Ugan Tsira na Farshe

Ta hannun Victor Grossman, Bulletin Berlin No. 161, Yuli 23, 2019

Tug-of-war ba wasa ba ne kuma, idan babu yanayin zafi kamar a Amurka da Turai, zai iya zama daɗi ga duk 'yan wasan. Amma a cikin siyasa na duniya yana iya zama wasa mai haɗari, musamman idan an yi wasa kamar wasu tsoffin Vikings sun yi - ƙasan rami mai zafi ana jiran masu hasara.

A duk duniya, a halin yanzu ana wasa da jan hankali tare da jirage marasa matuka da kuma jiragen sa ido wadanda ke tsokanar iyakokin Iran a gabas da Venezuela a yamma, tare da masu dauke da makamai masu linzami a tsaye kusa da su. (Wataƙila yanzu a cikin Gabas ta Tsakiya kuma?). Mafi yawanci, a bayansu, shafa hannayensu - duk da cewa baya lalata su da igiya ko jawo abubuwa - ƙungiyar 'yan siyasa ne masu yunwa da yaƙi da sarakunan yaƙi. Kwace jiragen ruwan dakon mai, da farko ta Burtaniya sannan kuma, a bayyane don ramuwar gayya, da Iran, ya sa sun kasance masu fata amma yawancin mutane masu mutunci suna tsoro! Wannan gwagwarmaya, ba ta tsakanin ƙasashe da gaske. Tsakanin wannan ƙungiyar ne, ƙaiƙayi don arangama, sabbin ayyukan fashewar bamabamai da sabbin abubuwa, da duk waɗanda ke aiki don zaman lafiya. Wani bangare ne zai yi nasara? Ko siririn igiyar na iya tsagewa?

An dade da raba ƙasar ta Jamus wannan gwajin ƙarfi. A bangare guda, wadanda suka kasance tun bayan da Konrad Adenauer ya kafa Tarayyar Jamhuriyar Tarayyar Jamus, ya cika makil da yaki a cikin dakunan dabarun fada a Pentagon da NATO. Wanda ake kira "'yan Atlantika" saboda haɗin su na transoceanic, sun sami mai gabatar da ƙira a cikin Ursula von der Leyen, tun lokacin da 2014 Ministan Tsaro ya kasance. A Yuli 16^th Ta yi tsalle babba. Wataƙila maganin ta na ƙarshe na iya yin dabarar; ta nuna rashin jin dadinta game da yanayin sojinta, sai ta zuga wasu kalamai game da kare canjin yanayi, daidaiton mata, hadin kan Turai da "dabi'un dimokiradiyya ta kasashen yamma". Bayan nasarar jefa ƙuri'ar ɓoye ɓoyayyen ɓoyayye, ta hanyar ƙuri'u tara ne kawai, 383 zuwa 374, tare da watsi da 23, ta zama shugabar Hukumar Turai, majalisa mai ƙarfi na ofasashen Turai, tare da kujerun 28 da ke kan sassan sassan 28 waɗanda ke rufe dukkan bangarorin rayuwar Turai, kujera daya zuwa wata kasa (amma ta sauka zuwa 27 idan Biritaniya ta fita kamar yadda aka shirya a watan Oktoba). Za ta zama kocin fiye da ma'aikatan 30,000 waɗanda za su iya sanin yanayin rayuwa na kusan 'yan Turai miliyan 500. Yana da wuya a yi tunanin ta manta da babban burinta, ƙaƙƙarfan ƙaƙƙarfan ƙarfin sojan Turai wanda ke mamaye da Yammacin Turai, abokiyar kawance da ƙungiyar ƙawancen Amurkan wacce ta mamaye NATO da niyya ta gabas. Mai kyakkyawar majami'a zai iya ɗaga murya yana cewa: “Allah ya tsare mu!”

Wannan yana nufin barin aikinta a matsayin ministar tsaron Jamus. Amma wanda ya gaje ta nan take, babban abin mamaki, shi ne Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, matar da ta maye gurbin Angela Merkel a matsayin shugabar Christian Democratic Union (CDU). Duk wani fata na ƙasa da rikice-rikice ya watse da sauri. AKK, kamar yadda aka taƙaita sunanta (amma da yake ba shi da kama da waccan sunan na Amurka, AOC), nan da nan ya buƙaci ƙarin haɓaka kayan kashe makamai, har zuwa miliyoyin biliyoyin Euro, matakin kasafin kuɗi na 2% da aka buƙaci duka membobin NATO. Lessarancin fada a cikin bayyanarta fiye da wanda ya gabace ta, ta bi layi ɗaya. Mai yin bindiga Heckler & Koch (zuriyar Mauser), KruppThyssen, mai kera jirgin U-zamani na shekaru da yawa, da Kraus-Maffei-Wegmann, mafi kyawun tankin tankin Hitler kuma a yanzu yana fitar da “Damisa” mai saurin kisa, duk suna iya jin daɗin rashin damuwa bacci da karin biliyoyi. 

Ko za su iya? The Greens, gaskiya ne, yanzu sun fi karfi fiye da kowane lokaci, ka riƙe kaɗan daga al'adun batsa na asali kuma sun ci gaba zuwa yanzu cikin ƙiyayyarsu ga Putin da yen saboda matsala tare da Rasha cewa sukar da suke yi ba ta da karɓar kuɗin tallafin soja ba amma a maimakon haka. bukatar “ingantacciyar hanya, mara amfani sosai” ginin.

Amma 'yan Social Democrats, har yanzu suna cikin haɗin gwiwar gwamnati kuma tare da goyon baya ga haɗin gwiwar NATO, yanzu suna gwagwarmayar rayuwa don zama babbar ƙungiya. Sakamakon: maganganun da ba na yau da kullun ba irin na Karl Lauterbach, dan takarar shugabancin jam’iyya, wanda ya yi gargadi “game da ka’idar amfani da makami da ta yi daidai da muradin Donald Trump”. Wasu daga cikin wakilan nasu sun jefa kuri’ar kin jinin von der Leyen, ba su da kauna ga magajinsa, AKK, har ma suka yi kama da LINKE (Hagu), wadanda ke ci gaba da adawa da makamai, fitar da makami da duk wasu abubuwan soji kamar Afghanistan, Mali, Iraq ko Syria. .

A makon da ya gabata, a taron tattaunawa tsakanin Jamus da Rasha na shekara-shekara a Bonn, "Tattaunawar ta Petersburg", duka ministocin harkokin wajen sun halarci karon farko tun rikicin Ukraine. Heiko Maas, dan Social Democrat, bayan ganawa da Sergei Lavrov, ya yi magana game da alamu masu kyau a cikin Ukraine kuma ya yi fatan cewa sulhun da za a fara nan ba da jimawa ba “za a kuma mutunta shi, cewa za a ci gaba da tsagaita wuta kuma za mu kara samun ci gaba a aiwatar da Yarjejeniyar Minsk ”(don kawo karshen rikici). Duk da bambancin ra'ayi, kamar tare da takunkumi na tattalin arziki, Maas ya ce warware matsalolin siyasa na duniya yana da wuyar samu ba tare da “sa hannun Rasha ba”. Shin wannan na iya canza canjin murya?

Tabbas, bambance-bambance masu ban sha'awa suna ba da haske game da gefen “Salama” a ɓangaren yaƙi. Yawancin masana'antun, ba su da ma'amala da kayan soja, sun riƙe sha'awa cikin babbar kasuwar Rasha. Hakanan mutane da yawa sunyi mahimmanci a cikin ɓangaren kayan lambu da kayan lambu. Dukansu sun sha wahala sosai sakamakon takunkumin da Amurka da Tarayyar Turai suka saka, kuma sun yi ƙoƙari su kewaye su. Ba su da sha'awar sauya hanyoyi da hanyoyin jiragen ruwa don tankokin da ke iyaka da manyan bindigogi ko kuma su aika da sojojin na Jamus tare da masu kai harin wuce gona da iri don su bi ta kan iyakokin Rasha. Dayawa sun yi fatan iskar gas ta Rasha daga bututun da ke yankin Baltic.

Kuma irin waɗannan ra'ayoyin, baya ga sha'awar su, sun dace da tunani da burin Jamusawa da yawa, tabbas mafi rinjaye, waɗanda ke adawa da "ƙiyayya-Putin, ƙiyayya-Rasha" damuwa a cikin kafofin watsa labarai, wanda ya tuno da kalmomi masu kama da lafuzza. a cikin kafofin watsa labarai na shekaru tamanin da suka gabata.

 Yawancin abin da ke cikin Amurka, waɗannan jin daɗin ba su haifar da manyan zanga-zangar lumana na shekarun da suka gabata ba. Babban hankali da aiki an juye zuwa tambayoyin muhalli da hamayyar barazanar fascist da cin zarafin wasu launuka, suttura ko majami'u. Amma irin waɗannan batutuwan, waɗanda suka danganta da tsarin ƙasashen duniya, tabbas suna da matsayi a cikin rikice-rikicen yaƙi kuma sun kasance kusa da ƙungiyoyi masu kama da juna a Amurka, inda wannan matashi mai ƙarfin gwiwa na '' Squad '' na majalissar ya yi matuƙar yaba da ci gaba Jamusanci Jamusawa.

 Wannan gwagwarmayar ta yi rawar gani a watan Yuni 2nd lokacin da aka harbe Walter Lübcke, 65, wani jami'in ƙarfin hali a cikin garin Kassel, ɗan jam'iyyar Democrat ta Kirista, a gaban gidansa. Shekaru huɗu da suka gabata ya ba da amsa cikin fushi game da mummunan zalunci da ya faru a gaban masu sauraro: Duk wanda bai son ƙa'idodin da aka kafa ƙasar nan ba, to yana da damar barin sa a duk lokacin da ya ga dama. Wanda ya yi kisan, mai fasikancin-da-ulu ne, ya dade yana jira ya kashe Lübcke, ta hanyar labarai na furucin, daya daga cikin fitattun masu son na Alternative for Germany (AfD).

 Mummunan kuka da fushi sun biyo baya. A wani zama na gwamnatin jihar hatta a cikin Bavaria mai ra'ayin mazan jiya, duk waɗanda ke wurin sun tsaya cikin baƙin ciki na makokin Lübcke - ban da wani wakilin AfD wanda ya ci gaba da nuna kansa a kujerar sa. Tun daga wannan lokacin yake ta neman uzuri.

 Idespreadin yarda da yawar dama yana karuwa sosai. Wata karamar jam'iyyar Pro-Nazi ta cikin garin Lübcke, Kassel, ta yi kira da a yi wata zanga-zangar da ta dace da "adalci" ga wanda ya yi kisan sannan ya sanar da cewa 500 zai halarci. A cikin babban martani ta hanyar dukkanin jam’iyyun siyasa (ban da AfD), majami'u, ƙungiyoyi da kowane nau'i na ƙungiyar, garin ya cika a Yuli 20th. Masu nuna wariyar launin fatar 10,000 sun kasance ko'ina, da yawa tare da T-shirts anti-Nazi, tutoci, tutoci da hayaniya sun isa su zubar da sabon-Nazis-Naziis, game da 100 daga cikinsu waɗanda, waɗanda 'yan sanda suka kiyaye shi da kyau, suka riƙe abin da suka kira gamuwa da tafi abin kunya.

Wannan nasara ce ta gaske a cikin yaƙin. Ana buƙatar ƙarin irin waɗannan nasarar a cikin makonni biyar masu zuwa. Jihohin Gabashin Jamus na Saxony da Brandenburg sun kada kuri'unsu a watan Satumba 1st, Thuringia a ranar Oktoba 27th, kuma har zuwa yanzu babban zaben yana ba da damar AfD mai karfi na samun nasarar farko. Hadin gwiwa tsakanin bangarori uku ko hudu na iya zama dole don samar da gwamnatocin jihohi ba tare da su ba.

 Har zuwa yanzu duk wani haɗin gwiwa tare da AfD duk sauran sun yanke hukunci. Amma wasu 'yan jam'iyyar Christian Democrats (CDU) a Saxony, waɗanda ke shugabantar kowace gwamnati a can tun haɗewar Jamusawa, sun daɗe suna wasa a tebur tare da ƙungiyar AfD da aka fi sani da suna "footsie". Abubuwan da ake jin tsoron dama-dama, masu kama da waɗanda suke a cikin Hungary, Faransa, Italiya kuma galibi akan dogaro da masu son yin rikice-rikice kamar na Amurka, suna da matukar ban tsoro. Kuma duk da cewa kungiyar ta AfD, da ke neman shahara, ta ba da sanarwar nuna yarda a gabanta tare da Rasha, amma ta bukaci hakan, ba kasafai a bainar jama'a ba, wata babbar runduna wacce ta fi ta zamani makamai. Don hamayya da manufarta ta ƙiyayya ga mutanen launi da duk waɗanda ke hagu, da haƙurinsa na tashin hankali, dubban daga ko'ina cikin Jamus ana tsammanin a Saxony babban birnin Dresden a watan Agusta 24th don taimakawa ƙungiyoyin cikin gida da faɗakar da masu jefa ƙuri'a game da haɗarin haɗari. Kamar yadda yake a yawancin sassan duniyar yau, kowane irin sadaukarwa yana taimakawa. Yunkurin yaƙi na ƙasa da ƙasa yana buƙatar ƙarin hannayensu don hana fadawa cikin rami mai tsananin tsoro na mulkin ɓarna da yaƙi.

Sabon littafin Victor Grossman shine "Mashaidin gurguzu: Daga Harvard zuwa Karl-Marx-Allee" (Jaridar Tunawa da Wata).