da Walker Bragman, Hoton Daily, Oktoba 4, 2021
'Yan majalisa a Majalisa suna shirin la'akari da babban ragi ga dokar sulhu ta dala tiriliyan 3.5 da aka tsara don yakar yanayin sauyin yanayi da samar da hanyar tsaro ga Amurkawa masu gwagwarmaya. A lokaci guda, 'yan majalisa ba sa son ci gaba da shirin kashe kuɗaɗe wanda zai sanya Amurka a kan hanya don kashe fiye da ninki biyu akan Pentagon a cikin lokaci guda.
Dichotomy yana nuna yadda ko bayan yakin Afghanistan ya ƙare, rukunin sojoji-masana'antu yana shirye don haɓaka mai girma a cikin shekaru masu zuwa. Tabbas, wannan shine ainihin ƙarshen duka rahoton Yuli na ɗaya daga cikin manyan kamfanoni na duniya, gami da kiran kwangilar kwangilar soji na kwanan nan wanda ya faru bayan ƙarshen yakin Afghanistan.
Yayin da ƙarshen yakin da ya fi dadewa na Amurka na iya zama koma baya ga masu saka hannun jari na masana'antar tsaro, 'yan kwangila na soji da abubuwan kasuwancin da ke bin su suna tsammanin ganin babban ci gaba a fannin a cikin' yan shekaru masu zuwa, ko kasar tana da hannu dumu -dumu cikin rikice -rikicen makamai. Saboda hauhawar rashin zaman lafiya a duniya, ɓarna daga cutar ta COVID-19, burin Sojojin Sama na Amurka, da sabbin fasahar soji masu ƙarfi, waɗanda ke cin riba daga yaƙin duniya suna tsammanin rikice-rikice-da riba-shekaru za su biyo baya.
Kuma waɗannan hasashen ribar da Majalisa ta ba su har yanzu suna ci gaba da amincewa da mafi girman kasafin Pentagon-kuma ƙin matakan don rage kashe kudaden tsaro.
Yayin da 'yan majalisar na jam'iyyar Democrat ke barazanar kashe lissafin yanayin yanayi na jam'iyyar da kuma kashe kudin kiwon lafiya, jam'iyyar na ci gaba da kasafin kudin tsaro wanda ya sanya kasar a kan hanyar kashewa. $ 8 tiriliyan akan tsaron kasa a cikin shekaru goma masu zuwa - adadin da ya ninka na farashin dokar aminci na Democrat - kuma daidai yake da jimlar adadin kasar ta kashe akan yaƙe-yaƙe na 9/11. Idan ba a takaita wannan kashe -kashen ba, yana iya nufin babbar fa'ida ga Wall Street da dillalan makamai na kamfanoni.
Dokta Anelle Sheline, abokiyar bincike a cikin shirin Gabas ta Tsakiya a Cibiyar Quincy for Responsible Statecraft, ta yi takaici game da tsarin sojan haya na masana'antun tsaro don yaƙi na gaba da rugujewar duniya, kuma ta yi imanin irin wannan ɓarna na kamfanoni na iya haifar da ƙarin tashin hankali.
"Fadada saka hannun jari na kamfanoni masu zaman kansu a rukunin sojoji da masana'antu za su yi tasiri na kara mayar da tashin hankali cikin sirri, da sanya masu yin tashin hankali ba su da alhakin sanya ido kan dimokiradiyya," in ji ta. "Wannan zai kara tsananta irin yadda sojojin Amurka ke aikatawa, kuma ana daukar su a matsayin sojojin haya.
"Ci gaba da Wasan"
KPMG, ɗaya daga cikin manyan kamfanonin lissafin “Big Four” waɗanda ke yin hulɗa da kamfanoni na Fortune 500 a kai a kai, sun saki wani Rahoton Yuli mai taken, "Damar Daidaitan Masu zaman kansu a Aerospace da Tsaro."
Kamfanin, wanda aka kai kara don rawar da ta taka a rikicin jinginar gida mafi girma, yayi hasashen cewa "yanzu wataƙila shine mafi kyawun lokutan da masu zaman kansu za su iya yin amfani da ƙarfi da shiga tare" rukunin sojoji da masana'antu.
Rahoton ya buɗe ta hanyar lura cewa cutar ta COVID-19 ta haɓaka rashin zaman lafiya a duniya-kuma rashin kwanciyar hankali na duniya yana da kyau ga masana'antar tsaro. Rahoton ya lura cewa "sasantawar duniya a halin yanzu tana cikin mafi rauni tun lokacin Yaƙin Cacar Baki, tare da manyan 'yan wasa uku-Amurka, China da Rasha-suna ci gaba da kashe ƙarin kuɗaɗe kan ƙarfinsu na tsaro don haka haifar da tasirin faduwa akan sauran. kashe kudaden tsaro na kasashe. ”
Rahoton ya ci gaba da yin hasashen cewa nan da shekarar 2032, hada -hadar kashe kudaden tsaro na Rasha da China zai yi kasadar wuce kasafin kudin tsaron Amurka. Dangane da binciken, wannan sakamako mai yuwuwar "zai kasance mai guba a siyasance wanda shine hasashen mu cewa kashe kuɗaɗen Amurka zai yi yawa fiye da haɗarin hakan."
Masu sharhi na KPMG suma sun yi nasarar dawo da kuɗaɗen kuɗaɗen sabbin abubuwan fasaha a cikin yaƙe -yaƙe. Sun lura da "haɓaka yarjejeniya cewa sojoji na makomar makoma za su fi jan hankali sosai," suna bayanin cewa kwatankwacin jiragen marasa matuki marasa tsada suna iya lalata tankuna masu tsada. Mawallafin sun kuma nuna cewa karuwar dogaro kan tattalin arziƙin duniya akan dukiyar ilimi akan kadarorin zahiri shine kyakkyawan dalili don yin fare akan yaƙin cyber a matsayin saka hannun jari: “A halin yanzu yanki ne mai tasowa kuma ɗayan inda kasafin kuɗi na tsaro ke ƙaruwa da sauri yayin da ƙasashe ke ci gaba da tseren makamai tare da abokan gaba na kusa a cikin wannan damar. ”
Waɗannan abubuwan ci gaba, lura da marubutan, suna ba da dama ga masana'antun da masu saka jari waɗanda za su iya "gaba da wasan," daidaitawa da sabbin sigogi na yaƙin duniya.
Sheline a Cibiyar Quincy ta ce bayanin rahoton fasahar fasahohi "kusan sauti kamar buri ne."
“Suna kama da, 'A'a, a'a, yana da kyau yanzu, zaku iya saka hannun jari a cikin waɗannan tsarukan masu mutuwa saboda an cire su; kisan kai ne na nesa; tsarin drone ne; ba lallai bane bindiga, ya zama mafi girman tashin hankali, ”in ji ta.
Rahoton na KPMG ya ci gaba da tabbatar wa masu saka hannun jari cewa "wannan kyakkyawan yanayin saka hannun jari na ci gaba da kasancewa koda kuwa kasafin kuɗi ya zo ƙarƙashin matsin lamba na ɗan gajeren lokaci," saboda "rage kasafin kuɗi a zahiri yana ƙarfafa lamarin don saka hannun jari na kamfanoni masu zaman kansu." Idan ba za su iya ba da fasahar zamani mai zuwa ba, rahoton ya yi bayani, gwamnatoci za su buƙaci haɓaka kayan aiki da abubuwan da ake da su, ƙara buƙatun masu yin sarkar samar da kayayyaki masu zaman kansu.
Sheline tana ganin rahoton a cikin mahallin haɓaka dangantaka tsakanin kamfanonin fasahar Silicon Valley da sojoji, wanda ta gano game da shi. Ta ce, shekaru da yawa, in ji ta, ba a saka hannun jarin masu zaman kansu daga saka hannun jari a rukunin sojoji da masana'antu saboda rashin tabbas kan lokacin dawowa. Rahoton na KPMG, ta bayyana, ya bayyana da nufin "waɗanda har yanzu ba su shiga cikin wasan ba" kuma sun saka hannun jari a fannin.
"Ba ma tsammanin ganin babban canji"
A watan Agusta, da yawa daga cikin 'yan kwangilar soji sun yi tsokaci game da hasashen KPMG a cikin kiran samun kuɗi, yana mai tabbatar da masu saka hannun jari cewa ƙarshen yakin Afghanistan ba zai yi tasiri a ribar da suka samu ba.
Misali, dan kwangilar sojoji PAE Incorporated, ya gaya wa masu saka hannun jari a cikin wani Kira na albashi na Agusta 7 cewa "ba ma tsammanin ganin canji mai mahimmanci" saboda ƙarshen rikicin Afghanistan saboda gwamnatin Biden na shirin kula da ofishin jakadanci a Kabul. Wannan yana nufin ayyukan kamfanin, waɗanda suka haɗa horar da jami’an tsaron yankin a baya, da alama har yanzu ana buƙata.
Wakilin kamfanin ya ce a cikin kiran, "Muna sa ido kan halin da ake ciki a Afghanistan, gami da matsalolin tsaro da aka taso, amma a halin yanzu ba mu ga wani tasiri ga kudaden shiga ko ribar da muke samu akan wannan shirin ba." A bara, wani kamfani mai zaman kansa sayar PAE zuwa wani kamfani na siye na musamman wanda wani kamfani mai zaman kansa ke tallafawa.
CACI International, wacce ke ba da taimakon sirri da bincike ga sojoji a Afghanistan, ta gaya wa masu saka jari a ranar 12 ga Agusta samun biyan kuɗi cewa yayin da ƙarshen yaƙin ke cutar da ribar da yake samu, "Muna ganin ingantaccen ci gaba a cikin fasaha kuma muna tsammanin zai ci gaba da haɓaka ƙwarewar ƙwararru, tare tare da rage tasirin faduwar Afghanistan."
CACI, wanda ke fuskantar karar gwamnatin tarayya don wai ana kula da azabtar da fursuna a gidan yarin Abu Ghraib da ke Iraki, har yanzu yana cikin damuwa game da kawo karshen yakin Amurka. Kamfanin yana da ya kasance yana ba da kuɗaɗen tankin yaƙi don ja da baya kan janyewar.
Sheline ta damu matuka cewa hasashen manazarta da masu kwangila na tsaro na KPMG na rikice -rikicen da za su ci riba za su tabbata.
Duk da cewa Biden na iya kawo karshen yaƙin mafi tsawo na Amurka kuma ya ba da sanarwar makonni bayan ya hau kan karagar mulki cewa ƙasar ba za ta ƙara tallafawa ayyukan Saudi Arabiya a Yemen ba, Sheline ta ce waɗannan matakan ba lallai ne su kasance suna wakiltar cikakken tsarin manufofin ƙasashen waje na Amurka ba. Ta ce Amurka ta ci gaba da tallafawa kokarin da Saudiyya ke yi na yaki, kuma ta yi gargadin ficewar Afghanistan wani bangare ne na babban dabarar shiga “yakin sanyi da China.”
Haka kuma Sheline ba ta da kwarin gwiwa cewa 'yan majalisar dokokin Amurka za su canza hanya kan yakin duniya. Ta yi nuni ga Dokar Ba da Lamuni ta Tsaron Kasa (NDAA), wanda, a dala biliyan 2022, shine mafi ƙarancin kasafin tsaro a tarihi. Jam'iyyar Democrat zabe ƙasa gyare -gyare guda biyu da za su rage kasafin kuɗi a hankali - kuma duka biyun sun sami ƙarancin ƙuri'u fiye da irin wannan ƙoƙarin bara.
A watan da ya gabata, Majalisar ta dauki matakin sauƙaƙe bugun soji ta hanyar wucewa wani gyare-gyare ga NDAA wanda Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., ya rubuta, wanda zai janye izinin Majalisar don shigar da Amurka cikin yaƙin Saudiyya a Yemen. Amma a wannan ranar, Majalisar ta wuce wani gyara daga Wakilci Gregory Meeks, D - NY, mai ɗauke da harshe mai taushi wanda Sheline ta ce "ta sake amfani da yaren da Biden ya yi amfani da shi a watan Fabrairu game da Yemen."
Yanzu haka an shirya majalisar dattijai don yin la’akari da gyare -gyaren biyu yayin da take aiki don zartar da NDAA. "Wataƙila za su tube kwaskwarimar Khanna kuma su tafi tare da gyaran Meeks kuma su kiyaye komai yadda ya kasance," in ji Sheline.
