By Gareth Porter, Mayu 5, 2020
daga A Greyzone
Shugaba Donald Trump ya fasa yarjejeniyar nukiliya da Iran kuma ya ci gaba da fuskantar hatsarin yaki da Iran bisa la’akari da kalaman Firayim Ministan Isra’ila Benjamin Netanyahu na tabbatar da gaskiya cewa Iran ta kuduri aniyar kera makaman Nukiliya. Netanyahu ba wai kawai ya tona asirin Trump ba amma har ma da yawa daga cikin kafofin yada labarai na kamfanonin, tare da yin amfani da su tare da bayyanawa jama'a abin da ya ce shi ne sirrin Iran din gaba daya.
A farkon Afrilu 2018, Netanyahu ya yi bayani Trump ya yi zaman sirri kan abin da ake zaton tarihin Iran din na kera makaman nukiliya tare da tabbatar da alkawarinsa na barin babban shirin aiwatar da aiki (JCPOA). A watan Afrilu 30, Netanyahu ya gabatar da taƙaitaccen bayani ga jama'a a cikin rawar da ya taka inda ya ce ayyukan leken asirin Isra’ila na Mossad sun sace Iran din ta Iran daga Tehran. "Watakila ka san cewa shugabannin Iran din nan ba sa musun bin makaman Nukiliya ..." Netanyahu ayyana. “To, yau da daddare, na zo ne don gaya muku wani abu: Iran ta yi ƙarya. Babban lokaci. ”
Koyaya, binciken da ake yi na zargin Iran din na nukiliya da The Grayzone ya nuna ya samo asali ne daga aikin rushewar Isra’ila wanda ya taimaka wajen haifar da babbar barazana ta yaki tun bayan rikici da Iran din da aka fara kusan shekaru arba’in da suka gabata. Wannan bincike ya gano alamomi da yawa da ke nuna cewa labarin Mossad na heistar shafi 50,000 na fayilolin nukiliya daga Tehran mai yiwuwa labari ne mai faɗi sannan kuma Mossad ɗin ya ƙirƙira takardu.
Dangane da yadda al'amuran Isra'ila suka faru, Iraniyawa sun tattara bayanan makaman nukiliya daga wurare daban-daban tare da tura su zuwa ga abin da Netanyahu da kansa ya bayyana a matsayin "wani shago mai lalacewa" a Kudancin Tehran. Kodayake zaton Iran tana da takaddun asirin da ke nuna ci gaban makaman nukiliya, da'awar cewa za a riƙe manyan bayanan sirri a cikin wani shagon ajiya da ba shi da kariya a tsakiyar Teheran ba shi da tabbas cewa ya kamata ta tayar da karrarawa nan da nan game da cancantar labarin.
Ko da mafi matsala ne da'awar wani jami'in Mossad ga dan jaridar Isra’ila Ronen Bergman cewa Mossad ya san ba kawai a cikin abin da rumbun ajiyarta kwamandojinsa za su samo takardu ba amma daidai abin da amincin ya shiga tare da busa ƙaho. The hukuma gaya Bergman da Mossad tawagar an shiryar da wani m kadara ga 'yan safes a cikin sito dauke da binders da mafi muhimmanci takardun. Netanyahu yi alfahari a bainar jama'a 'yan kadan' Iraniyawa sun san wurin da ke ajiyar kayan tarihin; jami'in Mossad din ya ce wa Bergman "mutane ne da dama kawai" sun sani.
Amma biyu tsohon babban jami'in CIA hukuma, da wanda ya yi aiki a matsayin da hukumar ta saman Middle East Analyst, ya sallami Netanyahu ta da'awar matsayin rashin yiwuwa a martani ga wani tambaya daga The Grayzone.
A cewar Paul Pillar, wanda shi jami’in leken asirin kasa ne na yankin daga 2001 zuwa 2005, “Duk wata kafa da ke cikin rukunin jami’an tsaron Iran za ta kasance mai matukar mahimmanci a idanun Isra’ila, kuma Isra’ilan tana yin bincike game da yadda za a yi amfani da wannan bayanan da alama za a iya. a nuna son kai game da kariya ta tushe na dogon lokaci. ” Labarin Isra'ila game da yadda 'yan leken asirin suka gano bayanan “ya yi kama da kifi,” in ji Pillar, musamman idan aka yi la’akari da kokarin da Isra’ila take da shi na iya kaiwa ga “nisan da diflomasiya ta fuskar siyasa” daga “wahayin da aka sa a gaba” na wannan hanyar da ta dace.
Graham Fuller, wani tsohon jami'in CIA mai shekaru 27 wanda ya kasance jami'in leken asirin kasa na Gabas ta Tsakiya da Kudancin Asiya sannan kuma Mataimakin Shugaban Hukumar Leken Asiri ta kasa, ya yi irin wannan binciken na Isra'ila. "Idan da Isra’ilawa suna da wannan mahimmin tushe a Tehran," in ji Fuller, "ba za su so su yi kasadar da shi ba." Fuller ya kammala da cewa matakin da Isra’ilawa suke da shi na cewa suna da ingantaccen masaniyar abin da safes to crack ne "abin zargi ne, kuma duk abin da za'a iya kirkira shi ne."
Babu tabbacin amincin
Netanyahu's Ranar 30 ga Afrilu ya gabatar da wasu takardu da aka ruwaito Iran din wadanda ke dauke da ayoyi masu kayatarwa wanda ya nuna a matsayin hujja a kan dagewarsa cewa Iran ta yi karya game da sha'awarta ta kera makaman kare dangi. Taimako na gani ya ƙunshi fayil ɗin da aka zayyana tun farkon 2000 ko kafin wannan cikakkun hanyoyin don cimma burin shirin gina makaman nukiliya biyar by tsakiyar 2003.
Wata takaddar da ta haifar da sha'awar kafofin watsa labaru an zargi rahoto kan tattaunawa Tsakanin manyan masana kimiyyar Iran na yanke hukuncin tsakiyar shekarar 2003 wanda Ministan Tsaro na Iran ya raba shirin mallakar makamin na nukiliya zuwa wasu bangarori.
Daga barin kafafen yada labarai na wadannan “takardun adana makaman nukiliya” wani lamari ne mai sauki wanda ya matukar damun Netanyahu: babu wani abu game da su da ya bayar da kwararan hujjoji da ke nuna cewa suna da gaske. Misali, babu wanda ya ke da alamomin hukuma na hukumar ta Iran.
Tariq Rauf, wanda shine shugaban ofishin Tabbatar da Tabbatar da Tabbatar da Tsaro a Hukumar Kula da Makamashin Nukiliya ta Duniya (IAEA) daga 2001 zuwa 2011, ya fada wa The Grayzone cewa wadannan alamomin suna da asali a fayilolin Iran din.
Rauf ya ce, "Iran babbar tsari ce ta bogi. "Saboda haka, mutum zaiyi tsammanin ingantaccen tsarin riƙe littafin wanda zai iya yin rikodin wasiƙa mai shigowa, tare da ranar da aka karɓa, jami'in zartarwa, sashen, watsa zuwa ƙarin jami'ai masu dacewa, wasiƙar da ta dace, da dai sauransu."
Amma kamar yadda Rauf ya lura, takardun "makaman nukiliya" sune da Washington Post suka buga haifa babu irin wannan shaida na Iran gwamnatin asalin. Hakanan ba su ƙunshi wasu alamomi don nuna ƙirar su a ƙarƙashin kulawar wata hukumar gwamnatin Iran ba.
Abin da waɗancan takaddun ke da shi shine alamar tambarin roba don tsarin tacewa wanda ke nuna lambobi don "rikodin", "fayil" da "geran sandar" - kamar baƙar fata da Netanyahu ya yiwa kyamarorin a yayin daukar hoto. . Amma waɗannan Mossad na iya ƙirƙirar waɗannan sauƙi kuma an jera su a kan takaddun tare da lambobin Persasar da suka dace.
Tabbacin tabbatar da ingancin takaddun zai buƙaci samun dama ga takaddun asali. Amma kamar yadda Netanyahu lura a cikin Afrilu 30, 2018 nunin faifai, da "asali Iran kayan" da aka kiyaye "a wani sosai hadari wuri" - yana ambaton cewa babu wanda za a bari a samu wani irin damar.
Rashin damar isa ga masana na waje
A zahiri, har ma galibin ba-Isra’ila wadanda ke zuwa Tel Aviv an hana su samun ainihin takardun. David Albright na Kwalejin Kimiyya da Tsaro ta Duniya da Olli Heinonen na Gidauniyar Tsaro ta Mulkin Demokradiyya - wadanda ke da tsayayyiyar kare lamuran Isra’ila kan manufofin nukiliyar Iran - ruwaito a cikin Oktoba 2018 cewa an ba su kawai "shimfidar bene" nuna kwafi ko abubuwan da suka dace na takardun.
Lokacin da wata tawagar kwararru shida daga Harvard Kennedy School ta Belfer Cibiyar Kimiyya da Harkokin {asashen ziyarci Isra'ila a watan Janairu 2019 for briefings a kan archive, su ma aka miƙa kawai gaggawar browse na zato asali takardun. Harvard Farfesa Matiyu Bunn tuno a cikin wata hira da wannan marubuci da cewa tawagar da aka nuna daya daga cikin binders dauke da abin da aka ce ya zama ainihin takardun game da Iran ta dangantakar tare da hukumar IAEA da kuma ya "paged ta bit na da shi."
Amma ba a nuna musu wasu takardu kan aikin makamin na Iran ba. Kamar yadda Bunn ya yarda, "Ba mu yi ƙoƙarin yin wani bincike na gaba na waɗannan takardu ba."
Yawanci, aiki ne na gwamnatin Amurka da IAEA don gaskata takaddun. Abin takaici, wakilan Cibiyar ta Belfer sun ba da rahoton cewa gwamnatin Amurka da Hukumar IAEA kowannensu sun sami kwafin littattafan duka, ba ainihin fayel ɗin ba. Kuma Isra’ilawan ba su cikin gaggawa don samar da ingantattun labaran ba: Hukumar IAEA ba ta samu cikakkiyar takaddun takardu ba har zuwa Nuwamba 2019, a cewar Bunn.
Ya zuwa yanzu, Netanyahu bai riga ya gama rushe yarjejeniyar nukiliyar Iran ba; shi da babban mai ba da fatawa CIA daraktan CIA Mike Pompeo sun sa shugaban kasa cikin manufofin adawa da Tehran.
Zuwan na biyu na zane-zanen makami mai linzami
Daga cikin takardu Netanyahu ya fallasa allon a cikin sa 30 ga Afrilu, 2018 nunin faifai wani zane mai tsari na gwajin makami mai linzami na wani makami mai linzami samfurin Shahab-3 na Iran, wanda ke nuna abin da alama ya zama alama ce makaman nukiliya a ciki.
Wannan zane ya kasance wani bangare na zane-zane na fasaha guda goma sha takwas na abin hawa na Shahab-3. An samo wadannan ne cikin tarin takardu da aka adana tsawon shekaru tsakanin gwamnatocin Bush II da Obama ta hannun wani ɗan leken asirin Iran da ke aiki a hukumar leken asirin ta BND. Ko don haka labarin Isra’ila labarin ya tafi.
A shekara ta 2013, duk da haka, wani tsohon babban jami'in Ofishin Harkokin Waje na Jamus mai suna Karsten Voigt ya bayyana wa wannan marubucin cewa membobin Mujaheddin E-Khalq (MEK) ne suka fara samar da bayanan.
Kungiyar MEK ta kasance wata kungiyar adawa ta Iran da aka kora wacce ta yi aiki a karkashin gwamnatin Saddam Hussein a matsayin wakili a kan Iran a lokacin yakin Iraki da Iraki. Ya ci gaba da hada kai da Mossad na Isra'ila tun daga shekarun 1990, kuma yana da kusanci da kasar Saudiyya. A yau, yawancin tsoffin jami'an Amurka suna kan biyan kuɗi na MEK, Yin aiki a matsayin masu yiwa masu fafatuka hanya don sauya tsarin mulki a Iran.
Voigt ya tuno yadda manyan jami’an BND suka gargade shi da cewa basa la’akari da asalin MEK ko kayan da ya tanada na gaskia ne. Sun damu matuka cewa gwamnatin Bush ta yi niyyar yin amfani da takardu na bogi don ba da hujjar kai hari kan Iran, kamar yadda ta yi amfani da tatsuniyoyi masu tarin yawa da aka karɓa daga masu lalata Iraki da aka sanya wa suna "Curveball" don ba da dalilin mamayar Iraki a 2003.
Kamar yadda wannan marubuci fara bayar da rahoton a cikin 2010, bayyanar “dunce-cap” siffar motar Shahab-3 a cikin zane-zane wata alama ce ta nuna cewa takardun kirkirar takardu ne. Duk wanda ya zana waɗancan hotunan a cikin 2003 a bayyane yake a ƙarƙashin ra'ayin ƙarya cewa Iran tana dogaro da Shahab-3 a matsayin babban ƙarfinta. Bayan duk, Iran ya sanar a fili cikin 2001 cewa Shahab-3 da aka da faruwa a cikin "serial samarwa" da kuma a 2003 cewa "aiki."
Amma wadancan maganganun na Iran da aka yi wani shirme ne da nufin yaudarar Isra’ila, wacce ta yi barazanar kai harin sama kan shirye-shiryen nukiliyar Iran da makami mai linzami. A zahiri, Ma'aikatar Tsaro ta Iran ta san cewa Shahab-3 ba ta da isasshen kewayon isa Isra'ila.
A cewar Michael Elleman, marubucin mafi tabbataccen asusun shirin makami mai linzami na Iran, a farkon 2000, Ma'aikatar Tsaro ta Iran ta fara haɓaka ingantacciyar hanyar Shahab-3 tare da abin hawa mai ɗaukar hoto mai ban sha'awa kamar "kwalban jariri mai ban sha'awa" - ba “dunce-cap” na asali ba.
Kamar yadda Elleman gaya wannan marubuci, duk da haka, kasashen waje hukumomin leken asiri zauna zama Mai gafala daga sabon da kuma inganta Shahab makami mai linzami da sosai daban-daban siffar har ya kãma farko jirgin gwajin a watan Agusta 2004. Daga cikin hukumomin kiyaye a cikin duhu game da sabon zane da aka Isra'ila ta Mossad . Wannan yana bayanin dalilin da yasa takardun karya akan sake fasalin Shahab-3 - kwanakin farko wadanda suka kasance a 2002, a cewar wata takardar IAEA na ciki da ba a buga ba - ya nuna zanen abin hawa wanda Iran din ta riga ta watsar.
Matsayin MEK wajen mika babban sashin bayanan nukiliya na Iran da ake tsammani ga BND da alakar hannu da safar hannu da Mossad ya bar dakin da shakku kan cewa takaddun da aka gabatar da leken asirin Yammacin 2004, a haƙiƙa, ƙirƙira ce ta da Mossad.
Ga Mossad, MEK yanki ne mai sauƙi don fitar da labarai marasa kyau game da Iran wanda ba ya so a danganta shi kai tsaye ga leken asirin Isra'ila. Don inganta amincin MEK a idanun kafofin watsa labarai da hukumomin leken asiri na kasashen waje, Mossad ya mika ragamar kula da makaman Nukiliyar Iran zuwa ga MEK a 2002. Daga baya, ta ba da bayanan sirri na MEK kamar lambar fasfo da lambar tarho ta gida na kimiyyar lissafin Iran. farfesa Mohsen Fakhrizadh, wanda sunansa ya bayyana a cikin takardun nukiliyar, bisa ga marubutan wani mafi kyawun littafin Isra'ila kan Mossad ta covert aiki.
Ta hanyar warware wannan zane-zanen fasaha wanda ya nuna kuskuren sake shigar da makami mai linzami na Iran - wata dabara da ya gabatar a baya don ƙirƙirar asalin lamarin don zargin Iran da ɓarnatar da makaman nukiliya - Firayim Ministan Isra'ila ya nuna yadda yake da kwarin gwiwa a cikin ikonsa na hoodwink Washington da kafofin watsa labaru na kasashen yamma.
Netanyahu da yawa matakan yaudarar sunyi nasara kwarai da gaske, duk da dogaro da rashi da yakamata ace duk wata kungiyar labarai mai himma ya kamata ta gani. Ta hanyar amfani da gwamnatocin kasashen waje da kafafen yada labarai, ya sami damar karkatar da Donald Trump da Amurka cikin wani mummunan rikici na fada wanda ya kawo Amurka cikin mawuyacin halin rikici da Iran.
Gareth Porter ne mai zaman kanta investigative jarida wanda ya rufe tsaron kasa da manufofin tun shekarar 2005, kuma ya tura ma na Gellhorn Prize for Jarida a 2012. Ya mafi yawan 'yan littafin ne The CIA Insider ta Guide to da Iran Crisis co-wallafa tare da John Kiriakou, kawai aka buga a Fabrairu.
