Na Bruce Gagnon, Hoʻonohonoho i nā memo
Ua loaʻa ʻo Iran i kahi ʻaelike e kaupalena nui i kāna hiki nuklea no nā makahiki he ʻumi ma mua o ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana no ka hāpai ʻana i ka aila honua a me nā hoʻopaʻi kālā. Aia ka ʻaelike ma waena o Iran a me Beretania, Kina, Palani, Kelemānia, Rūsia, ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, a me ka Hui ʻEulopa. ʻAʻole paha e hiki ke hana me ka ʻole o ke komo ʻana o ka Russian Federation.
E ho'āʻo paha ʻo ʻIseraʻela a me Saudi Arabia e pepehi i ka ʻaelike e like me ke alakaʻi ʻana o ka Repubalika i ka ʻaha kūkā ma Wakinekona.
Mea hana maluhia lōʻihi ʻO Jan Oberg ma Suedena kākau e pili ana i ka ʻaelike:
No ke aha ʻo Iran i manaʻo ai a ʻaʻole ka poʻe āpau i loaʻa nā mea kaua nuklea? No ke aha i ʻōlelo ai nā mea kaua nuklea 5 ma ka papaʻaina, e hōʻino ana i ke Kuʻikahi Non-Proliferation - e haʻi ana iā Iran ʻaʻole e loaʻa iā lākou?
No ke aha e nānā aku ai iā Iran, ʻaʻole ʻo ʻIseraʻela i loaʻa nā mea kaua nuklea, ʻoi aku ka kiʻekiʻe o ka hoʻolimalima kaua kaua, kahi moʻolelo o ka hana ʻino?
ʻO nā nīnau maikaʻi a pau. Makemake au e hoʻohui i hoʻokahi nīnau hou i loko o kēia stew.
Ua mālama lōʻihi ka US i ka hoʻokomo ʻana o ka Pentagon i nā ʻōnaehana 'missile defense' (MD) i loko o ʻEulopa hikina ʻaʻole i kuhikuhi ʻia iā Rūsia akā ua kuhikuhi ʻia i ka mana nuklea o Iran. ʻOiaʻiʻo he mea lapuwale kēia akā no kahi manawa wale nō e hoʻohālike kākou he ʻoiaʻiʻo. Ke 'pale nei' ka US iā ia iho a me ʻEulopa mai kahi hoʻouka kaua nuklea e Iran - ʻoiai ʻaʻohe o Tehran i nā mea kaua nuklea a ʻaʻohe ʻōnaehana hoʻopuka lōʻihi e hiki ke paʻi i ka US.
No laila, i kēia manawa ua hoʻopaʻa inoa ʻia kēia ʻaelike he aha ka mea e pono ai ka US e hoʻomau i kāna hoʻouna ʻana i nā interceptors MD ma Polani a me Romania a me nā mea luku Navy ma ke kai Mediterranean, Black a me Baltic? A no ke aha e pono ai ka radar MD o ka Pentagon ma Turkey? ʻAʻole pono kekahi o kēia mau ʻōnaehana. E lawe mai ʻo Wakinekona iā MD i ka home?
A i ʻole e ʻimi paha ʻo US i kēia manawa, a loaʻa i kahi kumu ʻē aʻe e hōʻoia i kā lākou destabilizing MD interceptors kokoke i ka palena ʻo Rūsia?
E mālama i kou mau maka i kēlā pōleʻa lele. 
