By Alice Slater, Zuwa Ga 'Yanci, Janairu 15, 2025
Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, tare da shawarar Albert Einstein da sauran masana kimiyya daga Manhattan Project wanda ya ƙera bam ɗin nukiliya, sun kafa Doomsday Clock, a cikin 1947, don kwatanta haɗarin halakar da duniya ke fuskanta tun lokacin ƙirƙirar bam ɗin nukiliya na diabolical. . A lokacin, an saita agogon ne daga mintuna 7 zuwa tsakar dare, ƙiyasinsu na tsawon lokacin da ya rage kafin yaƙin nukiliya zai yi mummunar barna a duniyarmu da dukan abubuwa masu rai.
A cikin shekarun da suka gabata, an sake saita hannayen agogo, gaba da baya, yayin da masana kimiyya da masu tsara manufofi suka yi kiyasin yadda hatsarin nukiliyar ya kunno kai nan take, bisa la'akari da irin hadarin da wasu kasashe ke fuskanta wajen samun makaman nukiliya da kuma sabbin matakan sarrafa makamai, makamai. iyakance, da yarjejeniyoyin, musamman tsakanin Amurka da Rasha don matakan kwance damara. A cikin kyakkyawan fata, hannun Doomsday ya koma minti 17 zuwa tsakar dare a cikin 1991 lokacin da Amurka da USSR suka sanar da dakatar da gwajin makamin nukiliya.
Abin mamaki, duk da matakan sarrafa makaman nukiliya na shekaru da yawa, wanda ya haifar da raguwar manyan makaman nukiliya daga manyan bama-bamai 70,000 a kololuwar hauka na nukiliya a duniya, zuwa kusan 12,000 a yau, 11,000 daga cikinsu suna cikin Amurka da Rasha tare da kusan 4,000 a shirye kuma a shirye suke. tafi, tare da wasu 1000 da wasu ƙasashe shida na makaman nukiliya suka riƙe - UK, Faransa, China, Indiya, Pakistan, Isra'ila, da Koriya ta Arewa - ba a taɓa saita agogon kusa da Doomsday fiye da yadda yake a yau ba - A daƙiƙa 90 zuwa tsakar dare!1
Lokaci yayi da za a canza agogo kuma canza magana! Gargaɗi mai ban tsoro game da Doomsday bai yi komai ba don ƙara amincin duniyarmu cikin waɗannan shekaru 77. Lokaci ya yi da za a yi magana game da dama da dama da aka rasa don ƙirƙirar sabon wayewar Ranar Zaman Lafiya, canza agogon halaka zuwa agogon da zai iya kashe yawancin mafita waɗanda aka yi watsi da su kuma ba a kula da su dole ne mu daina ba da albarka da yarda. zuwa matakai marasa iyaka don "sarrafa" makamai waɗanda ke haifar da ƙarin haɗari kamar yadda agogon Doomsday ya nuna.
Maimakon haka, dole ne mu nemi a soke su, yayin da muke tafiya zuwa duniya mai 'yanci ta nukiliya cikin kwanciyar hankali ba tare da barazanar halakar da bala'i ba. Lalle ne, malaman da ke rubuta labarin bakin ciki na shawarwarin da ba su da iyaka don sarrafa makamai amma ba za a kawar da su ba har ma sun kirkiro wani sabon lokaci don matakan da ba su da ma'ana ga babu inda - anti-preneurism - inda maimakon Amurka ta ba da shawarar sokewa, ko duka da kuma kwance damara, ko kuma kawar da makamai, koyaushe yana ba da shawarar sabbin matakai marasa ma'ana zuwa ga ci gaban ruɗi!2
Don fara sabon tattaunawa don sokewa, dole ne mu yarda da damar da aka rasa da kuma karya alkawuran tun farkon zamanin nukiliya. A farkon farko, a cikin 1945, Stalin ya tambayi Truman ya sanya bam ɗin nukiliya a ƙarƙashin ikon duniya a sabuwar Majalisar Dinkin Duniya da aka kafa. Amurka ta ki amincewa da shawarar Rasha kuma Rasha ta samu bam!3
Lokacin da bango ya rushe a Jamus kuma Gorbachev ya rushe Warsaw Pact kuma ya 'yantar da dukkanin Gabashin Turai da aka mamaye, ya ba da shawara ga Reagan cewa Amurka da Rasha sun kawar da duk makaman nukiliyar mu, idan har Amurka za ta kawo karshen shirinta na "Star Wars" don mamayewa kuma sarrafa amfani da sojoji na sararin samaniya. Reagan ya ƙi shi kuma Gorbachev ya janye tayin Rasha.4
Gorbachev, wanda ke cikin damuwa game da makomar Jamus ta Gabas, ya bukaci Reagan da kada ya dauki haɗin kai na Jamus a cikin NATO. Rashawa sun yi asarar mutane miliyan 27 sakamakon harin Nazi na WWII! Amurka ta ba shi tabbacin cewa NATO ba za ta fadada "inci daya zuwa gabas ba."5
Duk da bukatar da shugaban kasar Rasha Putin ya yi wa Amurka na cika alkawuran da Amurka ta yi wa Gorbachev da kuma Yeltsin, Amurka, da hangen nesa na daular ta kara fadada Nato gabas. Ya fara ne da fadada NATO zuwa Poland, Hungary, da Jamhuriyar Czech a 1999, sannan Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia da Slovenia a 2004, da Albania, Croatia, Montenegro da Arewacin Macedonia tsakanin 2009 da 20176. Kuma a lokacin yakin Ukraine, Sweden da Finland sun shiga NATO.
Amurka ta sanya makaman nukiliya a jihohi 5: Jamus, Netherlands, Italiya, Belgium da Turkiyya. Rasha, a lokacin yakin Ukraine, ta sanya makaman nukiliya a Belarus.
Clinton ta jagoranci NATO wajen kai harin bam a Kosovo a shekara ta 1999, inda ta ketare matakin da Rasha ta dauka a kwamitin sulhu, ta karya yarjejeniyar Majalisar Dinkin Duniya da muka rattaba hannu kan cewa ba za mu taba yin yaki na cin zarafi ga wata al'umma ba sai dai idan an fuskanci barazanar kai hari;
Clinton ta ki amincewa da tayin da Putin ya yi wa kowannensu ya yanke manyan makamanmu na nukiliya zuwa bama-bamai 1000 kowanne tare da kira sauran duka a kan teburin tattaunawa don kawar da su, muddin mun daina kera wuraren makami mai linzami a Romania;
Bush ya fice daga yarjejeniyar makami mai linzami na 1972 a 2002 kuma Obama ya sanya sabon sansanin makami mai linzami a Romania yayin da Trump ya gina wani a Poland;
Obama ya yi alkawarin sama da dala tiriliyan daya a cikin shekaru 30 masu zuwa don sabbin masana'antun bama-bamai na nukiliya guda biyu, makamai masu linzami, jiragen ruwa na karkashin ruwa, jiragen sama da kuma na yaki wanda Trump da Biden suka daukaka.7
Duk da bukatar da kasashen Rasha da China suka yi na yin shawarwari kan yarjejeniyar hana makamai a sararin samaniya da yakin intanet a kudurorin Majalisar Dinkin Duniya da tarukan tattaunawa, Amurka ta ki ba da hadin kai.8
Muna kan wani sauyi a tarihi. Lokaci ya yi da za a canza tattaunawa tare da sabbin shawarwari masu ƙarfi. Shawarwari da aka ba da tabbacin kawo mana jinkiri daga karuwar ta'addanci. Shawarwari waɗanda za su kawo canji a fahimtar duniyar duniyar da ke ƙyale mu mu ba da amsa tare da haɗin kai ga bala'in yanayi mai gabatowa a kan hanya! Shawarwari waɗanda za su kawo wayewar gari kuma su canza agogon Doomsday zuwa sabon agogon Ranar Zaman Lafiya. Uwar Duniya ta yi rashin haƙuri da wauta ta ɗan adam.
Anan akwai jerin matakai waɗanda zasu iya haifar da zaman lafiya a duniya idan Amurka a shirye take don yin yaƙi da abin da aka bayyana a matsayin MICIMATT (Soja, Masana'antu, Majalisa, Intelligence, Media, Academic Think Tank complex) da aiki don zaman lafiya.
- Dauki maimaita shawarwarin Rasha da China game da yarjejeniyar hana makamai a sararin samaniya da yakin intanet
- Maido da yarjejeniyar makami mai linzami ta 1972 da Rasha tare da cire makamai masu linzami na Amurka daga Romania da Poland
- Cire makaman nukiliyar Amurka daga kasashe biyar na kungiyar tsaro ta NATO a wata yarjejeniya da Rasha ta yi na kawar da makaman nukiliyar da ta sanya a kasar Belarus
- Cire duk makaman nukiliya daga cikin faɗakarwa kuma raba kawunan yaƙi daga tsarin isar da su kamar yadda China ke yi - hikimar Gabas
- Rushe NATO da girmamawa da girmama Majalisar Dinkin Duniya
Babu shakka cewa Rasha da China za su kasance abokan haɗin gwiwa a cikin waɗannan shirye-shiryen. Sun shafe sama da shekaru goma suna gabatar da su ga Amurka tare da jefa kuri'a a kansu a Majalisar Dinkin Duniya.
1 https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/
2 https://www.academia.edu/77004279/Resistance_to_the_emergent_norm_to_advance_progress_towards_the_complete_elimination_of_nuclear_weapons?email_work_card=thumbnail
3 https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/soviet-union-and-baruch-plan/
4 https://ahf.nuclearmuseum.org/ahf/history/reagan-and-gorbachev-reykjavik-summit/
5 https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/russia-programs/2017-12-12/nato-expansion-what-gorbachev-heard-western-leaders-early/
6 https://ndisc.nd.edu/news-media/news/the-addition-of-nato-members-over-time-1949-2023/
7 https://fpif.org/president-obamas-twisted-nuclear-weapons-legacy/#!
8 https://www.reachingcriticalwill.org/disarmament-fora/cd/2014/cd-reports/8908-russia-and-china-table-new-draft-treaty-to-prevent-weapons-in-space
