Alswararrun encewararrun Masana Ilimin Lantarki don Guji Yaƙin a Ukraine

Ta Professionwararrun encewararrun encewararrun forwararrun Ilimin Sanity (VIPS), Antiwar.com, Afrilu 8, 2021

MEMORANDUM FOR: Shugaban
DAGA: Ma'aikatan Intelligence Tsoro don Sanin (VIPS)
SAURARA: Gujewa Yaƙi a Ukraine

Mai girma Shugaba Biden,

We magana ta karshe da kai a ranar 20 ga Disamba, 2020, lokacin da kake zababben Shugaban kasa.

A wancan lokacin, mun faɗakar da ku game da haɗarin da ke tattare da tsara manufofi ga Rasha da aka gina a kan tushen Rasha-bashing. Yayin da muke ci gaba da tallafawa binciken da ke cikin wannan rubutun, wannan sabon bayanin yana aiki da mahimmancin manufa. Muna so mu ja hankalinku game da halin haɗari da ke cikin Ukraine a yau, inda ake fuskantar barazanar yaƙi sai dai idan kun ɗauki matakai don magance irin wannan rikici.

A wannan lokacin, muna tuna abubuwa guda biyu na asali waɗanda ke buƙatar girmamawa musamman yayin tashin hankali tsakanin Ukraine da Rasha.

Da farko dai, tunda Ukraine ba memba ce ta NATO ba, Mataki na 5 na yarjejeniyar NATO tabbas ba zai yi aiki ba dangane da rikici tsakanin Ukraine da Rasha.

Abu na biyu, sassaucin aikin sojan da Ukraine ke yi a yanzu, idan aka bar shi ya sauya zuwa aikin soja na gaske, na iya haifar da tashin hankali da Rasha.

Muna tsammanin yana da mahimmanci cewa gwamnatinku ta hanzarta cirewa daga teburin, don haka a yi magana, duk wani "mafita" ga rikice-rikicen da ke faruwa wanda ke da ƙungiyar soja. A takaice, akwai, kuma ba zai taba kasancewa ba, hanyar soja ga wannan matsalar.

Jagoran ku na dabarun tsaro na kasa ya nuna cewa gwamnatinku za ta “zabi dabaru mai kyau game da tsaron kasarmu da kuma amfani da sojanmu yadda ya kamata, tare da daukaka diflomasiyya a matsayin kayan aikinmu na farko.” A yanzu haka shine lokaci mafi dacewa don sanya waɗannan kalmomin cikin aiki don kowa ya gani.

Mun yi imani da gaske:

1. Dole ne a bayyana karara ga Shugaban Ukraine Zelensky cewa babu wani taimakon soja daga Amurka ko NATO idan har bai hana takunkumin Yukren din da ke ba wa Rasha hancin jini ba - shaho wadanda za su iya tsammanin Yammacin ya zo na Ukraine taimako a cikin duk wani rikici da Rasha. (Ba za a sake maimaita fiasco na watan Agusta 2008 ba, lokacin da Jamhuriyar Georgia ta fara aiwatar da ayyukan soja a kan Ossetia ta Kudu a cikin kuskuren imanin cewa Amurka za ta zo taimakonta idan Rasha ta amsa soja.)

2. Muna ba da shawarar cewa ka hanzarta ka sadu da Zelensky kuma ka dage cewa Kiev ta dakatar da aikin soja da take yi yanzu a gabashin Ukraine. Sojojin Rasha sun yi layi a kan iyaka a shirye don mayar da martani idan sassaucin yaƙin Zelensky ya zama ba da tsoro ba. Har ila yau, ya kamata Washington ta dakatar da duk wani aikin horon soja da ya hada da sojojin Amurka da na NATO a yankin. Wannan zai rage damar da Yukren za ta fassara ma'anar wannan manufa ta ba daidai ba a matsayin de a zahiri shine alamar nuna goyon baya ga ayyukan sojan Ukraine don dawo da ikon ko dai Donbas ko Crimea.

3. Wajibi ne kuma ya zama dole Amurka ta shiga tattaunawar diflomasiyya da Rasha don rage tashin hankali a yankin da kuma dakile saurin da ake yi yanzu game da rikicin soja. Rashin warware rikitattun lamuran yanar gizo da ke damun dangantakar Amurka da Rasha a yanzu babban aiki ne babba wanda ba za a iya cim ma shi ba cikin dare. Wannan zai zama lokacin dacewa don yin aiki tare don hadafin haɗin gwiwa don hana tashin hankali a cikin Yukren da faɗaɗa yaƙin.

Akwai dama kuma haɗari a cikin halin yanzu game da Ukraine. Wannan rikice-rikicen yana ba wa gwamnatinku damar daukaka darajar kyawawan halaye na Amurka a idanun al'ummomin duniya. Yin jagoranci tare da diflomasiyya zai bunkasa matsayin Amurka a duniya.

Ga Ƙungiyar Gudanarwar, Masu Mahimman Kwarewar Kwarewa ga Sanin

• William Binney, tsohon Daraktan Fasaha, Tattalin Arzikin Duniya & Soja, NSA; co-kafa, SIGINT Automation Research Center (ret.)
• Marshall Carter-Tripp, Jami'in Harkokin Waje da Tsohon Darakta a Sashin Ofishin Leken Asiri da Bincike (ret.)
• Bogdan Dzakovic, Tsohon Shugaban Kungiyar Tarayyar Air Marshals da Red Team, FAA Security (ret.) (aboki VIPS)
• Graham E. Fuller, Mataimakin Shugaban Kasa, Majalisar Leken Asiri ta Kasa (ret.)
• Robert M. Furukawa, Kyaftin, Injin Injiniya, USNR (ret.)
• Philip Giraldi, CIA, Jami'in Ayyuka (ret.)
• Mike Car Mats, tsohon Adjutant, babban jami'in kula da sirri na sirri, Hukumar Leken Asiri ta Sadarwa; wakili na musamman na Counungiyar Leken Asiri da tsohon Sanatan Amurka
• John Kiriyaku, tsohon Jami’in Yaki da Ta’addanci na CIA kuma tsohon Babban Mai bincike, Kwamitin Alakar Harkokin Waje na Majalisar Dattawa
• Karen Kwiatkowski, tsohon Laftanar Kanal, Sojan Sama na Amurka (ret.), A Ofishin Sakataren Tsaro yana kallon kirkirar karya a Iraki, 2001-2003
• Edward Loomis, NSA Kimiyyar Kimiyyar Kimiyyar Kwamfuta (ret.)
• Ray McGovern, tsohon jami'in sojan Amurka / jami'in leken asiri & CIA mai ba da labarin shugaban kasa (ret.)
• Elizabeth Murray, tsohon Mataimakin Jami'in Leken Asiri na Kasa na Gabas ta Gabas & masanin siyasar CIA (ret.)
• Pedro Isra'ila Orta, Jami'in Ayyuka na CIA & Manazarta; Mai dubawa tare da IG don Community Intelligence (ret.)
• Todd E. Pierce, MAJ, Alkalin Alkalan Sojan Amurka (ret.)
• Scott Ritter, tsohon MAJ., USMC, tsohon UN Inspector Inspector, Iraq
• Coleen Rowley, Wakilin FBI na Musamman kuma tsohon Lauyan Lauyan Lauya na Minneapolis (ret.)
• Kirk Wiebe, tsohon Babban Manajan, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA
• Sarah G. Wilton, CDR, USNR, (ret.); Hukumar Leken Asiri ta Tsaro (ret.)
• Daga Robert, Ma'aikatar Harkokin Wajen Amurka, Jami'in Harkokin Wajen (na da) (aboki na VIPS)
• Ann Wright, Reshen Sojan Amurka Kanar (ret) da tsohon Jami'in diflomasiyyar Amurka wanda ya yi murabus a 2003 don adawa da Yaƙin Iraki

Alswararrun encewararrun encewararrun forwararrun Sanwararru don Kulawa (VIPs) sun haɗu da tsoffin hafsoshin leken asiri, jami'an diflomasiyya, hafsoshin soja da kuma ma'aikatan majalisa. Organizationungiyar, wadda aka kafa a 2002, tana daga cikin waɗanda suka fara sukar hujjojin Washington don ƙaddamar da yaƙi da Iraki. VIPS tana ba da shawarar manufofin Amurka na ƙasashen waje da na tsaron ƙasa dangane da buƙatun ƙasa na gaske maimakon barazanar ɓarna da aka inganta saboda dalilai na siyasa. Ana samun tarihin abubuwan tunawa da VIPS a Consortiumnews.com.