Na Gareth Porter, Mei 5, 2020
mai ka The Greyzone
Ua hoʻopiʻi ʻo Pelekikena Donald Trump i ka hana nuklea me Iran a hoʻomau i ke kaua ʻana me Iran e pili ana i ka ʻōlelo o ka kuhina nui o Israel Benjamin Benjamin Netanyahu ua hōʻoia maoli nō ʻo ia ua hoʻoholo ʻo Iran e hana i nā mea kaua nuklea. ʻAʻole pale wale ʻo Netanyahu iā Trump akā nui ka hui o nā hui pūnaewele, e hoʻopiʻi ana iā lākou me ka wehe ʻana o ka lehulehu i kāna mea i haʻi ai iā ia ka pilikino pilikino ʻĀina Iran ".
I ke kakahiaka o Aperila 2018, ʻo Netanyahu haiia Aia ʻo Trump i ka mana o ka hale hoʻomalu nuklean Iran i manaʻo ʻia a hoʻopaʻa i kāna ʻōlelo hoʻohiki e haʻalele i ka Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). Ma kēlā lā 30 ʻApelila, lawe ʻo Netanyahu i ka hōʻike ʻana i ka lehulehu ma kahi hana ola i hōʻike ʻia i ka wā i haʻi ai ʻo ia i nā lawelawe naʻauao ʻo Mossad a ʻIseraʻela i aihue i ka pūlea nuklea holoʻokoʻa o Iran mai Tehran. "Maikaʻi paha ʻoe i nā alakaʻi o Iran e hōʻole pinepine i ka hoʻopaʻi ʻana i nā mea kaua nukila ..." Netanyahu hai aku. “ʻĀ, i kēia pō, eia wau e haʻi aku iā ʻoe i kekahi mea: wahaheʻe ʻo ʻIrana. Wā nui. ”
Eia naʻe, kahi noiʻi o nā palapala nukila Iran i manaʻo ʻia e The Grezone e hōʻike ana i ka huahana o kahi hana disinformation Israeli i kōkua ai i ka hoʻoweliweli loa ʻana o ke kaua mai ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka hakakā ʻana me Iran ma kahi o ʻehā mau makahiki i hala. Ua loaʻa i kēia noiʻi nā hōʻailona he nui i ka moʻolelo o kahi heist o Mossad he 50,000 mau ʻaoʻao o nā waihona nukila huna mai Tehran i makemake nui ʻia a he ʻatikala kuhi ʻia a ua kākau ʻia nā palapala e ka Mossad ponoʻī.
Wahi a ke ʻano nūhou Israeli o nā hanana, hōʻuluʻulu nā Iranians i nā palapala nuklea mai nā wahi ākea a neʻe iā lākou i ka mea a Netanyahu i wehewehe ai "kahi hale kūʻai i kālai ʻia" ma ke kūkulu hema ʻo Tehran. ʻO ka manaʻo hoʻi he pepa huna huna ʻo Iran e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻomohala ʻana o nā mea kaua o ka nukle, ke koi aku nei e hoʻopaʻa ʻia nā palapala huna koʻikoʻi i loko o ka hale kūʻai nondescript a me ka ʻūnā ʻole ma Central Tehran he mea maoli ʻole paha ia e hāpai i nā bele alohilohi e pili ana i ka hoʻoilina o ka moʻolelo.
ʻOi aku ka pilikia o ka pilikia o hoʻopiʻi e kekahi luna Mossad i ka mea kākau moʻolelo ʻIseraʻela ʻo Ronen Bergman i ʻike ʻo Mossad ʻaʻole wale i loko o kahi hale waihona e loaʻa ai i kāna mau kauoha nā palapala akā ʻo ia ka mea e pale ai me kahi pū. Ua haʻi aku ka luna iā Bergman ua alakaʻi ʻia ke kime ʻo Mossad e kahi waiwai ʻike i kekahi mau waihona i loko o ka hale ukana i loaʻa nā mea paʻa me nā palapala koʻikoʻi nui. Netanyahu i hoʻopā nui ʻia ua ʻuʻuku loa ʻo ʻAmelika i ka wahi o ka waihona pūnaewele; i ka luna Mossad i haʻi aku iā Bergman "he wale wale nō o nā kānaka" i ʻike.
Akā ʻelua mau luna CIA kahiko loa, ua lawelawe lāua ʻelua ma ke ʻano he loiloi nui ma ka Hikina Waena, i kā Netanyahu kuleana no ka nele i ka hilinaʻi ʻole i nā pane i kahi nīnau mai The Grayzone.
Wahi a Paul Pillar, ʻo ia no ka Luna Hoʻonaʻi Pūnaewele no ke kaona mai 2001 a 2005, "ʻO kekahi kumu ma loko o ke kaanawai palekana aupuni Iranian he mea waiwai loa i nā maka o ʻIseraʻela, a me nā kūkākūkā a ʻIseraʻela e pili ana i ka lawelawe ʻia ʻana o kēlā ʻike kumu. e ka ʻoluʻolu e pale i ka ʻoi aku ka lōʻihi o ke kumu. " Ua hōʻike ʻo Pillar, ka mea e noʻonoʻo pono ana i ka hana a ka ʻIseraʻela e loaʻa ai ka "mile-politika" diplomatic "nui loa" mai loko aʻe o ka "manaʻo i manaʻo ʻia" o kahi puna i kau maikaʻi ʻia.
ʻO Graham Fuller, he kanaka 27 mau makahiki o ka CIA nāna i lawelawe ma ka ʻoihana Pūʻepelika National for the Near East and South Asia a me ka Luna Pelekikena o ka National Intelligence Council, i hāʻawi ʻia i kahi loiloi like ʻole o ka kuhi hewa ʻana o ka ʻIseraʻela. "Inā loaʻa kahi naʻauao e ka ʻIseraʻela ma Tehran," ʻōlelo a Fuller, "ʻaʻole lākou e makemake e hoʻoweliweli iā ia." Ua piha ʻo Fuller i ka ʻōlelo a ka ʻIseraʻela me kā lākou ʻike pololei e pili ana i ke kīleʻaleʻa i ka "hōʻino, a paʻa ka mea no paha."
ʻAʻohe mea hōʻoia o kaʻoiaʻiʻo
ʻO Netanyahu Hōʻikeʻike hōʻikeʻike ʻoʻApelila 30 Ua hōʻike ʻo ia i nā palapala o ka manaʻo o Iran i loaʻa i nā hōʻike hoʻonāukiuki āna i kuhikuhi ai i mea hōʻike i kāna ʻōlelo hoʻomanawanui ʻo Iran e pili ana i kona makemake i ka hana ʻana i nā mea kaua nukle. Hoʻokomo ʻia nā mea i ʻike ʻia i kahi faila i manaʻo ʻia ke kiʻi mua i ka 2000 a ma mua paha o kēlā hoʻolālā e kūkulu i nā mea kaua ʻelima ma ka waena o 2003.
ʻO kekahi palapala i hoʻoili i ke ākea pālahalaha mea nui hōʻike ma kahi kūkā i waena o nā alakaʻi ʻepekema o Iran no kahi hoʻoholo i waena o ka makahiki 2003 i hoʻokaʻawale ai e ke Kuhina Kāleka o Iran e hoʻokaʻawale i kahi papahana o ka mea kaua huna i ka wā e komo ai i nā ʻāpana.
Ma waho mai o ka pā i ka hoʻolaha e pili ana i kēia mau palapala "nīkika" hana maʻalahi he mea maʻalahi loa ia iā Netanyahu: ʻaʻohe mea e pili ana iā lākou i hāʻawi i kahi ʻano aʻoaʻo no ka hōʻike ʻoiaʻiʻo. No ka laʻana, ʻaʻohe mea i loaʻa nā hōʻailona aluna i ka ʻahahui Iranian kūpono.
ʻO Tariq Rauf, ʻo ia ke poʻo o ka Office of Verification and Security Policy Coordination ma ka International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) mai 2001 a 2011, haʻi aku iā The Grezzone e pili pono ana kēia mau māmala ma nā faila Iranian.
"He palapala maikaʻi loa ʻo Iran," i wehewehe ai ʻo Rauf. "No laila, manaʻo kahi mea i kahi mālama pono puke kūpono e hoʻopaʻa i ka leka uila e hiki mai ana, me ka lā i loaʻa, ka luna hana, ke keʻena, ka neʻe ʻana i nā luna e pili ana i ka pono, kahi poʻo kūpono kūpono, a pēlā aku."
Akā e like me kā Rauf i hōʻike, ʻo nā "archive nile" palapala paʻi ʻia e ka Washington Post ʻaʻohe hōʻike e like me ke kumu o ke aupuni Iran. ʻAʻole pū ʻia nā māka ʻē aʻe e hōʻike i kā lākou hana ʻia ma lalo o ka malu o kahi keʻena aupuni Iran.
ʻO nā mea i loaʻa i nā palapala i ka māka o ke kaomi wili no ka ʻōnaehana helu e hōʻike ana i nā helu no kahi "record", kahi "faile" a me kahi "ledger" manuahi - e like me nā kelepō i ka pōmaikaʻi a Netanyahu i nā kāmelo i ka wā o kāna kiʻi kiʻi. . ^ E Ha yM. Akā i maʻalahi hiki ke hana ʻia kēia mau mea e ka Mossad a hoʻopaʻa ʻia i nā palapala me nā helu Persia kūpono.
ʻO ka hōʻoia Forensic o kaʻoiaʻiʻo o nā palapala e pono ai ke kiʻi i nā palapala kumu. Akā e like me kā Netanyahu i hoʻomaopopo ai i kāna hōʻike paheʻe ʻo ʻApelila 30, ua mālama ʻia nā "mea Irania kumu" "i kahi wahi palekana loa" - e hōʻike nei ʻaʻole e ʻae ʻia kekahi e loaʻa i kēlā me kēia ke komo.
Ke wehe nei i nā loea o waho
ʻO kaʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻo nā mea kipa mua loa o ka poʻe Israeli i Tel Aviv ua hōʻole ʻia ka hele ʻana i nā palapala kumu. ʻO David Albright o ka Institute for Science and International Security a me Olli Heinonen o ka Hale Paʻi no ka pale aku i nā Democracy - nā mea pale kū ʻelua i ka laina o ka mana o ka ʻIseraʻela ma nā kulekele kaulike o Iran - hoike i loko o ʻOkakopa 2018 ua hāʻawi ʻia lākou i kahi "slide deck" wale nō e hōʻike ana i nā hana hou a i ʻole nā ʻākana o nā palapala.
I ka hui o ʻeono mau loea mai Harvard Kennedy School's Belfer Center no ka ʻepekema a me ka International Affairs i kipa aku iā Israel i Ianuali 2019 no nā haʻi ʻōlelo e pili ana i ka waihona, ua hāʻawi ʻia iā lākou i kahi māka liʻiliʻi o nā palapala i manaʻo ʻia. Ua hoʻomanaʻo ʻo Harvard Professor Matthew Bunn ma kahi hālāwai ninaninau me kēia mea kākau ua hōʻike ʻia ka kime i kekahi o nā mea paʻa e paʻa ana nā mea i ʻōlelo ʻia he palapala kumu e pili ana i ka pilina o ʻIrana me ka IAEA a ua "paged through a bit of it."
Akā, ʻaʻole hōʻike ʻia lākou i palapala ʻole e pili ana i ka hana kaua nīkela Iran. E like me kā Bunn i hōʻoia, "ʻaʻole mākou e hoʻāʻo e hana i kekahi loiloi nānā no kēia mau palapala."
ʻO ka maʻamau, ʻo ia ka mea hana o ke aupuni US a me ka IAEA e hōʻoia i ka palapala. ʻO Oddly, ua haʻi aku ka ʻelele ʻo Belfer Center no ka loaʻa ʻana o ke aupuni US a me IAEA i mau kope wale nō o ka waihona āpau, ʻaʻole nā faile kumu. ʻAʻole wikiwiki ka poʻe Israeli e hāʻawi i nā ʻatikala maoli: ʻaʻole i loaʻa i ka IAEA i kahi palapala piha a hiki i Nowemapa 2019, e like me Bunn.
I kēia manawa, ʻaʻole hoʻokō ʻo Netanyahu i ka hoʻokahuli ʻana o ka hana nuklea Iran; ʻo ia a me Trump ke aloha nui iā hawkish CIA-luna alakaʻi ʻo Mike Pompeo i hana nui i ka pelekikena i kahi kulekele kokoke loa me Tehran.
ʻO ka lua o ka hiki ʻana mai o nā kaha leka
Ma waena o nā palapala i hoʻolei ʻia ʻo Netanyahu ma luna o ka pale ma kāna ʻApelila 30, 2018 hōʻike kiʻi he kākuhi kiʻi kākahi o ka mokulele reentry kaʻa o kahi pelekikena Shahab-3 missile, e hōʻike ana i ka mea i kū ʻia e hōʻike i kahi mea kaua kaua i loko.
ʻO kēia kiʻi kiʻi i kahi ʻāpana o ka hana ʻewalu mau kiʻi kiʻi kiʻi o ka kaʻa reentry Shahab-3. Ua ʻike ʻia kēia ma loko o ka hōʻiliʻili o nā palapala i hoʻopaʻa ʻia ma ke ʻano o nā makahiki he nui ma waena o ke alakaʻi ʻana o Bush II a me Obama e kekahi mea ʻike Iran mākaʻi e lawelawe ana no ka lawelawe ʻo BND a Germany. A i ʻole hele i ka moʻolelo o ka ʻIseraʻela.
Ma 2013, akā, ua hōʻike i kahi luna ma mua o ka ʻIke Alemania i kapa ʻia ʻo Karsten Voigt i kēia mea kākau moʻolelo ua hāʻawi mua ʻia nā palapala i ka naʻau o Kelemania e kekahi lālā o Mujaheddin E-Khalq (MEK).
ʻO ka MEK kahi hui kūʻē kūʻē a Iran i hana i hana ma lalo o ka mana o Saddam Hussein i kākoʻo ma Iran i ka wā o ka Kaua o Iran-Iraq. Hele nō ia e hana pū me ka Mossad Israel e hoʻomaka ana i ka 1990s, a hauʻoli hoʻi i ka pilina pili pili me Saudi Arabia. I kēia mau lā, nui nā luna o ka US ma mua ka uku o ka MEK. e hana ana i ka poʻe lobbyist de facto no ka loli aupuni i Iran.
Ua hoʻomanaʻo ʻo Voigt i ka mea a ke alakaʻi nui o ka BND i haʻi aku iā ia ʻaʻole lākou i manaʻo i ke kumu MEK a i ʻole nā mea āna i hāʻawi ai e hiki i ka ʻoiaʻiʻo. Ua hopohopo lākou i ka manaʻo ʻo Bush e hoʻohana i nā palapala dodgy e hōʻoia i ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana iā Iran, e like me ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā tales kiʻekiʻe i hōʻuluʻulu ʻia mai ka Iraq defector codenamed "Curveball" e hōʻoia i ka 2003 hana kolohe iā Iraq.
E like me kēia mea kākau ʻana i hōʻike mua ʻia ma 2010, ʻo ka hiʻohiʻona o ke ʻano "dunce-cap" o ke kaʻa ʻo Shahab-3 reentry i loko o nā kaha kiʻi kahi hōʻailona haʻi moʻolelo i hana ʻia nā palapala. ʻO wai ka mea nāna i kahakiʻi i kēlā mau kiʻi hoʻolālā ma 2003 i maopopo leʻa ma lalo o ka manaʻo hoʻopunipuni e hilinaʻi ana ʻo Iran i ka Shahab-3 ma ke ʻano he ikaika pale nui. Ma hope o nā mea āpau, ua hoʻolaha ākea ʻo ʻIrana i ka 2001 e hele ana ka Shahab-3 i loko o ka "serial serial" a i ka 2003 ua "hana" ia.
Akā ʻo kēlā mau mana mana e noi ʻia e Iran he hoʻopiʻi nui e kuhikuhi ana i ka hoʻopunipuni iā ʻIseraʻela, ka mea i hoʻoweliweli i ka lele ʻana o nā ea i ka nukleal a me nā papahana ʻē aʻe o Iran. I ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, ua ʻike ʻo Kuhina Defence a Iran ʻaʻole i lawa ka pono o ka Shahab-3 e hiki aku ai i ka ʻIseraʻela.
Wahi a Michael Elleman, ka mea o ka hapa nui moʻokāki definitive o ka papahana missile Iranian, ma mua o 2000, ua hoʻomaka ka Ministry Defence o Iran i kahi hoʻolālā maikaʻi o ka Shahab-3 me kahi kaʻa reentry e kaena ana i kahi ʻāpana pēpē "triconic pēpē" maikaʻi aʻe - ʻaʻole ka "dunce-cap" o ka kumu.
E like me kā Elleman i haʻi aku ai i kēia mea kākau, eia nō naʻe, ʻaʻole i ʻike nā keʻena ʻike haole i ka missile hou o Shahab hou a hoʻomaikaʻi me kahi ʻano ʻokoʻa a hiki i ka hoʻāʻo mua ʻana o kāna hana lele i ʻAukake 2004. Ma waena o nā keʻena i mālama ʻia i ka pouli e pili ana i ka hoʻolālā hou ka Israel Mossad. . Hōʻike kēlā i ke kumu o nā palapala wahaheʻe e pili ana i ka hana hou ʻana i ka Shahab-3 - nā lā mua o ia mau mea i ka makahiki 2002, mamuli o kahi palapala loko o loko IAEA i paʻi ʻia ʻole - hōʻike i kahi hoʻolālā hana hou i nā kaʻa ʻē aʻe i haʻalele ai ʻo Iran.
ʻO ke kuleana o ka MEK i ka hāʻawi ʻana i ka tranche nunui o nā pepa nukelea huna Iranian i ka BND a me ka pilina paʻa lima me ka Mossad i waiho i kahi liʻiliʻi no ka kānalua i nā palapala i hoʻolauna ʻia i ka ʻike komohana o 2004, ʻo ia ka mea, na ka Mossad.
No ka Mossad, he mea maʻalahi ka MEK no ka hoʻopuka ʻana i ka nūhou maikaʻi ʻole e pili ana iā Iran kahi i makemake ʻole ai e hāʻawi pololei ʻia i ka ʻike ʻIseraʻela. I mea e hoʻonui ai i ka hilinaʻi o ka MEK i nā maka o nā pāpāho haole a me nā ʻoihana ʻikepili, ua hāʻawi ʻo Mossad i nā wahi o ko Natanz hale hana nukelea o Iran i ka MEK i ka makahiki 2002. Ma hope, ua hāʻawi ʻia i ka ʻike pilikino MEK e like me ka helu passport a me ka helu kelepona home o ka Iran physics. ʻo polofesa Mohsen Fakhrizadh, nona ka inoa i ʻike ʻia i loko o nā palapala nukelea, mamuli o na elike palapala o a kūʻai kūʻai puke Israeli ma nā hana kākā ʻo Mossad.
Ma ke kāpae ʻana i ke kaha kiʻi loea like i hoʻowahāwahā ʻia e hōʻike nei i ke kaʻa komo hewa missile Iranian - kahi hana hoʻopunipuni āna i hana ai ma mua e hana i ka hihia kumu no ka hoʻopiʻi ʻana iā ʻIrani i ka hoʻomohala ʻana i nā mea kaua nuklea - ua hōʻike ke kuhina nui ʻIseraʻela i kona hilinaʻi i kona hiki ke hoodwink. Wakinekona a me ka pāpāho ʻoihana komohana.
Nui ka maikaʻi o ka hoʻopunipuni a Netanyahu me ka hoʻopunipuni nui nei, ʻoiai ua hilinaʻi ʻia ʻo ia ka mea e ʻike pono ʻia e ka hui kūkākūkā nūhou. Ma o kā ia hana hoʻopunipuni o nā aupuni ʻē a me ka pāpā, ua hiki iā ia ke hoʻohālike iā Donald Trump a me ʻAmelika e hana i kahi hana pōpilikia o ka hoʻokūkū e hoʻoiho nei i ka US i ka hopena o ka hakakā ʻana o ka pūʻali koa me Iran.
ʻO Gareth Porter kahi mea noiʻi noiʻi kūʻokoʻa nāna i uhi i ke kulekele palekana aupuni mai ka makahiki 2005 a ʻo ia ka mea i loaʻa iā Gellhorn Prize for Journalism ma 2012. ʻO kāna puke hou loa ʻO The CIA Insider's Guide to the Iran Crisis i kākau pū ʻia me John Kiriakou, i hoʻopuka wale ʻia i Pepeluali.
