Hoton hoto: Ƙungiyar Tattalin Arziki ta New York
Daga Medea Benjamin da Nicolas JS Davies, World BEYOND War, Janairu 3, 2023
Sakatare-janar na NATO Jens Stoltenberg, wanda aka san shi da cikakken goyon bayansa ga Ukraine. kwanan nan ya bayyana babban tsoronsa na wannan lokacin sanyi ga wani mai hira da talabijin a ƙasarsa ta Norway: cewa yakin da ake yi a Ukraine zai iya fita daga iko kuma ya zama babban yaki tsakanin NATO da Rasha. "Idan abubuwa ba su da kyau," in ji shi da gaske, "za su iya yin kuskure sosai."
Ya kasance ba kasafai ba shigar da aka samu daga wani da ke da hannu a yakin, kuma yana nuna rashin jituwa a cikin bayanan baya-bayan nan tsakanin shugabannin siyasar Amurka da na NATO a daya bangaren da kuma jami'an soja a daya bangaren. Shugabannin farar hula har yanzu suna da niyyar yin dogon lokaci, ba tare da izini ba a cikin Ukraine, yayin da shugabannin sojoji, irin su Shugaban Hafsan Hafsoshin Sojojin Amurka Janar Mark Milley, suka yi magana tare da kira ga Ukraine da "kwace lokacin” domin tattaunawar zaman lafiya.
Admiral Michael Mullen mai ritaya, tsohon Shugaban Hafsan Hafsoshin Soja, ya yi magana da farko, watakila ya gwada ruwan Milley. gaya ABC News cewa ya kamata Amurka "yi duk abin da za mu iya yi don kokarin zuwa kan tebur don warware wannan abu."
Asia Times ruwaito cewa sauran shugabannin sojojin NATO na da ra'ayin Milley na cewa, Rasha ko Ukraine ba za su iya cimma nasarar soji kai tsaye ba, yayin da kididdigar sojojin Faransa da Jamus ta yi nuni da cewa, matsayar tattaunawa mai karfi da Ukraine ta samu ta nasarorin da ta samu na soji a baya-bayan nan, ba zai dade ba idan har ta kasa yin kunnen uwar shegu. Nasihar Milley.
Don haka me yasa shugabannin sojojin Amurka da na NATO suke magana cikin gaggawa don yin watsi da ci gaba da rawar da suke takawa a yakin Ukraine? Kuma me ya sa suke ganin irin wannan hatsarin a cikin tashin hankali idan shugabannin siyasarsu suka rasa ko kuma suka yi watsi da alamunsu na komawa diflomasiyya?
Rand Corporation wanda Pentagon ya ba da umarni binciken wanda aka buga a watan Disamba, mai taken Martani ga harin da Rasha ta kai wa NATO A lokacin yakin Ukraine, yana ba da alamun abin da Milley da abokan aikinsa na soja suka samu mai ban tsoro. Binciken ya yi nazari kan zabin Amurka na mayar da martani ga al'amura hudu da Rasha ta kai hari da dama na NATO, tun daga tauraron dan adam na leken asirin Amurka ko ma'ajiyar makaman NATO a Poland zuwa manyan hare-haren makami mai linzami kan sansanonin jiragen saman NATO da tashar jiragen ruwa, ciki har da Ramstein Base na Amurka. da tashar jiragen ruwa na Rotterdam.
Wadannan al'amura guda hudu duk sun kasance hasashe ne kuma an tsara su ne kan karuwar Rasha fiye da iyakokin Ukraine. Amma nazarin marubutan ya nuna yadda layin ya kasance mai kyau da rashin tabbas tsakanin iyaka da daidaitattun martanin soja game da karuwar Rasha da kuma karkatar da kai da ka iya karkata daga sarrafawa da haifar da yakin nukiliya.
Jumla ta ƙarshe na ƙarshen binciken tana karantawa: “Yin amfani da makamashin nukiliya yana ƙara nauyi ga burin Amurka na gujewa ci gaba da ƙaruwa, makasudin da zai iya ƙara zama mai mahimmanci bayan ƙayyadaddun hari na yau da kullun na Rasha.” Duk da haka sauran sassan binciken suna jayayya game da raguwa ko rashin daidaituwar martani ga hauhawar Rasha, bisa la'akari iri ɗaya tare da "amincin Amurka" wanda ya haifar da mummunan bala'i amma a ƙarshe mara amfani na tashin hankali a Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan da sauran ɓacewa. yaƙe-yaƙe.
Shugabannin siyasar Amurka a ko da yaushe suna fargabar cewa idan ba su mayar da martani mai karfi kan ayyukan abokan gaba ba, makiyansu (a halin yanzu ciki har da kasar Sin) za su yanke cewa matakin sojan da suke yi zai iya yin tasiri ga manufofin Amurka da kuma tilastawa Amurka da kawayenta ja da baya. Amma tabarbarewar da irin wannan fargabar ke haifarwa a kai a kai ya haifar da yanke hukunci da wulakanci na Amurka.
A Ukraine, damuwa da Amurka game da "aminci" ya kara da bukatar nuna wa kawayenta cewa Mataki na 5 na NATO - wanda ya ce za a dauki wani hari kan wani memba na NATO a matsayin hari ga kowa - hakika alƙawarin kare su ne.
Don haka manufar Amurka a Ukraine ta shiga tsakani tsakanin bukatar da take da shi na tsoratar da abokan gabarta da kuma goyon bayan kawayenta a bangare guda, da kuma hadarin da ba za a iya tunaninsa ba na karuwa a daya bangaren. Idan shugabannin Amurka suka ci gaba da yin aiki kamar yadda suka yi a baya, suna fifita haɓaka kan asarar “aminci,” za su kasance suna yin kwarkwasa da yaƙin nukiliya, kuma haɗarin zai ƙaru ne kawai tare da kowane karkatacciyar karkatacciyar hanya.
Yayin da rashin "maganin soja" sannu a hankali ya fara bayyana kan mayaka masu rike da madafun iko a Washington da manyan biranen NATO, cikin nutsuwa suna zamewa karin matsayi na sulhu a cikin bayanansu na jama'a. Musamman ma, suna maye gurbin dagewar da suka yi a baya cewa dole ne a mayar da Ukraine zuwa kan iyakokinta kafin 2014, ma'ana komawar dukkanin Donbas da Crimea, tare da yin kira ga Rasha da ta janye kawai kafin 24 ga Fabrairu, 2022, matsayi, wanda ya dace. Rasha ta kasance a baya amince da shi a tattaunawar da aka yi a Turkiyya a watan Maris.
Sakataren harkokin wajen Amurka Antony Blinken ya gaya Jaridar Wall Street Journal a ranar 5 ga Disamba cewa manufar yakin yanzu ita ce "don karbo yankin da aka kwace daga [Ukraine] tun ranar 24 ga Fabrairu." Farashin WSJ ruwaito Jami'an diflomasiyyar Turai guda biyu… in ji mai ba da shawara kan harkokin tsaro na Amurka Jake Sullivan ya ba da shawarar cewa tawagar Mr. Zelenskyy ta fara tunanin ainihin bukatunta da abubuwan da suka sa a gaba don tattaunawa, gami da sake duba manufar da ta bayyana na Ukraine na sake dawo da yankin Crimea, wanda aka kwace a shekarar 2014. .”
In wani Jaridar Wall Street Journal ta nakalto jami'an Jamus suna cewa, "sun yi imanin cewa ba gaskiya ba ne a yi tsammanin za a kori sojojin Rasha gaba daya daga dukkan yankunan da aka mamaye," yayin da jami'an Burtaniya suka ayyana mafi karancin tushe na yin shawarwari a matsayin ra'ayin Rasha na "janye kan mukamai". ya mamaye ranar 23 ga Fabrairu."
Daya daga cikin ayyukan farko da Rishi Sunak ya yi a matsayin Firayim Ministan Burtaniya a karshen watan Oktoba shi ne ministan tsaro Ben Wallace ya kira ministan tsaron Rasha Sergei Shoigu a karon farko tun bayan mamayar Rasha a watan Fabrairu. Wallace ya gaya wa Shoigu Birtaniya tana so de-escalate Rikicin, wani gagarumin sauyi daga manufofin tsofin Firayim Minista Boris Johnson da Liz Truss. Wani babban cikas da ke hana jami'an diflomasiyya na Yamma baya daga teburin zaman lafiya shi ne mafi girman maganganu da shawarwari na Shugaba Zelenskyy da gwamnatin Ukraine, wanda ya dage tun lokacin. Afrilu cewa ba za ta daidaita ga wani abu na cikakken ikon mallakar kowane inch na ƙasar da Ukraine ta mallaka kafin 2014.
Sai dai wannan matsayi mai girma shi kansa wani gagarumin koma-baya ne daga matsayin da Ukraine ta dauka a tattaunawar tsagaita bude wuta da aka yi a Turkiyya a watan Maris, lokacin da ta amince ta yi watsi da burinta na shiga kungiyar tsaro ta NATO, ba ta dauki nauyin sansanonin sojan kasashen waje ba, don musanya ficewar Rasha daga cikinta. matsayi na gaba-gaba. A waccan tattaunawar, Ukraine ta amince yi shawarwari makomar Donbas da zuwa dakatar yanke shawara ta ƙarshe akan makomar Crimea har zuwa shekaru 15.
Jaridar Financial Times ta karya story na waccan shirin zaman lafiya mai maki 15 a ranar 16 ga Maris, da Zelenskyy bayyana “yarjejeniya ta nuna tsaka-tsaki” ga mutanensa a wani watsa shirye-shiryen talabijin na kasa a ranar 27 ga Maris, tare da yin alkawarin mika ta ga kuri’ar raba gardama ta kasa kafin ta fara aiki.
Amma sai Firayim Ministan Burtaniya Boris Johnson ya shiga tsakani a ranar 9 ga Afrilu don soke waccan yarjejeniya. Ya gaya wa Zelenskyy cewa Birtaniya da "Gamayyar Yamma" suna "cikinta na dogon lokaci" kuma za su goyi bayan Ukraine don yaki da dogon lokaci, amma ba za su sanya hannu kan duk wata yarjejeniya da Ukraine ta kulla da Rasha ba.
Wannan yana taimakawa wajen bayyana dalilin da yasa Zelenskyy yanzu ya fusata da shawarwarin Yammacin Turai cewa ya kamata ya koma teburin tattaunawa. Tuni dai Johnson ya yi murabus a wulakanci, amma ya bar Zelenskyy da mutanen Ukraine suna rataye a kan alkawuransa.
A cikin Afrilu, Johnson ya yi iƙirarin cewa yana magana ne ga "Garin Yamma," amma Amurka ce kawai ta ɗauki makamancin haka matsayi, yayin da Faransa, Jamus da kuma Italiya dukkansu sun yi kira da a sake yin shawarwarin tsagaita wuta a watan Mayu. Yanzu Johnson da kansa ya yi game-fuska, ya rubuta a cikin wani Op-Ed don Jaridar Wall Street Journal a ranar 9 ga Disamba kawai cewa "dole ne a mayar da sojojin Rasha zuwa iyakar ranar 24 ga Fabrairu."
Johnson da Biden sun yi tabarbarewar manufofin yammacin Turai kan Ukraine, a siyasance suna manne da manufofinsu na rashin sharadi, yaki mara iyaka da masu ba da shawara kan soja na NATO suka ki amincewa da mafi kyawun dalilai: don guje wa yakin duniya na uku wanda Biden da kansa ya yi. alkawari don kaucewa.
A karshe shugabannin Amurka da na NATO suna daukar matakai na jarirai wajen yin shawarwari, amma babbar tambaya da ke fuskantar duniya a shekarar 2023 ita ce ko bangarorin da ke fada da juna za su kai ga kan teburin tattaunawa kafin rugujewar tabarbarewar ta barke cikin hadari.
Medea Benjamin da Nicolas JS Davies sune marubutan Yaƙi a Ukraine: Yin Ma'anar Rikici mara Ma'ana, OR Littattafai ne suka buga a watan Nuwamba 2022.
Medea Biliyaminu ita ce tushen haɗin gwiwa CODEPINK don Aminci, da marubucin littattafai da dama, ciki har da A cikin Iran: Gaskiya da Tarihin Jamhuriyar Musulunci ta Iran.
Nicolas JS Davies ɗan jarida ne mai zaman kansa, mai bincike tare da CODEPINK kuma marubucin Jini a Hannunmu: mamayar Amurkawa da lalata Iraki.
