By Ray McGovern, Antiwar.com, Disamba 6, 2021
A ranar 25 ga Mayu, 2021, lokacin da aka bayyana ranar 16 ga watan Yuni don taron koli tsakanin shugabannin Biden da Putin, da alama yana da kyau a ɓata lokaci don gargaɗin Biden da mashawartan sa na neophyte cewa babban sauyi a cikin "haɗin kai na duniya" (don aron tsohon lokacin Soviet) yana da tasiri sosai. tattaunawar watan Yuni. Tabbas, kasar Sin ba za ta shiga cikin shawarwarin kasashen biyu ba, amma za ta kasance sosai.
A wasu kalmomi, rabin shekara da ta wuce, mun damu:
"Ko jami'in gwamnatin Washington ko a'a ya yaba da sannu-sannu - amma mai zurfi - canji a cikin dangantakar Amurka da Rasha da China a cikin 'yan shekarun nan, abin da ke bayyane shi ne cewa Amurka ta mayar da kanta cikin babban hasara. Har ila yau triangle na iya zama daidai, amma yanzu, a zahiri, bangarori biyu ne da daya. …
"Babu wata alama da ke nuna cewa masu tsara manufofin Amurka na yau suna da isasshen gogewa da hankali don gane wannan sabuwar gaskiyar da kuma fahimtar muhimman abubuwan da ke tattare da 'yancin yin aiki da Amurka. Har yanzu ba za su iya fahimtar yadda wannan sabon haɗin gwiwa zai iya kasancewa a ƙasa, a cikin teku ko a cikin iska."
A bayyane yake cewa sabon al'amarin da ke faruwa a tsakanin kasashen Rasha da Sin zai tauye muhimman batutuwan da ba su da muhimmanci; kuma ba za mu iya tabbatar da cewa za a sanar da Biden yadda ya kamata ba.
Sinanci "Matsi"
A bayyane yake, Shugaba Biden bai sami kalmar ba - ko watakila ya manta. Anan ga babbar hanyar da Biden ya bayyana, a taron manema labarai na bayan taron, shekaru da dama da suka gabata game da batun Putin kan China:
"Ba tare da nakalto shi [Putin] ba - wanda ina ganin bai dace ba - bari in yi wata tambaya mai ma'ana: Kuna da iyakar mil dubu da China. Kasar Sin na neman zama kasa mafi karfin tattalin arziki a duniya, kuma mafi girma da karfin soja a duniya."
A filin jirgin sama, abokan tafiya Biden sun yi iya ƙoƙarinsu don tuƙa shi a cikin jirgin, amma sun kasa hana shi raba ƙarin ra'ayoyinsa game da China - a wannan karon game da dabarun "matsi" na China na Rasha:
“Bari in zabi maganata. Rasha tana cikin wani wuri mai matukar wahala da wahala a yanzu. China ce ke matse su."
Shin har yanzu Shugaba Biden yana cin abincin rana kan wannan muhimmin batun? Shin mashawarcinsa masu tasowa sun nemi sabbin litattafai, daga waɗanda ƙila sun karanta a cikin 70s da 80s, kuma sun koyi cewa Rasha da China ba su taɓa kusantar juna ba - cewa, hakika, suna da menene adadin haɗin gwiwar soja?
Wannan zai zama kamar abu ne mai mahimmanci don tabbatar da cewa Biden ya koya - kuma ya tuna. Zai yi kyau musamman idan wani ya faɗakar da shi jim kaɗan kafin ganawar sa da Putin gobe (Talata). Ga yunƙurin da na yi na yin hakan jim kaɗan bayan taron na Yuni.
"Tsohon Hannun Sinawa da Tsohon Rashanci"
Tun da dadewa ya kai matsayin "tsofaffin dalibai", Ambasada Chas Freeman da ni mun sami damar kallon dangantakar Sin da Rasha shekaru da yawa. Hakika, Amb. Freeman, kamar yadda mafi yawan masu karatu suka sani, ya kasance babban likita, bayan da ya yi wa shugaba Richard Nixon fassara a ziyararsa mai cike da tarihi a birnin Beijing a watan Fabrairun 1972, kuma ya taka muhimmiyar rawa wajen tsara manufar Sin daya tak da ta tabbatar da zaman lafiya - a akalla sai yanzu. Na jagoranci CIA reshen manufofin harkokin waje na Soviet a farkon 70s; manazartan mu sun taka muhimmiyar rawa wajen kammala yarjejeniyar SALT a watan Mayu 1972 (tare da ƙwararrun ƙwararrun fasaha waɗanda suka ba Nixon mahimmanci: Ee, zamu iya tabbatarwa idan kun amince).
Kwanan nan, a cikin Yuli 2020, lokacin da tsohon Sakataren Harkokin Wajen Amurka Pompeo ya taka leda a kotu yana bayyana sabuwar manufar Amurka game da China tare da sukar tsohuwar. Ni da Chas mun hada kai akan wannan.
A cikin musayar imel a karshen mako, na nemi kowane ƙarin ra'ayi Amb. Freeman na iya samun, yayin da Biden ke shirin taron kolin sa tare da Putin ranar Talata. Tare da izinin Chas na ba su a ƙasa:
“… A bayyane yake cewa, rikicin Sin da Rasha yana fadadawa a karkashin matsin barazanar Amurka ga duka biyun. Babu wani abu da zai faru a kan Taiwan ko Ukraine ba tare da daidaitawa tsakanin Beijing da Moscow ba. Amma makircin mu na fantatacciya don kalubalantar akidar dimokaradiyyar Amurka ta zama gaskiya ta “kolin demokradiyya.” Wannan ya yi kokarin sanyawa Taiwan makami a akidar China kuma ya haifar da abin da ba a taba gani ba Sanarwar hadin gwiwa tsakanin Sin da Rasha wanda yayi ƙoƙari ya toshe tunaninmu da adawa da Almasihun mu game da dimokuradiyya. "Abin da nake tsammani shi ne cewa a yanzu za a sami karin yawan sojojin Rasha na dindindin a kan iyakar Ukraine amma, tare da hana tsokanar goro a cikin Ukraine, ba za a sami mamayewa ba. Madadin haka, Rasha za ta daidaita don samun tabbataccen tushe don abin mamaki na dabaru, lokacin da kuma idan hakan ya zama dole. Don haka, mai yiwuwa kasar Sin ba ta yanke shawara game da Taiwan ba, amma tana shirya fagen fama a lokacin da za ta iya yin hakan. Dukansu Sin da Rasha suna aiki iri ɗaya don haɓaka zaɓin sojan da ba a taɓa nema ba. ... game da makami mai linzami na Zircon na Rasha [Mach 9]: yana kama da ƙoƙarin China na haɓaka ƙarfin makaman nukiliya mai inganci akan Amurka.
Me yasa Ba'a Gwada Karamin Diflomasiya?
Koyaushe jami'in diflomasiyya, Chas na iya kasancewa da bege cewa alkawarin da Shugaba Biden ya yi na kawo karshen "yaki mara karewa" da fara "diflomasiyya mara kakkautawa" na iya ci gaba da zama nama kuma ba za ta ci gaba da yin magana ba. Freeman ya ba da waɗannan ƙarin tunani kan abin da sabon motsin Sinawa da Rasha zai iya haifarwa, da aka ba abokin tarayya mai son rai:
"Wadannan yunƙurin wata al'ada ce ta diflomasiyya ta yin amfani da barazanar soji don tilasta rage tattaunawar sulhu. Ministan harkokin wajen Rasha Lavrov ya yi daidai da na China da jami'in diflomasiyyar Wang Yi a Rome, lokacin da Lavrov ya gana da Blinken a Stockholm daga baya. Wang Yi ya bukaci bangaren Amurka da su kuduri aniyar aiwatar da manufar Sin daya tak, ba na bogi ba, domin Amurka ta cika alkawuran da ta dauka ga kasar Sin, kuma da gaske Amurka ta aiwatar da manufar Sin daya tilo, maimakon fadin abu guda amma ta yi. wani.'
"Lavrov ya yi daidai da Putin wajen neman' tabbataccen garantin tsaro na dogon lokaci," wanda ya haɗa da takamaiman yarjejeniyoyin da za su ware duk wani ci gaba na NATO zuwa gabas da tura tsarin makaman da ke barazana ga mu kusa da yankin Rasha,' ya kara da cewa Moscow za ta buƙaci. ba kawai tabbacin magana ba, amma 'lamuncewa na doka'.
Ray McGovern yana aiki tare da gaya wa Kalmar, wani bangaren buga littattafai na cocin Ecumenical na Mai Ceto a cikin garin Washington na ciki. Aikinsa na shekaru 27 a matsayin mai nazarin CIA ya hada da yin aiki a matsayin Babban Jami'in Ofishin Siyasar Kasashen Waje na Soviet da mai shiryawa / mai ba da rahoto game da Takaitaccen Bayanin Shugaban Kasa. Shi ne wanda ya kirkiro Vwararrun Professionwararrun encewararrun forwararru don Sanity (VIPS).
