Yaƙe-yaƙe da sauye-sauyen gwamnati a Kosovo, Iraki, Haiti da Libya sun bar su cikin cin hanci da rashawa da talauci da hargitsi mara iyaka. Yaƙin neman zaɓe da bai yi nasara ba a Somaliya, Siriya da Yemen ya haifar da yaƙi da bala'o'i marasa iyaka. Takunkumin da Amurka ta kakabawa Cuba, Iran, Koriya ta Arewa da kuma Venezuela ya jefa al'ummarsu cikin talauci amma sun kasa canza gwamnatocinsu.
A halin da ake ciki kuma, ko ba dade ko ba dade ana samun juyin mulkin da Amurka ta yi a Chile, Bolivia da Honduras
ƙungiyoyin ƙasa-da-ƙasa sun koma baya don maido da mulkin dimokuradiyya, gurguzu. Kungiyar Taliban ta sake mulkar kasar Afganistan bayan yakin shekaru 20 na korar sojojin Amurka da na NATO daga mamayar, wanda a halin yanzu ya sha kaye. matsananciyar yunwa miliyoyin mutanen Afganistan.
Sai dai kasada da sakamakon yakin cacar baka na Amurka akan Rasha na da wani tsari na daban. Manufar kowane yaki shine kayar da makiyinka. Amma ta yaya za ku iya kayar da maƙiyi da ya ƙudurta a sarari don amsa begen cin nasara ta wurin halaka dukan duniya?
Wannan hakika wani bangare ne na rukunan soja na Amurka da Rasha, wadanda suka mallaka akan 90% na makaman nukiliya na duniya. Idan daya daga cikinsu ya fuskanci shan kashi na wanzuwa, a shirye suke su ruguza wayewar dan Adam a cikin kisan kare dangi da zai kashe Amurkawa, Rashawa da masu tsaka tsaki.
A watan Yuni 2020, Shugaban Rasha Vladimir Putin ya sanya hannu doka yana mai cewa, "Kungiyar Tarayyar Rasha tana da haƙƙin yin amfani da makaman nukiliya don mayar da martani ga amfani da makaman nukiliya ko wasu makaman kare dangi akanta da / ko ƙawayenta… da kuma batun cin zarafi ga Tarayyar Rasha tare da yin amfani da makaman nukiliya. makamai na yau da kullun, lokacin da ake fuskantar barazana ga wanzuwar jihar.”
Manufar makaman nukiliyar Amurka ba ta da kwanciyar hankali. Tsawon shekaru da dama yaƙin neman zaɓe don Amurka "babu amfani ta farko" manufar makaman nukiliya har yanzu tana kan kunnuwa a Washington.
Binciken Matsayin Nukiliya na Amurka na 2018 (NPR) alkawari cewa Amurka ba za ta yi amfani da makaman nukiliya a kan kasar da ba ta da makaman nukiliya. Amma a yakin da aka yi da wata kasa mai makamin nukiliya, ta ce, "Amurka za ta yi la'akari da amfani da makaman nukiliya a cikin matsanancin yanayi don kare muradun Amurka ko kawayenta da kawayenta."
2018 NPR ta faɗaɗa ma'anar "matsananciyar yanayi" don rufe "manyan hare-haren da ba na nukiliya ba," wanda ta ce "zai haɗa da, amma ba'a iyakance ga, hare-haren kan Amurka, abokan tarayya ko fararen hula ko kayan aiki ba, da kuma hare-hare akan Amurka. Sojojin Amurka ko na kawancen nukiliya, umarninsu da sarrafa su, ko kimanta gargadi da kai hari." Mahimman jumlar, "amma ba'a iyakance ga," tana kawar da duk wani hani ko kaɗan kan harin farko na nukiliyar Amurka.
Don haka, yayin da yakin cacar bakin da Amurka ke yi da Rasha da China ke kara zafi, wata alama daya tilo da ke nuna cewa an ketare bakin hazo da gangan na Amurka ta yi amfani da makaman kare dangi, ita ce gajimaren naman kaza na farko da ya fashe a kan Rasha ko China.
A namu bangaren na kasashen Yamma, Rasha ta yi mana gargadi karara cewa za ta yi amfani da makamin nukiliya idan ta yi imanin cewa Amurka ko NATO na barazana ga wanzuwar kasar Rasha. Wannan kofa ce da Amurka da NATO suka rigaya kwarkwasa da yayin da suke neman hanyar da za su kara matsin lamba ga Rasha kan yakin da ake yi a Ukraine.
Don kara muni, da sha biyu-zuwa-daya Rashin daidaito tsakanin kudaden da Amurka da Rasha ke kashewa na soji na da tasiri, ko ko wane bangare ya nufa, ko a'a, na kara dogaro da kasar Rasha kan rawar da makamanta na nukiliya ke takawa, a lokacin da tabarbarewar tattalin arzikin kasar ta fada cikin rikici irin wannan.
Tuni dai kasashen kungiyar tsaro ta NATO karkashin jagorancin Amurka da Birtaniya ke baiwa kasar Ukraine kayan abinci 17 jirgin- lodi na makamai a kowace rana, horar da sojojin Yukren don amfani da su da kuma samar da kima da kisa tauraron dan adam hankali ga kwamandojin sojojin Ukraine. Muryoyin Hawkis a kasashen NATO na matsa kaimi wajen ganin an hana zirga-zirgar jiragen sama ko kuma wata hanyar da za ta kara ruruta yakin da kuma cin gajiyar raunin da Rasha ke ganin ta yi.
Hatsarin da masu zanga-zanga a cikin Ma'aikatar Harkokin Wajen Amurka da Majalisa na iya shawo kan Shugaba Biden don haɓaka rawar da Amurka ke takawa a yakin ya sa Pentagon zube bayanai na Hukumar Leken Asiri ta Tsaro (DIA) ta kimanta yadda Rasha ta gudanar da yakin ga William Arkin na Newsweek.
Manyan jami'an DIA sun shaidawa Arkin cewa, Rasha ta jefa bama-bamai da makamai masu linzami a Ukraine cikin wata guda fiye da yadda sojojin Amurka suka jefa a Iraki a ranar farko ta harin bam a shekara ta 2003, kuma ba su ga wata shaida da ke nuna cewa Rasha na kai wa fararen hula hari kai tsaye. Kamar makaman "madaidaicin" na Amurka, makaman na Rasha suna yiwuwa kawai game da su 80% cikakke, don haka ɗaruruwan bama-bamai da makamai masu linzami suna kashewa da raunata farar hula tare da kai wa farar hula hari, kamar yadda suke yi a cikin kowane yaƙin Amurka.
Masu sharhi na DIA sun yi imanin cewa, Rasha tana ja da baya daga yakin da ya fi muni domin abin da take so shi ne ba ta ruguza biranen Ukraine ba, a'a, a tattauna yarjejeniyar diflomasiyya don tabbatar da tsaka mai wuya, Ukraine.
Amma da alama ma'aikatar tsaron Pentagon ta damu matuka da tasirin farfagandar yakin yammacin Turai da na Ukraine wanda ya sa ta fitar da bayanan sirri na sirri ga Newsweek don kokarin dawo da ma'auni na gaskiya ga yadda kafafen yada labarai ke nuna yakin, kafin matsin lamba na siyasa don ci gaban NATO. zuwa yakin nukiliya.
Tun lokacin da Amurka da USSR suka yi kuskure a cikin yarjejeniyar kashe kansu ta nukiliya a cikin 1950s, an san shi da Mutual Assured Destruction, ko MAD. Yayin da yakin cacar baka ya kunno kai, sun ba da hadin kai don rage kasadar tabbatar da halakar juna ta hanyar yarjejeniyar sarrafa makamai, layin wayar tarho tsakanin Moscow da Washington, da tuntubar juna a kai a kai tsakanin jami'an Amurka da na Tarayyar Soviet.
Amma a yanzu Amurka ta janye daga yawancin yarjejeniyar sarrafa makamai da hanyoyin kariya. Hadarin yakin nukiliya yana da girma a yau kamar yadda aka saba, kamar yadda Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists yayi kashedin kowace shekara a cikin shekara-shekara. Doomsday Clock sanarwa. Bulletin kuma ya buga cikakken nazari na yadda takamaiman ci gaban fasaha na ƙira da dabarun makaman nukiliyar Amurka ke ƙara haɗarin yaƙin nukiliya.
Duniya a fahimta ta numfasa baki ɗaya na annashuwa lokacin da Yaƙin Cacar Ya bayyana ya ƙare a farkon 1990s. Amma a cikin shekaru goma, rarrabuwar zaman lafiya da duniya ke fata ta kasance ta hanyar a raba wutar lantarki. Jami'an Amurka ba su yi amfani da lokacinsu ba don gina duniya mai zaman lafiya, amma don cin gajiyar rashin abokin hamayyar soja don kaddamar da zamanin fadada sojojin Amurka da na NATO da wuce gona da iri kan kasashe masu rauni da kuma jama'arsu.
Kamar yadda Michael Mandelbaum, darektan Nazarin Gabas-Yamma a Majalisar Harkokin Harkokin Waje, kulla A cikin 1990, "A karon farko cikin shekaru 40, za mu iya gudanar da ayyukan soja a Gabas ta Tsakiya ba tare da damuwa game da haifar da yakin duniya na uku ba." Shekaru XNUMX bayan haka, za a iya gafarta wa mutanen wannan yanki na duniya don tunanin cewa Amurka da kawayenta sun yi yakin duniya na uku, a kansu, a Afghanistan, Iraq, Lebanon, Somalia, Pakistan, Gaza, Libya, Syria , Yemen da yammacin Afirka.
Shugaban kasar Rasha Boris Yeltsin ya koka sosai ga Shugaba Clinton kan shirin fadada NATO zuwa Gabashin Turai, amma Rasha ba ta da ikon hana hakan. Tuni dai sojojin suka mamaye kasar Rasha neoliberal Masu ba da shawara kan tattalin arziki na Yamma, waɗanda "maganin girgiza" ya rushe GDP by 65%, rage tsawon rayuwar namiji daga 65 zu58,. tare da ba wa wani sabon rukunin oligarchs damar wawure dukiyar kasa da kamfanonin gwamnati.
Shugaba Putin ya maido da ikon kasar Rasha tare da inganta rayuwar al'ummar Rasha, amma tun da farko bai ja da baya ba kan fadada sojojin Amurka da NATO da yakin basasa. Duk da haka, lokacin da NATO da Larabawa abokan sarauta ya hambarar da gwamnatin Gaddafi a Libya sannan kuma ya kaddamar da wani harin jini wakili yaki a kan Syria da ke kawance da Rasha, Rasha ta shiga tsakani ta hanyar soji don hana hambarar da gwamnatin Syria.
Rasha aiki da Amurka ta kawar da lalata da kuma lalata tarin makamai masu guba na Syria, sannan ta taimaka wajen bude tattaunawa da Iran wanda a karshe ya kai ga cimma yarjejeniyar nukiliyar JCPOA. Sai dai rawar da Amurka ta taka a juyin mulkin da aka yi a Ukraine a shekarar 2014, da Rasha ta mayar da yankin Crimea daga baya, da kuma goyon bayan da take baiwa masu adawa da juyin mulki a Donbass, ya sanya aka kara yin hadin gwiwa tsakanin Obama da Putin, lamarin da ya jefa dangantakar Amurka da Rasha cikin koma-baya, wanda a yanzu ya haifar da koma baya. mu ku da ƙwanƙwasa na yakin nukiliya.
Wani misali na hauka a hukumance ne shugabannin Amurka, NATO da Rasha suka sake tayar da wannan yakin cacar baka, wanda duniya baki daya ta yi bikin kawo karshen yakin, wanda ya ba da damar tsare-tsaren kashe kashen jama'a da halakar bil'adama su sake mayar da su a matsayin manufar tsaro da alhakin.
Yayin da Rasha ke da cikakken alhakin mamaye Ukraine da kuma dukan mutuwa da halakar wannan yaki, wannan rikicin bai fito daga inda ba. Dole ne Amurka da kawayenta su sake nazarin irin rawar da suka taka wajen tayar da yakin cacar baka da ya haifar da wannan rikici, idan har za mu sake komawa cikin duniya mafi aminci ga mutane a ko'ina.
Abin baƙin ciki, maimakon ƙarewa akan kwanan watan siyar da shi a cikin 1990s tare da yarjejeniyar Warsaw, NATO ta canza kanta zuwa ƙawancen soja na duniya, alamar fig ga mulkin mallaka na Amurka, da kuma forum don bincike mai haɗari, mai cika kai, don tabbatar da ci gaba da wanzuwarsa, fadadawa mara iyaka da laifuka na zalunci a nahiyoyi uku, a cikin Kosovo, Afghanistan da kuma Libya.
Idan har da gaske wannan hauka ya kai mu ga halaka, ba zai zama ta'aziyya ga tarwatsawa da mutuwa da shugabanninsu suka yi nasarar lalata kasar makiya su ma ba. Kawai za su la'anci shugabanni ta kowane bangare saboda makanta da wautarsu. Farfagandar da kowane bangare ya yi wa dayan aljanu zai zama abin takaici ne kawai da zarar an ga sakamakonsa na lalata duk wani abu da shugabanni na kowane bangare ke ikirarin karewa.
Wannan gaskiyar ta zama ruwan dare ga kowane bangare a cikin wannan yakin cacar baki da ya sake kunno kai. Amma, kamar muryoyin masu fafutukar zaman lafiya a Rasha a yau, muryoyinmu suna da ƙarfi idan muka ɗauki alhakin shugabanninmu kuma muka yi aiki don canza halayen ƙasarmu.
Idan har Amurkawa kawai suka yi na'am da farfagandar Amurka, musan irin rawar da kasarmu ta taka wajen tada wannan rikici, sannan kuma muka mayar da dukkan fushinmu ga shugaba Putin da Rasha, to hakan zai kara ruruta wutar rikicin da kuma kawo wani mataki na gaba na wannan rikici, ko wane irin sabon salo mai hatsarin gaske. da zai iya dauka.
Amma idan muka yi yakin neman sauya manufofin kasarmu, da kawar da tashe-tashen hankula, da samun daidaito da makwabtanmu na Ukraine, Rasha, Sin da sauran kasashen duniya, za mu iya yin hadin gwiwa da warware manyan kalubalen da muke fuskanta tare.
Babban fifiko dole ne ya wargaza na'urar Doomsday na Nukiliya da muka haɗa kai ba tare da gangan ba don ginawa da kiyayewa tsawon shekaru 70, tare da ƙawancen sojan NATO da ba a gama ba kuma mai haɗari. Ba za mu iya barin "tasiri mara tushe" da "ikon da ba daidai ba" na Soja-Masana'antu Complex ci gaba da kai mu cikin rigingimun soji masu haɗari har sai ɗayansu ya fita daga iko ya halaka mu duka.
Nicolas JS Davies ɗan jarida ne mai zaman kansa, mai bincike don CODEPINK da kuma marubucin Jini A Hannunmu: mamayewa da lalata Iraki.
