Por John Scales Avery, 4 de enero de 2019
El asesinato del general Qasem Soleimani
El viernes 3 de enero de 2020, los progresistas en los Estados Unidos y todas las personas amantes de la paz en todo el mundo se horrorizaron al saber que Donald Trump había agregado a su larga lista de crímenes e imbecilidades al ordenar el asesinato del general Qasem Soleimani, quien es un héroe en su propio país, Irán. El asesinato, que se llevó a cabo mediante un ataque con aviones no tripulados el viernes, aumentó inmediata y drásticamente la probabilidad de una nueva guerra a gran escala en el Medio Oriente y en otros lugares. En este contexto, me gustaría revisar la historia de los ataques motivados por el petróleo contra Irán.
The desire to control Iran’s oil
Iran has an ancient and beautiful civilization, which dates back to 5,000 BC, when the city of Susa was founded. Some of the earliest writing that we know of, dating from from approximately 3,000 BC, was used by the Elamite civilization near to Susa. Today’s Iranians are highly intelligent and cultured, and famous for their hospitality, generosity and kindness to strangers. Over the centuries, Iranians have made many contributions to science, art and literature, and for hundreds of years they have not attacked any of their neighbors. Nevertheless, for the last 90 years, they have been the victims of foreign attacks and interventions, most of which have been closely related to Iran’s oil and gas resources. The first of these took place in the period 1921-1925, when a British-sponsored coup overthrew the Qajar dynasty and replaced it by Reza Shah.
Reza Shah (1878-1944) started his career as Reza Khan, an army officer. Because of his high intelligence he quickly rose to become commander of the Tabriz Brigade of the Persian Cossacks. In 1921, General Edmond Ironside, who commanded a British force of 6,000 men fighting against the Bolsheviks in northern Persia, masterminded a coup (financed by Britain) in which Reza Khan lead 15,000 Cossacks towards the capital. He overthrew the government, and became minister of war. The British government backed this coup because it believed that a strong leader was needed in Iran to resist the Bolsheviks. In 1923, Reza Khan overthrew the Qajar Dynasty, and in 1925 he was crowned as Reza Shah, adopting the name Pahlavi.
Reza Shah believed he had a mission to modernize Iran, in much the same way that Kamil Ataturk had modernized Turkey. During his 16 years of rule in Iran, many roads were built, the Trans-Iranian Railway was constructed, many Iranians were sent to study in the West, the University of Tehran was opened, and the first steps towards industrialization were taken. However, Reza Shah’s methods were sometimes very harsh.
In 1941, while Germany invaded Russia, Iran remained neutral, perhaps leaning a little towards the side of Germany. However, Reza Shah was sufficiently critical of Hitler to offer safety in Iran to refugees from the Nazis. Fearing that the Germans would gain control of the Abadan oil fields, and wishing to use the Trans-Iranian Railway to bring supplies to Russia, Britain invaded Iran from the south on August 25, 1941. Simultaneously, a Russian force invaded the country from the north. Reza Shah appealed to Roosevelt for help, citing Iran’s neutrality, but to no avail. On September 17, 1941, he was forced into exile, and replaced by his son, Crown Prince Mohammed Reza Pahlavi. Both Britain and Russia promised to withdraw from Iran as soon as the war was over. During the remainder of World War II, although the new Shah was nominally the ruler of Iran, the country was governed by the allied occupation forces.
Reza Shah had a strong sense of mission, and felt that it was his duty to modernize Iran. He passed on this sense of mission to his son, the young Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi . The painful problem of poverty was everywhere apparent, and both Reza Shah and his son saw modernization of Iran as the only way to end poverty.
In 1951, Mohammad Mosaddegh became Prime Minister of Iran through democratic elections. He was from a highly-placed family and could trace his ancestry back to the shahs of the Qajar dynasty. Among the many reforms made by Mosaddegh was the nationalization of the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company’s possessions in Iran. Because of this, the AIOC (which later became British Petroleum), persuaded the British government to sponsor a secret coup that would overthrow Mosaddegh. The British asked US President Eisenhower and the CIA to join M16 in carrying out the coup claiming that Mosaddegh represented a communist threat (a ludicrous argument, considering Mosaddegh’s aristocratic background). Eisenhower agreed to help Britain in carrying out the coup, and it took place in 1953. The Shah thus obtained complete power over Iran.
The goal of modernizing Iran and ending poverty was adopted as an almost-sacred mission by the young Shah, Mohammed Reza Pahlavi, and it was the motive behind his White Revolution in 1963, when much of the land belonging to the feudal landowners and the crown was distributed to landless villagers. However, the White Revolution angered both the traditional landowning class and the clergy, and it created fierce opposition. In dealing with this opposition, the Shahs methods were very harsh, just as his fathers had been. Because of alienation produced by his harsh methods, and because of the growing power of his opponents, Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi was overthrown in the Iranian Revolution of 1979. The revolution of 1979 was to some extent caused by the British-American coup of 1953.
One can also say that the westernization, at which both Shah Reza and his son aimed, produced an anti-western reaction among the conservative elements of Iranian society. Iran was “falling between two stools”, on the one hand western culture and on the other hand the country’s traditional culture. It seemed to be halfway between, belonging to neither. Finally in 1979 the Islamic clergy triumphed and Iran chose tradition. Meanwhile, in 1963, the US had secretly backed a military coup in Iraq that brought Saddam Hussein’s Ba’ath Party to power. In 1979, when the western-backed Shah of Iran was overthrown, the United States regarded the fundamentalist Shiite regime that replaced him as a threat to supplies of oil from Saudi Arabia. Washington saw Saddam’s Iraq as a bulwark against the Shiite government of Iran that was thought to be threatening oil supplies from pro-American states such as Kuwait and Saudi Arabia.
In 1980, encouraged to do so by the fact that Iran had lost its US backing, Saddam Hussein’s government attacked Iran. This was the start of an extremely bloody and destructive war that lasted for eight years, inflicting almost a million casualties on the two nations. Iraq used both mustard gas and the nerve gases Tabun and Sarin against Iran, in violation of the Geneva Protocol. Both the United States and Britain helped Saddam Hussein’s government to obtain chemical weapons.
The present attacks on Iran by Israel and the United States, both actual and threatened, have some similarity to the war against Iraq, which was launched by the United States in 2003. In 2003, the attack was nominally motivated by the threat that nuclear weapons would be developed, but the real motive had more to do with a desire to control and exploit the petroleum resources of Iraq, and with Israel’s extreme nervousness at having a powerful and somewhat hostile neighbor. Similarly, hegemony over the huge oil and gas reserves of Iran can be seen as one the main reasons why the United States is presently demonizing Iran, and this is combined with Israel’s almost paranoid fear of a large and powerful Iran. Looking back on the “successful” 1953 coup against Mosaddegh, Israel and the United States perhaps feel that sanctions, threats, murders and other pressures can cause a regime change that will bring a more compliant government to power in Iran – a government that will accept US hegemony. But aggressive rhetoric, threats and provocations can escalate into full-scale war.
I do not wish to say that Iran’s present government is without serious faults. However, any use of violence against Iran would be both insane and criminal. Why insane? Because the present economy of the US and the world cannot support another large-scale conflict; because the Middle East is already a deeply troubled region; and because it is impossible to predict the extent of a war which, if once started, might develop into World War III, given the fact that Iran is closely allied with both Russia and China. Why criminal? Because such violence would violate both the UN Charter and the Nuremberg Principles. There is no hope at all for the future unless we work for a peaceful world, governed by international law, rather than a fearful world, where brutal power holds sway.
Un ataque contra Irán podría escalar
Recientemente pasamos el centenario de la Primera Guerra Mundial, y debemos recordar que este desastre colosal se intensificó sin control desde lo que pretendía ser un conflicto menor. Existe el peligro de que un ataque contra Irán se convierta en una guerra a gran escala en el Medio Oriente, desestabilizando por completo una región que ya tiene profundos problemas.
El gobierno inestable de Pakistán podría ser derrocado, y el gobierno revolucionario pakistaní podría entrar en la guerra del lado de Irán, introduciendo así armas nucleares en el conflicto. Rusia y China, firmes aliados de Irán, también podrían verse arrastrados a una guerra general en el Medio Oriente.
En la situación peligrosa que podría resultar de un ataque contra Irán, existe el riesgo de que se usen armas nucleares, ya sea intencionalmente o por accidente o error de cálculo. Investigaciones recientes han demostrado que, además de hacer que grandes áreas del mundo sean inhabitables a través de la contaminación radioactiva de larga duración, una guerra nuclear dañaría la agricultura mundial hasta el punto de provocar una hambruna mundial de proporciones previamente desconocidas.
Por lo tanto, la guerra nuclear es la última catástrofe ecológica. Podría destruir la civilización humana y gran parte de la biosfera. Arriesgarse a tal guerra sería un delito imperdonable contra la vida y el futuro de todos los pueblos del mundo, incluidos los ciudadanos estadounidenses.
Investigaciones recientes han demostrado que espesas nubes de humo de tormentas de fuego en ciudades en llamas subirían a la estratosfera, donde se extenderían a nivel mundial y permanecerían durante una década, bloqueando el ciclo hidrológico y destruyendo la capa de ozono. También seguiría una década de temperaturas muy bajas. La agricultura global sería destruida. Las poblaciones humanas, vegetales y animales perecerían.
We must also consider the very long-lasting effects of radioactive contamination. One can gain a small idea of what it would be like by thinking of the radioactive contamination that has made large areas near to Chernobyl and Fukushima permanently uninhabitable, or the testing of hydrogen bombs in the Pacific in the 1950’s, which continues to cause leukemia and birth defects in the Marshall Islands more than half a century later. In the event of a thermonuclear war, the contamination would be enormously greater.
Debemos recordar que el poder explosivo total de las armas nucleares en el mundo de hoy es 500,000 veces mayor que el poder de las bombas que destruyeron Hiroshima y Nagasaki. Lo que está amenazado hoy es el colapso completo de la civilización humana y la destrucción de gran parte de la biosfera.
La cultura humana común que todos compartimos es un tesoro para ser cuidadosamente protegido y transmitido a nuestros hijos y nietos. La hermosa tierra, con su enorme riqueza de vida vegetal y animal, es también un tesoro, casi más allá de nuestro poder de medir o expresar. ¡Qué enorme arrogancia y blasfemia es para nuestros líderes pensar en arriesgarlos en una guerra termonuclear!