Rikicin Rikicin Amurka da Rasha Kan Ukraine 

Daga Medea Benjamin da Nicolas JS Davies, World BEYOND War, Nuwamba 22, 2021

Iyakar da ke tsakanin Ukraine bayan juyin mulki da Jamhuriyar Donetsk da Luhansk, bisa yarjejeniyar Minsk. Kiredit taswira: Wikipedia

Rahoton A cikin mujallar Covert Action Magazine daga jamhuriyar jama'ar Donetsk da ta ayyana kanta a gabashin Ukraine, ta bayyana tsananin fargabar sabon farmakin da sojojin gwamnatin Ukraine suka kai, bayan da aka samu karin hare-hare, da wani jirgin sama mara matuki da Turkiyya ta kera, da kuma harin da aka kai kan Staromaryevka, wani kauye da ke cikin garin. yankin buffer da aka kafa ta 2014-15 Yarjejeniyar Minsk.

Jamhuriyar Donetsk (DPR) da Luhansk (LPR) da suka ayyana 'yancin kai a matsayin mayar da martani ga juyin mulkin da Amurka ta yi a Ukraine a shekara ta 2014, sun sake zama fagen fama a yakin cacar baka tsakanin Amurka da Rasha. Da alama dai Amurka da kungiyar tsaro ta NATO suna ba da cikakken goyon baya ga sabuwar gwamnatin kasar da za ta kaddamar da farmaki kan wadannan yankuna da ke samun goyon bayan Rasha, wanda zai iya rikidewa cikin sauri zuwa wani rikici na soji na kasa da kasa.

Lokaci na karshe da wannan yanki ya zama tinderbox na kasa da kasa shine a watan Afrilu, lokacin da gwamnatin Ukraine mai adawa da Rasha ta yi barazanar kai farmaki kan Donetsk da Luhansk, kuma Rasha ta hallara. dubban sojoji tare da iyakar gabashin Ukraine.

A wannan karon, Ukraine da NATO sun lumshe ido, suka yi kira m. A wannan karon, Rasha ta sake tattara kiyasin 90,000 sojojin kusa da iyakarta da Ukraine. Shin Rasha za ta sake dakatar da ci gaba da yakin, ko kuma Ukraine, Amurka da NATO suna shirin ci gaba da fuskantar hadarin yaki da Rasha?

Tun a watan Afrilu, Amurka da kawayenta ke kara karfafa goyon bayan soji ga Ukraine. Bayan sanarwar watan Maris na dala miliyan 125 na taimakon soji, gami da jiragen ruwan sintiri na gabar teku da kayan aikin radar, Amurka a lokacin. ya ba Ukraine wani kunshin dala miliyan 150 a watan Yuni. Wannan ya hada da na'urorin radar, sadarwa da na'urorin yaki na lantarki na Sojan Sama na Ukraine, wanda ya kawo jimillar taimakon soji ga Ukraine tun bayan juyin mulkin da Amurka ta yi a 2014 zuwa dala biliyan 2.5. Wannan sabon kunshin ya bayyana ya haɗa da tura jami'an horar da Amurka zuwa sansanonin jiragen sama na Yukren.

Turkiyya na baiwa kasar Ukraine jiragen yaki mara matuki da ta baiwa kasar Azabaijan domin yakin da ta yi da kasar Armeniya kan yankin Nagorno-Karabakh da ake takaddama a kai a shekarar 2020. Wannan yakin dai ya yi sanadin mutuwar mutane akalla 6,000 kuma a baya-bayan nan ya sake barkewa, shekara guda bayan tsagaita bude wuta da Rasha ta yi. . Jiragen saman Turkiyya marasa matuka barna ta lalace akan sojojin Armeniya da fararen hula a Nagorno-Karabakh, kuma amfani da su a Ukraine zai zama mummunan tashin hankali ga mutanen Donetsk da Luhansk.

Hare-haren da Amurka da kungiyar tsaro ta NATO ke yi wa dakarun gwamnati a yakin basasar Ukraine na haifar da mummunan sakamako na diflomasiyya. A farkon watan Oktoba, kungiyar tsaro ta NATO ta kori jami’an hulda da Rasha 2014 daga hedkwatar NATO da ke Brussels, bisa zarginsu da yin leken asiri. Karkashin Sakatariyar Gwamnati Victoria Nuland, mai kula da juyin mulkin XNUMX a Ukraine. aka aika zuwa Moscow a watan Oktoba, mai yiwuwa don kwantar da hankula. Nuland ya gaza sosai wanda, bayan mako guda, Rasha ta ƙare shekaru 30 na alkawari tare da NATO, kuma ya ba da umarnin rufe ofishin NATO a Moscow.

An ba da rahoton cewa Nuland ya yi ƙoƙari ya tabbatar wa Moscow cewa har yanzu Amurka da NATO sun jajirce kan 2014 da 2015 Yarjejeniyar Minsk A kan Ukraine, wanda ya hada da haramta ayyukan soji masu cin zarafi da kuma alkawarin cin gashin kai ga Donetsk da Luhansk a cikin Ukraine. Amma sakataren tsaro Austin ya karyata wannan tabbacin lokacin da ya gana da shugaban Ukraine Zelensky a Kiev a ranar 18 ga Oktoba, yana mai nanata. goyon bayan Amurka don zama memba na Ukraine a NATO a nan gaba, yana yin alƙawarin ƙarin tallafin soja tare da zargin Rasha da "ci gaba da yaƙin a Gabashin Ukraine."

Wani abin ban mamaki, amma da fatan za a sami nasara, shine Daraktan CIA William Burns ziyarci Moscow a ranakun 2 da 3 ga watan Nuwamba, inda ya gana da manyan sojoji da jami'an leken asiri na Rasha tare da tattaunawa ta wayar tarho da shugaba Putin.

Aiki irin wannan ba yawanci yana cikin ayyukan Daraktan CIA ba. Amma bayan da Biden ya yi alkawarin sabon zamani na diflomasiyya na Amurka, a yanzu an amince da tawagarsa kan manufofin ketare cewa maimakon hakan ta kawo koma baya ga dangantakar Amurka da Rasha da China.

Yin hukunci daga Maris gamuwa Sakataren harkokin wajen Amurka Blinken kuma mai ba da shawara kan harkokin tsaro Sullivan tare da jami'an kasar Sin a Alaska. taron Biden tare da Putin a Vienna a watan Yuni, da kuma ziyarar da Sakatare Nuland ya yi a baya-bayan nan a Moscow, jami'an Amurka sun rage haduwarsu da jami'an Rasha da China zuwa ga cin zarafi na juna da aka tsara don cin abinci a cikin gida a maimakon kokarin magance bambance-bambancen siyasa. A cikin lamarin Nuland, ta kuma batar da Rashawa game da sadaukarwar Amurka, ko rashin ta, ga yarjejeniyar Minsk. Don haka wa zai iya Biden ya aika zuwa Moscow don tattaunawa ta diflomasiya da Rasha game da Ukraine?

A cikin 2002, a matsayin Mataimakin Sakataren Gwamnati na Harkokin Gabas ta Tsakiya, William Burns ya rubuta prescient amma ba a kula ba. Memo mai shafi 10 ga Sakataren Harkokin Wajen Amurka Powell, yana gargadin shi hanyoyin da yawa da mamayewar Amurka a Iraki zai iya "bude" da haifar da "cikakkiyar guguwa" don muradun Amurka. Burns jami'in diflomasiyya ne na aiki kuma tsohon jakadan Amurka a Moscow, kuma yana iya kasancewa memba daya tilo a wannan gwamnatin da ke da kwarewar diflomasiya da gogewa don sauraron Rashawa da yin aiki da su sosai.

Wataƙila Rashawa sun gaya wa Burns abin da suka faɗa a bainar jama'a: cewa manufofin Amurka na cikin haɗarin ketare "Red Lines" wanda zai haifar da ƙwaƙƙwaran martanin Rasha da ba za a iya sokewa ba. Rasha na da dogon gargadi cewa layin ja ɗaya zai zama memba na NATO don Ukraine da / ko Georgia.

Amma a fili akwai wasu jajayen layukan da ke cikin kasancewar sojojin Amurka da na NATO a ciki da wajen Ukraine da kuma karuwar tallafin sojan Amurka ga sojojin gwamnatin Ukraine da ke kai hari Donetsk da Luhansk. Putin ya yi gargadin adawa da gina gine-ginen soji na NATO a Ukraine kuma ya zargi Ukraine da NATO da lalata ayyukan da suka hada da na tekun Black Sea.

Yayin da sojojin Rasha suka taru a kan iyakar Ukraine a karo na biyu a wannan shekara, wani sabon farmaki na Ukraine wanda ke yin barazana ga wanzuwar DPR da LPR tabbas zai keta wani jajayen layin, yayin da karuwar goyon bayan soja na Amurka da NATO ga Ukraine na iya zama mai hatsarin gaske kusa da tsallakawa. wani kuma.

Don haka ko Burns ya dawo daga Moscow tare da ƙarin haske game da ainihin menene jajayen layukan Rasha? Mun fi fatan haka. Har da Amurka gidajen yanar gizo na soja amince da cewa manufofin Amurka a Ukraine "na ci baya." 

Masanin Rasha Andrew Weiss, wanda ya yi aiki a karkashin William Burns a Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, ya yarda da Michael Crowley na New York Times cewa Rasha tana da "haɓaka mamayar" a cikin Ukraine kuma, idan turawa ta zo, Ukraine ta fi muhimmanci ga Rasha. fiye da Amurka. Don haka bai da ma'ana ga Amurka ta yi kasadar haifar da yakin duniya na uku kan Ukraine, sai dai idan da gaske tana son haifar da yakin duniya na uku.

A lokacin yakin cacar baka, bangarorin biyu sun sami fahimtar juna ta “jajayen layukan” juna. Tare da babban taimakon bebe, za mu iya gode wa waɗannan fahimtar don ci gaba da wanzuwar mu. Abin da ya sa duniyar yau ta fi ta shekarun 1950 ko 1980 hatsari shi ne, shugabannin Amurka na baya-bayan nan sun yi fatali da yarjejeniyoyin nukiliya na kasashen biyu da muhimman alakar diflomasiyya da kakanninsu suka kulla don hana yakin cacar baki ya zama mai zafi.

Shugabannin Eisenhower da Kennedy, tare da taimakon karamin sakatare Averell Harriman da sauransu, sun gudanar da shawarwarin da suka shafi gwamnatoci biyu, tsakanin 1958 da 1963, don cimma wani bangare na siyasa. Yarjejeniyar Haramta Gwajin Nukiliya wannan shi ne farkon jerin yarjejeniyoyin sarrafa makamai na kasashen biyu. Akasin haka, ci gaba kawai tsakanin Trump, Biden da Sakatare Victoria Nuland da alama rashin tunani ne mai ban mamaki wanda ke makantar da su ga duk wata makomar da za ta wuce jimlar sifili, wacce ba za a iya sasantawa ba, amma har yanzu ba a iya samun "US Uber Alles" a duniya. hegemony.

Amma ya kamata Amurkawa su yi hattara da son "tsohon" Cold War a matsayin lokacin zaman lafiya, kawai saboda ko ta yaya muka yi nasarar kawar da kisan kare dangi na duniya. Tsofaffin Yaƙin Koriya ta Amurka da Vietnam sun fi sani, kamar yadda mutanen da ke cikin ƙasashen Kudancin duniya suka zama fagen fama na jini a cikin gwagwarmayar akida tsakanin Amurka da USSR

Shekaru XNUMX bayan ayyana nasara a yakin cacar baka, da kuma bayan rudanin da Amurka ta haifar da "Yakin Duniya akan Ta'addanci," masu tsara shirye-shiryen sojan Amurka sun yanke shawara kan yaki da ta'addanci. sabon yakin cacar baki a matsayin hujjar da ta fi dacewa ta dawwamar da injin yakinsu na dalar Amurka tiriliyan da kuma burinsu na rashin samun damar mamaye duniya baki daya. Maimakon neman sojojin Amurka da su daidaita da wasu sabbin kalubalen da ba a bayyane yake ba, shugabannin Amurka sun yanke shawarar komawa ga tsohon rikicinsu da Rasha da China don tabbatar da wanzuwar da kuma kashe kudin ba'a na injin yakinsu na rashin inganci amma mai riba.

Amma ainihin yanayin yakin cacar baka shi ne ya kunshi barazana da amfani da karfi, a bayyane da kuma boye, don adawa da kawancen siyasa da tsarin tattalin arzikin kasashe a fadin duniya. A cikin jin daɗinmu a ficewar Amurka daga Afganistan, wanda Trump da Biden suka yi amfani da su don nuna alamar "ƙarshen yaƙi mara iyaka," bai kamata mu yi tunanin cewa ɗayansu yana ba mu sabon zamanin zaman lafiya ba.

Sabanin haka. Abin da muke kallo a cikin Ukraine, Siriya, Taiwan da Tekun Kudancin China sune farkon farkon yakin yaƙe-yaƙe na akida wanda zai iya zama mara amfani, mai kisa da cin nasara a matsayin "yaƙin ta'addanci," da ƙari mai yawa. mai hadari ga Amurka.

Yaki da Rasha ko China na iya yin kasadar rikidewa zuwa yakin duniya na uku. Kamar yadda Andrew Weiss ya fada wa Times akan Ukraine, Rasha da China za su sami "mafi girman girman kai," da kuma kawai a kan fadace-fadace a kan iyakokinsu fiye da yadda Amurka ke yi.

To me Amurka za ta yi idan ta yi rashin nasara a babban yaki da Rasha ko China? Manufar makaman nukiliyar Amurka ta kasance koyaushe tana kiyaye a "yajin farko" zaɓi buɗe idan akwai daidai wannan yanayin.

Amurka na yanzu $1.7 tiriliyan shirin don sabbin makaman nukiliya gabaɗayan sabili da haka da alama martani ne ga gaskiyar cewa Amurka ba za ta iya tsammanin za ta kayar da Rasha da China a yaƙe-yaƙe na al'ada a kan iyakokinsu ba.

Amma abin da ke tattare da makaman nukiliya shi ne cewa makaman nukiliya mafi ƙarfi da aka taɓa ƙirƙira ba su da wani amfani mai amfani kamar ainihin makaman yaƙi, tun da ba za a sami nasara a yaƙin da ke kashe kowa ba. Duk wani amfani da makaman nukiliya da sauri zai sa a yi amfani da su gaba ɗaya ko ɗaya, kuma ba da daɗewa ba yaƙin zai ƙare ga dukanmu. Masu nasara kawai za su kasance 'yan jinsuna na kwari masu jurewa radiation da sauran ƙananan halittu.

Ba Obama, Trump ko Biden ba su yi kus-kus su gabatar da dalilansu na jefa yakin duniya na uku kan Ukraine ko Taiwan ga jama'ar Amurka, saboda babu wani kwakkwaran dalili. Hadarin kisan gilla na nukiliya don gamsar da rukunin sojoji da masana'antu hauka ne kamar lalata yanayi da duniyar halitta don gamsar da masana'antar mai.

Don haka muna da kyakkyawan fata cewa CIA Director Burns ba wai kawai ya dawo daga Moscow tare da bayyananniyar hoto na “layin jan hankali na Rasha ba,” amma cewa Shugaba Biden da abokan aikinsa sun fahimci abin da Burns ya gaya musu da abin da ke tattare da Ukraine. Dole ne su ja da baya daga yakin Amurka da Rasha, sannan daga babban yakin cacar baka da China da Rasha da suka yi karo da juna cikin makanta da wauta.

Medea Biliyaminu shi ne mai haɓaka CODEPINK don Aminci, kuma marubucin littattafai da yawa, gami da A cikin Iran: Gaskiya da Tarihin Jamhuriyar Musulunci ta Iran.

Nicolas JS Davies ɗan jarida ne mai zaman kansa, mai bincike tare da CODEPINK kuma marubucin Jini a Hannunmu: mamayar Amurkawa da lalata Iraki.