kwv yees tias Afghanistan tuaj yeem dhau los ua qhov chaw nyab xeeb rau cov neeg phem.18 Raws li Lowy lub koom haum Rodger Shanahan, sab hnub poob 'kev txaus siab tseem ceeb' hauv Afghanistan yog kev ua phem, ib yam li nws tau nees nkaum xyoo dhau los.19 Nag hmo tus thawj tswj hwm John Howard tau ceeb toom rau cov neeg Australian, raws li nws tau ua hauv xyoo 2001, kom ceeb toom tab sis tsis ceeb toom txog 'kev hem thawj tsis txaus ntseeg ntawm kev ua phem', suav nrog hauv peb cheeb tsam. Tsis muaj leej twg hais tias Australia yuav tsum ua li cas txog nws. Tsis muaj leej twg hais tias yog kev ua phem tseem yog qhov kev hem thawj tom qab ob xyoo lawm, peb yuav xav tau txoj hauv kev sib txawv rau qhov peb tau ua txij li xyoo 2001.
Biden cov thawj coj xav tau tab sis ua tsis tiav los xaus Asmeskas 'kev ua tsov rog mus ib txhis'. Thaum Biden tau thov qhov credit rau qhov ua li ntawd, nws twb tau npaj rau qhov yuav ua raws li Asmeskas txoj kev tawm tsam. Nws tus yeeb ncuab thib ib tshiab yuav yog 'Communist China'. Biden tau xa cov thawj coj tub rog laus mus rau South Tuam Tshoj Hiav Txwv, nce lub Quad kom muaj Tuam Tshoj nyob rau hauv Indo-Pacific, thiab tau ua haujlwm rau US pawg thawj coj saib xyuas Suav keeb kwm ntawm tus kabmob coronavirus, suav nrog qhov ua tau tias cov neeg Asmeskas tau kis tus kabmob hauv Wuhan thaum Lub Kaum Hli. 2019. Provocatively, daim ntawv tshaj tawm tau tawm thaum lub Cuaj Hlis, dovetailing nrog rau hnub nyoog nees nkaum xyoo ntawm 'neeg ua phem' tawm tsam ntawm 9/11. Tab sis nws hloov tsis muaj dab tsi uas twb paub txog COVID-19, thiab lees paub tsis muaj lub luag haujlwm hauv Asmeskas hauv nws, txawm tias Sharri Markson txoj kev tshawb fawb qhia tias muaj ib qho. 20
Tsis muaj leej twg hais tias Tuam Tshoj tsis muaj dab tsi cuam tshuam nrog 9/11, lossis tias Tuam Tshoj tau cuam tshuam nrog nws tus kheej cov teeb meem, suav nrog cov neeg txawv teb chaws 'kev ua phem' ntawm Uighurs thiab Hong Kong cov neeg tawm tsam. Beijing tab tom nyiam tsoomfwv los koom nrog nws txoj kev koom tes thoob plaws lub tebchaws Middle East, tam sim no hu ua 'West Asia'. Tuam Tshoj tau ua phooj ywg nrog cov Taliban Afghanistan thiab Ayatollahs 'Iran, thiab Afghanistan muab kev thauj mus los rau roj thiab roj los ntawm Tajikistan los ntawm Pakistan mus rau Arabian Hiav Txwv. Yog li ntawd, txawm tias sib nrug los ntawm Taiwan thiab South Tuam Tshoj Hiav Txwv, Tuam Tshoj yog Amelikas tus yeeb ncuab: kev sib tw rau US hegemony thiab tus txhawb nqa ntawm kev ua tsov rog tsis txaus ntseeg ntawm kev ntshai. Txaus hais tias.
Cov neeg Amelikas tau tawm tsam 'kev ua tsov rog ntawm kev ntshai' hauv Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, Libya, Somalia, Syria, Yemen thiab Philippines, nrog Australian kev txhawb nqa tsawg kawg yog plaub lub tebchaws no. Cov tub rog Asmeskas cuam tshuam tau tshwm sim hauv Georgia, Cuba, Djibouti, Kenya, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Qaib ntxhw, Niger, Cameroon, Jordan, Lebanon, Haiti, Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, Central African Republic, Mali, Burkina Faso, Chad, Mauritania, Nigeria thiab Tunisia, nrog rau ntau lub hiav txwv.21 Kev ua phem phem tej zaum yuav yog ib qho piv txwv rau kev ua tsov rog ntxiv.
Kev tsov rog tom ntej
Muaj qee qhov tshwj xeeb, txhua tus thawj tswj hwm Asmeskas tau ua lub luag haujlwm rau kev ua tsov rog. Kev ua tsov ua rog yog li cas Tebchaws Meskas yeej ib txwm cuam tshuam nrog kev tsis sib haum xeeb thiab ua raws nws cov txiaj ntsig kev lag luam. Txhua lub xeev Asmeskas muaj kev ua tub rog-kev lag luam-kev nyab xeeb kev teeb tsa uas cov neeg hauv zos vam khom rau kev ua haujlwm. Tebchaws Meskas tsis tau yeej kev tsov rog tseem ceeb txij li xyoo 1945, tab sis qhov ntawd tsis cuam tshuam kev lag luam kev ua tsov rog los ntawm kev nrhiav cov hauv kev ntxiv. Muaj qee qhov 750 Asmeskas lub hauv paus hauv yim caum lwm lub tebchaws, qhov twg cov neeg Amelikas tau hais tawm thiab txhawb nqa tsoomfwv. Cov thawj coj uas tawm tsam Asmeskas qhov kev thov yuav raug cuam tshuam, raug tso tawm lossis raug tua. Xav txog qhov kev npau taws yog tias Tuam Tshoj lossis Russia ua qhov no!
Zoo ua ntej AUKUS, Australian cov kws tshaj lij tsis txaus siab rau peb txoj kev sib koom tes nrog Tebchaws Meskas, thiab peb lub siab xav tsis txaus ntseeg - kev mob siab rau, txawm tias - los tawm tsam hauv Asmeskas kev tawm tsam kev tsov kev rog uas tsis muaj dab tsi cuam tshuam nrog kev tiv thaiv Australia. Richard Tanter, Hugh White, Max Suich thiab lwm tus pom Australia tias tsis muaj kev ywj pheej nyob rau hauv txawv teb chaws lossis kev tiv thaiv txoj cai.22 Qhov ntawd txhais tau hais tias yog tsov rog tom ntej no tawm tsam Tuam Tshoj, hla Taiwan, Sab Qab Teb lossis Sab Hnub Tuaj Tuam Tshoj, lossis qee qhov kev tshwm sim, Australia yuav koom nrog, yuav yog lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb, thiab yuav poob tsov rog. Tuam Tshoj tsis yog cov Taliban.
Tab sis lub tebchaws United States ib txwm xav kom muaj kev sib koom ua ke, zoo li AUKUS. Australia tsuas yog rov hais dua, yog tias Morrison ib zaug tso lub teb chaws txoj sia nyob ua ntej ntawm nws txoj kev xaiv tsa, yog qhia rau Tebchaws Meskas ua ntej tias Australia yuav tsis koom nrog nws cov phoojywg hauv kev tsis sib haum xeeb.
1 Katharine Murphy, 'Qhov Tseem Ceeb Tshaj Tawm: Feem ntau ntawm Australians Rov Qab Aukus Submarine Pact, Tab sis ntshai nws yuav ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov nrog Tuam Tshoj', tus saib xyuasPlaub Hlis 28, 2021, https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/sep/28/essential-poll-majority-of-australians-back-aukus-submarine-pact-but-fear-it-will -inflame-tensions-nrog-suav teb
2 http://www.news.cn/English/2021-09/29/c_1310215827.htm
3 Scott Morrison thiab Boris Johnson, hais hauv Anthony Galloway, 'Australia Urged to Deepen South-East Asia Engagement', Lub Sydney Morning Herald, 8 Lub Kaum Hli 2021, p 15.
4 Saib Clinton Fernandes, 'The International Rules-Based Order', Arena tsis muaj. Peb 7, 2021.
5 Kev Sib Tham Sib Tham Australia-US Ministerial Consultations (AUSMIN) 2021, Department of Foreign Affairs thiab Trade,
https://www.dfat.gov.au/geo/united-states-of-america/ausmin/joint-statement-australia-us-ministerial-consultations-ausmin-2021, US Department of State, https://www.state.gov/joint-statement-on-australia-u-s-ministerial-consultations-ausmin-2021/; Malcolm Fraser, 'Australia-US Kev Sib Raug Zoo hauv "Asian Century", ARena Magazine tsis muaj. Peb 120, 2012.
6 Richard Tanter, xa mus rau Kev ywj pheej thiab kev thaj yeeb nyab xeeb Australia Network Tib neeg Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Tus Nqi ntawm Tsov Rog, 2021.
7 Saib 'Kev Ua Tsov Rog: Kev Rov Qab Los' series ntawm cov kab lus los ntawm Max Suich hauv Australian Kev Ntsuam Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag: 'Yuav ua li cas Australia tau ua phem tawm hauv pem hauv ntej ntawm Tuam Tshoj', , 17 Tsib Hlis 2021; 'Tuam Tshoj Kev Sib Tham: Peb Xav Li Cas?', 18 Tsib Hlis 2021; 'US-Australia Alliance ntawm Tuam Tshoj Qhia Nws Zoo Tshaj Plaws Thaum Ntxov, Mus Nyuaj', 19 Lub Tsib Hlis 2021.
8 Alison Broinowski, 'Australia Pom Zoo Rau Txhua Yam', Pearls thiab IrritationsPlaub Hlis 14, 2019, https://johnmenadue.com/alison-broinowski-australia-agrees-to-everything/
9 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_and_Peace_Studies
10 Chalmers Johnson, Blowback: Tus Nqi thiab Qhov Tshwm Sim ntawm Asmeskas Tebchaws Asmeskas, New York: Owl Books, 2001.
11 https://www.newknowledge.com/about-us/; David McIlwain, 'Lub Ob Qhov Muag Theem Ob', AmericanHerald Pawg Neeg, 11 Lub Ib Hlis 2019,
12 Robert Stevens, 'UK Integrity Initiative Heavy Involved in Skripal Affair', Ntiaj Teb Socialist Web Site, 7 Lub Ib Hlis 2019,
13 James Ball, 'Thaum Dawb Societies Copy Russian Media Tactics, Tsuas Muaj Ib Tug Yeej', tus saib xyuas, 10 Lub Ib Hlis 2019, https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jan/09/free-societies-russia-misinformation-integrity-initiative#comment-124442900
14 YouTube, 'Chris Donnelly Hais Hais Txog Kev Tshaj Tawm, rau Lub Tsev Haujlwm rau Lub Xeev', Tony Kevin transcript, 4 Lub Ib Hlis 2019.
15 Kit Klarenberg, 'Integrity Initiative nyob rau hauv nkaum? Whitehall Launches Secret European "Disinformation Factory", Sputnik International, 4 Lub Xya Hli 2019, https://sputniknews.com/20190704/open-information-partnership-integrity-initiative-1076147867.html; Max Blumenthal, 'Reuters, BBC, thiab Bellingcat koom nrog Covert UK Lub Chaw Haujlwm Pabcuam Txawv Tebchaws-nyiaj pab rau "Russia tsis muaj zog," Leaked Docs Reveal', Lub Neej Huab Cua, 20 Lub Ob Hlis 2021, https://thegrayzone.com/2021/02/20/reuters-bbc-uk-foreign-office-russian-media/.
Saib Eliot Higgins, Peb yog Bellingcat: Lub Chaw Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Txawj Ntse rau Cov Neeg, London: Bloomsbury Publishing, 2021.
16 Joan E. Greve, '"Lwm Qhov Kev Ua Phem Txhaum Cai Hauv Kabul Zoo Li," Tsev Dawb hais tias—Raws li tshwm sim', tus saib xyuasPlaub Hlis 28, 2021, https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2021/aug/27/us-politics-live-joe-biden-afghanistan-democrats-republicans-latest-news?page=with:block-6128fad88f08b30431f83e80
17 Greve, '"Lwm Yam Kev Ua Phem Txhaum Cai"'.
18 Kevin Rudd, hauv David Crowe, 'Nation "Zoo Npaj" rau Kev Tawm Tsam', Lub Sydney Morning Herald, 4–5 Cuaj hlis 2021, p 1, 6.
19 Rodger Shanahan: XNUMX Lab tus kiv cua tos koj rau Webtalk! 'Kev cuam tshuam rau Western Kev Ruaj Ntseg deb ntawm kev txiav txim siab', Tus Australian, 3 Cuaj hlis 2021, p 9.
20 Sharri Markson, thiab Dab tsi tshwm sim tiag tiag hauv Wuhan?, Melbourne: HarperCollins, 2021.
21 David Swanson, 'Yuav Ua Li Cas Kev Tsov Rog Ntawm Kev Ntshai Tau Ua Rau Peb So Far', Cia Sim Sim Kev Txawj NtsePlaub Hlis 30, 2021, https://davidswanson.org/what-the-war-of-terror-has-cost-us-so-far/
22 Richard Tanter, xa mus rau Pawg Saib Xyuas Kev Tiv Thaiv, Pawg Neeg Sawv Cev Sib Koom Tes ntawm Kev Txawv Tebchaws, Kev Tiv Thaiv thiab Kev Lag Luam, nug txog cov txiaj ntsig thiab kev pheej hmoo ntawm Bipartisan Australian Defense Daim Ntawv Pom Zoo, raws li kev npaj rau, thiab nyiaj txiag ntawm, Australian Defense muaj peev xwm, 2 Kaum Ib Hlis 2017; Richard Tanter, 'Bad, Phem, BADA (aka Bipartisan Australian Defense Agreement)', Pearls & Irritations, 1 Lub Peb Hlis 2018, https://johnmenadue.com/richard-tanter-bad-bad-bada-aka-bipartisan-australian-defence-agreement/.
