Na Paul Holden, Augate 18, 2020
mai ka ʻO kēlā me kēia lā ʻo Maverick
Ke hele koke nei ʻo ʻAmelika Hema ma kahi pahu nui: ma ʻOkakopa 2020, e hoʻokō ka ʻāina i kāna uku hope loa ma nā hōʻaiʻē i lawe ʻia no ka kūʻai ʻana mai i nā palaka, nā corvettes, nā helikopter a me nā mea hoʻokele a me nā pahu hana hoʻomalu i ʻike pū ʻia e like me ka Arms Deal.
Ua kūʻai ʻia kēia mau kūʻai i ka wā i kau inoa ʻia ai nā kirimana hāʻawi ma ka mahina ʻo Dekemaba 1999. ʻO ka pilikia o ka hopu o kēia manawa a ka State Capture a me ka manaʻo o ka pōʻino e hōʻino ana i ke kōkua ʻana o Covid-19 a me ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana, ʻike i kā lākou kumu i ka make ʻana o ka mākaukau o ka mokuʻāina e hoʻokūkū i nā kolikua i ʻohi ʻia ai kēlā mau mālamalama i ka piha piha o ka ʻAlau Paʻa.
He nui loa kēia kumukūʻai politika, akā hiki ʻole ke helu ʻia. Akā ʻo ka mea nui aʻe a me ka hiki ke hoʻemi ʻia i nā kiʻi paʻakikī, ʻo ke kumukūʻai o ka ʻAlaki Paʻa ma ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, paʻakikī, kālā mau kālā.
Ke hoʻohana nei i ka ʻike ʻikepili maikaʻi loa, ʻike wau i ka uku o ka ʻAlaki Arms, i hoʻoponopono ʻia no ka inflation, e like me R142-biliona ma ka 2020 rand. A i ʻole, e hōʻike aku i kekahi ala, inā e hoʻokau ʻo Arms Deal i kēia mau lā, ʻo nā kumukūʻai āpau āpau i uhi i nā kūʻai ʻana a me nā hōʻaiʻē i lawe ʻia mai ke kālā, ʻo R142-biliona ia. Ua hoʻonoho wau i nā helu pākahi aʻu i hoʻohana ai e hōʻea i kēia mau koho i lalo ma ka Mokuna 2 no ka mea ʻoi aku ka ikaika (heluhelu: nerdy) heluhelu.
Hoʻololi ia i kēia helu hoʻohuli i kekahi o nā kiʻi i puka mai i waho o nā moʻo aupuni Capture. ʻO ia ka laʻana, ʻaneʻane a ʻekolu mau manawa i ka waiwai o ka R50-biliona i nā kauoha i waiho ʻia e Transnet me nā mea hana hoʻokele moku Kina, no ka mea, ua loaʻa ka hui kīwaha Gupta i loaʻa ma kahi o 20% kickback.
He aha ka mea e uku ʻia no ia?
He aha nā mea ʻē aʻe i uku ʻia inā mākou i hoʻolimalima iā R142-biliona i kēia manawa i nā mea a mākou e pono ai (ʻaʻole e like me ka paio ʻana o nā mea hana ma lalo o nā mana a me nā hōʻailona hōʻailona o ka mana maritime).
No kahi hoʻokahi, hiki iā mākou ke uku i ka hōʻaiʻē hōʻailona nui i lawe ʻia e ke aupuni mai ka International Monetary Fund (IMF). Loaʻa ka hōʻaiʻē $ 4.3-biliona e like me ka R70-biliona. Hiki i ke kālā mai ka Arms Deal ke hōʻaiʻē i kēia hōʻaiʻē ʻelua; a i ʻole, ʻoi aku ka mea nui loa, e hōʻeha ʻia ka pono o ka hōʻaiʻē ma ka mua.
Ua loaʻa iā ka ʻoihana kālā hou loa ka uku kālā ʻana i R33.3-biliona kālā no ka National Student Aid Aid Scheme no ka makahiki 2020/2021. Hāʻawi kēia hoʻolālā i nā hōʻaiʻē i nā haumāna haumāna haʻahaʻa e uku i kā lākou kulanui. Ua hiki kālā iā ʻAmelika Hema ke hoʻolele kālā i kēia papahana i ʻehā mau manawa inā he hoʻohana ʻo ia i ke kālā ʻo Arms Deal.
Hōʻike ka papa helu like ua hoʻolālā ke aupuni e hoʻolilo R65-biliona e loaʻa nā keiki e kākoʻo i nā keiki. Ke hoʻohana nei i ke kālā Arms Deal, hiki iā mākou ke uku no ke pālua o kēia manawa, a i ʻole, he mea ʻoluʻolu, ua pālua i ka nui o ka loaʻa ʻana o nā keiki mālama keiki i hoʻokahi makahiki.
Akā ʻo ka helu e kū maikaʻi loa nei, ʻoiai ʻo ia ma waena o nā pōkole Covid-19 a me ka hoʻokolohua aupuni a puni ka honua e hopohopo nei iā ia e ala nei, he kuhi kūlā ʻo ka nui o ka uku o kēlā me kēia makahiki e holo ai i kahi kumumanaʻo kālā pilikino e hāpai ai ʻo ʻApelika Hema ma waena o 18 a 59 paha ma luna o ka laina ʻilihune maoli ʻo R1,277 i hoʻokahi mahina. Ua haʻi aku ʻo Peter Attard Montalto o kā ka wānana ʻoihana ʻo Intellidex i kumukūʻai ʻo ia iā R142-biliona i kēlā me kēia makahiki e hana ai: ʻo ke kumukūʻai kūpono o ka hana a Arms Deal ma 2020 mau waiwai.
E noʻonoʻo: no ka makahiki hoʻokahi, i waena o kahi maʻi maʻi āpau i hāʻule ai ka waimaka i ka lole o ka lehulehu o ʻAmelika Hema, ua hoʻokiʻe ʻia kēlā me kēia ʻĀpana Hema. ʻO ka hopenaʻoi loa o ka hoʻokele waiwai, a me ka noʻonoʻo a me ka hopena politika mea ʻaʻole hiki ke hoʻomaopopo ʻia.
ʻOiaʻiʻo, e kuhikuhi paha kahi mea hoʻopukapuka e he kūpono kūpono kēia mau hoʻohālikelike. ʻO ka hana ma Arms, i ka hopena, ua uku ʻia ma mua o 20 mau makahiki, ʻaʻole me ka pā kālā hoʻokahi. Akā o ka mea e hōʻole ʻole ʻia nei, ua kālā nui ʻia ka Arms Deal e nā hōʻaiʻē haole me ka ʻāpana nui o ka uku o ka Arms Deal. Loaʻa nā kumukūʻai ma luna aʻe nei, hiki ke hoʻolako ʻia me nā hōʻaiʻē like me ka uku like ma mua o 20 mau makahiki. A ʻaʻole kēlā me ke kīpē ʻana o ʻAmelika Hema me nā lako kaua ʻaʻole pono maoli ia a pono hoʻi i uku kālā ka mālama a holo.
Nawai i hoʻolilo ke kālā?
Hoʻokumu ʻia i kaʻu helu helu helu hope loa, ua uku ʻo ʻAlepelika Hema i ka R108.54-biliona i ka 2020 rand i nā Pelekane, ʻEnelani, Swedia a me Kelemania i hoʻolako iā mākou me nā puʻukū mokuahi, submarines, corvettes a me nā helikopter. Ua uku ʻia kēia mau koina ma mua o 14 mau makahiki mai 2000 a 2014.
Akā ʻo ka mea e poina pinepine ʻia i loko o nā kūkākūkā e pili ana i ka Arms Deal, ʻaʻole wale nā limahana lima o ʻEulopa i hana maikaʻi i ka ʻoihana, akā nā waihona nui o Europa ka hoʻolako ʻana i ke aupuni o ʻAmelika Hema i nā hōʻaiʻē e uku no ka uku. Aia kēia mau waihona i ka Barclays Bank o Britain (nāna i hoʻolimalima i ka mea hoʻokele a me nā moku lele, a ʻo ia nō ka nui o nā hōʻaiʻē nui), ʻo Commerzbank Kelemania (ʻo ia ka mea hoʻopukapuka ʻo nā corvette a me nā submarine), nā Societe Generale o Farani (nāna i hoʻolimalima i ka hoʻoulu kaua corvette) a me Italia's Mediocredito ʻO Centrale (kahi i hāʻawi kālā ai i nā helikopter).
ʻOiaʻiʻo, ua ʻike kā kaʻu helu ʻana i uku ʻia ʻo ʻAmelika Hema ma luna o R20-biliona ma 2020 mauʻu i ka ʻona ʻokoʻa wale nō i nā panakopa o waena ma 2003 a me 2020. Ua uku hou ʻo ʻAmelika Hema i ka R211.2-miliona (ʻaʻole i hoʻoponopono ʻia no ka ulu kālā) i ka hoʻokele, ʻae a hoʻokō nā uku kānāwai ma nā waihona like ʻole ma waena o 2000 a me 2014.
ʻO ka mea kupanaha, ʻaʻole i lawe kekahi mau kālā i ka hopena i hāʻawi lākou i kēia mau hōʻaiʻē ma ʻAmelika Hema. No ka laʻana o Barclays, no ka laʻana, ua kākau ʻia e kekahi keʻena aupuni Pelekane i kapa ʻia ʻo ka ʻoihana Hoʻolālā Kūʻē Manaʻo. Ma lalo o kēia ʻōnaehana, e komo ke aupuni Pelekania i loko o ka uku ukana ma ka mākaʻi ma Barclays Bank.
ʻAʻole maʻalahi ka maʻalahi o ka waihona hoʻolimalima.
ʻO kekahi mau lono maikaʻi hou aʻe
Eia naʻe nā mea hoʻohālikelike, e noʻonoʻo pono i kekahi ʻano mea hoʻopiʻi: ʻo ka kumukūʻai kūʻai R142-biliona o ke Arms Deal ʻaʻole maoli ke kumukūʻai o ka ʻAlima Hema: e kūʻai i nā mea hana, a uku hou i nā hōʻaiʻē e hoʻohana kālā ai e kūʻai.
Pono ka hoʻolimalima i ke aupuni no nā waiwai nui e mālama i nā pono i ka wā. Hoʻomaopopo ʻia kēia ʻo "ke ola o ke ola" o nā lako.
I kēia manawa, aia kahi hōʻike kīnā ʻole o ka nui o ka lilo i mālama no ka mālama ʻana a me nā lawelawe ʻē aʻe ma nā lako hana Arms Deal. ʻIke mākou ua piʻi nui ke kumukūʻai o ka puʻina o ka Pūʻali Koa i ka makahiki 2016 e hapalua wale nei ka hapalua o ka moku kaua Gripen, aʻo ka hapalua e mālama ʻia i loko o ke "rotational storage", e ʻoki ana i ka nui o nā hola lele e loiloi ʻia e ka SAAF.
Akā, e pili ana i ka ʻike honua, ʻike mākou he lōʻihi loa ka nui o ke kumukūʻai ola me ka nui. Ma US, kahi kikoʻī hōʻano hou loa e pili ana i ka ʻike kikoʻī e hōʻike ana e pili ana ka hana hana a me ke kākoʻo ʻana no nā hāmeʻe o nā mea kaua nui mai 88% a 112% o ka uku loaʻa. Ke noi aku nei i kēia hihia i ka hemahema o Aferika, a me ka hoʻohana ʻana i kēia mau manaʻo like ʻole, e hana ʻo ʻAlepika Hema i ka nui o ka hoʻolimalima ʻelua kālā o ka Arms Deal ma ke ola o ka makahiki he 40 no ka mea ʻo ia ka hoʻomau ʻana i nā lako hana no ka hoʻohana hana.
Eia nō naʻe, ke nānā nei i ka nele o kekahi ʻike paʻakikī mai ke aupuni no nā kumukūʻai mālama, ua hoʻoholo wau e ʻaʻole i hoʻokomo i nā kumukūʻai ola-uʻi i kaʻu helu helu. Akā, e hoʻomanaʻo ʻē o nā helu aʻu e kamaʻilio nei ma lalo nei i kahi kokoke i ke kumukūʻai piha o ka Arms Deal i ka ʻĀpana Hema.
No ke aha e hihia ai ka hoʻopiʻi ʻana i nā ʻAlima Arms
Hoʻokumu ʻia ma mua o ʻelua mau makahiki o ka hoʻokolokolo, leaks a me ka hoʻopiʻi, ʻike mākou i nā hui ʻEulopa i kūʻai aku i nā lako o ʻAmelika Hema, ʻaʻole pono ia, uku iā lākou i nā piliona o nā riona i nā kīkoki a me nā "kumukūʻai loiloi" i nā mea hoʻokō pili politika. A ʻoiai ʻo Jacob Zuma i kēia manawa e kūʻē i ka manawa hoʻokolokolo e pili ana i kēia mau kīkī ʻana, ʻo kēia wale nō ka mea e hoʻomaka ai: lehulehu mau hoʻopiʻi. e hahai
ʻAʻole ia no ka mea eia ka mea e koi ai ka hoʻoponopono: no ka mea, ua hiki ke loaʻa i kēia mau kālā kālā koʻikoʻi no ke aupuni o South Africa. ʻO Vitally, ʻo nā ʻikahi āpau a Arms Deal e pili pū me ke kīkī e ʻōlelo nei ʻaʻole e hoʻokomo ʻia nā ʻoihana kaua i kekahi kolohe. Eia kekahi, inā ua ʻike ʻia nā hui i hana hewa i kēia pauku ma ka hoʻopiʻi hoʻokolokolo, hiki i ke aupuni o Aferika Hema e hoʻolimalima i ka uku o 10% ma nā pōʻino.
ʻO ka mea nui, ua kūʻai ʻia kēia mau ʻelike ma nā kālā US, nā paona Pelekane, Sweden Krone a me Euros, ka mea e nānā pono kā lākou kumukūʻai me ke kūkaʻi a me nā kūlā kālā.
Ke hoʻohana nei i kaʻu mau koho i ka huina o ke kumukūʻai o ke kumukūʻai, hiki ke ʻona o ʻAmelika Hema i ka hōʻea o ka R10-biliona ma 2020 mau huaʻōlelo inā ʻo nā mea kūʻai aku a nā Hāmeʻa a Arms i hoʻolako ʻia ma ka 10% kālā i ʻae ʻia no nā kuʻikahi. ʻAʻohe mea nāna e leʻaleʻa, a he hapa wale nō o nā mea e uku ʻia ke aupuni e hoʻokokoke i kēia mau hui.
Māhele 2: Kuhi i ka huina o ke kumukūʻai ʻo Arms
No ke aha mākou e ʻike ʻole ai i ka uku piha o ka ʻAlau Paʻa me ka hōʻoia i 100%?
Ua ʻōlelo ʻia he mau kumu a mākou e hoʻokolohua ai i ke kumukūʻai o ka Lala ʻOihana, ma ke kiʻi ʻana i kahi kiʻi paʻakikī a paʻa paha. ʻO kēia mea, mai ka wā i hoʻolaha ʻia ai ka ʻoihana Arms, ua pani ʻia kona kumukūʻai maoli i ka hūnā ʻia.
Mālama ʻia ka mea huna e hoʻopuni ana i ka hana ma mua o ka hoʻohana ʻia ʻana o ka mea i kapa ʻia ʻo ka Waihona Pūnaewele Kūʻai Kūʻē, ka mea i hoʻohana ʻia no ka hoʻopau ʻana i nā lilo o Arms Deal i nā kālā kālā o South Africa. Ua hoʻonohonoho ʻia ka Puke Hoʻi Kūʻē Nui i ka wā o ka apartheid me ka manaʻo kūlike no ka hoʻokumu ʻana i kahi lua ʻukepili kālā koho ʻia i hiki ke hoʻohana ʻia i ka nui o ka hana ʻole ʻana a ka lehulehu i hoʻokonokonu a puni ka ʻāina.
ʻO kēlā ʻatikala ʻia ka manaʻo, no ka laʻana, ka uku uku i hāʻawi ʻia i nā mea hoʻolako ʻo Arms Deal i hōʻike mua ʻia ma ka 2008, i ka wā i hoʻolaha ʻia ai i loko o ke Aupuni Aupuni no ka manawa mua. I kēia manawa, ua uku ʻia nā helu he ʻumi miliona o ke ahi.
Eia nō naʻe, ʻaʻole i haʻalele kēia mau helu i ka uku o nā hōʻaiʻē i lawe ʻia e uku no ka uku (ma ke ʻano he uku hoihoi a me nā uku ʻē aʻe. ʻO kēia kumu, no nā makahiki he nui, ʻo ke ala wale nō e hoʻohālikelike ai i ke kumukūʻai o ke kumukūʻai o ka lawe i ka kumukūʻai i ʻōlelo ʻia a hoʻohui ʻia ma ka 49%, kahi i hōʻike ʻia e nā noiʻi aupuni a pau ka uku o ka loaʻa kālā.
I ka makahiki 2011, i ka wā i paʻi ai au i ka kikoʻī kikoʻī o ka Arms Deal me kaʻu hoa puʻuwai ʻo Hennie van Vuuren, ʻo ia kā kēia mea i hana ai, kūkulu ʻia ka uku kālā o ka R71-biliona i kēlā manawa (ʻaʻole i hoʻoponopono ʻia no ke kālā. A ʻoiai ua like kēia me ka mea kūpono loa, aia mākou i kahi kūlana e hiki ai iā mākou ke nānā i kahi mea i ʻoi aku ka pololei.
ʻO ka hōkeo loa a me ka hoʻopiʻi piha ʻana i ke kumukūʻai o ka ʻAlaki Arms, ua hoʻolaha ʻia i ka lehulehu ma nā hōʻike no ka wā lōʻihi a ua mālama maikaʻi ʻia ka luna mālama kālā ʻo Andrew Donaldson. Hāʻawi ʻo Donaldson i ka hōʻike i ka mea i kapa ʻia ʻo Seriti Commission of Enquiry, ka mea i ʻākā ʻia me ka hoʻokolokolo ʻana i nā hana hewa ʻana i ka Arms Deal. E ʻike ʻia i kēia manawa, ua ʻoka ʻia ka ʻike o ka Kōmike Seriti ma ʻAukake 2019 ma ka luna o ka Luna Hoʻokolokolo Seriti a me kāna hoa komisina ʻo Hendrick Musi, ʻaʻole i hoʻokō ʻia kahi hoʻokō piha pono ʻole a me ka maikaʻi o ka ʻAlele Arms.
ʻO ke ʻano o ka hōʻike a Donaldson e hana ai ma ke kōmike, ʻo ia nō, he microcosm a pehea ka hoʻokaumaha ʻana o ke kōmike i kāna hana. ʻO kēia no ka mea, ʻo kekahi mau ʻōlelo nui i makemake nui ʻia, ua waiho aku ʻo Donaldson i kahi ʻano nui i makemake ʻole ʻia ke kōmike a ʻaʻole i nīnau hou iā Donaldson e pili ana i ka haʻalele, ʻaʻole ia i ʻike ʻia - a ʻo ke kumukūʻai o ka Arms Deal i maopopo ʻole.
ʻO ka moʻomeheu i ka helu kālā ʻo Arms Deal
I mea e ʻike ai i ka ambiguity ma ka haʻi ʻōlelo a Donaldson e hana i kahi ala maikaʻi ʻole i loko o nā hana a ka Puʻukena o ka Waihona a me ke ʻano o nā ʻano kālā i helu ʻia no nā kālā o ke aupuni. Hoomanawanui mai hoi oukou iaʻu.
Hoʻopau ʻia ka Pūnaewele ʻo Arms, ma ka nui, e nā ʻāpana mega i lawe ʻia mai nā waihona kālā nui. Noho ʻo kēia mau hōʻaiʻē i loko o nā ʻōpala, kahi e hiki ai i nā ʻAmelika Hema ke lawe i ke kālā e uku ai i nā mea hoʻolako waiwai. ʻOiaʻiʻo, ʻo kēia ka manaʻo o kēlā me kēia makahiki āpau, e lawe ʻo ʻAmelika Hema i kekahi mau kālā mai ka hale hoʻolimalima i hāʻawi ʻia e ia e nā waihona (ʻike ʻia ʻo "draw draw" i ka hōʻaiʻē), a hoʻohana i kēia kālā e uku i nā kumukūʻai kālā (ʻo ia hoʻi, ke kumukūʻai kūʻai maoli) i nā ʻoihana lima.
Eia naʻe, ʻaʻole nā kālā a pau i uku ʻia i nā ʻoihana lima i huki ʻia mai kēia mau hōʻaiʻē, ʻoiai ua hoʻohana pū ʻo ʻAmelika Hema i ke kālā ma ka waihona kālā o ka pale ʻana i kēia manawa e uku ai i nā uku makahiki. Ua hāʻawi ʻia kēia kumukūʻai mai ke kālā ʻōlima a ua lilo i mahele o nā kālā kuʻi maʻamau. Hōʻike ʻia ia ma ka leʻaleʻa ma lalo nei:
ʻO ke kumu kēia, ʻaʻole hiki iā mākou ke hilinaʻi wale i ka nui o ka uku o nā hōʻaiʻē a me kā lākou makemake i ka helu ʻana i nā koina o ka ʻAlaki Arms, no ka mea, ʻaʻole i uhi ʻia nā kumukūʻai mega me ka uku o ka uku o ka ʻAmelika Hema. Loaʻa kālā waihona kalaʻa.
Ua haʻi ʻo Donaldson, i kāna hōʻike e pili ana i ke kumukūʻai maoli o ka Arms Deal, a i ʻole, i nā huaʻōlelo maʻalahi, ʻo ka nui i uku ʻia i nā hui lima, ʻo ia ʻo R46.666-biliona ma waena o 2000 a me 2014, i ka wā i hana ʻia ai ka uku hope loa. Ua ʻōlelo pū ʻo ia, no Malaki 2014, pono hou ʻo ʻAmelika Hema i ka uku o R12.1-biliona ma luna o nā hōʻaiʻē iā lākou iho, ma ka ʻoihana R2.6-biliona ʻē aʻe.
Ke lawe nei i ka mana o ka maka, a me ka holo ʻana me nā helu, ʻoi loa ke ala maʻalahi i ka helu ʻana i ke kumukūʻai o ka Arms Deal ʻo ke hoʻohui wale ʻana i ka huina i uku ʻia i nā hui lima ma waena o 2000 a me 2014 e like me ka hōʻike ʻana ma ka waihona kālā o ka Department of Defense. a e uku mau no hoʻi ka uku ma ka hōʻaiʻē e like me ka makahiki 2014, e like me kēia:
I ka hoʻohui pū ʻana me kēia ala, hiki mākou i ke ʻano o R61.501-biliona. A eia nō naʻe, ʻo ia nō ka mea like i hōʻike ʻia ma ka ʻaoʻao o South Africa ma ia manawa, he hana hewa, i hapa, ma ka hapa ʻana o ka Komisina o Seriti i mea e wehewehe ai i ka hōʻike a Donaldon.
Kuhi hewa nō hoʻi i ka hōʻike o Donaldson i hōʻike i kahi papa kuhikuhi ma ka hope o kāna ʻōlelo e wehewehe nei i ka nui o nā uku i uku ʻia no ka hoʻonāukiuki a me nā ʻāpana o nā hōʻaiʻē. Ua hōʻoia ʻia kēia papa ʻaina, a hiki i ka makahiki 2014, ua lilo nā kālā he R10.1-biliona i uku ʻia a keu aʻe nā uku i nā kālā uku.
Ma ke kūpono, hiki iā mākou ke hoʻohuli i kēia uku ʻaʻole i uku ʻia mai i ka waihona kālā o ka Oihana Koa, no nā kumu ʻelua. ʻO ka mea mua, ua uku ʻia nā kālā i uku ʻia mai ka waihona kālā o ke Keʻena ʻoihana Kāleka i nā hui ʻoihana ʻoihana, ʻaʻole nā panakō. ʻO ka lua, ʻo ia hoʻi i hōʻoia ʻia e Donaldson, e helu ʻia ana ka uku hoʻolimalima a me nā ukupanee i ka National Revenue Fund, ʻaʻole nā kumukūʻai ʻoihana ʻoihana.
ʻO ke ʻano o kēia mea, maʻalahi, ke loaʻa iā mākou kekahi kumu ʻē aʻe e hoʻohui i kā mākou kumukūʻai o ka Arms Deal formula, ʻo ia hoʻi, ka nui o ka uku i uku ʻia ma waena o 2000 a me 2014, e hāʻawi ana iā mākou i kēia aʻe:
Ke hoʻohana nei i kēia helu helu a hōʻea mākou i ka uku holoʻokoʻa o R71.864-biliona:
A ua hoʻololi nei i kēia wā
ʻO ka inflowation ka hoʻonui nui o ke kumukūʻai o nā huahana a me nā lawelawe i ka wā o ka manawa. A i ʻole, e maʻalahi paha, hoʻokahi papa o ka berena ma 1999 ke kumukūʻai nui loa i nā kumu rand ma mua o 2020.
Ua like pū kekahi me ka Arms Deal. I mea e ʻike ai i ka nui o ke kumukūʻai ʻo Arms Deal i nā huaʻai i hiki iā mākou ke hoʻomaopopo i kēia lā, pono mākou e haʻi i ka nui o ke kumukūʻai ma nā helu 2020. ʻO kēia no ka mea ʻo ka R2.9-biliona a mākou i uku aku ai i nā ʻoihana mea hana i ka makahiki 2000/01, ʻaʻole pono ke like me ko R2.9-biliona i uku ʻia i kēia manawa, e like me ka R2.50 i uku mākou i ka papa palaoa i ka 1999 ʻaʻole ʻoe e hele e kūʻai i kahi papa palaoa o R10 i 2020.
No ke helu ʻana i ke kumukūʻai o ka Lala Paʻa ma 2020 mau waiwai, ua hana wau i ʻekolu mau ʻāpana ʻana o ke kau helu.
ʻO ka mea mua, ua lawe wau i ka nui i uku ʻia i nā ʻoihana hakakā i kēlā me kēia makahiki mai ka waihona kālā o ke Keʻena ʻoihana Kāleka. Ua hoʻoponopono au i kēlā me kēia makahiki no ka piʻi o ka makahiki, e lawe mai i 2020 kumukūʻai, penei:
ʻO ka lua, no ka uku i uku ʻia, ua hana like au i ka mea like. Eia naʻe, ʻaʻole nō i paʻi ʻia ke aupuni i ka nui o ka uku i ka uku ʻia i kēlā me kēia makahiki. ʻIke nō naʻe mākou, mai ka ʻōlelo a Donaldson, i ka makahiki o ke aupuni a hoʻomaka ke uku ʻana i kekahi mau hōʻaiʻē, a ʻike pū kekahi nō hoʻi ua uku ʻia nā hōʻaiʻē e like me kēlā me kēia makahiki. Ua pēlā ke uku ʻia ʻana o ka hoihoi ma ke ʻano like. Pēlā i lawe ai au i ka helu uku i uku ʻia no kēlā me kēia pākēnē, a hoʻokaʻawale iā ia me ka helu o ka makahiki ma waena o ka wā i hoʻihoʻi ʻia ai ka hōʻaiʻē a me 2014 (ʻo ka lā o ka ʻōlelo a Donaldson) a laila hoʻoponopono ʻia i kēlā me kēia makahiki no ka piʻi.
No ka hoʻohana ʻana i kahi hoʻohālike, ua lawe aku ke aupuni o South Africa i mau hōʻaiʻē ʻekolu me ka Barclays Bank e uhi i ke kumukūʻai o ke kūʻai ʻana mai i nā jet Hawk a me Gripen mai BAE Systems a SAAB. Ua hōʻoia ka ʻōlelo a Donaldson e waiho ʻia ka hōʻaiʻē i ka hana "uku" i ka makahiki 2005, a ua uku ʻia ʻo R6-biliona ma nā hōʻaiʻē ma waena o ʻo 2014. A ʻo ka hoʻokaʻawale ʻana i kēia huina keu ma waena o nā makahiki 2005 a 2014 a laila hoʻololi ʻia no ke ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana. iā mākou kēia helu:
ʻO ka mea hope loa, ua hana nō wau i ka helu like ʻana no ka nui o ka uku e hoʻihoʻi ʻia ma nā hōʻaiʻē (ʻelua mau ʻāpana a me nā hoihoi) mai ka makahiki 2014. Ua hōʻoia ʻia ka ʻōlelo a Donaldson e uku ʻia nā ʻāpana like ʻole i nā manawa like ʻole. ʻO ka hōʻaiʻē no nā submarines, ma ka laʻana, e uku ʻia e Iulai 2016, nā corvettes ma ʻApelila 2014, a me nā hōʻaiʻē Barclays Bank no nā hale pule o Hawk a me Gripen ma ʻOkakopa 2020. Ua hōʻoia ʻo ia i ka huina o nā kālā e uku ʻia ma kēlā me kēia hōʻaiʻē. ma waena o 2014 a me kēlā mau lā.
Ke hoʻoponopono nei i ka hoʻonui kālā, ua lawe wau i ka nui o ka hōʻike i hōʻike ʻia he mea kūʻokoʻa (ma ke kapikala a me ka uku uku ma nā hōʻaiʻē), e hoʻokaʻawale iā ia me kēlā me kēia makahiki a hiki i ka lā uku hope loa, a laila hoʻoponopono ʻia i kēlā me kēia makahiki no ka inflation. E hoʻohana hou i ka hiʻona Barclays Bank, loaʻa mākou i kēia mau helu:
Heluhelu kekahi mea heluhelu heluhelu i kahi mea nui: e kokoke ana i ka makahiki 2020, ʻo ka liʻiliʻi ka piʻi. He mea hiki nō, no laila, ua kiʻekiʻe loa kaʻu kumukūʻai, no ka mea hiki (ʻoiai ʻaʻole manaʻo) kekahi mau ukali i uku ʻia ma kahi kokoke i 2020 ma mua o 2014.
Ke laikini nei ka mea ʻo ia ka ʻōlelo a Donaldson e hāʻawi i ka nui e uku ʻia i nā helu rand. Eia naʻe, hoʻowahāwahā maoli ka hōʻaiʻē i loko o kahi hoʻopiʻi o nā paona Pelekane, US kālā a me kā krone Suwene. I ka noʻonoʻo ʻana i ka hammering i lawe i ka lulu ma kēia mau kālā a pau mai ka makahiki 2014, ʻo ia paha ke piʻi aʻe o ka nui o nā kumu waiwai i uku ʻia ma mua o ka ʻōlelo a Donaldson e haʻi ʻia ma waena o 2014 a 2020.
Me kēia kahe ʻole mai ke ala, hiki iā mākou ke hoʻohui i kēia mau helu āpau i hoʻoponopono ʻia no ke ka piʻi ʻana, e hōʻea ana i nā kumukūʻai o R142.864-biliona ma nā kumukūʻai 2020:
