Ob tug kaum-plaub ntawm ex-US cov tub ceevxwm ntse txhawb Thawj Tswj Hwm Trump kom rov xav txog nws cov lus tias liam tias tsoomfwv Syrian rau qhov tshuaj lom neeg tuag hauv Idlib thiab kom thim rov qab los ntawm nws txoj kev phom sij ntawm kev kub ntxhov nrog Russia.
NCO NTSOOV RAU: Tus Thawj Tswj Hwm
LOS NTAWM: Cov Tub Rog Txawj Ntse txawj ntse rau Sanity (VIPS) *, consortiumnews.com.
XEEM: Syria: Puas Yog Nws Raug "Tshuaj Lom Zem Riam Phom"?
1 - Peb sau ntawv los qhia koj txog qhov tsis txaus ntshai ntawm kev hem thawj ntawm kev ua phom tiv thaiv nrog rau Russia - nrog txoj kev pheej hmoo ntawm nce mus rau kev tsov rog nuclear. Qhov kev hem thawj tau loj hlob tuaj tom qab lub nkoj pov tseg ya mus rau Syria nyob rau hauv pauj kua zaub ntsuab rau qhov koj tau thov yog "kev tawm tsam riam phom" rau lub Plaub Hlis 4 rau cov pej xeem Syrian nyob rau yav qab teb Idlib xeev.
Thawj Tswj Hwm Trump ntawm kev sib tham nrog Jordan tus Vaj Ntxwv Abdullah II rau lub Plaub Hlis 5, 2017, uas tus Thawj Tswj Hwm tau hais txog ntsoog hauv Syria. (Screen txhaj tshuaj los ntawm whitehouse.gov)
2 - Peb cov tub rog hauv Asmeskas thaj chaw tau hais qhia peb tias qhov no tsis yog dab tsi tshwm sim. Tsis muaj Syrian "tshuaj riam phom tua." Hloov chaw, lub dav hlau Syrian tau foob pob al-Qaeda-hauv-Syria cov mos txwv phom uas tig los ua cov tshuaj lom neeg tsis zoo thiab muaj cua daj cua dub los ua rau cov tshuaj lom neeg nyob saum ib lub zos uas muaj ntau tus neeg tuag.
3 - Qhov no yog qhov uas cov Russians thiab Syrians tau hais thiab - tseem ceeb tshaj-lawv xav tias lawv ntseeg tias tau tshwm sim.
4 - Peb tsis ntseeg hais tias lub Tsev Dawb tau muab peb cov lus tshaj tawm txog kev ncaj ncees; tias lawv yog qhov ncauj lawv tau hais li cas?
5 - Tom qab Putin ntxias kom Assad xyoo 2013 muab nws cov tshuaj lom neeg, cov tub rog Asmeskas rhuav tshem 600 metric ntawm Syria cov cW pauv nyob rau hauv tsuas yog rau lub lis piam. Lub luag haujlwm ntawm Lub Koom Haum UN ntawm Kev Txwv Kev Siv Tshuaj Phom (OPCW-UN) yog ua kom txhua tus raug pov tseg - zoo ib yam li cov lus txib rau UN tus kuaj rau Iraq txog WMD. Cov kws ntsuam xyuas UN cov lus tshawb pom ntawm WMD yog qhov tseeb. Rumsfeld thiab nws cov generals dag thiab qhov no zoo li tau tshwm sim dua. Cov tswg txawm siab dua tam sim no; qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev sib raug zoo ntawm kev ntseeg siab nrog Lavxias tus thawj coj tsis tuaj yeem ua rau dhau.
6 - Thaum lub Cuaj hlis 2013, tom qab Putin tau yaum kom Assad xa nws cov tshuaj riam phom (muab Obama rau txoj kev nyuaj ntawm kev nyuaj), tus Lavxias Thawj Tswj Hwm tau sau ntawv rau lub sij hawm New York Times uas nws hais tias: "Kuv ua hauj lwm thiab tus kheej kev sib raug zoo nrog Thawj Tswj Hwm Obama yog cim ntawm txoj kev ntseeg siab. Kuv ua tsaug qhov no. "
Détente Nipped nyob rau hauv lub Bud
7 - Peb-xyoo ntxiv tom qab, Lub Plaub Hlis 4, 2017, Lavxias Tus Thawj Kav Tebchaws Medvedev tau hais txog "kev tsis ntseeg siab kiag li," uas nws tau hais tias "tu siab rau peb tam sim no puas tsuaj tag kev sib raug zoo [tab sis] cov xov xwm zoo rau cov neeg phem." Tsis tsuas yog tu siab, hauv peb qhov kev pom, tab sis tsis tsim nyog kiag li - tseem phem, txaus ntshai.
8 - Nrog rau Moscow txoj kev tshem tawm ntawm qhov kev pom zoo ua kom muaj kev sib cav tsis sib haum txog kev ua haujlwm nyob thoob tebchaws Syria, lub moos tau tig rov qab rau lub hlis rau qhov xwm txheej kawg lub Cuaj Hli / Kaum Hlis thaum 11 lub hlis ntawm kev sib tham nyuaj coj tau kev pom zoo ntawm kev sib tua. Tsoomfwv Meskas Tub Rog Tub Rog tawm tsam rau cov chaw tub rog ntawm Syrian nyob rau lub Cuaj Hli 17, 2016, tua txog 70 thiab ua rau neeg raug mob ntxiv 100, hais txog qhov kev pom zoo ntawm kev sib tua tsawg uas tau pom zoo los ntawm Obama thiab Putin ib lub lim tiam dhau los. Ntseeg evaporated.
Tus neeg tsim kev puas tsuaj ntawm Missile USS Chaw Ua Haujlwm ua haujlwm thaum tawm tsam Mediterranean, Lub Plaub Hlis 7, 2017. (Lub yees duab los ntawm Petty Officer 3rd hoob Ford Williams)
9 - Thaum Sept. 26, 2016, Foreign Minister Lavrov hais tias: "Kuv tus phooj ywg zoo John Kerry ... yog nyob hauv kev tsuj tsom los ntawm cov tub rog hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas lub cav, [uas] tsis tshua mloog tus Thawj Coj nyob hauv Tsav." Lavrov tau thuam JCS tus Thawj Coj Dunford qhia rau Congress tias nws tawm tsam kev sib koom tes nrog Russia rau Syria, "tom qab lub sijhawm [ceasefire] kev cog lus, xaus cov lus txib ntawm Lavxias President Vladimir Putin thiab US President Barack Obama, tau npaj tseg tias ob tog yuav tsum txawj ntse. ... Nws yog qhov nyuaj ua hauj lwm nrog cov neeg koom tes. ... "
10 - 1, 2016, Lavxias Foreign Ministry spokesman spokesperson Maria Zakharova ceeb toom tias, "Yog hais tias lub US launched ncaj nraim rau tus Damascus thiab lub Syrian Army, nws yuav ua ib qho txaus ntshai, tectonic hloov tsis tsuas nyob rau hauv lub teb chaws, tab sis nyob rau hauv tag nrho cheeb tsam. "
11 - Nyob rau Oct 6, 2016, Lavxias tebchaw spokesman Gen. Gen. Igor Konashenkov tau ceeb toom hais tias Russia tau npaj tua kom tua tsis tau aircraft - nrog rau txhua yam kev nyab xeeb dav hlau - tshaj Syria. Konashenkov tau taw tes ntxiv tias Lavxias teb chaws huab cua tiv thaiv "yuav tsis muaj sij hawm los txheeb xyuas lub hauv paus" ntawm cov aircraft.
12 - Nyob rau Oct 27, 2016, Putin tau tshaj tawm hais tias, "Kuv tus kheej cov lus cog tseg nrog Thawj Tswj Hwm ntawm Tebchaws Meskas tsis tau ua kom tau", thiab tau yws txog "cov neeg nyob hauv Washington npaj siab ua txhua yam kom tsis txhob muaj cov ntawv cog lus ntawm kev siv . "Xa mus rau Syria, Putin txiav txim tias tsis muaj ib qho" ntau pem hauv ntej tawm tsam kev ua phem tom qab xws li kev sib khom ntev, kev siv zog, thiab nyuaj nyuaj. "
13 - Yog li, yam tsis tsim nyog los ntawm lub xeev rau Asmeskas-Lavxias kev sib raug zoo tam sim no tau poob qis - los ntawm "kev ntseeg zuj zus" mus rau "tsis ntseeg tsis txaus ntseeg." Yuav kom paub meej, muaj ntau tus txais tos qhov kev kub ntxhov siab, uas - lees paub - yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws rau cov caj npab ua lag luam.
14 - Peb ntseeg tias nws muaj qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws los tiv thaiv kev sib raug zoo nrog Russia los ntawm kev poob rau lub xeev kev ua tsis tiav. Tus Tuav Secretary Tillerson tuaj ntsib Moscow lub lim tiam no muaj lub sijhawm los nres qhov kev puas tsuaj, tab sis kuj tseem muaj kev phom sij uas nws tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau ntxiv - tshwj xeeb yog tias Secretary Tillerson tsis paub txog cov keeb kwm luv luv uas tau teev tseg saum toj no.
15 - Muaj tseeb nws yog lub sijhawm los cuam tshuam nrog Lavxias vim yog qhov tseeb, tsis muaj kev sib liam raws li cov pov thawj txaus ntseeg - los ntawm "cov koom hauv", "piv txwv li." Txawm hais tias ntau tus neeg yuav pom lub sijhawm no ntawm kev kub ntxhov siab uas yog kev txiav txim siab ntawm qhov ua siab tshaj, peb xav tias qhov fab ntxeev yuav yog qhov tseeb. Koj yuav xav hais kom Secretary Tillerson los pib npaj rau qhov ua siab tshaj thaum ntxov nrog Thawj Tswj Hwm Putin.
* Keeb Kwm ntawm Veteran Intelligence Professionals rau Sanity (VIPS), ib daim ntawv teev npe uas nws ua rau pom ntawm https://consortiumnews.com/vips-memos/.
CIA cov tub rog qub tau tsim VIPS thaum Lub Ib Hlis 2003 tom qab txiav txim siab tias Dick Cheney thiab Donald Rumsfeld tau hais kom peb cov npoj yaig qub tsim cov kev txawj ntse kom "txhim kho" kev ua tsov rog tsis tsim nyog nrog Iraq. Lub sijhawm peb xaiv kev pov plob hais tias Thawj Tswj Hwm George W. Bush tsis tau paub txog qhov no tag nrho.
Peb tau tshaj tawm thawj daim Ntawv Teev Npe rau Thawj Tswj Hwm thaum tav su ntawm Lub Ob Hlis 5, 2003, tom qab Colin Powell cov lus tsis txaus ntseeg ntawm lub tebchaws United Nations. Hais Thawj Tswj Hwm Bush, peb tau kaw nrog cov lus no:
Tsis muaj leej twg muaj lub ces kaum ntawm qhov tseeb; los yog peb tsis nco txog qhov peb qhov kev xav tau yog "tsis muaj tseeb" los sis "tsis muaj tseeb" [Adjectives Powell tau thov rau nws cov lus tawm tsam Saddam Hussein]. Tab sis tom qab saib Tub Ceev Xwm Powell hnub no, peb ntseeg hais tias koj yuav ua haujlwm zoo yog tias koj tau nthuav kev sib cav ... dhau ntawm lub voj voog ntawm cov neeg tawm tswv yim kom meej meej rau kev sib ntaus sib tua uas peb pom tsis muaj lub laj thawj thiab peb ntseeg tias cov kev xav tsis zoo yuav yog kom muaj kev puas tsuaj loj.
Ua tsaug, peb muab tswv yim rau koj, Thawj Tswj Hwm Trump.
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Rau Steering Group, Veteran Intelligence Professional rau Sanity
Eugene D. Betit, Kev Ntsuam Ntse Tshaj Tawm, DIA, Soviet FAO, (US Army, ret.)
William Binney, Tus Thawj Coj, NSA; co-tus tsim, SIGINT Automation Research Center (ret.)
Marshall Carter-Tripp, Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm Txawv Tebchaws thiab Tus Thawj Coj Tus Thawj Coj nyob rau hauv Lub Xeev Lub Chaw Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Txawj Ntse thiab Kev Tshawb Fawb, (ret.)
Thomas Drake, Senior Executive Service, NSA (qub)
Robert Furukawa, Capt, CEC, USN-R, (ret.)
Philip Giraldi, CIA, Tus Thawj Coj Ua Haujlwm (ret.)
Mike Gravel, tus kws lij choj qub, tus thawj tswj kev tshaj tawm hauv siab, Kev sib txuas lus Kev Sib Txuas Lus; tshwj xeeb ntawm tus Counter Intelligence Corps thiab qub Tebchaws Asmeskas Senator
Matthew Hoh, yav dhau los Capt., USMC, Iraq thiab Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm Txawv Tebchaws, Tebchaws Afganiv (koom tes VIPS)
Larry C. Johnson, CIA thiab Xeev Lub Chaw Haujlwm (ret.)
Michael S. Kearns, tus tauj ncov loj, USAF (Ret.); ex-Master SERE Tus Qhia rau Cov Txheej Txheem Rov Saib Xyuas Kev Nyab Xeeb (NSA / DIA) thiab Cov Hom Hauj Lwm Tshwj Xeeb (JSOC)
John Brady Kiesling, Tus Thawj Ceg Neeg Ua Haujlwm Txawv Tebchaws (ret.)
John Kiriakou, tus qub CIA Analyst thiab tus tub ceev xwm tub ceev xwm, thiab yav dhau los tus neeg tshawb nrhiav, Senate Txawv Teb Chaws Relations Committee
Linda Lewis, WMD qhov kev soj xyuas cov tub ntxhais kev tshawb fawb, USDA (ret.) (Qib VIPS)
David MacMichael, Pawg Neeg Txawj Ntse Hauv Tebchaws (ret.)
Ray McGovern, yav dhau los Asmeskas Tub Rog Tub Rog / tub ceev xwm / tub ceev xwm & CIA tus txheeb xyuas (ret.)
Elizabeth Murray, Tus Thawj Saib Kev Txawj Ntse Hauv Zej Zog (National Intelligence Officer) rau Near East, CIA thiab National Intelligence Council (ret.)
Torin Nelson, Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Txawj Ntse / Interrogator, Department of Army
Todd E. Pierce, MAJ, Tebchaws Asmeskas Tawm Tsam Tswv Yim Pab (Ret.)
Coleen Rowley, FBI Tshwj Xeeb Tus Neeg Sawv Cev thiab yav dhau los ntawm Minneapolis Division Legal Legal Counsel (ret.)
Scott Ritter, qub MAJ., USMC, thiab tus qub neeg soj ntsuam xyuas riam phom, Iraq
Peter Van Buren, US Department of State, Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm Txawv Tebchaws (ret.) (Qib VIPS)
Kirk Wiebe, tus Senior Senior Analyst, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA
Robert Wing, Tus Qub Tub Ceev Xwm Pab Txawv Teb Chaws (associate VIPS)
Ann Wright, US Army Reserve Colonel (ret) thiab qub qub Diplomat
