Na ka Veterans Intelligence Professionals for Sanity, ʻO AntiWar.com, Kepakemapa 7, 2022
Mr. Peresidena:
Ma mua o ka lele ʻana o ke Kakauolelo ʻo Defence Austin i Ramstein no ka hālāwai Poaha o ka Ukraine Defence Contact Group ke ʻaiʻē nei mākou iā ʻoe i kekahi mau ʻōlelo akahele i hana ʻia e kā mākou mau makahiki he nui o ka ʻike e pili ana i ka naʻauao i ka wā kaua. Inā haʻi ʻo ia iā ʻoe e lanakila ana ʻo Kyiv i nā Lūkini, e kīkī i nā kaila - a noʻonoʻo e hoʻonui i kāu pōʻai o nā ʻōlelo aʻoaʻo.
ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo ke kālā o ke aupuni i ka ʻike naʻauao. ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo ka mea i make mua o ke kaua, a pili ia i ke kaua ma Ukraine a me nā kaua mua a mākou i komo ai. e haʻi i ka ʻoiaʻiʻo - i ka media, a i ʻole i ka Pelekikena. Ua aʻo mua mākou i kēlā - ke ala paʻakikī a ʻawaʻawa. ʻAʻole i hoʻi mai ka nui o kā mākou mau hoa kaua mai Vietnam.
Vietnam: Ua makemake ʻo Pelekikena Lyndon Johnson e manaʻoʻiʻo iā Gen. William Westmoreland nāna i haʻi iā ia a me ke Kakauolelo Defence McNamara i ka makahiki 1967 e hiki ke lanakila ʻo South Vietnam - inā ʻo LBJ wale nō e hoʻolako i nā pūʻali koa he 206,000. Ua ʻike ka poʻe loiloi CIA he ʻoiaʻiʻo ʻole a ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi - ua hoʻopunipuni ʻo Westmoreland i ka helu o nā pūʻali i kū ai, me ka ʻōlelo ʻana he "299,000" wale nō ka poʻe Komunista Vietnamese ma lalo o nā lima ma ka Hema. Ua hōʻike mākou i ka helu he 500,000 a 600,000. (Me ka mea kaumaha, ua hōʻoia pono ʻia mākou i ka wā o ka ʻāina ʻo Communist Tet i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka makahiki 1968. Ua hoʻoholo koke ʻo Johnson ʻaʻole e holo no kahi kau ʻē aʻe.)
ʻO ka maikaʻi o ke aloha a me ke kaua, ua paʻa ka manaʻo o nā generals ma Saigon e hāʻawi i kahi kiʻi rosy. Ma ka lā 20 o ʻAukake, 1967 mai Saigon, ua wehewehe ka hope o Westmoreland, Gen. Creighton Abrams, i ke kumu o ko lākou hoʻopunipuni. Ua kākau ʻo ia ʻo nā helu ʻenemi kiʻekiʻe (i kākoʻo ʻia e nā ʻoihana naʻauao āpau) "he ʻokoʻa loa i ka helu ikaika holoʻokoʻa o kēia manawa ma kahi o 299,000 i hāʻawi ʻia i ka paʻi." Ua hoʻomau ʻo Abrams: "Ke kuhi nei mākou i kahi kiʻi o ka kūleʻa i nā mahina i hala iho nei." Ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia inā e hoʻolaha ʻia nā helu kiʻekiʻe, "ʻaʻole e pale nā ʻōlelo a me nā wehewehe āpau i ka paʻi ʻana i ka hopena hewa a me ka pōʻino."
The Demise of Imagery Analysis: A hiki i ka makahiki 1996, ua loaʻa iā CIA kahi mana kūʻokoʻa e hana i ka ʻikepili pūʻali koa ʻole e hiki ai iā ia ke ʻōlelo i ka ʻoiaʻiʻo - i ka wā kaua. ʻO kekahi pua kī nui i loko o ka ʻāʻī kānana, ʻo ia ke kuleana paʻa e hana i ka nānā ʻana i nā kiʻi no ka Community Intelligence a pau. ʻO kona kūleʻa mua i ke kuhikuhi ʻana i nā missiles Soviet ma Cuba i ka makahiki 1962 ua loaʻa i ka National Photographic Interpretation Center (NPIC) kahi inoa paʻa no ka ʻoihana a me ka hana. Ua kōkua nui ia i kā mākou loiloi i ke kaua Vietnam. A ma hope mai, he hana koʻikoʻi ia i ka loiloi ʻana i nā mana hoʻolālā Soviet a me ka hōʻoia ʻana i nā ʻaelike hoʻomalu lima.
I ka makahiki 1996, i ka manawa i hāʻawi ʻia ai ka NPIC a me kāna 800 mau mea nānā kiʻi kiʻi kiʻi kiʻi, kit a me kaboodle, i ka Pentagon, ua maikaʻi ia i ka ʻike ʻole.
Ilaka: Ua hoʻonoho ʻia ʻo Retired Air Force General James Clapper e mālama i ka mea pani o NPIC, ʻo ka National Imagery and Mapping Agency (NIMA) a no laila ua hoʻonohonoho maikaʻi ʻia e hoʻomaʻamaʻa i nā skid no ke "kaua koho" ma Iraq.
ʻOiaʻiʻo, ʻo Clapper kekahi o nā ʻoihana kiʻekiʻe liʻiliʻi e ʻae ana, ma lalo o ke kaomi ʻana mai ka Hope Pelekikena Cheney, "e hilinaʻi ana ʻo ia i mua" e ʻimi i nā mea kaua o ka luku nui ma Iraq; hiki ole ke loaa; akā, hele pū nō. I loko o kāna memo, ua ʻae ʻo Clapper i kahi ʻāpana o ka hewa no kēia hoʻopunipuni consequential - kapa ʻia ʻo ia ʻo "ka hāʻule" - i ka ʻimi ʻana e loaʻa i ka WMD (nonexistent). Kākauʻo ia, mākou "Ua makemake nui mākou e kōkua i loaʻa iā mākou ka mea ʻaʻole i laila."
Afghanistan: E hoʻomanaʻo ʻoe i ke koʻikoʻi koʻikoʻi ma luna o ka Pelekikena Baraka e hele mai ana mai ke Kakauolelo Defence Gates, Kakauolelo o ka Moku'āina ʻo Clinton, a me nā pūkaua e like me Petraeus a me McCrystal e pāpālua i ka hoʻouna ʻana i nā pūʻali koa i Afghanistan. Ua hiki iā lākou ke hoʻokuke aku i nā mea loiloi Community Intelligence, e hoʻokuʻu iā lākou i nā kaula kaula i nā hālāwai hoʻoholo. Hoʻomanaʻo mākou i ka ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa ma Kabul Karl Eikenberry, he Lieutenant General o ka pūʻali koa i alakaʻi i nā pūʻali koa ma Afghanistan, e hoʻopiʻi nui ana i kahi pahuhopu National Intelligence Estimate e pili ana i nā pono a me nā pōʻino o ka pālua. Ua ʻike nō hoʻi mākou i nā hōʻike āu i hōʻole ai, me ka ʻike ʻana he hana naʻaupō ka hoʻonui ʻana i ke komo ʻana o US. E hoʻomanaʻo i ka wā i hoʻohiki ai ʻo Gen. McChrystal, i Pepeluali 2010, he "aupuni i loko o kahi pahu, mākaukau e ʻōwili" i loko o ke kūlanakauhale Afghan kī o Marja?
Ua hoʻopaneʻe ka Pelekikena iā Gates a me nā Generala. A, i ke kauwela i hala, ua waiho ʻia iā ʻoe e ʻohi i nā ʻāpana, pēlā e ʻōlelo ai. No ka fiasco ma Iraq, ʻo ka "piʻi" a Gates a me Petraeus i koho ʻia e Cheney lāua ʻo Bush e hoʻokō, ua lawe ʻia kokoke i hoʻokahi tausani mau "hoʻololi" hou i ka hale make ma Dover, ʻoiai e ʻae ana iā Bush lāua ʻo Cheney e hele i ke Komohana me ka ʻole o ka nalowale kaua.
No ka ʻaʻahu ʻaʻahu Teflon ʻole o ke Kakauolelo Kūʻē mua ʻo Gates, ma hope o kāna ʻōlelo aʻo pālua no Iraq a me Afghanistan, ua loaʻa iā ia ka chutzpah e hoʻokomo i kēia ma kahi haʻiʻōlelo ma West Point ma Feb. 25, 2011 ma mua koke o kona haʻalele ʻana i ke keʻena:
"Akā i koʻu manaʻo, ʻo kēlā me kēia kākau ʻōlelo pale e hiki mai ana e aʻo aku i ka pelekikena e hoʻouna hou i kahi pūʻali koa ʻāina nui ʻAmelika i Asia a i ʻole i ka Middle East a i ʻole ʻApelika e pono e 'nānā i kona poʻo,' e like me ka ʻōlelo a General [Douglas] MacArthur. ”
Suria - ʻAʻole ka inoa o Austin me ke kīnā ʻole: Ma kahi kokoke loa i ka home, ʻaʻole malihini ʻo Kakauolelo Austin i nā hoʻopiʻi ʻana i ka naʻauao politika. ʻO ia ke alakaʻi o CENTCOM (2013 a 2016) i ka wā i ʻoi aku ai ma mua o 50 CENTCOM pūʻali koa, i ʻAukake 2015, i hoʻopaʻa inoa i kahi hoʻopiʻi kūhelu i ka Pentagon Inspector General e pili ana i kā lākou ʻike naʻauao e pili ana i ka Islamic State ma Iraq a me Suria ua hoʻopunipuni ʻia e ka luna. keleawe. Ua ʻōlelo ka poʻe loiloi ua hoʻololi ʻia kā lākou mau hōʻike e nā luna kiʻekiʻe e pili ana i ka laina lehulehu o ka hoʻokele e lanakila ana ka US i ke kaua kūʻē iā ISIS a me ka Al-Nusra Front, ka lālā o al Qaeda ma Suria.
I Pepeluali 2017, ua ʻike ka Pentagon Inspector General ʻo nā ʻōlelo hoʻopiʻi o ka naʻauao i hoʻololi ʻia, hoʻopaneʻe ʻia a hoʻopaʻa ʻia paha e nā luna kiʻekiʻe o CENTCOM mai waena o 2014 a i waena o 2015 he "nui ʻole." (sic)
I ka Hōʻāʻulu: Manaʻo mākou e lawe ʻoe i ka manawa e nānā i kēia mōʻaukala - a e noʻonoʻo pono ma mua o ka hoʻouna ʻana iā Kakauolelo Austin i Ramstein. Eia kekahi, ʻo ka hoʻolaha o kēia lā e manaʻo ana ʻo Rūsia e ʻoki i ke kinoea ma o Nord Stream 1 a hiki i ka wehe ʻia ʻana o nā hoʻopaʻi o ke Komohana e loaʻa i kahi hopena koʻikoʻi i nā interlocutors o Austin. Hiki paha iā ia ke hoʻoikaika i nā alakaʻi aupuni o ʻEulopa e kālai i kekahi ʻano kuʻikahi ma mua o ka neʻe ʻana aku o nā pūʻali Lūkini a hiki i ka hoʻoilo. (Manaʻo mākou ua hoʻopuka pololei ʻia ʻoe e pili ana i ka hopena o ka "hōʻino" ʻo Ukrainian.)
Hiki paha iā ʻoe ke ʻimi i ka ʻōlelo aʻoaʻo mai ka Luna Hoʻokele CIA ʻo William Burns a me nā mea ʻē aʻe me ka ʻike i ka mōʻaukala o ʻEulopa - a me Kelemania. Ua hōʻike mua ʻia nā hōʻike Media ma Ramstein, ke kākau ʻōlelo ʻo Austin e hoʻolako iā Ukraine me nā mea kaua hou aʻe a e paipai i kāna mau hoa hana e hana like. Inā hahai ʻo ia i kēlā palapala, loaʻa paha iā ia he kakaikahi ka poʻe lawe - i waena o ka poʻe pilikia loa i ke anuanu.
NO KA PUU HOOKOLOKOLO: He Poe akamai no ka pono
- ʻO William Binney, NSA Luna Hoʻokele no ka World Geopolitical & Military Analysis; ʻO ka mea nāna i hoʻokumu i ka NSA's Signals Intelligence Automation Research Center (ret.)
- ʻO Marshall Carter-Tripp, Luna Oihana o na Aina e (ret.) a me ka Luna Mahele, ke Keena o ka Moku'āina o ka 'Oihana Na'auao a me ka Noi'i
- ʻO Bogdan Dzakovic, He alakaʻi o ka hui o Federal Air Marshals a me ka hui ʻulaʻula, FAA Security (ret.) (hoa VIPS)
- Graham E. Fuller, Hope Lunahoomalu, National Intelligence Council (ret.)
- Pilipo Giraldi, CIA, Luna Hana (ret.)
- ʻO Matthew Hoh, Kāpena mua, USMC, Iraq & Luna Hoʻokele o nā ʻāina ʻē, Afghanistan (hui VIPS)
- Larry Johnson, Luna Hoʻonaʻauao CIA kahiko & Luna Hoʻokele Counter-Terrorism Oihana Moku'āina mua (ret.)
- ʻO John Kiriakou, Luna Kūʻai Kūʻē CIA ma mua a me ka mea noiʻi koʻikoʻi ma mua, ke komite pili ʻana i nā ʻāina ʻē a Senate
- Karen Kwiatkowski, Lt. Col. mua, US Air Force (ret.), ma ke Keʻena o ke Kakauolelo o ka Pale Kaua e kiaʻi ana i ka hana ʻana o nā wahaheʻe ma ʻIraka, 2001-2003
- Linda Lewis, Ka mea kālailai kulekele hoʻomākaukau WMD, USDA (re.)
- Edward Loomis, Cryptologic Computer Scientist, Luna Hoʻokele ʻenehana ma NSA (ret.)
- ʻO Ray McGovern, luna koa mua o ka US Army infantry/intelligence & CIA analyst; ʻO ka Pelekikena Pelekikena CIA (ret.)
- ʻO Elizabeth Murray, Hope Luna Hoʻonaʻauao National no ka Hikina kokoke, National Intelligence Council & CIA political analyst (ret.)
- Pedro Israel Orta, luna o CIA a me Intelligence Community (Inspector General).
- ʻO Todd Pierce, MAJ, Luna Hoʻokele Koa ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (ret.)
- ʻO Scott Ritter, MAJ ma mua, USMC, Luna Nūhou Lā UN mua, ʻIraka
- ʻO Coleen Rowley, FBI Luna Hoʻolaha kūikawā a me ka ʻsellelo aʻoaʻo aʻoaʻo ma mua ʻo Minneapolis Division (ret.)
- Sarah G. Wilton, CDR, USNR, (Retired)/DIA, (Retired)
- Ann Wright, Col., US Army (ret.); Luna Hoʻokele o nā ʻāina ʻē (haʻalele i ke kūʻē i ke kaua ma Iraq)
Hoʻokumu ʻia ʻo Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPs) i nā luna naʻauao mua, nā diplomats, nā luna koa a me nā limahana o ka ʻaha kūkā. ʻO ka hui, i hoʻokumu ʻia i ka makahiki 2002, ʻo ia kekahi o nā mea hoʻohewa mua i nā kumu kūpono o Wakinekona no ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana iā Iraq. Kākoʻo ʻo VIPS i kahi kulekele palekana ʻē aʻe o ʻAmelika e pili ana i nā pono aupuni maoli ma mua o nā hoʻoweliweli i hoʻolālā ʻia no nā kumu politika.
