by John Rees, Nuwamba 4, 2017
daga Tsayar da Gudanarwar Gasar
Manufofin harkokin waje na Zombie yanzu sun mamaye ma'aikatun kasashen yamma. Tsarin yakin cacar-baki da ya wuce zamani ya kara yin nauyi sakamakon gazawar yakin cacar-baki da cin nasara bayan yakin cacar baka ya bar gajiyar tsaro da tsaro da tsaro da ke rasa goyon bayan jama'a.
Amma cibiyoyi da suka gaza ba wai kawai sun shude ba, dole ne a maye gurbinsu. Shugaban jam'iyyar Labour Jeremy Corbyn ya kawo na musamman, aƙalla a cikin kafa, saiti na ra'ayoyi da dabi'u ga wannan muhawara wanda zai iya yin hakan.
Rikicin da ba a taba gani ba
Matsalar ita ce manufar Labour ita ce kishiyar ta shugabanta: Ta kasance mai goyon bayan Trident, mai goyon bayan NATO, kuma tana goyon bayan kashe kashi 2 cikin XNUMX na GDP a kan tsaro - abin da NATO ke bukata cewa 'yan kasashen NATO kaɗan, ciki har da Jamus, sun damu da gaske. hadu.
Kuma duk wani babban nadin majalisar ministocin a cikin kundin harkokin waje yana nuna layin ma'aikatar tsaro kusan nan da nan. Sakatariyar tsaron inuwar, Nia Griffiths, ta juya cikin kiftawar ido daga mai fafutukar adawa da Trident zuwa mai kare Trident.
Magabacinta na ɗan gajeren lokaci, Clive Lewis, har ma ya yi iƙirari na ban mamaki cewa NATO misali ce ta ƙasa da ƙasa kuma ta tara jama'a na ƙimar Labour.
Sakatariyar Harkokin Wajen Shadow Emily Thornberry, ko da yake gabaɗaya ta fi fama da tasiri, ta yi amfani da jawabinta na taron jam'iyyar Labour na 2017 don amincewa da NATO da kuma ƙarfafa ƙaddamar da kashi 2 na GDP da ake kashewa kan tsaro.
Babban abin ban mamaki shi ne yadda siyasar Labour ke dada zama mafi kafu a daidai lokacin da rikicin da ba a taba ganin irinsa ba ya mamaye manufofin kasashen yammacin Turai.
Bangaren farko na manufofin tsaro na yammacin Turai, NATO, na fuskantar rikicin da aka amince da shi. NATO halitta ce ta yakin cacar baka.
Manufarta ita ce, kamar yadda Lord Ismay, shugabanta na farko, ya ce, "a kiyaye Tarayyar Soviet, Amurkawa a ciki, da Jamusawa". Ba shi da kayan aiki mai wahala don mu'amala da duniyar da ta bar zamanin Yaƙin Cadi a baya.
A yankin shi kadai ita kanta Rasha ita ce ke iko da wani yanki na yakin cacar baka na daular Turai ta Gabashin Turai, sojojinta da kuma kudaden da ake kashewa na makamai kadan ne na Amurka, kuma karfinta na aiwatar da karfinta na kasa da kasa ya takaita ne a kusa da kasashen waje, ban da wani abin lura. na Syria.
Barazana tabbatacciya ta mamayewar Rasha ba ta ta'allaka ne a Hungary ko Czechoslovkia, balle Yammacin Turai, amma a cikin jihohin Baltic. Hadarin da ke tattare da mu’amalar nukiliya da Rasha ya yi kasa fiye da kowane lokaci tun lokacin da ta mallaki irin wadannan makaman a shekarun 1950.
gazawar kasashen yamma
Gaskiyar cewa Putin yana wasa da rauni a hanyar da ke amfani da gazawar Yammacin Turai a cikin "yakin da ta'addanci" ba zai iya canza gaskiyar cewa yana shugabancin ƙasan Rasha fiye da kowane shugaba tun lokacin da Catherine Mai Girma ta kasance a kan kursiyin Rasha, tare da tafin kafa. ban da yakin basasa bayan 1917.
Shawarar sabunta Trident yana kama da, a cikin wannan mahallin, yana kama da mafi tsadar aikin hubris ta kowace gwamnatin Burtaniya tun rikicin Suez na 1956.
Tabbas NATO ta yi ƙoƙarin daidaitawa. Ya ɗauki tsarin aiki na "fiye da yanki", yana jujjuya shi, ba tare da muhawarar jama'a ba, daga tsaro zuwa ƙawancen soja mai ƙarfi. Yakin Afganistan da shigar Libya ayyukan NATO ne.
Duka biyun sun kasance babban bala'i wanda yakin da ake ci gaba da yi a Afganistan da ci gaba da hargitsi a Libiya ya zama abin tarihi.
Fadada da Nato ta yi a Gabashin Turai bayan 1989, duk da cewa Nato na baya-bayan nan, ya saba wa alkawarin cewa ba za a yi haka ba da sakataren harkokin wajen Amurka James Baker ya ba Mikhail Gorbachev, wanda ya ce a shekara ta 1990: “Ba za a kara tsawon ikon NATO ba. ga dakarun NATO inci daya zuwa gabas."
Fadada da kungiyar tsaro ta Nato ta yi a yanzu ya kai ga tura sojojin Birtaniyya a misali jihohin Baltic da Ukraine.
Kuma kawancen Nato yana takun-saka a kowane hali. Turkiyya memba ta NATO ba ta damu da kasancewarta cikin yarjejeniyar tsaro fiye da yakin da take da Kurdawa ba. A ci gaba da wannan yakin a halin yanzu tana mamaye wani yanki na Siriya, ba tare da yin tsokaci ba - balle kuma ta kame - daga kungiyar tsaro ta Nato. Wannan ko da yake dabarun kawo karshen yakin da Turkiyya ke yi a yakin basasar Siriya a yanzu na nufin ta kara karkata ga Rasha.
Duk wannan a daidai lokacin da Amurka, kasa mafi rinjaye a cikin kawancen Nato, ke da Shugaban da ya zama dole a tursasa shi da tsarin siyasarsa ya yi watsi da kiyayyar da yake yi wa Nato.
Shin akwai wani mai sharhi mai cikakken bayani wanda ya yi imanin cewa duk wani matakin Nato da gwamnatin Amurka ta yanke - kuma ba za a yi wani matakin Nato wanda ba - zai haifar da kwanciyar hankali ko kwanciyar hankali?
Alakar ta musamman
Sannan akwai sadaukarwar kafa Birtaniyya kan “dangantaka ta musamman” wacce ta fi Nato girma. Kusan yadda Trump ya damu da hakan ya fito fili daga harajin da aka caka wa masana'antar sararin samaniyar Kanada Bombardier. Babu adadin rike hannun PM-POTUS da ya hana hakan.
Kuma shin kawancen da Amurka da Birtaniya ke yi na baiwa Saudiyya makamai, har yanzu tana ci gaba da yakin kisan kare dangi da makwabciyarta Yemen, wanda ke kawo zaman lafiya da kwanciyar hankali a yankin? Masarautar Saudiyya tabbas ba ta burge.
Yana iya zama babban mai siyan makamai na Burtaniya, amma kuma yana farin cikin samun masana'antar Kalashnikov ta Rasha da aka gina a cikin masarautar kuma.
Shin da gaske ne yin amfani da kudaden masu biyan haraji ga sojojin ruwa na Birtaniyya su bude wani sabon sansani a Bahrain, wanda masarautan da ke mulki a baya-bayan nan suka danne yunkurin dimokradiyyar jama'arsu?
Dalilin da kawai wannan ke aiki ba shine komawa Gabashin Suez babban darajar masarautar ba amma yin aiki a ƙarƙashin ikon Amurka zuwa Pacific.
Kuma akwai wani ƙugiya. Birtaniya ba ta da wata manufar ketare mai cin gashin kanta kan batun Koriya ta Arewa nan take, ko kan dabarun da ke tattare da ita: tashin kasar Sin. "Abin da Donald ya ce" ba siyasa ba ne, amma siyasa ce.
Karɓar Corbynism
Gaskiyar ita ce: Tsarin gine-ginen daular yammacin duniya ya tsufa, yaƙe-yaƙensa sun ƙare da fatara, ƙawayenta ba su da aminci, kuma ƙasar da ke kan gaba tana rasa tseren tattalin arziki ga China.
Ra'ayin jama'a ya daɗe tun lokacin da aka kafa bluff. Mafi yawan ƙiyayya ga rikice-rikicen "yaƙin da ta'addanci" tabbataccen gaskiya ne. Sabuntawar Trident, don shirin da ke da goyon bayan jam'iyya, ya kasa samun wani abu kamar goyon bayan jama'a.
Nato na samun goyon baya ne kawai saboda 'yan siyasa kalilan ne za su kalubalanci yarjejeniyar kafa, kodayake a Burtaniya tallafin yana raguwa.
Ra'ayoyin Jeremy Corbyn sun yi kama da na wannan babban ɓangaren jama'a, musamman waɗanda ke da yuwuwar zaɓen Labour. Adawarsa ga Trident ya daɗe kuma ƙin cin zarafinsa da cewa zai "tura maɓallin" bai yi masa lahani ko kaɗan ba.
A babban taron CND na bara na adawa da Trident, Corbyn shine babban mai magana. Ya kasance jigo a fagen adawa da yake-yake a Afghanistan, Iraki, da kuma shiga tsakani a Libya. Ya jagoranci masu adawa da harin bam a Siriya. Kuma ya kasance mai sukar kungiyar tsaro ta Nato.
Amma Corbyn yana fuskantar zagon kasa ta hanyar manufofin jam'iyyarsa, wanda a daidai lokacin da ra'ayin kafa tsaro ya gaza kuma ba a yarda da shi ba, yana ba Tories damar tafiya kyauta.
Bai kamata ya kasance haka ba. Corbynism an gina shi akan karya tare da triangulation, duk da haka triangulation yana raye kuma yana da kyau a manufofin tsaro.
Ma'aikata yana buƙatar ɗaukar ra'ayin Corbyn game da yaƙi da zaman lafiya da zubar da kwafin carbon na manufofin Tory waɗanda suka yi wa ma'aikata hidima da wahala.
A cikin mafi hatsari lokacin yakin neman zabe Jeremy Corbyn ya yi haka.
Bayan harin ta'addanci a Manchester, da kuma ba da shawara mai yawa na ciki, Corbyn ya danganta tashin bam tare da yaki da ta'addanci. Ya dakatar da wani layin hari na Tory a cikin hanyarsa kuma masu zabe sun amince da shi… saboda sun san gaskiya ne.
Miliyoyin mutane da yawa kuma sun san cewa faffadan manufofin Burtaniya na ketare ba su da kyau. Labour na bukatar cim ma inda suke, da kuma shugaban jam'iyyar Labour, tuni.
