Ainihin dalilin harbo jirgin na Rasha da Turkiyya ta yi

Amurka da magoya bayanta NATO sun ba da izini kan hadin gwiwar NATO bayan da jami'an Turkiyya suka gabatar da karar cewa harbe-harben jirgin saman Rasha ya faru bayan jiragen sama biyu suka shiga cikin jirgin Turkiya.

Baturke wakilci a gwargwadon rahoton ya buga rikodi na gargadi na F16 jirgin saman Turkiyya ya bawa jiragen saman Rasha ba tare da amsawar Rasha ba, kuma Amurka da wasu mambobin kungiyar NATO sun amince da ikon Turkiyya don kare yanayin sararin samaniya.

Kakakin rundunar tsaron Amurka, Colonel Steve Warren goyan Turkiyya ta yi ikirarin cewa an bayar da gargadin 10 a tsawon minti biyar. Gwamnatin Obama ta nuna rashin damuwa game da ko jiragen Russan sun riga sun shiga cikin jirgin saman Turkiya. Col Warren shigar da shi cewa jami'ai na Amurka sun riga sun tsaya a kan inda aka samo jirgin saman Rasha a yayin da wani fashin-baki na Turkiyya ya tashi a jirgin sama.

Kodayake gwamnatin Obama ba ta amince da ita ba, bayanan da aka riga ya samu, na goyan bayan Rasha cewa, Turkiya ta harbe shi, kamar yadda shugaban {asar Rasha, Vladimir Putin ya bayyana, wani "makami" wanda aka shirya a hankali a gaba.

Kamfanin Turkiyya na Turkiyya ya ce FT 16 sun yi gargadin cewa jiragen sama na 10 biyu na Rasha a cikin tsawon minti biyar shine ainihin abin da Turkiyya ba ta faɗar gaskiya game da harbe-harbe ba.

Sojan Rasha mai suna "Fencer" Jet, wanda ya dace da F24 na Amurka, yana da damar sauƙi 960 mil a kowace awa a high altitude, amma a low tsawon ta Gudun tafiya cikin sauri yana kusa da 870 mph, ko game da 13 mil a minti daya. Mai kula da jirgin sama na biyu tabbatar bayan da ya cece su cewa Su-24s suna tashi a lokacin gudun hijira a lokacin jirgin.

Rufe bincike na duka biyu Hotunan Turkiyya da Rasha na hanyar radar na jiragen ruwa na Rasha sun nuna cewa farkon batun da ko dai daga cikin jiragen saman Rasha ya kasance a kan hanyar da za a iya fassara shi kamar yadda yake dauke da shi a cikin Turkanci yana da kusan 16 kilomita daga iyakar Turkanci - yana nufin cewa kawai a cikin minti daya da 20 daga iyakar.

Bugu da ƙari kuma bisa ga duka fasalin hanyar jirgin, mintuna biyar kafin harbo jirgin na Rasha zai yiwo gabas - daga nan daga iyakar Turkiya.

Idan tururuwan Turkiya sun fara gargadi jiragen sama na Rasha tsawon minti biyar kafin fashewa, saboda haka, suna yin haka tun kafin jiragen saman sun kai ga jagorancin karamin kan iyakar Turkiya a yankin arewacin Latakia.

Don gudanar da yajin aikin, a zahiri, yakamata matuka jirgin saman Turkiyya su kasance cikin iska tuni kuma su shirya yin yajin da zaran sun san jirgin na Rasha na jirgin sama.

Shaidun daga hukumomin Turkiya da kansu sun ba da ɗan ƙaramin shakkar cewa an yanke shawarar harbo jirgin na Rasha ne kafin jiragen saman Rasha su ma su fara tashi.

Dalilin wannan aikin ya shafi dangantaka da Turkiyya don taimaka wa sojojin Assad a kusa da kan iyakar. A gaskiya, gwamnatin Erdogan ba ta yi ƙoƙari ta ɓoye manufarta ba a cikin kwanaki kafin a fara aikin. A cikin ganawar da jakadan kasar Rasha a ranar 20 na Nuwamba, ministan harkokin waje ya zargi 'yan Rasha da cewa "fashewar bom" na' kauyuka '' kauyukan Turkmen '' ' ya ce akwai yiwuwar "sakamako mai tsanani" sai dai idan Rasha ta ƙare ayyukansu nan da nan.

Firayim Ministan Turkiyya Ahmet Davutoglu ya fi bayyane, tare da bayyana cewa "an umarci jami'an tsaron Turkiyya da su mayar da martani kan duk wani ci gaban da zai kawo barazana ga tsaron iyakar Turkiyya". Davutoglu ya ci gaba da cewa: "Idan akwai wani hari da zai haifar da kwararar 'yan gudun hijira zuwa Turkiyya, to za a dauki matakan da ake bukata duka a cikin Siriya da Turkiyya."

Barazanar da Turkiyya ta yi na ramuwar gayya - ba wai ta hanyar shigar da sararin samaniya ta Rasha ba ne amma don mayar da martani ne ga yanayin yadda aka tsara shi a kan iyakar - ya zo ne a cikin sabon fadace-fadace tsakanin gwamnatin Syria da mayakan addini. Yankin da aka harbo jirgin yana da 'yan tsiraru daga Turkmen. Sun kasance ba su da muhimmanci sosai fiye da mayaƙan ƙasashen waje da sauran dakaru waɗanda suka kai hare-hare da dama a yankin tun daga tsakiyar shekarar 2013 da nufin yin barazanar tsoffin Alawite na Shugaba Assad a bakin tekun a lardin Latakia.

Charles Lister, masanin Birtaniya wanda yake ziyarci lardin Latakia sau da yawa a 2013, an lura a cikin hira na 2013 na watan Agusta, "Latakia, har zuwa arewacin arewaci (watau a cikin Mountain Turkmen Mountain), ya kasance mafaka ga kungiyoyin 'yan kasashen waje a kusan shekara guda." Ya kuma lura cewa, bayan da Islama Islama ya fito a arewa, al-Nusra Front da kuma abokansa a yankin sun "kaiwa" zuwa ISIL kuma ɗayan kungiyoyin da ke fada a Latakia sun "kasancewa gaba" ga ISIL.

A cikin watan Maris na 2014, 'yan tawayen addinin musulunci sun kaddamar da wani mummunar mummunar mummunar mummunar mummunar mummunar mummunar mummunar tallafin tallafin Turkiya don kama garin Armenia na Kessab a kan iyakar da ke kusa da iyakar Turkiya. Jaridar Istanbul, Bagcilar, ya nakalto wani memba na kwamitin majalisar dokokin kasar Turkiya kamar yadda rahotanni ke nunawa daga 'yan kyauyen da ke kusa da iyakar da dubban mayakan suka gudana a kan iyakoki guda biyar a cikin motoci tare da kamfanonin Syria don shiga cikin mummunan aiki.

A lokacin wannan mummunan hali, har ma, wani jigilar Siriya da ke mayar da martani game da mummuna da Kessab ya yi fashewar iska ta Turkiya ta harbe shi a cikin wani abu mai ban sha'awa game da ragowar jetan Rasha. Turkiyya ta yi ikirarin cewa jet ta keta kariya ta sararin samaniya amma ba ta da kariya game da ba da gargadi ba. Manufar kokarin ƙoƙarin hana Suriya ta yin amfani da wutar lantarki a tsaron garin yana da kyau.

Yanzu yakin da aka yi a lardin Latakia ya koma yankin Bayirbucak, inda dakarun Siriya da dakarun kasa suka kasance ƙoƙarin katse layin samarwa tsakanin kauyukan da Nusra Front da abokansa da iyakar Turkiyya suka yi na tsawon watanni. Babban birni a yankin Nusra na yankin iko shine Salma, wanda ya kasance a hannun jihadist tun daga 2012. Shirin Rundunar Sojan Rasha a cikin yakin ya ba da damar amfani da sojojin Syria.

Harshen Turkiyya ta haka ne ƙoƙari don hana sojojin Rasha su ci gaba da aiki a yankin da Al-Nusra Front da abokansa, ba tare da daya ba amma guda biyu masu tsinkaya: a daya hannun takaddama a kan iyakar Rasha shiga tsakani ga NATO abokan adawa, kuma a daya, cajin bama-bamai mutanen Turkmen mutanen da ke cikin gidan Turkiyya.

Gwamnatin Obama ba ta so ta magance batun musamman inda aka harbe jirgin sama ya nuna cewa yana da masaniyar hakan. Amma gwamnati tana da matukar damuwa ga manufofinsa na aiki tare da Turkiyya, Saudi Arabia da Qatar don tilasta canjin mulki don bayyana gaskiyar game da wannan lamarin.

Amsar Obama ya yiwa masu zanga-zangar adawa da zargin cewa Rasha ta kasance cikin sashin Siriya. "Suna aiki sosai kusa da iyakokin Turkanci," in ji shi, kuma idan mutanen Russia kawai za su mayar da hankali akan Daesh, "wasu daga cikin wadannan rikice-rikice ko matakan da suka dace don kuskuren ko karuwa ba su da wata ma'ana."

-Gareth Porter wani jarida ne mai bincike mai zaman kansa kuma ya lashe kyautar 2012 Gellhorn don aikin jarida. Shi ne mawallafi na sabuwar bugawa Manufa Cured: The Untold Story of Iran Nuclear Scare.