ʻAʻole hiki ke hana ʻole ʻia nā mea kaua Nukelea

E nā poʻe loea akamai no ka Sanity, ʻO Antiwar.com, Mei 4, 2022
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NĀ MEMORANDUM NO: ʻO ka Pelekikena
MAI mai: Nā ʻOihana Hoʻonaʻauao Veteran no ka Sanity (VIPS).
AUKAI: ʻAʻole hiki ke hana ʻole ʻia nā mea kaua nuklea, no laila ...
KAHUA: KOKE
REF: ʻO kā mākou Memo o 12/20/20, "Mai hoowahawaha ia Rusia"

E 1, 2022

Mr. Peresidena:

Ua hoʻopaʻa ʻia ka manaʻo o ka hapa nui o ʻAmelika i ka ʻike hoʻopunipuni o nā ʻike hoʻopunipuni ma Ukraine - a ma nā kūlana kiʻekiʻe loa o ke kaua. Inā ʻaʻole ʻoe e loaʻa i ke ʻano o ka naʻauao "ʻaʻole i mālama ʻia" i manaʻo ʻia e Pelekikena Truman ma ka hoʻoponopono hou ʻana i ka naʻauao, hāʻawi mākou ma lalo o kahi pepa ʻike he 12. ʻO kekahi o mākou he mea loiloi naʻauao i ka wā o ka pilikia missile Cuban a ʻike i kahi kūlike pololei ma Ukraine. E pili ana i ka hilinaʻi o VIP, ʻo kā mākou moʻolelo mai Jan. 2003 - inā ma Iraq, Afghanistan, Suria, a i ʻole Russia - e ʻōlelo nona iho.
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1. ʻO ka ulu ʻana o ka hiki ke hoʻohana ʻia nā mea kaua nuklea, ʻoiai e piʻi mau ana ka hakakā ʻana ma Ukraine, pono kou nānā piha.
2. No ka aneane 77 makahiki, ka ʻike maʻamau o ka luku weliweli ʻana o nā mea kaua atomic / nuklea i hana i kahi koena (ironically stabilizing) o ka weliweli i kapa ʻia he deterrence. ʻAʻole maʻamau ka hoʻoweliweli ʻana o nā ʻāina nuklea i ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā nukes e kūʻē i nā ʻāina nuklea ʻē aʻe.
3. ʻO nā mea hoʻomanaʻo hou a Putin e pili ana i nā mea kaua nuklea o Rūsia hiki ke maʻalahi i ke ʻano o ka deterrence. Hiki ke heluhelu ʻia he ʻōlelo aʻo ua mākaukau ʻo ia e hoʻohana iā lākou i nā mea nui.
4. ʻO Extremis? ʻAe; Manaʻo ʻo Putin i ka hoʻopilikia ʻana o ke Komohana ma Ukraine, ʻoiai mai ka hoʻokahuli aupuni ma Feb. 2014, ma ke ʻano he hoʻoweliweli kūmau. I ko mākou manaʻo, ua paʻa ʻo ia e hoʻokuʻu iā Rūsia mai kēia hoʻoweliweli, a ʻo Ukraine i kēia manawa he mea pono-lanakila no Putin. ʻAʻole hiki iā mākou ke hoʻokuʻu i ka hiki, ke hoʻihoʻi ʻia i kahi kihi, hiki iā ia ke ʻae i ka hoʻouka kaua nuklea me nā missiles hou e lele pinepine ana i ka wikiwiki o ke kani.
5. Hoʻoweliweli maoli? ʻIke ʻo Moscow i ke komo ʻana o ka pūʻali koa US ma Ukraine e like me ke ʻano o ka hoʻoweliweli koʻikoʻi i ʻike ʻia e Pelekikena Kennedy i ka hoʻāʻo ʻana o Khrushchev e hoʻokomo i nā missiles nuklea ma Cuba me ka uhaki i ka Monroe Doctrine. Ua hoʻopiʻi ʻo Putin e hiki ke hoʻololi ʻia nā kahua missile US"ABM" ma Romania a me Polani, ma ka hoʻokomo wale ʻana i kahi diski paʻa ʻē aʻe, e hoʻolauna i nā missiles e kūʻē i ka ikaika ICBM o Rūsia.
6. No ka waiho ʻana i nā pūnaewele missile ma Ukraine, e like me ka heluhelu ʻana o Kremlin o kāu kamaʻilio kelepona ʻo Dek. E like me kā mākou ʻike, ʻaʻohe mea kūʻē i ka pololei o kēlā heluhelu Lūkini. Eia nō naʻe, ua nalowale kāu ʻōlelo hōʻoia iā Putin i loko o ka lewa - hāʻawi mākou, manaʻo mākou, i ka ulu ʻana o ka hilinaʻi o Rūsia.
7. ʻAʻole hiki iā Rūsia ke kānalua hou i ka manaʻo o ka US a me NATO e hoʻonāwaliwali iā Rusia (a e hoʻoneʻe iā ia, inā hiki) - a ke manaʻo nei hoʻi ke Komohana e hiki ke hoʻokō i kēia ma ka ninini ʻana i nā mea kaua i Ukraine a me ka koi ʻana i nā Ukrainians e hakakā. Manaʻo mākou he hoʻopunipuni kēia mau pahuhopu.
8. Inā manaʻo ke Kakauolelo Austin e hiki iā Ukraine ke "lanakila" kūʻē i nā pūʻali Lūkini - ua kuhihewa ʻo ia. E hoʻomanaʻo ʻoe i ka nui o nā poʻe mua o Austin - ʻo McNamara, Rumsfeld, Gates, no ka laʻana - hoʻomau i ka hōʻoiaʻiʻo ʻana i nā pelekikena mua e hiki i nā aupuni kolohe ke "lanakila" - kūʻē i nā ʻenemi ʻoi aku ka weliweli ma mua o Russia.
9. ʻO ka manaʻo he "kaʻawale" ʻo Russia ma ke ao holoʻokoʻa. Hiki ke helu ʻia ʻo Kina e hana i ka mea e hiki ai ke pale iā Putin mai ka "nalo" ma Ukraine - ʻo ka mea mua a me ka mea nui no ka mea ua koho ʻia ʻo Beijing "ma hope o ka laina", no laila e ʻōlelo ai. ʻOiaʻiʻo, ua haʻi ʻia ʻo Pelekikena Xi Jin-Ping ma ka Pentagon "2022 National Defense Strategy" e ʻike ana ʻo Kina ʻo ka #1 "hoʻoweliweli". Ua hōʻailona ʻo Russia-China entente i kahi hoʻololi tectonic i ka hoʻoponopono honua o nā pūʻali. ʻAʻole hiki ke hoʻonui i kona manaʻo.
10. ʻAʻole e pakele ka poʻe aloha Nazi ma Ukraine i ka lā 9 o Mei, ʻoiai e hoʻolauleʻa ana ʻo Rūsia i ka makahiki 77 o ka lanakila ʻana e nā Allies ma luna o Nazi Kelemānia. Ua ʻike kēlā me kēia Lūkini he ʻoi aku ma mua o 26 miliona mau Soviets i make i kēlā kaua (me ke kaikuaʻana ʻo Putin ʻo Viktor i ka wā o ke aloha ʻole, 872 mau lā o Leningrad). ʻO Denazification o Ukraine kekahi o nā kumu koʻikoʻi e helu ana i ka pae ʻae ʻia o Putin ma luna o 80 pakeneka.
11. Hiki ke kapa ʻia ka hakakā ʻo Ukraine "The Mother of All Opportunity Costs". Ma ka "Threat Assessment" o ka makahiki i hala, ua ʻike ka Luna Hoʻokele o ka National Intelligence ʻo Avril Haines i ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke aniau ma ke ʻano he pilikia nui o ka ʻāina a me ka "palekana kanaka" hiki ke hoʻokō ʻia e nā lāhui e hana pū ana. Ke hoʻohuli nei ke kaua ma Ukraine i ka nānā nui ʻana mai kēia hoʻoweliweli e hiki mai ana i nā hanauna e hiki mai ana.
12. Hoʻomaopopo mākou ua hoʻouna mākou i kā mākou Memorandum mua o kēia ʻano iā Pelekikena George W. Bush ma Feb. 5, 2003, e hoʻopiʻi ana i ka ʻōlelo a Colin Powell i hoʻopaʻa ʻole ʻia ma ka UN ma mua o ia lā. Ua hoʻouna aku mākou i ʻelua mau Memos i ka lā Malaki 2003 e ʻōlelo ana i ka pelekikena e "moʻa ʻia" ka naʻauao e hōʻoia i ke kaua, akā ʻaʻole mālama ʻia. Hoʻopau mākou i kēia Memo me ka hoʻopiʻi like a mākou i hana ai, me ka makehewa, iā George W. Bush: "E lawelawe maikaʻi ʻia ʻoe inā ʻoe e hoʻonui i ke kūkākūkā ma waho o ka pōʻai o kēlā mau ʻōlelo aʻoaʻo e kū pono ana i ke kaua a mākou i ʻike ʻole ai i ke kumu koʻikoʻi a ke manaʻoʻiʻo nei mākou he pōʻino paha nā hopena i manaʻo ʻole ʻia."

ʻO ka mea hope loa, e hana hou mākou i ka hāʻawi a mākou i hāʻawi aku ai iā ʻoe ma Dekemaba 2020 (i ka VIPs Memorandum i kuhikuhi ʻia ma luna): 'Ke kū mākaukau nei mākou e kākoʻo iā ʻoe me ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana, haʻi-like-it-is.' Manaʻo mākou e pōmaikaʻi paha ʻoe i ka hoʻokomo ʻana mai "waho" mai nā luna naʻauao kahiko me nā makahiki he nui o ka ʻike ma ka "loko".

NO KA Pulu hookele: Nā Kūkākūkāʻikeʻikeʻike no ka Sanity

• Fulton Armstrong, Luna Hoʻonaʻauao National no ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa a me ka Luna Hoʻokele o ka National Security Council for Inter-American Affairs (ret.)
• ʻO William Binney, NSA Luna Hoʻokele no ka World Geopolitical & Military Analysis; ʻO ka mea nāna i hoʻokumu i ka NSA's Signals Intelligence Automation Research Center (ret.)
• Richard H. ʻEleʻele, Senatoa Virginia mamua; Col. US Army (ret.); Luna Nui, Criminal Law Division, Office of the Judge Advocate General, the Pentagon (associate VIPS)
• Graham E. Fuller, Hope Hope, National Council Intelligence Council (ret.)
• Pilipo Giraldi, CIA, Luna Hana (ret.)
• ʻO Matthew Hoh, Kāpena mua, USMC, Iraq & Luna Hoʻokele o nā ʻāina ʻē, Afghanistan (hui VIPS)
• Larry Johnson, Luna Hoʻonaʻauao CIA kahiko & Luna Hoʻokele Counter-Terrorism Oihana Moku'āina mua (ret.)
• Michael S. Kearns, Kāpena, USAF Intelligence Agency (ret.), Master SERE Instructor
• ʻO John Kiriakou, Luna Kūʻai Kūʻē CIA ma mua a me ka mea noiʻi koʻikoʻi ma mua, ke komite pili ʻana i nā ʻāina ʻē a Senate
• Edward Loomis, Cryptologic Computer Scientist, Luna Hoʻokele ʻenehana ma NSA (ret.)
• ʻO Ray McGovern, luna koa mua o ka US Army infantry/intelligence & CIA analyst; ʻO ka Pelekikena Pelekikena CIA (ret.)
• ʻO Elizabeth Murray, Hope Luna Hoʻonaʻauao National no ka Hikina kokoke, National Intelligence Council & CIA political analyst (ret.)
• Pedro Israel Orta, luna o CIA a me Intelligence Community (Inspector General).
• ʻO Todd Pierce, MAJ, Luna Hoʻokele Koa ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (ret.)
• Theodore Postol, Polopeka Emeritus, MIT (Physics). ʻEpekema mua a me ka ʻōlelo aʻoaʻo kulekele no ka ʻenehana mea kaua i ke poʻo o nā hana Naval (hui VIPS)
• ʻO Scott Ritter, MAJ ma mua, USMC, Luna Nūhou Lā UN mua, ʻIraka
• ʻO Coleen Rowley, FBI Luna Hoʻolaha kūikawā a me ka ʻsellelo aʻoaʻo aʻoaʻo ma mua ʻo Minneapolis Division (ret.)
• ʻO Kirk Wiebe, ka mea kākau kiʻekiʻe kahiko, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA (ret.)
• Sarah G. Wilton, CDR, USNR, (Retired)/DIA, (Retired)
• ʻO Robert Wing, Luna ʻOihana ʻAina ʻē (VIPS hui)
• Ann Wright, Col., US Army (ret.); Luna Hoʻokele o nā ʻāina ʻē (haʻalele i ke kūʻē i ke kaua ma Iraq)

ʻO nā ʻoihana loea veteran no Sanity (VIPs) kahi luna o ka ʻike mua, nā diplomats, nā luna koa a me nā limahana o ka ʻahaʻōlelo. ʻO ka hui, i hoʻokumu ʻia i ka makahiki 2002, ma waena o nā loiloi mua o kā Wakinekona hōʻoia no ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana iā ʻIraka. Kākoʻo ʻo VIPS i kahi kulekele palekana haole a me ka ʻāina e pili ana i nā pono lāhui maoli ma mua o nā hoʻoweliweli i hāpai ʻia no nā kumu politika. Loaʻa kahi waihona o nā memo VIPS ma ʻO Consortiumnews.com.