Pentagon ya jagoranci rundunar 300,000 a cikin Magana game da Ganowa

Daga Stephen Gowans, Menene ya rage.

Amurka da Koriya ta Kudu suna gudanar da atisayen soji mafi girma a tekun Koriya [1], mako daya bayan Fadar White House ta ba da sanarwar cewa tana tunanin daukar matakin soja kan Koriya ta Arewa don kawo canji a tsarin mulki. [2] Darajojin darikar da Amurka ke jagoranta sun hada da:

• Dakarun Koriya ta Kudu na 300,000
• Dakarun US 17,000
• Jirgin saman USS Carl Vinson
• F-35B na Amurka da F-22 mayaƙan stealth
• US B-18 da B-52 masu jefa bom
• F-15s na Koriya ta Kudu da jetfighter na KF-16s. [3]

Duk da yake Amurka tana ɗaukar abin da aka ce a matsayin “na kare kai ne kawai” [4] nomenclature yaudara ce. Bada aikin ba da kariya ba ne ta hanyan yin amfani da karfi don murkushe mamayar Koriya ta Arewa da kuma tura sojojin Koriya ta Arewa da ke aukuwa a yayin wani harin na Koriya ta Arewa, amma suna hasashen mamayewa Koriya ta Arewa da nufin kawar da makaman nukiliyarta. da makamai, rusa umurnin sojinta, da kashe shugabanta.

Za a iya yin darussan a matsayin "na tsaro" idan aka yi shi azaman shiri don martani ga takaddama na farko da Koriya ta Arewa ta yi, ko kuma a matsayin martani game da martani na farko. A kowane taron, darussan suna da alaka da mamayewa, kuma korafin da Pyongyang ya yi na cewa sojojin Amurka da Koriya ta Kudu suna aiwatar da mamayewa.

Amma da alama a harin Koriya ta Arewa a kan Koriya ta Kudu abu ne karami. Pyongyang ta kasance mai wuce gona da iri ta hannun Seoul ta hanyar kusan 4: 1, [5] da sojojin Koriya ta Kudu zasu iya dogaro kan tsarin makamai masu ci gaba fiye da Koriya ta Arewa. Bugu da kari, Sojojin Koriya ta Kudu ba wai kawai ke samun goyon baya ba ne, har ma suna ƙarƙashin umurnin, rundunar sojan Amurka da ba ta da iko sosai. Wani harin da Koriya ta Arewa za ta yi kan Koriya ta Kudu zai kashe kansa ne, don haka za mu iya daukar yiwuwar a matsayin kusan babu shi, musamman ta fuskar koyarwar nukiliyar Amurka wacce ke ba da damar amfani da makaman nukiliya a kan Koriya ta Arewa. Tabbas, shugabannin Amurka sun tunatar da shugabannin Koriya ta Arewa a lokuta da yawa cewa ƙasarsu za ta iya zama "karɓar gawayi." [6] Cewa duk wanda ya sami sakamako a cikin ƙasar Amurka da gaske ya yi imanin cewa Koriya ta Kudu na fuskantar barazanar kai hari ta Arewa. mai gani ne.

Ana aiwatar da darussan a cikin Tsarin Operation Plan 5015 wanda "yayi niyyar cire makaman arewa na lalata taro kuma ku shirya… don yajin aiki wanda zai faru idan aka kai harin Koriya ta Arewa, da kuma 'kai hare-hare' niyya ne kan jagoranci. ”[7]

Dangane da hare-haren ramuwar gayya, darussan sun hada da "Rukunin Specialungiyoyin Musamman na Amurka da ke da alhakin kisan Osama bin Laden a cikin 2011, gami da Teamungiyar KYAUTATA ta shida." [8] A cewar wani rahoto na jaridar, "halartar runduna ta musamman a cikin ayyukan… na iya zama wata alama da bangarorin biyu ke karantawa game da kisan Kim Jong Un. ”[9]

Wani jami'in Amurka ya fadawa kamfanin dillancin labarai na Koriya ta Kudu Yonhap cewa: "Mafi yawan dakaru rundunar sojan Amurka na musamman za su shiga cikin wannan shekarar… daraktoci da za su gudanar da atisaye don fatattaka Arewa, cire umurnin yakin Arewa da rushe muhimman wuraren aikin soja. "[10]

Abin mamakin shine, duk da kasancewa cikin ayyukan motsa jiki na tashin hankali-wanda ba zai iya samun wani sakamako ba face yaƙar Koriya ta Arewa da sanya su cikin matsanancin haɗari - ma'aikatar tsaron Koriya ta Kudu ta sanar cewa "Koriya ta Kudu da Amurka suna sa ido sosai kan ƙungiyoyin Sojojin Koriya ta Arewa a shirye-shiryen yiwuwar tsokanar su. ”[11]

Wannan masaniyar cewa dole ne Washington da Seoul su kasance a faɗakarwa don tsokanar da Koriya ta Arewa ke yi, a daidai lokacin da Pentagon da takwarorinta na Koriya ta Kudu ke ta rerawa da mamayar mamayar da Koriya ta Arewa za ta yi, yana wakiltar abin da kwararre na gabashin Asiya Tim Beal ya kira "Nau'i na musamman na rashin daidaituwa." [12] toara da rashin gaskiya shine gaskiyar cewa sake fitarwa don mamayewa ya zo kan diddigin fadar White House. urbi da orbi cewa tana tunanin daukar matakin soji a kan Koriya ta Arewa don kawo canji a tsarin mulki.

A cikin 2015, Koriya ta Arewa ta ba da shawarar dakatar da shirin makamashin nukiliya a musayar don Amurka ta dakatar da ayyukanta na soji a kan gabar teku. Ma'aikatar Harkokin Wajen Amurka ta yi watsi da tayin ba tare da bata lokaci ba, tana mai cewa ba daidai ba ta danganta matakan soja na "ayyukan yau da kullun" na Amurka da abin da Washington ta bukata na Pyongyang, wato nuna rashin imani. [13] Madadin haka, Washington "ta dage kan cewa Arewa ta daina shirinta na kera makamin na Nukiliya kafin fara tattaunawar". [14]

A cikin 2016, Koan Arewa sun gabatar da shawara iri ɗaya. Sannan shugaban Amurka Barack Obama ya amsa cewa Pyongyang zai 'yi abin da ya fi wannan kyau.' [15]

A lokaci guda, babban mashahurin Majalisar ta Wall Street wanda aka ba shi shawara kan Harkokin Wajen waje ya fitar da wani rahoton kwamitin aiki wanda ya ba da shawara ga Washington kan kada ta kulla yarjejeniyar sulhu da Koriya ta Arewa bisa dalilan cewa Pyongyang za ta sa ran sojojin Amurka za su fice daga yankin. Rahoton ya yi gargadin idan da Amurka ta bar yankin cikin soja ba, matsayinta na dabarun da ke da alaƙa da Sin da Rasha, to, ikonta na yin barazana ga abokan karawarta na kusa, in ji rahoton. A saboda haka, Washington ta ji rauni ta daina yiwa Beijing alkawarin cewa duk wani taimako da ta bayar dangane da Koriya ta Arewa za ta samu lada ta raguwar kasancewar sojojin Amurka a yankin. [16]

A farkon wannan watan, Sin ta tayar da shirin ba da shawara na Pyongyang. "Don kare rikice rikice a yankin, yankin Sin ya ba da shawarar cewa, a zaman matakin farko, [Koriya ta Arewa] ta dakatar da ayyukanta na makami mai linzami da makaman nukiliya tare da dakatar da ayyukanta na Amurka da Koriya ta Kudu." Wannan dakatarwa ta dakatarwa, "in ji kasar Sin," zai iya taimaka mana ficewa daga matsalar tsaro tare da dawo da bangarorin zuwa teburin tattaunawar. "[17]

Washington ta yi watsi da shawarar nan da nan. Haka ma Japan ta yi. Jakadan na Japan a Majalisar Dinkin Duniya ya tunatar da duniya cewa manufar Amurka ba “daskarewa ce ba amma ta nuna rashin amincewa da Koriya ta Arewa.” [18] Nasiha a cikin wannan tunatarwa ita ce karin maganar cewa Amurka ba za ta dauki wani mataki na musanta hakan ba. Hanyar da za'ayi mu'amala da Koriya ta Arewa (Washington ta rataye takobi na nukiliya na Damocles akan Pyongyang) kuma zata ci gaba da aiwatar da maimaita karatun shekara-shekara don mamayewa.

Rashin yin sulhu, ko kuma buƙatar ɗayan ɓangaren nan da nan su ba da abin da ake buƙata a matsayin wani yanayi na tattaunawa, (ba ni abin da nake so, sannan zan yi magana), ya yi daidai da tsarin kula da Koriya ta Arewa da Washington ta amince da shi tun farko. kamar yadda 2003. Pyongyang ya roke shi don sasantawa kan yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya, to, Sakatariyar Harkokin Wajen Amurka Colin Powell ta rushe. "Ba mu aiwatar da yarjejeniya da yarjejeniya da ba ta tsokanar zalunci ba, abubuwan da suke dabi'a," in ji Powell. [19]

A matsayin wani ɓangare na rashin gaskiyar musamman da Amurka, Rasha, ko ma musamman shugabanta, Vladimir Putin, ake zargi Washington akai-akai da aikata "zalunci," waɗanda aka ce sun haɗa da ayyukan soja a kan iyakar Rasha da Ukraine. Wadannan darussan, da wuya kan babban aikin wasan kwaikwayon na Amurka da Koriya ta Kudu, ana daukar su da sunan "masu tayar da hankali" [20], yayin da jami'an Pentagon ke jagoranta don mamayewa Koriya ta Arewa da aka bayyana a zaman yau da kullun da "kariya a yanayi . ”

Amma tunanin cewa Moscow ta tattara sojojin Rasha na 300,000 a kan iyakar Ukraine, a karkashin shirin aiwatar da mamaye Ukraine, kawar da kadarorin sojinta, lalata umurnin sojinta, da kisan shugabanta, mako guda bayan Kremlin ta ayyana cewa tana tunanin daukar matakin soja a cikin Ukraine ta kawo canjin tsarin mulki. Wanene, ban da wani ya yi rudani a cikin wani yanayi na musamman na rashin gaskiya, wanda zai iya ɗaukar wannan a matsayin “mai kariya ta yanayi kawai”?

1. "Tashin hankali na '' THAAD, 'ƙazantawa' 'ya kara da sabbin ka'idodin abokantaka,' 'Koriya ta Korea, Maris 13, 2017; Elizabeth Shim, "Amurka, Koriya ta Kudu sun hada da kisan gilla na bin Laden," UPI, Maris 13, 2017.

2. Jonathan Cheng da Alastair Gale, "Gwajin makami mai linzami na Koriya ta Arewa ya sanya tsoron ICBM," Jaridar Wall Street Journal, Maris 7, 2017.

3. “S. Koriya, Amurka ta fara rawar soja mafi girma a koyaushe, ”KBS World, Maris 5, 2017; Jun Ji-hye, "Drills don buga N. Korea faruwa," Korea Times, Maris 13, 2017.

4. Jun Ji-hye, "Drills don buga N. Korea faruwa," Korea Times, Maris 13, 2017.

5. Alastair Gale da Chieko Tsuneoka, "Japan don haɓaka kashe kuɗin soja a shekara ta biyar a jere," Jaridar Wall Street, Disamba 21, 2016.

6. Bruce Cumings, "Sakamakon tsohuwar fitowar Koriya ta Arewa ya samo asali daga damar Amurka da ta lalace," Dimokuradiyya Yanzu !, Mayu 29, 2009.

7. "Tashin hankali na '' THAAD, 'ƙazantawa' 'yana ƙara sabbin kawancen aboki," in ji Koriya ta Kudu, Maris 13, 2017.

8. "US, Koriya ta kudu sun hada da kisan gilla na bin Laden," UPI, Maris 13, 2017.

9. Ibid.

10. "US Navy SEALs don shiga cikin abubuwan haɗin gwiwa a cikin Koriya ta Koriya," Yonhap, Maris 13, 2017.

11. Jun Ji-hye, "Drills don buga N. Korea faruwa," Korea Times, Maris 13, 2017.

12. Tim Beal, "Duba cikin madaidaiciyar hanya: Kafa tsari don nazarin halin da ake ciki game da yankin Koriya (da ƙari sosai)," Cibiyar Nazarin Koriya ta Korea, 23 XX, 2016.

13. Choe Sang-hun, "Koriya ta Arewa tana ba da yarjejeniyar Amurka don dakatar da gwajin makamin nukiliya," The New York Times, Janairu 10, 2015.

14. Eric Talmadge, “Obama yayi watsi da shawarar NKorea game da dakatar da gwaje-gwajen nuke,” in ji kamfanin dillancin labarai, 24, 2016.

15. Ibid.

16. "Zabi mai Kyau akan Koriya ta Arewa: Hada kan kasar Sin don yankin Asiya ta Tsakiya," Rahoton askungiya mai zaman kanta A'a 74, Majalisar kan Harkokin Harkokin Waje, 2016.

17. "Kasar Sin ta iyakance a matsayinta na wanda ya nada a matsayin mai shiga tsakani kan al'amuran Koriya ta kudu," in ji Hankyoreh, Maris 9, 2017.

18. Farnaz Fassihi, Jeremy Page da Chun Han Wong, "Kwamitin Tsaro na Majalisar Dinkin Duniya ya yanke hukuncin gwajin makami mai linzami na Koriya ta Arewa," Wall Street Journal, Maris 8, 2017.

19. “Beijing za ta karbi bakuncin tattaunawar Koriya ta Arewa,” The New York Times, Agusta 14, 2003.

20. Stephen Fidler, "NATO ta yi ƙoƙari don tara ƙarfin 'bakan gaba' don yin adawa da Rasha," Jaridar Wall Street Journal, Disamba 1, 2014.