Koren Jamus Lemmings don Yaƙi

By Victor Grossman, World BEYOND War, Fabrairu 5, 2023

"Hey", ya squeaked daya furry lemming zuwa wani (a cikin lemming-lingo, ba shakka). “Na ga kina kokarin zamewa daga taron! Kuna so ku ci amanar mu lemmings masu kyau. Wataƙila kai mai son fox ne, har ma da mai son kerkeci. Gara ku ci gaba da yin layi har sai mun cimma burinmu da ya dace.” Kamar yadda lemming-masoya suka sani cikin baƙin ciki, wannan burin zai iya kasancewa a kan dutsen cikin teku. Kuma bana jin lemmings na iya yin iyo!

Shin irin wannan dutse mai yiwuwa ne kusa da Bahar Maliya? Ko tare da Dnieper? Kuma akwai wasu a yau waɗanda - kamar lemmings - su kasance a cikin taron?

A'a, ministar harkokin wajen Jamus, Annelina Baerbock, ba ta da wata damuwa! Dole ne ta ƙara ganin kanta kamar shugabar bakunan Afirka waɗanda ke haɗa ƙahoni da kofato don tunkuɗe harin mafarauta. "Ba muna fada da juna ba," in ji ta ga wakilan Turai, sannan ta bayyana a fili abin da kafofin watsa labarai, ba da kai tsaye ba, ke toshewa tsawon shekaru: "Muna yaki da Rasha!" Amma wannan duk abin da ya dace da haramun na gaskiya dole ne a shafe shi; Mataimakiyar ta ta yi gaggawar gyara: “Muna goyon bayan Ukraine, amma a karkashin dokokin kasa da kasa. Jamus ba ta cikin yakin."

Babu wani ministan harkokin wajen Jamus tun daga shekarar 1945 da ya fito fili ya yi kabbara kamar wannan shugaban jam'iyyar Green. Kuma ta kasance daya daga cikin masu babbar murya wajen matsawa takunkumin Tarayyar Turai masu tsauri: "Muna buga tsarin Putin inda ya kamata a buga shi, ba kawai a fannin tattalin arziki da kudi ba amma a tsakiyar ikonsa." - "Wannan zai lalata Rasha. ”

Abubuwa hudu masu muhimmanci a Jamus sun shafi manufofin Rasha da Ukraine. Baerbock blusterers da alama suna marmarin tilasta Boeing-Northrup-Lockheed-Garken Raytheon, wanda bijimin Wall Street na tagulla ya yi wa alama daidai, yana neman babban nau'in cokali mai yatsa na dala biliyan 800-900 na ciyawa “Izinin Tsaro”, wanda ya ninka girman kasafin sojan Rasha sau goma. Ba shi da sauƙi a fahimci abin da ke da kariya game da shi; fiye da tashe-tashen hankula sama da 200 tun daga 1945, galibin mafi yawansu Amurka ce ke jagoranta kuma dukkansu (ban da Cuba) sun yi nisa da gabar tekun Amurka. Ita ma wannan rukunin na Jamusanci na al'adar ba da jimawa ba ne tare da 'yan mulkin mallaka na Amurka waɗanda suka matsawa Jamus lamba tsawon shekaru da su daina siyan mai ko iskar gas na Rasha maimakon nasu kayayyakin da ke ratsa teku. Lokacin da aka shafe shekaru ana matsin lamba har ma da yakin Ukraine ya kasa katse kayayyakin da Rasha ke shigowa da su gaba daya, wasu kwararrun kwararru a karkashin ruwa sun fasa bututun da ke karkashin Tekun Baltic. Bayan raunin da aka yi na zargin Rasha da lalata bututun nata irin wannan rugujewar wuka a cikin wannan rudani amma ba a yi watsi da shi ba kwatsam; Hatta Shugaba Biden, tun da farko, ya yi alfahari da kawar da shi!

Wani yanayi na biyu a Jamus ya yaba da dukkan manufofin Amurka da NATO don ci gaba da wannan yaƙin har sai an doke Rasha amma ya sha bamban idan aka yi la'akari da matsayin ƙaramin abokin tarayya na Washington ko Wall Street. Yana son ƙarin ƙarfin Jamus a ji, aƙalla a cikin Turai amma da fatan gaba! Sautin masu ba da shawararsa (ko da, wasu lokuta ina jin, idanunsu masu ƙyalli) suna dawo da tsofaffin tunanin da nake tunawa da rawar jiki. A wancan zamani, ba damisa ba ne amma tankunan Panther da Tiger ne suke yin katako don kayar da Rashawa, kamar yadda aka yi a birnin Leningrad na tsawon kwanaki 900, inda aka yi kiyasin mutuwar mutane miliyan da rabi, galibi fararen hula, galibi saboda yunwa da tsananin sanyi – an samu karin mace-mace. a wani birni fiye da harin bam na Dresden, Hamburg, Hiroshima da Nagasaki a hade. Ko ta yaya masu yin tanki suna son yin amfani da sunayen mayaƙa, da Puma, Gepard (Cheetah), Luchs (Lynx). Sunayen masu sana'ar farautarsu suna nan; Krupp, Rheinmetall, Maffei-Kraus yanzu suna tara ba Reich-Marks amma Yuro. Tabbas, motsawa da dabaru sun canza sosai, duk da haka ga yawancin masu fafutukar wannan yanayin, ina jin tsoro, ainihin niyya mai fa'ida ba zata bambanta sosai ba. Wadannan dakarun suna da karfi a cikin "jam'iyyun Kirista," yanzu suna adawa, amma kuma a cikin Free Democratic Party, memba na haɗin gwiwar gwamnati.

Hanya ta uku, mafi rikitarwa ta dogara ne a cikin Jam'iyyar Social Democratic Party (SPD) na Chancellor Olaf Scholz. Da yawa daga cikin shugabanninta sun kasance masu ɓacin rai kamar abokan haɗin gwiwarsu. Shugaban jam'iyyar Lars Klingbeil, bayan ya yaba wa manyan nasarorin da 'yan Ukraine suka samu na soji, ya yi fahariya da cewa sun kasance a wani bangare na kayan aikin soja da Turai, da kuma Jamus ke bayarwa, wanda "ya karya tare da haramcinta na shekaru da yawa na hana aika duk wani makami zuwa wuraren rikici." Za a ci gaba da bayar da agajin, in ji shi, yayin da yake yaba wa jirgin Howitzer 2000, da Jamus ta samar, a matsayin "daya daga cikin tsarin makami mafi nasara da aka tura a Ukraine." Har ila yau, za ta samar da na'urori masu harba makamai masu linzami da kuma tankin yaki na Gepard. . “Dole ne a ci gaba da hakan. Za a ci gaba da hakan, ”in ji Klingbeil. "Za mu ci gaba da ba da goyon baya ga Ukraine."

Amma yayin da ya hada da tsarin da aka yarda da shi, "Putin mai laifin yaki ne, ya fara yakin zalunci," ya kuma ce, "Dole ne a hana yakin duniya na uku." Wadannan kalmomi na pacific na iya zama wani maimaita ma'anar, "Ukraine za ta iya kuma ba dole ba ne a tilasta shi ya bar wani yanki mai cin gashin kansa don haka kawai karshen wannan yakin shine cin nasara da Rasha, ko ta yaya aka lalata Ukraine. da kuma nawa 'yan Ukrain - da na Rasha - aka kashe ko gurgunta. Wannan matsayi yana cike da sabani, amma a zahiri ya ƙare daidai da kafofin watsa labarai.

To sai dai yayin da kalaman Klingbeil a fili suke da nufin kawar da zargin da Jamus ta yi na jan kafarta game da aika tankunan Leopard da bai wa Zelensky manyan makamai masu sauri da ya ke so, kamar jiragen jirage masu saukar ungulu ko na karkashin ruwa, suna kuma nuna wani rarrabuwar kawuna a cikin jam'iyyar. Wasu daga cikin shugabanninta (da yawancin membobinta) ba su da sha'awar game da ƙarin biliyoyin a cikin kasafin yaƙi da aika manyan makamai masu ƙarfi ga Zelensky. Shi ma Scholz, wani lokaci yakan yi kamar yana jin muryoyin wadanda suka fi yawa a tsoffin yankunan Jamus ta Gabas, wadanda ba sa son tallafa wa yakin da ke fuskantar Jamusawa masu aiki tukuru kuma yana iya fashewa a duk Turai ko duniya.

Wannan matsayi na uku mai ban tsoro yana guje wa bincike game da kowane rabo na Washington da ma'aikatanta na NATO a cikin alhakin yakin. Yana wasa ƙasa ko yin watsi da duk wani ambaton yunƙurin warware alkawuran NATO (ko kuma "bangarta na gabas") har zuwa kan iyakokin Rasha, tana ta yin taho-mu-gama da makamanta na hallaka har zuwa kusa da nisan harbi daga St. Hanyoyin kasuwanci na Rasha a cikin Baltic da, tare da Georgia da Ukraine, a cikin Tekun Bahar Rum, yayin da Kyiv, a cikin dukan masu tayar da hankali a cikin Donbas tun 2014, yana taimakawa wajen haifar da tarko ga Rasha. Manufarta, wani lokaci ana bayyana karara, ita ce ta maimaita taron goyon bayan kasashen yamma, masu goyon bayan NATO, da Washington ke jagoranta a dandalin Maidan a shekarar 2014 - amma a karo na gaba a dandalin Red Square na Moscow - kuma a karshe an kammala shi a dandalin Tiananmen na Beijing. Ko da tayar da irin waɗannan tambayoyi masu tsauri an yi wa lakabin "tsohuwar-hagu Russophile" nostalgia ko "Putin-love". Amma, da farin ciki ko a'a, Scholz, tare da ko ba tare da ajiyar ciki ba game da fadada yakin, yana da alama ya durƙusa ga babban matsin lamba don daidaituwa.

Hali na hudu a cikin tunani ko aiki na Jamus game da Ukraine yana adawa da jigilar makamai kuma yana kira ga duk wani yunƙuri don cimma yarjejeniyar tsagaita wuta sannan, a ƙarshe, wasu yarjejeniyar zaman lafiya. Ba duk muryoyin da ke cikin wannan rukunin sun fito daga hagu ba. Janar Harald Kujat mai ritaya, daga 2000 zuwa 2002 babban mutum a cikin sojojin Jamus, Bundeswehr, sannan kuma shugaban kwamitin soji na NATO, ya ba da wasu shawarwari masu ban mamaki a cikin wata hira da ɗan littafin Swiss Zeitgeschehen im Fokus (Jan. 18, 2023). Ga wasu daga cikinsu:

“Idan yakin ya dade, zai zama da wahala a samu zaman lafiya na tattaunawa. …. Abin da ya sa na ga abin bakin ciki ne cewa tattaunawar da aka yi a Istanbul a watan Maris ta wargaje duk da babban ci gaba da kuma kyakkyawan sakamako ga Ukraine. A tattaunawar Istanbul, da alama Rasha ta amince da janye sojojinta har zuwa ranar 23 ga watan Fabrairu, wato kafin a fara kai hari kan Ukraine. Yanzu ana ci gaba da neman janyewar gaba daya a matsayin wani sharadi na tattaunawa… Ukraine ta yi alkawarin yin watsi da zama memba na kungiyar tsaro ta NATO kuma ba za ta ba da izinin kafa wasu sojojin kasashen waje ko cibiyoyin soja ba. A maimakon haka za ta sami garantin tsaro daga kowace jiha da ta zaɓa. Za a warware makomar yankunan da aka mamaye ta hanyar diflomasiyya a cikin shekaru 15, tare da yin watsi da rundunar soji a fili. …

"Bisa ga ingantaccen bayani, Firayim Ministan Burtaniya Boris Johnson ya shiga Kiev a ranar 9 ga Afrilu kuma ya hana sanya hannu. Dalilinsa shi ne cewa kasashen Yamma ba su shirya don kawo karshen yakin ba…

"Abin takaici ne cewa dan kasa mai kishin kasa ba shi da masaniya game da abin da ake bugawa a nan. Tattaunawar da aka yi a Istanbul ta kasance sananne a bainar jama'a, har ila yau, yarjejeniyar tana gab da sanya hannu; amma daga wata rana zuwa gaba ba a sake jin wata magana a kanta ba…

"Ukraine na fafutukar nemo 'yancinta, don 'yancin kai da kuma 'yancin yankin kasar. Amma manyan 'yan wasan biyu a wannan yakin su ne Rasha da Amurka. Har ila yau Ukraine tana fafutukar nemo muradun siyasar Amurka, wadanda manufarsu ta bayyana ita ce raunana kasar Rasha ta fuskar siyasa, tattalin arziki da kuma ta fannin soji, ta yadda za su iya juyowa ga abokan hamayyarsu ta geopolitical, ita kadai ce ke da ikon yin barazana ga daukakarsu a matsayinta na mai karfin duniya wato China. ….

"A'a, wannan yakin ba game da 'yancinmu ba ne. Matsalolin da ke haifar da fara yaƙin kuma har yanzu yana ci gaba a yau, kodayake zai iya ƙarewa tuntuni, sun bambanta… Rasha tana son hana abokiyar hamayyarta ta geopolitical Amurka daga samun fifikon dabarun da ke barazana ga tsaron Rasha. Ya kasance ta hanyar kasancewar Ukraine a cikin kungiyar NATO da Amurka ke jagoranta, ta hanyar girke sojojin Amurka, sake matsuguni na kayan aikin soji ko hanyoyin hadin gwiwa na NATO. Aiwatar da tsarin Amurka na tsarin tsaron makamai masu linzami na NATO a Poland da Romania shi ma wani ƙaya ne a ɓangaren Rasha, saboda Rasha tana da tabbacin cewa Amurka za ta iya kawar da tsarin dabarun tsakanin nahiyoyi na Rasha daga waɗannan wuraren harba makamai masu linzami da kuma yin barazana ga daidaiton dabarun nukiliya.

"Idan yakin ya dade, zai fi girma hadarin fadadawa ko kuma ta'azzara… A halin yanzu bangarorin biyu suna cikin tsaka mai wuya… Don haka yanzu zai zama lokacin da ya dace don ci gaba da tattaunawar da ta karye. Sai dai jigilar makamai na nufin akasin haka, wato yaki ya tsawaita cikin rashin hankali, tare da samun karin mace-mace daga bangarorin biyu da kuma ci gaba da lalata kasar. Amma kuma tare da sakamakon cewa an jawo mu har ma da zurfi cikin wannan yakin. Ko da a kwanan baya Sakatare Janar na kungiyar tsaro ta NATO ya yi gargadi kan karuwar fadan da ake yi tsakanin NATO da Rasha. Kuma a cewar babban hafsan hafsan hafsoshin Amurka, Janar Mark Milley, Ukraine ta cimma abin da za ta iya cimma ta fannin soji. Ƙari ba zai yiwu ba. Don haka ne ya kamata a yi kokarin diflomasiyya a yanzu don samun zaman lafiya ta hanyar tattaunawa. Ina raba wannan ra'ayi….

“Abin da Misis Merkel ta fada a wata hira a fili yake. An yi shawarwari kan yarjejeniyar Minsk II don saya lokaci don Ukraine. Kuma Ukraine ma ta yi amfani da lokacin don sake samun makamai. … A fahimta Rasha ta kira wannan zamba. Kuma Merkel ta tabbatar da cewa da gangan aka yaudari Rasha. Kuna iya yin hukunci akan hakan ta kowace hanya da kuke so, amma rashin amincewa ne a fili da kuma batun hasashen siyasa.

"Ba za a iya jayayya cewa kin amincewar gwamnatin Ukraine - da sanin wannan yaudarar da aka yi niyya - don aiwatar da yarjejeniyar, 'yan kwanaki kadan kafin fara yakin, na daya daga cikin abubuwan da suka haifar da yakin.

“Ya kasance… keta dokar kasa da kasa, hakan a bayyane yake. Lalacewar tana da yawa. Dole ne ku yi tunanin halin da ake ciki a yau. Mutanen da suke so su yi yaƙi tun daga farko kuma har yanzu suna son yin hakan sun ɗauki ra'ayin cewa ba za ku iya yin shawarwari da Putin ba. Koma dai menene, baya bin yarjejeniyoyin. Amma yanzu ya zama cewa mu ne wadanda ba sa bin yarjejeniyar kasa da kasa…

"Kamar yadda na sani, Rashawa suna kiyaye yarjejeniyoyinsu… Na yi shawarwari da Rasha da yawa… Abokan hulɗa ne masu tsauri, amma idan kun sami sakamako na gama gari, to wannan yana tsaye kuma yana aiki. "

Ra'ayoyin Kujat, duk da babban aikin da ya yi, ko dai kafafen yada labarai sun yi watsi da su ko kuma sun binne su da wasu kalmomi marasa ma'ana.

A Jamus, kamar sauran wurare, an raba masu hagu, har ma sun rabu, game da yakin Ukraine, kuma wannan ya hada da jam'iyyar LINKE. Reshe na "sake fasalin", wanda ke da kusan 60-40 mafi rinjaye a majalisar ta na Yuni, ya shiga babban rafi na hukuma don yin tir da Putin cikin fushi, yana zargin Rasha da mulkin mallaka kuma, idan ta kasance, kawai tana sukar manufofin Amurka, NATO ko Tarayyar Turai. zuwa yaki. Wasu a cikin LINKE suna tallafawa tallace-tallacen makamai ga Zelensky kuma suna amfani da kalmomi kamar "masoya Putin" don la'antar abokan adawar su. Shin sun dace da kwatankwacin kwatanta manufofin ministan harkokin wajen Baerbock na kare bauna daga zaki mai rago? Ko sun shiga cikin wani nau'in taron jama'a?

Wasu a cikin LINKE za su fi son hoton babban beyar da ke kare kansa daga fakitin kerkeci masu kai hari - kuma suna bugun kullun da kowane kerkeci ya kusanci. Har ila yau, Bears na iya zama m sosai, kuma da yawa a cikin wannan reshe na jam'iyyar suna guje wa nuna duk wata ƙauna a gare ta. Amma suna ganin shi, duk iri ɗaya ne, kamar kasancewa a cikin tsaro - ko da shi ne farkon wanda ya buge da zana jini. Ko kuma irin waɗannan kwatankwacin suna da jujjuyawa idan aka fuskanci munanan abubuwan da ke faruwa a yanzu.

A halin yanzu rarrabuwa a cikin LINKE alama a taƙaice a riƙe; A ranar Lahadi mai zuwa ne za a gudanar da zabe a Berlin kuma ba zan iya tunanin duk wani dan siyasa na gaskiya da ke son 'yan siyasa na hannun dama su samu karfi ba. A haƙiƙa, hatta shugabannin “masu kawo sauyi” na cikin gida waɗanda ba su da himma game da yaƙin neman zaɓe na kwace manyan gidaje a Berlin, wanda ya samu sama da ƙuri'u miliyan (56.4%) a ƙuri'ar raba gardama a 2021, yanzu sun dawo da lokaci guda. 'yan ta'adda, wanda ya sanya su zama memba daya tilo a cikin kawancen jam'iyyun birni-jahohi uku don tallafawa wannan bukata, yayin da Greens da magajin gari na Social Democratic suka gano sabon juriya ga manyan dillalai.

Tambayoyin manufofin harkokin waje ba a bayyana su sosai a zaɓen birni, amma da alama shugabannin "mai kawo sauyi" na Berlin LINKE sun kaurace, aƙalla har zuwa Lahadi, daga kakkausan kalamai a kan shahararriyar, mai yawan rigima Sahra Wagenknecht, wacce ta tsaya kan takenta. na "Ba a fitar da makamai" da "dumin gida, gurasa, zaman lafiya!" Tare da jam'iyyar a yanzu ta ragu zuwa kashi 11% a zaɓen Berlin, ana kallon haɗin kai mai faci a matsayin dama, tare da mayaƙa, yanayin yaƙi, don ceto ta daga makoma ta Humpty-Dumpty! Tare da ƙaramin bege don mamaki mai kyau a ranar 12 ga Fabrairu, mutane da yawa a cikin LINKE suna riƙe da numfashi.

Gaskiyar magana, bin labarai a kwanakin nan yana ba da komai sai kawai jin daɗi. Kwanan nan, duk da haka, an ba ni dama don yin murmushi.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz, bayan sunkuyar da kai - ko kuma ya durkusa - ga matsi na mayaƙa da ƙoƙarin sake farfado da ɓacin rai ga kansa da Jamus, ya tashi a ziyararsa ta farko a hukumance zuwa Latin Amurka. Bayan gajeriyar ziyarar ban girma da ya kai Chile da Argentina, ya sauka a Brasilia, yana fatan yaye katon Latin a cikin yakin NATO da na Turai - kuma daga abokan hamayyar Rasha da China.

Taron manema labarai na rufewa tare da Lula cike da murmushi da mari baya . Da farko! Scholz ya ce "Dukkanmu muna farin ciki cewa Brazil ta dawo fagen duniya." Amma sai, kwatsam, sai ya sami farin ciki ya kori daga ƙarƙashinsa. A'a, Brazil ba za ta aika zuwa Ukraine sassan da ake so na tankokin tsaron sama na Gepard da Jamus ta kera ba, ko da yake ba ta da wani amfani, Lula ya ce: "Brazil ba ta da sha'awar mika makaman da za a iya amfani da su a yakin Ukraine da Rasha. Mu kasa ce mai kishin zaman lafiya."

Kalmominsa na gaba sun yi kusan tambayoyin bidi'a har ya zuwa yanzu kafofin yada labarai na yammacin duniya sun mamaye su cikin kuzari:

"Ina ganin dalilin yakin tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine shi ma yana bukatar karin haske. Shin saboda NATO? Shin saboda ikirarin yanki ne? Shin saboda shigowar Turai ne? Duniya ba ta da bayanai kadan game da hakan,” Lula ya kara da cewa.

Yayin da ya amince da baƙon nasa na Jamus cewa Rasha ta tafka “kuskure na yau da kullun” ta hanyar mamaye ƙasar Ukraine, ya soki cewa babu wani bangare da ya nuna isashen aniyar warware yaƙin ta hanyar yin shawarwari: “Babu wanda ke son ja da baya da milmita guda,” in ji shi. Tabbas ba abin da Scholz ke son ji ba kenan. Kuma sa’ad da, kusan a fili yake cikin fargaba, ya nace cewa mamayewar da Rasha ta yi wa Ukraine ba matsalar Turai ba ce kawai, amma “taɓawa dokar ƙasa da ƙasa sarai” kuma hakan ya raunana “tushen haɗin gwiwarmu a duniya da kuma zaman lafiya.” Lula , koyaushe yana murmushi, ya nace: "Har yanzu, da gaske ban ji sosai game da yadda za a sami zaman lafiya a wannan yaƙin ba."

Sai kuma shawarar da Lula ya ba da mamaki ta zo: ƙungiyar da ke da ra'ayin zaman lafiya na ƙasashe masu zaman kansu kamar China, Brazil, Indiya da Indonesiya, waɗanda ba a saka ɗaya daga cikinsu cikin tattaunawa kan yaƙin ba. Irin wannan kulob din yana nufin yin kasa-kasa da Jamus da duk kawayenta na Turai ko kuma 'yan uwanta - akasin abin da dukan yawon shakatawa na Scholz ya yi niyya. Yana da wuya a ci gaba da "murmushi"!

Ba abin mamaki ba ne cewa taron manema labarai da dukan ziyarar ba a ba su kulawa sosai a yawancin kafofin watsa labaru na Jamus fiye da, a ce, ƙananan girgizar ƙasa a Minas Gerais. Har yanzu, kawai tabbataccen amsawar da na ji shine daga shugaban LINKE, Martin Schirdewan. Amma yayin da kiraye-kirayen kawo karshen fadan da neman sulhun da ba na Turai ba daga gare shi, daga Wagenknecht ko ma daga babban Janar din mai ritaya na iya ragewa ko kuma a yi watsi da shi, wannan na iya zama ba sauki ba idan muryar ta shugaban kasa ce ta duniya. kasa ta biyar mafi girma. Shin matsayinsa kan zaman lafiya - ko shawararsa - zai tsara al'amuran duniya fiye da sha'awar da yawa?

Kallon yunƙurin ƙarfin hali na Scholz na "ci gaba da murmushi" duk da fushinsa a fili ya ba ni damar da ba kasafai ba na yin murmushi yayin kallon labarai. Na yarda da shi, ya dogara ne akan Schadenfreude - wannan farin cikin rashin jin daɗi na wani. Amma kuma - watakila - saboda ya ba da sabon ɗan bege? Na sababbin kwatance - har ma don lemmings?